NACCO Industries (NC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.33 | Market Cap: $345.3 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
NACCO Industries (NC)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $46.33Market Cap: $345.3 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.3% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -9.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -46 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate 20.8% stock movement for NACCO Industries (NC) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: NACCO Industries announced robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025, reporting revenues of $76.6 million, a 24% increase over Q3 2024, and a 38% improvement in gross profit to $10.0 million. The company's operating profit of $6.8 million also showed sequential improvement from the second quarter of 2025, and total debt was reduced from $99.5 million at the end of 2024 to $80.2 million by September 30, 2025.
2. Authorization of a New $20 Million Stock Repurchase Program: On November 18, 2025, NACCO Industries' Board of Directors approved a new stock repurchase program, authorizing the company to buy back up to $20 million of its outstanding Class A Common Stock through December 31, 2027. This program replaced a previous one under which over $12 million in shares had already been repurchased, signaling continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NC Return | -42% | 42% | 7% | -2% | -16% | 51% | 9% |
| Peers Return | 56% | 117% | 30% | 812% | 4% | 93% | 7959% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NC Win Rate | 33% | 67% | 67% | 58% | 42% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 35% | 63% | 48% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NC Max Drawdown | -61% | -20% | -21% | -21% | -29% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -57% | -7% | -21% | -17% | -24% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BTU, EU, CCJ, UEC, LEU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -63.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 170.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 571 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 93.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 330 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1156.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to BTU, EU, CCJ, UEC, LEU
In The Past
NACCO Industries's stock fell -50.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/19/2022. A -50.4% loss requires a 101.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is NACCO Industries Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for NACCO Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 38.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 367 |
| Op Inc LTM | -15 |
| FCF LTM | -24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 30 |
| CFO LTM | 111 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 55 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 19.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 21.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -7.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 11.3 |
| P/EBIT | 29.9 |
| P/E | 2.0 |
| P/CFO | 6.6 |
| Total Yield | 0.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 69.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 50.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 263.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 14.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 55.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 36.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 202.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North American Mining (NAMining) | 91 | 86 | 79 | 42 | 43 |
| Coal Mining | 85 | 95 | 83 | 72 | 69 |
| Minerals Management | 33 | 60 | 31 | 15 | 30 |
| Unallocated Items | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Eliminations | -3 | -2 | -6 | -3 | -1 |
| Total | 215 | 242 | 192 | 128 | 141 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerals Management | 19 | 52 | 26 | 3 | 26 |
| North American Mining (NAMining) | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| Eliminations | -0 | 0 | -0 | -0 | 0 |
| Unallocated Items | -21 | -23 | -20 | -17 | -21 |
| Coal Mining | -71 | 38 | 46 | 25 | 34 |
| Total | -70 | 70 | 55 | 13 | 39 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3052025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3022022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |