Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $7.82 | Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $7.82Market Cap: $1.7 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -181% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 29x | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 146% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -53% | ||
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -83% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 423% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 206% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% | ||
| Key risksNVTS key risks include [1] significant execution challenges in its strategic pivot to higher-power markets and [2] a precarious financial position marked by unprofitability and high cash burn. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Manufacturing, EV Charging Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -103 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -181% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 29x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 146% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -38%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -53% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -79%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -83% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 423% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 206% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% |
| Key risksNVTS key risks include [1] significant execution challenges in its strategic pivot to higher-power markets and [2] a precarious financial position marked by unprofitability and high cash burn. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NVTS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, several key factors contributed to its stock movement.
1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Financial Results and Weak Q4 Guidance: On November 3, 2025, Navitas Semiconductor reported third-quarter 2025 revenue of $10.1 million, which missed analyst forecasts of $10.79 million. The company also reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.09, falling short of the -$0.05 forecast. Furthermore, Navitas provided a lower Q4 2025 revenue guidance of $7.0 million ± $0.25 million, indicating an expected near-term revenue bottom as the company shifted focus from lower-margin mobile businesses. Following this announcement, the stock declined by 9.14%.
2. Strategic Pivot to High-Power Markets ("Navitas 2.0"): Navitas announced a significant strategic shift away from lower-margin mobile and consumer markets towards higher-growth, higher-margin segments, including AI data centers, performance computing, energy and grid infrastructure, and industrial electrification. This "Navitas 2.0" strategy involves streamlining its distribution network and reallocating resources, signaling a period of transition that impacted investor sentiment as the market weighed long-term potential against short-term revenue reductions.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NVTS Return | � | � | -79% | 130% | -56% | 106% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NVTS Win Rate | � | 55% | 42% | 67% | 42% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NVTS Max Drawdown | � | � | -81% | 0% | -78% | -55% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WOLF, ON, POWI, MPWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NVTS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 526.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to QCOM, FSLR, SLAB, POWI, NVDA
In The Past
Navitas Semiconductor's stock fell -84.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -84.0% loss requires a 526.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NVTS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.3% | 15.3% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.2% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.6% | 14.6% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.6% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.4% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Navitas Semiconductor
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 36.58 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 760 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5 |
| FCF LTM | 80 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 65 |
| CFO LTM | 100 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -5.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| P/S | 4.6 |
| P/EBIT | 52.8 |
| P/E | 23.7 |
| P/CFO | 12.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 49.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -32.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/4/2025 | -15.9% | -18.0% | -28.8% |
| 5/5/2025 | -4.7% | 3.5% | 239.0% |
| 2/24/2025 | -17.3% | -20.8% | -23.5% |
| 11/4/2024 | -9.6% | -21.8% | 23.0% |
| 8/5/2024 | 5.2% | -5.9% | -17.4% |
| 5/9/2024 | -12.6% | -16.6% | -3.0% |
| 2/29/2024 | -7.8% | -12.4% | -20.8% |
| 11/9/2023 | 10.0% | 18.5% | 32.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| # Negative | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 10.0% | 25.0% | 23.0% |
| Median Negative | -12.6% | -16.6% | -17.4% |
| Max Positive | 26.0% | 38.0% | 239.0% |
| Max Negative | -18.4% | -23.5% | -28.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8052024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 4032023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8152022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3312022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
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