Payoneer Global (PAYO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.635 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Payoneer Global (PAYO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.635Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -112 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 350x | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -112 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 350x |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PAYO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Payoneer Global (PAYO) stock moved by approximately -17.7% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss
Payoneer reported its Third Quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, with an EPS of $0.04, falling short of analysts' projections of $0.06. This resulted in a significant 33.33% negative surprise and a substantial pre-market stock decline of 10.71% following the announcement.
2. Revenue Shortfall Relative to Expectations
The company's revenue for Q3 2025 was reported at $248.3 million by some sources, missing the anticipated $263.37 million. While other reports indicated revenue of $270.9 million or $271 million, which might have beaten some estimates, the perceived shortfall against high expectations contributed to investor disappointment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PAYO Return | - | - | -26% | -5% | 93% | -43% | -22% |
| Peers Return | 32% | -14% | -22% | 12% | 14% | -11% | -1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PAYO Win Rate | - | 33% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 48% | 42% | 65% | 57% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PAYO Max Drawdown | - | - | -53% | -24% | -18% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -24% | -32% | -12% | -9% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MA, V, GPN, WU, PYPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PAYO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 912 days | 464 days |
Compare to MA, V, GPN, WU, PYPL
In The Past
Payoneer Global's stock fell -67.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -67.9% loss requires a 211.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Payoneer Global Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Payoneer Global Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| null | |||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Better Bet Than Visa Stock: Pay Less To Get More From PAYO | August 1st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PAYO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Payoneer Global
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 70.60 |
| Mkt Cap | 38.7 |
| Rev LTM | 20,460 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,203 |
| FCF LTM | 4,216 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,749 |
| CFO LTM | 4,963 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,425 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 22.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 38.7 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 17.5 |
| P/CFO | 9.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -5.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -78.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |