OS Therapies (OSTX)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $1.51 | Market Cap: $48.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
OS Therapies (OSTX)
Market Price (12/29/2025): $1.51Market Cap: $48.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% | ||
| Key risksOSTX key risks include [1] uncertainty over the final regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Oncology Treatments, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -86%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 101% |
| Key risksOSTX key risks include [1] uncertainty over the final regulatory approval of its lead candidate, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Increased Operating Losses in the Third Quarter of 2025.
OS Therapies reported a significant increase in its net operating loss for the third quarter of 2025, reaching $6.879 million, compared to $2.875 million in the third quarter of 2024. This increase was largely attributed to pre-paying expenses for U.S. and international regulatory activities, as well as required pre-commercial efforts for the OST-HER2 program.
2. Delayed Commercial Launch of OST-HER2 to 2027.
The company secured $7.8 million through a warrant exercise inducement, which extended its capital runway into late 2026. However, this was coupled with a strategic decision to delay the anticipated commercial launch of OST-HER2 to 2027. Stonegate Capital Partners, in an update in November 2025, also noted that commercial OST-HER2 revenues are not expected until early 2027.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.3% change in OSTX stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -27.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.05 | 1.51 | -26.34% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25.11 | 31.96 | -27.24% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OSTX | -26.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 49.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 15.2% | 16.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.9% change in OSTX stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -50.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.84 | 1.51 | -17.93% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21.25 | 31.96 | -50.39% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OSTX | -17.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 32.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 17.0% | 23.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -70.7% change in OSTX stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -433.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 12282024 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.16 | 1.51 | -70.74% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0.00 | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5.99 | 31.96 | -433.41% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OSTX | -70.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 17.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.8% | 12.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OSTX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 12.2% |
| Sector (XLV) | 17.8% | 9.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OSTX Return | - | - | - | - | 71% | -64% | -39% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OSTX Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 40% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OSTX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -31% | -74% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
OSTX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe OS Therapies (OSTX):- Like **BioNTech**, but specialized in developing 'off-the-shelf' T-cell immunotherapies for difficult solid tumors, initially focusing on rare bone cancers.
- Think of it like an early-stage **Genentech** that's entirely focused on developing advanced HER2-targeted therapies, including T-cells and antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), for tough-to-treat solid tumors, especially rare bone cancers.
- Similar to **Allogene Therapeutics** or **Caribou Biosciences**, but intensely focused on developing 'off-the-shelf' T-cell immunotherapies specifically for solid tumors and rare cancers like osteosarcoma.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- OST-HER2: A therapeutic vaccine designed to treat HER2-positive osteosarcoma by stimulating the immune system to recognize and attack cancer cells.
- OST-Targ/DOX: A targeted prodrug that delivers the chemotherapy agent doxorubicin directly to osteosarcoma and other folate receptor-positive cancer cells, aiming to reduce systemic toxicity.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlOS Therapies (OSTX)
OS Therapies (OSTX) is a clinical-stage oncology company focused on the development of new treatments for osteosarcoma and other cancers. As a company in the research and development phase, actively conducting clinical trials, it does not yet have commercialized products on the market.
Therefore, OS Therapies does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense, as it is not generating significant revenue from product sales to other companies or individuals. Its primary activities involve R&D, clinical trial execution, and seeking regulatory approval for its investigational therapies.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
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Paul Romness, Chair, President, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Mr. Romness is the Founder of OS Therapies Inc.. He has over 25 years of experience in the biopharmaceutical industry, serving in various functions within major companies such as Johnson & Johnson, Amgen, and Boehringer Ingelheim. He has been directly involved in the launch of nine major products across indications like oncology, surgery, HIV, and cardiovascular diseases. Mr. Romness holds a B.S. in Finance from American University and a Masters of Health Policy from George Washington University Medical Center.
Christopher Acevedo, Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer
Mr. Acevedo has been the CFO of OS Therapies Inc. since July 2023, after serving as lead accountant and interim CFO since June 2020. He founded his first business at 17 and has operated a successful CPA firm since 2010, which also manages OS Therapies' accounting. He has previously held CFO roles at five companies with revenues ranging from $10 million to $50 million, and possesses expertise in M&A, finance, IT, HR, and taxation. He is a CPA with certifications in Delaware, Maryland, and Pennsylvania, and earned an M.B.A. and B.S. in Accounting from the University of Delaware.
