Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $7.49 | Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $7.49Market Cap: $1.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -181% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 282%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 342% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -53% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -83% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 423% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 209% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -181% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 30x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 282%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 342% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -53% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -83% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 423% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 209% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NVTS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) stock moved by 7.9% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 14, 2025:
1. Significant Surge on Nvidia Partnership News: Navitas Semiconductor's stock experienced a dramatic surge in October 2025, including a 29% pre-market rally on October 14, following the announcement of its collaboration with Nvidia. The company revealed progress on developing advanced gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) power devices for Nvidia's 800-volt HVDC architecture, positioning Navitas at the forefront of the expanding AI data center market.
2. Q2 2025 Earnings and Subsequent Downturn: In early August 2025, Navitas reported its second-quarter earnings. While revenue slightly surpassed expectations at $14.49 million, the company posted a larger-than-expected loss per share of -$0.25. Despite an initial positive aftermarket reaction, concerns over growing losses and a sharp dip in revenue led to a stock downturn.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NVTS Return | - | - | -79% | 130% | -56% | 122% | -53% |
| Peers Return | 46% | 17% | -5% | 13% | -4% | 4% | 83% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NVTS Win Rate | - | 55% | 42% | 67% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 42% | 32% | 42% | 35% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NVTS Max Drawdown | - | - | -81% | 0% | -78% | -55% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -12% | -30% | -12% | -16% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NVTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 526.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, AMBQ
In The Past
Navitas Semiconductor's stock fell -84.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -84.0% loss requires a 526.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NVTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -10.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.3% | -10.3% | -10.3% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.0% | -1.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Navitas Semiconductor
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 79.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 594 |
| Op Inc LTM | -16 |
| FCF LTM | 27 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1 |
| CFO LTM | 99 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -5.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| P/S | 5.5 |
| P/EBIT | 14.1 |
| P/E | 21.9 |
| P/CFO | 19.4 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 15.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 16.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 48.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/4/2025 | -15.9% | -18.0% | -28.8% |
| 5/5/2025 | -4.7% | 3.5% | 239.0% |
| 2/24/2025 | -17.3% | -20.8% | -23.5% |
| 11/4/2024 | -9.6% | -21.8% | 23.0% |
| 8/5/2024 | 5.2% | -5.9% | -17.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | -12.6% | -16.6% | -3.0% |
| 2/29/2024 | -7.8% | -12.4% | -20.8% |
| 11/9/2023 | 10.0% | 18.5% | 32.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 10.0% | 25.0% | 23.0% |
| Median Negative | -12.6% | -16.6% | -17.4% |
| Max Positive | 26.0% | 38.0% | 239.0% |
| Max Negative | -18.4% | -23.5% | -28.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4032023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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