Syntec Optics (OPTX)
Market Price (1/29/2026): $5.96 | Market Cap: $220.0 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Electronic Components
Syntec Optics (OPTX)
Market Price (1/29/2026): $5.96Market Cap: $220.0 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Electronic Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -115% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 169x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 185%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 157% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 297% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 128% | ||
| Key risksOPTX key risks include [1] significant financial strain from operating losses, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -115% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -2.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.1% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 169x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 185%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 157% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 297% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.5% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 128% |
| Key risksOPTX key risks include [1] significant financial strain from operating losses, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Syntec Optics (OPTX) stock has gained about 285% since 9/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Expanding Footprint and Significant Contract Wins in Defense and Space Optics. Syntec Optics significantly bolstered its position in critical defense and aerospace sectors through a series of key contract announcements. This included a new $1.9 million order for Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite optics in December 2025, with management projecting a nearly threefold increase in deliveries for this product line in 2026, building on over $2.6 million in space optics shipped in 2025. Additionally, the company secured orders to manufacture advanced optics for U.S. soldiers' next-generation Augmented Reality (AR) systems in mid-December 2025, followed by another ballistic optics order in early January 2026 for AI-powered AR headsets within a major U.S. military program. These contracts demonstrate a growing demand for Syntec Optics' specialized products in high-growth defense and space applications.
2. Improved Financial Performance and Positive Outlook. The company demonstrated strengthening financial performance, reporting a 6% sequential growth in net sales to $7 million for the third quarter of 2025. Earlier, for the first half of 2025, Syntec Optics saw net sales increase to $13.6 million, and its Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue significantly improved to 15.3% compared to 5.8% in the same period of 2024. Management also provided a positive outlook, projecting Q4 2025 revenue between $7.3 million and $8 million with anticipated margin improvements, indicating confidence in continued operational excellence and growth.
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1. Expanding Footprint and Significant Contract Wins in Defense and Space Optics. Syntec Optics significantly bolstered its position in critical defense and aerospace sectors through a series of key contract announcements. This included a new $1.9 million order for Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite optics in December 2025, with management projecting a nearly threefold increase in deliveries for this product line in 2026, building on over $2.6 million in space optics shipped in 2025. Additionally, the company secured orders to manufacture advanced optics for U.S. soldiers' next-generation Augmented Reality (AR) systems in mid-December 2025, followed by another ballistic optics order in early January 2026 for AI-powered AR headsets within a major U.S. military program. These contracts demonstrate a growing demand for Syntec Optics' specialized products in high-growth defense and space applications.
2. Improved Financial Performance and Positive Outlook. The company demonstrated strengthening financial performance, reporting a 6% sequential growth in net sales to $7 million for the third quarter of 2025. Earlier, for the first half of 2025, Syntec Optics saw net sales increase to $13.6 million, and its Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue significantly improved to 15.3% compared to 5.8% in the same period of 2024. Management also provided a positive outlook, projecting Q4 2025 revenue between $7.3 million and $8 million with anticipated margin improvements, indicating confidence in continued operational excellence and growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 284.5% change in OPTX stock from 9/30/2025 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 1282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.55 | 5.96 | 284.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 28 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 7.9 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 37 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPTX | 284.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.4% | 42.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.9% | 39.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 344.8% change in OPTX stock from 6/30/2025 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 1282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.34 | 5.96 | 344.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 28 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 7.9 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 37 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPTX | 344.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.9% | 33.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 18.0% | 32.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 136.5% change in OPTX stock from 12/31/2024 to 1/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312024 | 1282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.52 | 5.96 | 136.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 28 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 7.9 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 37 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2024 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPTX | 136.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.7% | 24.1% |
| Sector (XLK) | 29.0% | 26.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/31/2022 to 1/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OPTX | -40.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 88.6% | 17.9% |
| Sector (XLK) | 144.7% | 18.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OPTX Return | - | 2% | -50% | -50% | 13% | 88% | -45% |
| Peers Return | -15% | -43% | 240% | 91% | 148% | 7% | 739% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 2% | 86% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OPTX Win Rate | - | 58% | 83% | 25% | 42% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 28% | 55% | 63% | 58% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OPTX Max Drawdown | - | 0% | -60% | -83% | -59% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -48% | -14% | -27% | -47% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LPTH, OPXS, COHR, LITE, AAOI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OPTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 209.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to LPTH, OPXS, COHR, LITE, AAOI
In The Past
Syntec Optics's stock fell -67.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/30/2023. A -67.7% loss requires a 209.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Syntec Optics (OPTX)
Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc. manufactures and supplies integrated optics for biomedical, defense and military, consumer, and other applications. It offers camera modules; tool design, design for manufacturing, optical and opto-mechanical design, and moldflow analysis; SPDT optics, such as freedom optics, microlens arrays, spheres and aspheres, diffractives, SPDT materials, and optical tooling; replicative molding, that includes polymer and glass molding, and molded production materials; thin film coating and coating curve materials; and precision machining and precision machining materials. The company also provides clean room assembly, such as opto mechanical, opto electronic, and integrated photonics; infrared optics, microlens arrays, software development, and optical metrology, and catalog optics services. In addition, it offers driverless cars, integrated photonics, robotics, sensors, VR and AR, machine vision, facial imagining, heads up display, finger print scanners, and laser scanners technology for consumers; night vision goggles, missile laser guides, biometrics, infrared and thermal imaging, ordnance optics, head mounted displays, 2D and 3D scanners, humvee lighting , laser targeting, protective domes and windows, and lidar technologies for defense and miliary; and medical diagnostic, microfluidics, surgical components and systems, and medical sensing technology for medical sectors. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in Rochester, New York.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Syntec Optics (OPTX):
- TSMC for precision optical components
- Corning for specialized glass and plastic optics
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Plastic Optical Components: Syntec Optics manufactures precision polymer optics, including a variety of lenses, prisms, and light guides, for diverse applications.
- Optical Assemblies and Systems: The company designs and produces integrated optical modules by combining multiple optical components with mechanical and electronic elements.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Syntec Optics (OPTX) primarily operates as a business-to-business (B2B) company, supplying advanced optical components and modules to other companies for integration into their final products. The company is a key supplier for technologies in the AR/VR, consumer electronics, and automotive industries. While specific customer contractual details are often proprietary, industry analyses and product alignment consistently indicate the following as major customers:
- Meta Platforms, Inc. (Symbol: META)
- Microsoft Corporation (Symbol: MSFT)
- Alphabet Inc. (Symbol: GOOGL)
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Al Kapoor, Chairman & CEO
Al Kapoor was appointed Chairman and CEO of Syntec Optics on April 15, 2024, and is responsible for the company's strategy and potential bolt-on acquisitions. He has 30 years of experience in optics and photonics and has been involved with cutting-edge industry formation at startups and established corporations for three decades. His prior experience includes completing three acquisitions over twenty years ago and integrating them into what eventually became Syntec Optics. Kapoor holds an MBA from Harvard Business School and an MS in engineering from Iowa State University. He also served as a member of YPO from 1999-2019 and The National Scientific Research Honor Society (Sigma Xi) since 1991. He is on the advisory council for the AIM Academy at MIT and publishes a newsletter called "Pioneering Minds."
Dean Rudy, Chief Financial Officer
Dean Rudy was appointed Chief Financial Officer on June 10, 2024. He brings over 30 years of experience in financial and operational leadership. Rudy began his career at Xerox Corporation, where he worked for 17 years and held numerous roles within their manufacturing organization. He also served as the worldwide controller for Xerox's Small Office / Home Office division and the general manager of their Personal Copier Unit.
Joe Mohr, Chief Manufacturing Officer
Joe Mohr was appointed Chief Manufacturing Officer on April 15, 2024, after previously serving as CEO. In his current role, he is responsible for Syntec Optics' sales, business development, revenue growth, and customer manufacturing excellence. He has 29 years of experience with Syntec Optics, with a background in leading engineering and building optics products.
Michael Ransford, Site Manager
Michael Ransford oversees all production and quality operations at Syntec Optics' plant, leveraging his industrial engineering background for operational excellence. He has nearly 30 years of experience in the optics industry, with previous positions including Site Manager and VP of Life Sciences Optics at IDEX, Head of Operations at Omega Optical, and Engineer (Internet Optics Infrastructure) at CIENA.