Dr. Robert G. Petit, Chief Medical Officer & Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Petit is a seasoned biopharma executive and medical scientist, and a founding scientist for OST-HER2. He has held C-Suite roles in biotech, oncology, immunology, and infectious disease, excelling in corporate strategy, clinical and scientific development, and regulatory affairs.
Gerald Commissiong, Chief Business Officer
Mr. Commissiong is a healthcare executive with over 15 years in C-Suite roles, leading growth in therapeutics, diagnostics, and natural products. He has raised over $70 million in capital and holds a B.S. from Stanford.
Jack Doll, Chief of Staff
Mr. Doll, a Biomaterials and Engineering graduate, specializes in electron microscopy and nanoparticle research for cancer treatment. He assists Dr. Petit with the Osteosarcoma Phase IIb Clinical Trial and Tunable Drug Conjugate toxicology.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to OS Therapies (OSTX):- Regulatory Approval and Clinical Trial Success: OS Therapies' primary business hinges on the successful development and regulatory approval of its lead immunotherapy candidate, OST-HER2. While the company has reported positive Phase 2b clinical trial data and received Fast-Track, Orphan Drug, and Rare Pediatric Disease Designations from the FDA, there is no guarantee that OST-HER2 will receive full regulatory approval or achieve commercial success. Further clinical trials, such as a randomized confirmatory study, may be required for full approval, and any negative results could significantly impact the company. Additionally, the general track record of Listeria-based immunotherapies, from which OST-HER2 originated, has not been consistently successful, which could weigh on market sentiment. The company's eligibility for a Priority Review Voucher, a potential non-dilutive source of capital, is also contingent on approval by September 2026.
- Financial Health and Funding: OS Therapies operates with minimal to no revenue and has a limited cash runway. The company has negative shareholders' equity and has seen increased operating losses due to expenses related to regulatory preparations and pre-commercial activities for OST-HER2. While recent financing has extended its cash runway into mid-to-late 2026, the company remains poorly capitalized and is reliant on future funding through potential equity raises, debt financing, or partnerships, which could occur from a position of weakness.
- Stock Volatility and Market Perception: As a micro-cap clinical-stage biotechnology company, OSTX experiences high stock volatility and is considered a high-risk investment, particularly for conservative investors. The company's stock price has shown extreme daily swings. Market skepticism regarding its prospects, influenced by the historical performance of similar therapeutic platforms, contributes to this volatility and uncertainty in market valuation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
OS Therapies (OSTX) has several main products and services in development, each targeting different addressable markets:
- OST-HER2 for Human Osteosarcoma: The total addressable market for human osteosarcoma is estimated at $1.72 billion. Another estimate places the osteosarcoma treatment market at $1.2 billion in 2022. Although the region is not explicitly stated for these figures, OS Therapies conducts its clinical trials for OST-HER2 in osteosarcoma across the United States, suggesting these market sizes are primarily focused on the U.S. or significantly influenced by the U.S. market.
- OST-HER2 for Prevention of Lung Metastases in Osteosarcoma: The market opportunity for OST-HER2 specifically in the prevention of lung metastases is estimated to be over $500 million. The region for this market size is not explicitly stated, but based on the company's operations, it is likely primarily the U.S. market.
- OST-HER2 (Mechanism of Action for Multiple Cancers): The broader addressable market for the mechanism through which OST-HER2 works, applicable to multiple solid tumors beyond osteosarcoma, is estimated to be over $250 billion globally.
