Tearsheet

Palo Alto Networks (PANW)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $187.0 | Market Cap: $127.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Palo Alto Networks (PANW)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $187.0
Market Cap: $127.0 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 77x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
3   Key risks
PANW key risks include [1] its premium pricing model, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.7 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Cloud Computing, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -23%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 77x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 114x
5 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.3%
7 Key risks
PANW key risks include [1] its premium pricing model, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PANW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide specific key points for a -1.9% stock movement for Palo Alto Networks (PANW) between August 31, 2025, and December 20, 2025, as this period is in the future. However, based on recent information and analyst insights, here are potential factors that could influence PANW's stock performance:

1. Analyst Downgrades and Valuation Concerns: Recent analyst downgrades, such as HSBC's reduction to "Reduce" in November 2025, have cited high valuation as a primary concern. The stock has been trading at a significantly higher price-to-earnings ratio compared to the sector median, leading to a perceived limited scope for further estimate upgrades in fiscal years 2026-2027.

2. Decelerating Revenue Growth Projections: Despite strong quarterly financial results, some analysts project a deceleration in Palo Alto Networks' revenue growth. There are concerns that platformization and new projects might not reverse this overarching long-term trend, and that the market may be pricing in growth acceleration that analysts do not foresee.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PANW Return54%57%-25%111%23%2%382%
Peers Return146%60%-39%66%22%20%481%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PANW Win Rate58%83%42%58%58%67% 
Peers Win Rate62%72%33%67%60%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PANW Max Drawdown-43%-11%-26%-4%-11%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-10%-45%-9%-12%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTNT, CRWD, ZS, CSCO, MSFT. See PANW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPANWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven124 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days120 days

Compare to CSCO, CRSR, MITK, AGPU, AIXC


In The Past

Palo Alto Networks's stock fell -36.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -36.0% loss requires a 56.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

Better Bets than Palo Alto Networks (PANW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PANW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
PANW_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
25.6%73.7%-21.0%
PANW_2292020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02292020PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
37.9%94.1%-28.2%
PANW_5312019_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312019PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.5%17.6%-33.8%
PANW_7312017_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312017PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.9%50.4%-3.1%
PANW_12312016_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312016PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.0%15.9%-13.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
PANW_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
25.6%73.7%-21.0%
PANW_2292020_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02292020PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
37.9%94.1%-28.2%
PANW_5312019_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312019PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.5%17.6%-33.8%
PANW_7312017_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312017PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
18.9%50.4%-3.1%
PANW_12312016_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312016PANWPalo Alto NetworksMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.0%15.9%-13.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Palo Alto Networks

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PANWFTNTCRWDZSCSCOMSFTMedian
NamePalo Alt.Fortinet CrowdStr.Zscaler Cisco Sy.Microsoft 
Mkt Price186.8880.24481.28232.5578.42485.92209.72
Mkt Cap126.960.6121.036.9310.23,611.8123.9
Rev LTM9,5576,5554,5652,83357,696293,8128,056
Op Inc LTM1,2652,033-392-13312,991135,9371,649
FCF LTM3,6912,0281,10484812,73378,0172,860
FCF 3Y Avg3,2311,9191,02365413,87971,3022,575
CFO LTM3,9772,4481,4601,08913,744147,0393,212
CFO 3Y Avg3,4282,2311,31284514,736121,3842,830

Growth & Margins

PANWFTNTCRWDZSCSCOMSFTMedian
NamePalo Alt.Fortinet CrowdStr.Zscaler Cisco Sy.Microsoft 
Rev Chg LTM15.3%14.8%22.0%23.2%8.9%15.6%15.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg18.1%17.1%31.1%32.9%3.7%13.2%17.6%
Rev Chg Q15.7%14.4%22.2%25.5%7.5%18.4%17.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%3.4%5.2%6.0%1.8%4.3%4.0%
Op Mgn LTM13.2%31.0%-8.6%-4.7%22.5%46.3%17.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.2%27.6%-4.0%-7.1%24.2%44.6%17.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.4%0.6%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM41.6%37.3%32.0%38.5%23.8%50.0%37.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg41.1%38.6%35.8%36.4%26.1%47.2%37.5%
FCF/Rev LTM38.6%30.9%24.2%29.9%22.1%26.6%28.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg38.8%33.3%28.0%28.2%24.6%28.0%28.1%

Valuation

PANWFTNTCRWDZSCSCOMSFTMedian
NamePalo Alt.Fortinet CrowdStr.Zscaler Cisco Sy.Microsoft 
Mkt Cap126.960.6121.036.9310.23,611.8123.9
P/S13.39.226.513.05.412.312.7
P/EBIT77.426.7-592.5-1,939.122.627.724.6
P/E113.632.4-385.0-898.630.034.431.2
P/CFO31.924.882.833.922.624.628.3
Total Yield0.9%3.1%-0.3%-0.1%5.4%3.6%2.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.1%0.7%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.1%3.5%1.6%2.1%6.0%2.3%2.7%
D/E0.00.00.00.00.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

PANWFTNTCRWDZSCSCOMSFTMedian
NamePalo Alt.Fortinet CrowdStr.Zscaler Cisco Sy.Microsoft 
1M Rtn-6.5%0.6%-7.6%-20.3%0.0%-0.2%-3.4%
3M Rtn-10.2%-4.7%-4.2%-21.0%15.7%-6.0%-5.4%
6M Rtn-6.2%-19.6%1.0%-23.2%19.7%2.1%-2.6%
12M Rtn-1.3%-15.4%37.1%26.9%39.6%12.0%19.5%
3Y Rtn150.4%59.0%338.2%104.8%80.7%105.8%105.3%
1M Excs Rtn-9.4%-2.3%-10.4%-23.2%-2.9%-3.1%-6.3%
3M Excs Rtn-12.3%-7.7%-4.5%-22.3%14.3%-7.5%-7.6%
6M Excs Rtn-21.5%-35.6%-15.6%-38.5%4.4%-13.1%-18.5%
12M Excs Rtn-20.1%-30.8%14.9%3.1%24.5%-5.2%-1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn62.2%-23.2%228.1%17.8%2.6%22.4%20.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Subscription4,1883,3352,5391,8991,405
Support2,2361,9791,5991,237939
Product1,6031,5781,3631,1201,064
Total8,0286,8935,5024,2563,408


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity44,633,987
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.5%
Average Daily Volume8,245,992
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.41
Basic Shares Quantity679,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/19/2025-7.4%-7.3% 
8/18/20253.1%4.8%15.3%
5/20/2025-6.8%-3.4%2.4%
2/13/2025-0.9%-5.4%-8.4%
11/20/20241.2%-2.2%-4.9%
8/19/20247.2%1.1%-4.0%
5/20/2024-3.7%-4.9%-3.9%
2/20/2024-28.4%-14.0%-23.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151514
# Negative101011
Median Positive7.2%10.0%14.4%
Median Negative-6.1%-5.1%-7.5%
Max Positive18.6%23.1%28.6%
Max Negative-28.4%-20.2%-32.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251120202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025829202510-K 7/31/2025
4302025521202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025214202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241121202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024906202410-K 7/31/2024
4302024521202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024221202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231117202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023901202310-K 7/31/2023
4302023524202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023222202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221118202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022906202210-K 7/31/2022
4302022520202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022223202210-Q 1/31/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Paul Josh D.Chief Accounting Officer10022025Sell202.16700141,5126,564,944Form