Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $188.45 | Market Cap: $128.0 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $188.45Market Cap: $128.0 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 78x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Network Security, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% | |
| Key risksPANW key risks include [1] its premium pricing model, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Network Security, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 78x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3% |
| Key risksPANW key risks include [1] its premium pricing model, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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It's challenging to provide a precise explanation for a specific future stock movement of -1.3% for Palo Alto Networks (PANW) between August 31, 2025, and today, December 24, 2025, as this period lies in the future, and detailed stock performance and influencing factors cannot be predicted with accuracy. However, based on recent information and trends leading up to the current date, we can highlight potential factors that could influence the stock's performance.
1. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Growth Projections: As of December 22, 2025, analysts had a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" for PANW, with an average price target of $226.20, representing a potential upside of approximately 20.2% from its price of $188.12. Earnings are projected to grow by 19.32% in the coming year, and revenue is expected to increase from $9.22 billion in fiscal year 2025 to $16.98 billion in fiscal year 2030. These positive forecasts could generally support the stock's value, suggesting that a negative movement would likely be in response to new, unforeseen events.
2. Strategic Partnerships and AI Security Focus: Palo Alto Networks announced a significant expansion of its strategic partnership with Google Cloud on December 19, 2025. This collaboration aims to secure the development and deployment of AI solutions and involves Palo Alto Networks migrating key internal workloads to Google Cloud. The company's leadership in AI-driven cybersecurity and platform consolidation is seen as a key driver for recurring revenue growth and market share expansion. This strategic move is anticipated to further establish Palo Alto Networks as a "full stack security and observability leader."
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.4% change in PANW stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -5.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9232025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 203.25 | 188.12 | -7.44% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9221.70 | 9556.70 | 3.63% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.30% | 11.69% | -4.95% |
| P/E Multiple | 120.44 | 114.33 | -5.07% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 672.10 | 679.00 | -1.03% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.45% |
Market Drivers
9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PANW | -7.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.7% | 60.6% |
| Sector (XLK) | 4.2% | 63.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.7% change in PANW stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -16.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 6242025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 201.69 | 188.12 | -6.73% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8874.90 | 9556.70 | 7.68% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.95% | 11.69% | -16.20% |
| P/E Multiple | 108.35 | 114.33 | 5.53% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 665.10 | 679.00 | -2.09% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.77% |
Market Drivers
6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PANW | -6.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.7% | 42.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 18.2% | 46.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.1% change in PANW stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -64.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12232024 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 188.22 | 188.12 | -0.05% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8288.40 | 9556.70 | 15.30% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 32.99% | 11.69% | -64.57% |
| P/E Multiple | 45.02 | 114.33 | 153.98% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 654.00 | 679.00 | -3.82% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.20% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PANW | -0.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.7% | 63.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 23.2% | 64.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 166.3% change in PANW stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 83.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12242022 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 70.64 | 188.12 | 166.33% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5817.50 | 9556.70 | 64.28% |
| P/S Multiple | 7.28 | 13.37 | 83.59% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 599.60 | 679.00 | -13.24% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 161.66% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| PANW | 26.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 49.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 53.8% | 51.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PANW Return | 54% | 57% | -25% | 111% | 23% | 4% | 392% |
| Peers Return | 146% | 60% | -39% | 66% | 22% | 22% | 487% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PANW Win Rate | 58% | 83% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 72% | 33% | 67% | 60% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PANW Max Drawdown | -43% | -11% | -26% | -4% | -11% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -10% | -45% | -9% | -12% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTNT, CRWD, ZS, CSCO, MSFT. See PANW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PANW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 120 days |
Compare to CSCO, CRSR, MITK, AGPU, AIXC
In The Past
Palo Alto Networks's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.
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- The Microsoft of enterprise cybersecurity.
- The Cisco of next-generation security.
- The Salesforce of cybersecurity platforms.
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- Next-Generation Firewalls (NGFWs): These are network security appliances (physical or virtual) that provide advanced threat prevention and control over network traffic.
- Prisma Cloud: A comprehensive cloud-native security platform that secures applications across the entire development lifecycle, from code to cloud. (Category: Cloud Security Service)
- Cortex XDR: An extended detection and response platform that integrates endpoint, network, and cloud data to stop sophisticated attacks. (Category: Security Operations Service)
- Cortex XSOAR: A security orchestration, automation, and response platform that automates security operations and incident response workflows. (Category: Security Operations Service)
- WildFire: A cloud-based threat intelligence service that analyzes unknown files and URLs to identify and prevent zero-day exploits. (Category: Threat Intelligence Service)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Palo Alto Networks (symbol: PANW) primarily sells its cybersecurity products and services to other companies and organizations, operating on a Business-to-Business (B2B) model. Due to the nature of its cybersecurity business, its extensive global reach, and a broad, diversified customer base, Palo Alto Networks does not publicly disclose the specific names of its individual major end-user customer companies.
Instead, its major customers span a wide range of industries and sectors globally. These can be broadly categorized as:
- Large Enterprises: This segment includes multinational corporations and large organizations across virtually all industries, such as financial services, healthcare, technology, manufacturing, energy, and retail. These companies leverage Palo Alto Networks' comprehensive security platforms to protect their complex networks, cloud environments, and endpoints from sophisticated cyber threats.
- Government Agencies: Palo Alto Networks serves various government entities at federal, state, and local levels, including defense organizations, intelligence agencies, and public sector institutions that require robust and highly secure infrastructure to protect sensitive data and critical operations.
- Service Providers: This category includes telecommunications companies, cloud service providers, and Managed Security Service Providers (MSSPs). These providers either utilize Palo Alto Networks' technologies to secure their own critical infrastructure or integrate them into their offerings to provide advanced security services to their own clients.
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- Amazon Web Services (AMZN)
- Microsoft Azure (MSFT)
- Google Cloud Platform (GOOGL)
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Nikesh Arora
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Nikesh Arora became Chairman and CEO of Palo Alto Networks in June 2018. Before joining Palo Alto Networks, he served as president and chief operating officer of SoftBank Group Corp. Prior to SoftBank, he spent a decade at Google, Inc., where he was a senior executive, holding roles such as Chief Business Officer and Senior Vice President, responsible for global sales and operations. Arora also founded T-Motion PLC, which later merged with T-Mobile International. He has served on the boards of various companies, including Uber Technologies, Inc., Compagnie Financière Richemont S.A., SoftBank Group Corp., and Yahoo! Japan.
Dipak Golechha
Chief Financial Officer
Dipak Golechha joined Palo Alto Networks in December 2020 as Senior Vice President of Finance and was appointed Chief Financial Officer in March 2021. He brings extensive finance leadership experience, having spent 18 years at Procter & Gamble in various global finance and operating capacities, including divisional CFO and chief operating officer. Golechha also held CFO roles at Chobani and The Nature's Bounty Company. Notably, he served as CEO of Excelligence Learning Corp, a privately held tech-enabled education company, for four years.
BJ Jenkins
President
BJ Jenkins joined Palo Alto Networks as President in August 2021. Before this role, he served as President and CEO of Barracuda Networks from 2012 to 2021, where he oversaw the company's IPO on the New York Stock Exchange and several strategic acquisitions. During his tenure, Barracuda Networks was acquired by the private equity firm Thoma Bravo in 2017. Earlier in his career, Jenkins held multiple leadership positions at EMC, including president of its Backup Recovery Systems (BRS) Division. He has also served on the boards of Apgee Corporation (acquired by Google, Inc.) and Nimble Storage, Inc. (acquired by HPE).
Lee Klarich
Chief Product and Technology Officer
Lee Klarich has been instrumental at Palo Alto Networks since the early inception of its products in 2006, leading product management and overseeing the company's product strategy and roadmap. He became Chief Product and Technology Officer in August 2025 and also joined the Palo Alto Networks Board of Directors. Prior to his time at Palo Alto Networks, he was the director of product management for Juniper Networks, a position he gained through the acquisition of NetScreen Technologies. He also held various roles at Excite@Home and Packard Bell-NEC.
Karim Temsamani
President, Next Generation Security
Karim Temsamani joined Palo Alto Networks in September 2024 as President, Next Generation Security. In this role, he leads global sales and go-to-market programs for the company's cloud security, security operations, and network security platforms. Previously, Temsamani served as CEO of Cardlytics, a digital advertising platform. He also led product and engineering for Stripe's banking and financial products and held leadership positions at T-Mobile International, including chief marketing officer. He was also the CEO and founder of T-Motion PLC, which merged with T-Mobile International in 2002.
