Payoneer Global (PAYO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.9 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Payoneer Global (PAYO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.9Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -112 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 350x | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% | Key risksPAYO key risks include [1] heightened regulatory scrutiny from past sanctions violations, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -65% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -112 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -14% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 350x |
| Key risksPAYO key risks include [1] heightened regulatory scrutiny from past sanctions violations, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PAYO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting why Payoneer Global (PAYO) stock moved by -15.1% from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Negative Market Reaction: Payoneer Global reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, which fell below analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.04, missing the forecasted $0.06 by 33.33%. Revenue also disappointed, coming in at $248.3 million against an anticipated $263.37 million. This significant miss led to an immediate pre-market stock decline of 10.71% following the announcement.
2. Increased Operating Expenses and Lower Net Income: During Q3 2025, Payoneer experienced an increase in its operational costs. Transaction costs rose by 12%, accounting for 15.7% of revenue, primarily due to lower interest income. Concurrently, net income saw a substantial decrease to $14 million from $42 million in the prior year, partly influenced by a one-time income tax benefit in the previous period. Furthermore, sales and marketing expenses increased by 14%, and general and administrative expenses climbed by 22%, driven by higher labor costs and increased legal and consulting fees.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PAYO Return | � | � | -26% | -5% | 93% | -41% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -35% | 27% | 21% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PAYO Win Rate | � | 33% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 35% | 40% | 63% | 53% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PAYO Max Drawdown | � | � | -53% | -24% | -18% | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -52% | -20% | -25% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PYPL, FI, FOUR, RELY, MQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PAYO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 211.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 912 days | 464 days |
Compare to MA, V, GPN, WU, PYPL
In The Past
Payoneer Global's stock fell -67.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/3/2021. A -67.9% loss requires a 211.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Payoneer Global Earnings Notes | |||
| Is Payoneer Global Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | ||
| How Does Payoneer Global Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Payoneer Global (PAYO) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Better Bet Than Visa Stock: Pay Less To Get More From PAYO | August 1st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PAYO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Payoneer Global
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 2,712 |
| Op Inc LTM | 168 |
| FCF LTM | 246 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 203 |
| CFO LTM | 386 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 325 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 20.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 2.5 |
| P/EBIT | 12.3 |
| P/E | 24.1 |
| P/CFO | 10.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -12.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -33.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -24.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -44.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.9% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -5.5% | -2.8% | -1.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | 14.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| 2/27/2025 | -14.7% | -18.1% | -27.0% |
| 11/5/2024 | 20.9% | 21.9% | 27.3% |
| 8/7/2024 | 23.2% | 35.2% | 34.5% |
| 5/8/2024 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
| 2/28/2024 | -19.6% | -18.2% | -12.1% |
| 11/8/2023 | -2.1% | -0.3% | -10.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 9 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 16.5% | 17.6% | 13.4% |
| Median Negative | -7.1% | -11.2% | -12.4% |
| Max Positive | 31.4% | 35.2% | 34.5% |
| Max Negative | -19.6% | -18.2% | -27.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3032022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |