Tearsheet

Energy Vault (NRGV)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.06 | Market Cap: $637.1 Mil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity

Energy Vault (NRGV)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $4.06
Market Cap: $637.1 Mil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Renewable Electricity

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -127 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -245%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 354%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 133%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -83%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -163%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -133%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -127 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -245%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 354%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 133%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -83%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -61%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -163%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -133%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NRGV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate 104% stock movement for Energy Vault (NRGV) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, can be attributed to several key developments:

1. Regaining NYSE Compliance Through a Significant Stock Surge. Energy Vault successfully regained compliance with the New York Stock Exchange's minimum listing standards after its stock price surged by 114% over 30 consecutive trading days, allowing it to meet the $1.00 average share price threshold by September 3, 2025. This technical achievement had substantial positive implications for investor sentiment and the company's strategic positioning.

2. Strategic Turnaround and Enhanced Supply Chain Management. The company implemented a strategic pivot to address operational bottlenecks and expand its renewable energy storage footprint. A crucial step was a partnership with Turkey's Astor Enerji to secure essential transformers and Battery Energy Storage System (BESS) components, mitigating global supply shortages. This move is expected to accelerate the delivery of projects, including 2 GWh of BESS capacity in Romania and over 1 GW of projects across the U.S., Australia, and Europe.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NRGV Return----25%-2%81%32%
Peers Return18%-0%-21%-8%-25%52%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NRGV Win Rate--40%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate48%37%38%35%48%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NRGV Max Drawdown----52%-66%-72% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-14%-37%-31%-36%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNRGVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1342.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC


In The Past

Energy Vault's stock fell -93.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2022. A -93.1% loss requires a 1342.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Energy Vault (NRGV)

Better Bets than Energy Vault (NRGV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Energy Vault Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NRGV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Energy Vault

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NRGVORASTEMBEPCCWENFLNCMedian
NameEnergy V.Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway.Fluence . 
Mkt Price4.13112.2818.6740.0634.1523.3428.74
Mkt Cap0.66.80.27.24.03.13.5
Rev LTM529441653,7771,3752,4491,160
Op Inc LTM-127179-94888172-2772
FCF LTM-84-214-24-749440-426-149
FCF 3Y Avg-82-237-10730451-241-94
CFO LTM-31389-16352703-401168
CFO 3Y Avg-44342-941,027721-222149

Growth & Margins

NRGVORASTEMBEPCCWENFLNCMedian
NameEnergy V.Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway.Fluence . 
Rev Chg LTM-82.9%6.1%-35.6%-10.5%0.8%14.3%-4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg87.8%9.5%-2.0%0.8%3.5%44.1%6.5%
Rev Chg Q125.8%17.9%30.5%-10.6%-11.7%24.7%21.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.1%4.2%5.7%-2.8%-4.0%5.1%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-245.1%19.0%-57.3%23.5%12.5%-1.1%5.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-118.7%20.5%-55.1%25.8%17.7%-3.8%6.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM23.0%-0.3%20.9%-1.2%-3.9%0.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-60.7%41.2%-9.7%9.3%51.1%-16.4%-0.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-40.9%38.7%-24.4%25.8%53.1%-10.0%7.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-163.2%-22.6%-14.8%-19.8%32.0%-17.4%-18.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-83.8%-27.8%-29.1%0.6%33.2%-10.9%-19.3%

Valuation

NRGVORASTEMBEPCCWENFLNCMedian
NameEnergy V.Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway.Fluence . 
Mkt Cap0.66.80.27.24.03.13.5
P/S2.26.20.91.62.40.41.9
P/EBIT-0.823.11.25.015.6-32.33.1
P/E-0.843.81.4-7.012.1-47.60.3
P/CFO-3.615.0-9.117.64.7-2.21.3
Total Yield-128.5%2.8%69.9%-14.2%18.8%-2.1%0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%10.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-46.5%-5.0%-714.2%-15.0%-18.9%-18.9%
D/E0.30.52.25.82.80.41.3
Net D/E0.10.51.95.52.7-0.11.2

Returns

NRGVORASTEMBEPCCWENFLNCMedian
NameEnergy V.Ormat Te.Stem Brookfie.Clearway.Fluence . 
1M Rtn29.5%3.5%5.7%-7.6%6.4%21.7%6.0%
3M Rtn99.5%22.6%31.2%20.2%20.5%245.8%26.9%
6M Rtn353.6%49.8%75.1%38.2%15.9%405.2%62.5%
12M Rtn133.3%43.4%132.2%-27.5%36.7%43.4%
3Y Rtn26.7%25.2%-91.6%-19.2%45.1%25.2%
1M Excs Rtn28.2%2.2%4.4%-8.9%5.2%20.4%4.8%
3M Excs Rtn93.7%17.6%27.8%15.9%14.8%203.3%22.7%
6M Excs Rtn338.1%34.4%59.6%22.8%0.5%389.7%47.0%
12M Excs Rtn105.1%24.8%131.4%-11.0%11.0%24.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.6%-43.8%-165.8%--56.9%-30.0%-54.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,302,667
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.0%
Average Daily Volume3,828,716
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.17
Basic Shares Quantity156,911,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024401202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022413202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120201212022424B3 12/31/2020