Tearsheet

Puma Biotechnology (PBYI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.575 | Market Cap: $280.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Puma Biotechnology (PBYI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.575
Market Cap: $280.6 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.7%, FCF Yield is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -32%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  Key risks
PBYI key risks include [1] heavy reliance on its single product, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.7%, FCF Yield is 16%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -32%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 100%
7 Key risks
PBYI key risks include [1] heavy reliance on its single product, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PBYI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the stock movement for Puma Biotechnology (PBYI) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong financial results announced in late August 2025 fueled a significant rally.

Puma Biotechnology's stock experienced a substantial rally of 29.6% in the three months leading up to September 15, 2025, primarily driven by better-than-expected financial results announced in August 2025. These results likely pertain to the company's second-quarter performance, exceeding market expectations and instilling investor confidence. 2. Improving sales of the company's primary product, Nerlynx, contributed to positive momentum.

Sales of Nerlynx, Puma Biotechnology's sole marketed product for breast cancer treatment, showed improvement, increasing by 9% year-over-year in the first six months of 2025. The company anticipated continued demand-driven growth for Nerlynx in the latter half of 2025, further supporting the stock's upward trajectory.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PBYI Return17%-70%39%2%-30%86%-35%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PBYI Win Rate42%33%33%58%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PBYI Max Drawdown-28%-72%-46%-48%-48%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPBYIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven730.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-95.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1937.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Puma Biotechnology's stock fell -88.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -88.0% loss requires a 730.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Puma Biotechnology (PBYI)

Better Bets than Puma Biotechnology (PBYI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PBYI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Puma Biotechnology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PBYIVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NamePuma Bio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price5.58449.522.850.9811.4315.928.50
Mkt Cap0.3114.9--0.5-0.5
Rev LTM21211,7230-01313
Op Inc LTM34-92-7--124-73-73
FCF LTM433,337-7--87-78-7
FCF 3Y Avg292,064-8---29
CFO LTM433,718-7--87-78-7
CFO 3Y Avg342,419-8---34

Growth & Margins

PBYIVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NamePuma Bio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-13.0%10.3%-----1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.5%10.5%----5.0%
Rev Chg Q-32.4%11.0%-----10.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-10.9%2.7%---333.3%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%-0.8%----560.1%-0.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.9%26.2%----20.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.5%1.0%---1,973.2%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM20.3%31.7%----602.0%20.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.9%23.1%----19.0%
FCF/Rev LTM20.2%28.5%----602.0%20.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.0%19.8%----16.4%

Valuation

PBYIVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NamePuma Bio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.3114.9--0.5-0.5
P/S1.38.5----4.9
P/EBIT6.822.4----14.6
P/E7.227.2---4.4-7.2
P/CFO6.226.9---5.8-6.2
Total Yield13.8%3.7%---22.8%-3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.4%2.3%----9.9%
D/E0.20.0----0.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.0-----0.1

Returns

PBYIVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NamePuma Bio.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn12.5%3.6%-9.5%-16.8%-18.1%3.6%
3M Rtn28.6%16.1%--5.9%-16.1%
6M Rtn64.1%0.2%----32.2%
12M Rtn91.1%-4.2%----43.4%
3Y Rtn13.9%47.5%----30.7%
1M Excs Rtn11.8%2.8%-8.8%-17.5%-18.9%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn22.1%14.8%--4.3%-14.8%
6M Excs Rtn51.7%-12.1%----19.8%
12M Excs Rtn82.7%-14.1%----34.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-40.7%-25.4%-----33.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Development and commercialization of innovative products to enhance cancer care236    
License revenue 0522360
Product revenue, net 200189197212
Royalty revenue 281260
Total236228253225272


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,411,205
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.4%
Average Daily Volume405,135
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.42
Basic Shares Quantity50,339,456
Short % of Basic Shares6.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/202522.2%1.0%12.7%
8/7/202512.2%61.7%38.6%
5/8/2025-5.2%6.8%17.3%
2/27/202519.7%20.9%5.0%
11/7/2024-5.0%-1.3%-3.6%
8/1/20249.4%9.4%-28.6%
2/29/2024-5.3%-7.6%-15.1%
11/2/202311.6%32.9%52.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121512
# Negative969
Median Positive11.9%9.4%18.2%
Median Negative-5.3%-17.9%-21.1%
Max Positive26.6%61.7%101.4%
Max Negative-37.2%-45.2%-53.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021303202210-K 12/31/2021