- OST-tADC (Tunable Antibody Drug Conjugate platform): This platform is part of the larger Antibody Drug Conjugate (ADC) market. The global market for ADCs is anticipated to reach $19.8 billion by 2028. OST-tADC is designed to address challenging cancers such as ovarian, breast, and gastric tumors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
OS Therapies (NYSE American: OSTX) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with its primary focus on developing treatments for osteosarcoma and other solid tumors. The company's future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years is anticipated to be driven by the following key factors:
- Regulatory Approval and Commercialization of OST-HER2 for Osteosarcoma: The most significant driver of future revenue growth is the potential approval and subsequent commercial launch of OST-HER2, its lead immunotherapy asset for osteosarcoma. OS Therapies reported positive data from its Phase 2b clinical trial of OST-HER2 in recurrent, fully resected, lung metastatic osteosarcoma, demonstrating a statistically significant benefit in the 12-month event-free survival (EFS) primary endpoint. The company anticipates submitting a Biologics Licensing Application (BLA) to the U.S. FDA for OST-HER2 in osteosarcoma in 2025. Successful approval would open a new market for the company's first commercial product.
- Monetization of Priority Review Voucher (PRV): Upon successful FDA approval of OST-HER2, which has received Rare Pediatric Disease Designation (RPDD), OS Therapies would become eligible to receive a Priority Review Voucher (PRV). The company could then sell this voucher, providing a significant non-product revenue stream that can be used to fund further development and commercialization efforts. This funding is expected to support operations into mid-2026, past the priority review voucher sunset date of September 30, 2026.
- Advancement and Potential Commercialization of OST-504 for Prostate Cancer: OS Therapies has completed the treatment phase of its Phase 1b clinical trial for OST-504 in prostate cancer. While the immediate focus is on OST-HER2, the company is analyzing the data from OST-504 to determine future development strategies. Successful progression through clinical trials and potential future commercialization of OST-504 would expand the company's product portfolio and address another substantial market, contributing to longer-term revenue growth.
- Expansion into Additional Indications for OST-HER2: Beyond osteosarcoma, OST-HER2 has completed a Phase 1 clinical study primarily in breast cancer patients and has shown preclinical efficacy data in various models of breast cancer. The company also mentions its focus on osteosarcoma and "other solid tumors". If approved for osteosarcoma, further clinical development and regulatory approvals for OST-HER2 in other HER2-expressing solid tumors, such as breast cancer, could significantly broaden its market reach and revenue potential.
- Partnerships and Licensing Agreements: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, OS Therapies may explore strategic partnerships or licensing agreements for its pipeline assets. Such collaborations could provide upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future sales, contributing to revenue growth without the full burden of direct commercialization, especially in new geographic markets or for indications outside its core focus.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- OS Therapies (OSTX) completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on August 1, 2024, issuing 1,600,000 shares of common stock at $4.00 per share.
- The company priced a $6 million private placement on December 24, 2024.
Inbound Investments
- The company raised gross proceeds of $6.4 million from its Initial Public Offering (IPO) in August 2024.
- OS Therapies received a $6 million inbound investment through a private placement in December 2024.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to OSTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
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| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for OS Therapies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.51 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/01/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -70.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.78 | $2.39 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -15.2% | -36.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 56.9% | 95.4% |
| Downside Capture | 368.50 | 173.55 |
| Upside Capture | 149.76 | 24.27 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 47.7% | 17.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.30 | 1.81 | 1.77 | 1.75 | 0.86 | -0.33 |
| Up Beta | 2.84 | 1.71 | 2.25 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 1.90 |
| Down Beta | 1.98 | 1.55 | 1.80 | 2.03 | 1.71 | 0.19 |
| Up Capture | 231% | 144% | 51% | 243% | 86% | 12% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 28 | 63 | 122 | 157 |
| Down Capture | 212% | 216% | 228% | 207% | 114% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 18 | 30 | 54 | 113 | 160 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullEarnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/19/2025 | -1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| 3/31/2025 | -13.6% | -7.1% | 31.8% |
| 11/15/2024 | -6.4% | -11.3% | 114.1% |
| 8/15/2024 | -1.7% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| # Negative | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 7.0% | 16.4% | |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -9.2% | |
| Max Positive | 13.6% | 114.1% | |
| Max Negative | -13.6% | -11.3% | |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/18/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/15/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 424B4 (03/31/2024) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/22/2023 | S-1/A (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | S-1 (12/31/2022) |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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