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Key Risks to Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
Palo Alto Networks, a prominent cybersecurity company, faces several key risks that could impact its business performance. These risks primarily stem from the highly dynamic and competitive nature of the cybersecurity industry, its growth strategy involving acquisitions, and operational challenges related to its product supply chain.1. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure
The cybersecurity landscape is characterized by intense competition from a wide array of players, including established vendors like Fortinet, Cisco, and Check Point Software Technologies, as well as rapidly expanding cloud-native competitors such as CrowdStrike, Zscaler, and Wiz. This competitive environment can exert pressure on Palo Alto Networks' growth and profit margins. Furthermore, some critics suggest that Palo Alto Networks' solutions are priced at a premium, which might limit their accessibility for smaller organizations and contribute to pricing challenges.2. Integration Risks from Acquisitions
Palo Alto Networks has a history of strategic acquisitions, completing 21 throughout its lifecycle to expand its market share and product offerings. While this strategy allows the company to integrate best-in-class products, it also introduces risks associated with successfully integrating these acquired companies and their diverse tools. Challenges in integrating these entities can lead to complex offerings that some potential customers might find difficult to navigate. Recent reports also highlight execution risks tied to specific acquisitions, such as the announced agreement to acquire CyberArk.3. Supply Chain and Inventory Management Risks
Palo Alto Networks' business model relies significantly on product sales, making effective inventory management and a stable supply of product components crucial. The complexity of managing its supply chain means that any insufficiency in supply could result in lost sales opportunities or delayed revenue. Conversely, maintaining excessive inventory levels could negatively affect the company's gross margins. The company is also exposed to supply shortage risks due to its reliance on limited sources for key components, as evidenced by past disruptions such as the global semiconductor shortage.AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing maturity and breadth of native cloud security services offered by hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., AWS Security Hub, AWS GuardDuty, Microsoft Defender for Cloud, Azure Sentinel, Google Cloud Security Command Center). As these platforms enhance their security capabilities and integrate them more deeply into their infrastructure, enterprises may increasingly rely on these native tools for foundational and even advanced cloud security, potentially reducing the need for third-party cloud security platforms like Palo Alto Networks' Prisma Cloud for certain use cases or for customers heavily invested in a single cloud provider. This trend could exert pressure on the growth and market share of independent cloud security vendors.
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Palo Alto Networks (PANW) operates within a significant and expanding global cybersecurity market.
The company's total addressable market (TAM) for its core security segments is estimated at $110 billion, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14%. A broader cybersecurity landscape, as estimated by McKinsey, suggests a total addressable market of $1.5 trillion to $2.0 trillion globally.
Palo Alto Networks focuses on three main market segments: Network Security, Cloud Security, and Security Operations. Within the Network Security segment, the overall total addressable market grew at a 9% CAGR from 2021 to 2024. More specifically, the software firewalls segment within Network Security saw a 13% CAGR, while the Secure Access Service Edge (SASE) segment experienced a notable 36% CAGR during the same period. The total network security market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.8% from 2024 to 2029, with firewall growth specifically forecasted at a 5.0% CAGR.
Palo Alto Networks serves customers in over 150 countries, with primary markets segmented across the Americas, EMEA (Europe, the Middle East, and Africa), and JAPAC (Japan and Asia Pacific).
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Palo Alto Networks (PANW)
- Platformization Strategy: Palo Alto Networks' strategy to consolidate security spending through its comprehensive cybersecurity platform is a significant driver. This approach leads to increased adoption of multiple products across its three main platforms (network security, cloud security, and security operations), resulting in higher average annual recurring revenue (ARR) per platformized customer. The company reported over 90 new platformizations in Q4 2024, bringing the total to over 1,000 among its largest customers. CEO Nikesh Arora noted in Q1 2025 that platformization is a "game changer that will solve security and enable better AI outcomes" and is expected to be a multi-year trend.
- Growth in Next-Generation Security (NGS) Offerings: The expansion and adoption of Next-Generation Security (NGS) products and services, including software firewalls, Secure Access Service Edge (SASE), and AI-powered solutions, are key revenue drivers. NGS ARR grew 43% year-over-year in Q4 2024 to $4.22 billion, and 40% year-over-year to $4.5 billion in Q1 2025. Specific growth drivers highlighted in Q4 2025 included software firewalls, SASE, and XIAM, with AI ARR growing over two and a half times year over year. The company forecasts NGS ARR to be between $4.70 billion and $4.75 billion for Q2 2025, representing a 35% to 36% increase year-over-year.
- Expansion of Cloud Security (Prisma Cloud) and AI-Driven Solutions: Palo Alto Networks continues to enhance its cloud security capabilities with new modules for Prisma Cloud, maintaining its leadership in this competitive sector. The rapid adoption of AI and public cloud services presents substantial opportunities for the company to secure new and existing revenue streams. AI ARR specifically reached approximately $545 million in Q4 2025, indicating strong growth in AI-driven security solutions.
- International Market Expansion and Advanced Subscription Services: The company has demonstrated double-digit revenue growth across all its geographic theaters, including the Americas, EMEA, and JAPAC. This international expansion, coupled with the continuous delivery of new innovations and the adoption of advanced subscription services and add-on modules within SASE (such as Autonomous Digital Experience Management or ADEM, and Cloud Access Security Broker or CASB), further fuels revenue growth by expanding existing platformized deployments.
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Share Repurchases
- Palo Alto Networks' board of directors authorized an additional $500 million for share repurchases in August 2024, increasing the total authorization to $1 billion, set to expire on December 31, 2025.
- Prior authorizations included increases in December 2020, August 2021, August 2022, November 2023, and August 2024, accumulating to a total authorization of $4.1 billion, with the expiration date extended to December 31, 2025.