Matt Carey, Manager of Business Development and Delivery
Matt Carey is responsible for customer sales/program management, engineering, and shipping, focusing on driving innovation and collaboration across these teams. He has contributed close to a decade of service at Syntec Optics in various roles, including manufacturing engineer, program manager, and operations lead. He spearheaded the development of the company's manufacturing ERP system and pursued further education in supply chain management.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Syntec Optics (OPTX) primarily revolve around its financial health, customer dependencies, and the competitive landscape. These risks are:
- Financial Performance and Liquidity Concerns: Syntec Optics has experienced declining revenues and eroding margins, leading to operating and net losses in 2024. The company reported temporary margin reductions in Q3 2025 due to increased labor and overhead costs, resulting in a negative adjusted EBITDA for the quarter. Furthermore, the company's cash reserves significantly decreased from $2.2 million to $0.6 million by the end of 2024, indicating potential liquidity issues. While past covenant compliance issues have been resolved, they highlighted underlying financial strain and increased leverage, and there is an ongoing need for the company to raise additional capital, which may not always be available on favorable terms.
- Customer Concentration: A significant portion of Syntec Optics' revenues is dependent on a limited number of key customers. This concentration poses a substantial risk, as any reduction in orders from these major customers could have a material adverse impact on the company's financial results and overall business operations.
- Competitive Pressures: Syntec Optics operates in rapidly evolving and competitive markets, particularly in the space and defense optics sectors. The company faces stiff competition from traditional glass optic and electro-optic manufacturers, some of whom may possess greater financial resources and lower material costs. This competitive environment can pressure Syntec Optics' market share, pricing, and profitability.
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The emergence and increasing commercialization of metasurface (flat optics) technology, which could displace traditional refractive and reflective optical components in various applications due to advantages in size, weight, and novel functionalities. Companies are actively developing and deploying metasurface-based lenses in areas such as consumer electronics (e.g., smartphone cameras, AR/VR headsets), sensing, and potentially other markets traditionally served by custom bulk optics.
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The addressable markets for Syntec Optics' (OPTX) main products and services are substantial and span several key sectors globally.
Overall Optics and Photonics Markets
- The global photonics market was estimated at USD 979.90 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1301.49 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.8% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the global photonics market at USD 988.71 billion in 2025, anticipated to reach USD 1,733.49 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 5.8%. Another report values the global photonics market at USD 920.56 billion in 2023, projected to grow to USD 1,642.61 billion by 2032 at a CAGR of 6.7% during the 2024-2032 period.
- The global precision optics market was valued at USD 29.0 billion in 2024 and is predicted to reach USD 92.9 billion by 2034, exhibiting a 12.7% CAGR during the forecast period from 2025 to 2034. This market is also reported to be valued at USD 27.28 billion in 2024, with projections reaching USD 28.97 billion in 2025 and USD 45.87 billion by 2032, based on a CAGR of 6.71%.
Specific End Markets for Syntec Optics
- Medical Optics (Global): The global medical fiber optics market size was valued at USD 4.6 billion in 2022 and is projected to expand at a CAGR of 6.0% from 2023 to 2030, reaching USD 7.3 billion by 2030. Other estimates indicate the global medical fiber optics market was valued at USD 4.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow from USD 4.87 billion in 2025 to reach USD 7.71 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.9% during the forecast period.
- Defense Optics (Global): The global defense optronics market size was valued at USD 9.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 15.2 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.1% over the forecast period. The global military electro-optical systems market size was valued at USD 7.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 9.5 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 4.0% during the forecast period. Additionally, the global tactical optics market size was valued at USD 12.26 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow from USD 13.13 billion in 2024 to USD 22.43 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.9%.
- Space Optics (Global): The global satellite market is projected to grow from $15 billion currently to $457 billion by 2035. Syntec Optics is expanding its space products portfolio, including optomechanicals for satellite optics and ground networks.
- Data Center Optics (Global): The global Data Center Optical Transceiver market was valued at USD 1869.8 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 2150.3 million by 2025, further projected to touch USD 1892.24 million by 2033, growing at a rate of 1.2% during 2025-2033. The Data Center Optical Module Market was estimated at USD 28.14 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow from USD 30.84 billion in 2024 to USD 64.2 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 9.6% during the forecast period (2024-2032). The pluggable optics for data center market size was valued at US$ 5.23 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach US$ 12.35 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 11.3% from 2023 to 2031.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Syntec Optics (OPTX)
Over the next 2-3 years, Syntec Optics (OPTX) is expected to drive revenue growth through several key areas:
- Growth in Key End-Markets: Syntec Optics anticipates accelerated sales in the communications, medical, and defense industries. The company specifically highlighted strong demand in biomedical and defense tech industries, which contributed to sales increases in the first half of 2025.
- Expansion into High-Growth Data Center Market: Syntec Optics has successfully entered the high-growth data center market, with a first product order forecasted to more than double to $3.2 million annually. This strategic pivot towards AI-driven data centers positions the company for long-term growth.
- Increased Demand for Space Optics and Defense Microdisplays: The company has secured significant orders for space optics and defense microdisplays. Furthermore, Syntec Optics achieved a milestone by making its 17,000th space optic by October 2025.
- Entry into the Energy Market: In the first half of 2025, Syntec Optics expanded into the energy market, providing products for space-based solar power and grid-scale fusion energy applications.
- Volume Increases from Existing Customers: Syntec Optics has reported that all its key customers are demanding volume increases ranging from 20% to 100% above current delivery levels. This indicates strong underlying demand for their products and services.
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Capital Expenditures
- Syntec Optics invested $3.3 million in state-of-the-art equipment in 2024 to enhance its capacity to service customers.
- These investments are intended to enable the company to continue developing key technologies for its customers in 2025 and beyond.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is on new end-markets such as energy (including space-based solar power and grid-scale fusion energy), as well as product ramp-ups in space, defense, biomedical, and AI data-center optics.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Syntec Optics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Syntec Optics Stock In Shambles: Down -44% With 8-Day Losing Streak | 11/22/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Syntec Optics Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 233 |
| Op Inc LTM | -6 |
| FCF LTM | -4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -6 |
| CFO LTM | 4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 27.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 16.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 39.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 7.3 |
| P/EBIT | -25.9 |
| P/E | 1.3 |
| P/CFO | 40.6 |
| Total Yield | -0.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 48.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 145.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 162.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 587.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 47.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 151.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 171.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 502.6% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.96 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/26/2022 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $2.63 | $1.91 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 126.9% | 212.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 164.0% | 127.4% |
| Downside Capture | 378.94 | 194.37 |
| Upside Capture | 846.37 | 263.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 42.7% | 26.4% |
OPTX Betas & Captures as of 12/31/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 6.81 | 5.71 | 5.33 | 4.12 | 1.58 | 1.66 |
| Up Beta | 23.89 | 6.50 | 5.74 | 2.39 | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Down Beta | 4.86 | 7.18 | 5.28 | 5.80 | 1.56 | 1.85 |
| Up Capture | 1312% | 628% | 1227% | 932% | 250% | 212% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 16 | 27 | 56 | 104 | 268 |
| Down Capture | -72% | 398% | 310% | 250% | 147% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 24 | 35 | 66 | 135 | 325 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OPTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPTX | 207.7% | 128.6% | 1.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 31.9% | 26.9% | 1.00 | 28.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.1% | 19.3% | 0.69 | 26.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 97.2% | 20.8% | 3.18 | 15.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 15.4% | 0.64 | 13.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 16.5% | -0.10 | 4.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -12.7% | 39.6% | -0.25 | 20.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OPTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPTX | -8.2% | 160.4% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 18.4% | 24.6% | 0.67 | 16.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 15.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.2% | 15.8% | 1.19 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.6% | 18.8% | 0.54 | 6.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 5.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 23.7% | 57.6% | 0.60 | 9.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OPTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPTX | -4.2% | 160.4% | 0.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 23.9% | 24.2% | 0.90 | 16.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.0% | 17.9% | 0.77 | 15.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 14.9% | 0.94 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.2% | 17.6% | 0.43 | 6.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.1% | 20.8% | 0.26 | 5.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 70.9% | 66.5% | 1.10 | 9.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/6/2025 | 17.4% | 22.3% | 74.2% |
| 8/14/2024 | 36.1% | 53.7% | 21.3% |
| 5/31/2024 | 1.0% | -16.6% | -18.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| # Negative | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 17.4% | 38.0% | 47.7% |
| Median Negative | -16.6% | -18.0% | |
| Max Positive | 36.1% | 53.7% | 74.2% |
| Max Negative | -16.6% | -18.0% | |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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