- Annual share repurchases were approximately $1.178 billion in fiscal year 2021, $892.3 million in fiscal year 2022, $272.7 million in fiscal year 2023, and $566.7 million in fiscal year 2024.
Share Issuance
- In November 2024, a two-for-one forward stock split was approved, effective December 2024, which also proportionately increased the number of authorized common shares from 1.0 billion to 2.0 billion.
- At the December 2024 Annual Meeting, shareholders approved an increase of 3 million shares to the 2021 Equity Incentive Plan.
- Shares outstanding have shown an increasing trend, from approximately 0.685 billion in 2023 to 0.708 billion in 2024, and 0.709 billion in 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Palo Alto Networks completed the acquisition of CyberArk for approximately $25 billion in July 2025, marking a significant entry into identity security.
- The company acquired Protect AI for an estimated $500 million to $700 million, with the acquisition completed in July 2025, to secure AI applications and models.
- Other strategic acquisitions between 2021 and 2024 include Bridgecrew (February 2021, $156 million), Cider Security (November 2022, $300 million), Dig Security (October 2023, $400 million), Talon Cyber Security (November 2023, $625 million or $600 million), and IBM's QRadar SaaS Assets (September 2024, approximately $1.14 billion).
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Palo Alto Networks were $116 million in fiscal year 2021, $192.8 million in fiscal year 2022, $146.3 million in fiscal year 2023, $156.8 million in fiscal year 2024, and peaked at $246.2 million in fiscal year 2025.
- Capital expenditures are generally focused on investments in physical assets like property, industrial buildings, or equipment.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to PANW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.2% | 16.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11302022 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 25.6% | 73.7% | -21.0% |
| 02292020 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 37.9% | 94.1% | -28.2% |
| 05312019 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 13.5% | 17.6% | -33.8% |
| 07312017 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 18.9% | 50.4% | -3.1% |
| 12312016 | PANW | Palo Alto Networks | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.0% | 15.9% | -13.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons for Palo Alto Networks
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 208.72 |
| Mkt Cap | 124.0 |
| Rev LTM | 8,056 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,649 |
| FCF LTM | 2,860 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,575 |
| CFO LTM | 3,212 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,830 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 37.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 124.0 |
| P/S | 12.6 |
| P/EBIT | 24.6 |
| P/E | 31.2 |
| P/CFO | 28.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.7% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 109.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 22.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $188.12 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 126.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/20/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -15.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $201.53 | $192.16 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.7% | -2.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 28.2% | 34.9% |
| Downside Capture | 179.01 | 132.86 |
| Upside Capture | 111.44 | 112.72 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 61.4% | 63.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.46 | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.12 | 1.16 | 1.19 |
| Up Beta | 1.36 | 1.38 | 1.18 | 1.04 | 1.20 | 1.21 |
| Down Beta | 3.17 | 1.41 | 1.53 | 0.77 | 1.02 | 1.37 |
| Up Capture | -16% | 94% | 110% | 97% | 120% | 141% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 20 | 34 | 66 | 135 | 414 |
| Down Capture | 200% | 172% | 155% | 153% | 118% | 101% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 27 | 57 | 111 | 334 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of PANW With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANW | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -0.3% | 26.5% | 18.8% | 72.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | -11.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 34.8% | 27.6% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.04 | 0.83 | 0.76 | 2.72 | 0.36 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 64.6% | 63.4% | 8.7% | 24.1% | 39.9% | 25.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of PANW With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANW | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 28.9% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 35.5% |
| Annualized Volatility | 40.5% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 53.2% | 50.3% | 2.7% | 10.6% | 27.4% | 22.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of PANW With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PANW | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 19.8% | 22.4% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 69.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 38.8% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.59 | 0.85 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 52.5% | 49.7% | 1.6% | 16.4% | 29.5% | 15.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/19/2025 | -7.4% | -7.3% | -5.2% |
| 8/18/2025 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 15.3% |
| 5/20/2025 | -6.8% | -3.4% | 2.4% |
| 2/13/2025 | -0.9% | -5.4% | -8.4% |
| 11/20/2024 | 1.2% | -2.2% | -4.9% |
| 8/19/2024 | 7.2% | 1.1% | -4.0% |
| 5/20/2024 | -3.7% | -4.9% | -3.9% |
| 2/20/2024 | -28.4% | -14.0% | -23.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.4% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -5.1% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 18.6% | 23.1% | 28.6% |
| Max Negative | -28.4% | -20.2% | -32.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 11202025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5212025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2142025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11212024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9062024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5212024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 2212024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11172023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 5242023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 2222023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11182022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9062022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5202022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 2232022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Paul Josh D. | Chief Accounting Officer | 10022025 | Sell | 202.16 | 700 | 141,512 | 6,564,944 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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