Tearsheet

Energy Vault (NRGV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.69 | Market Cap: $766.0 Mil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Renewable Electricity

Energy Vault (NRGV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.69
Market Cap: $766.0 Mil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Renewable Electricity

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.6%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -140%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.8x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 428%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 157%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 154%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
7   Key risks
NRGV key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Sustainable Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -8.6%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -140%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.8x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 428%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 157%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -36%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -90%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 154%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 118%
9 Key risks
NRGV key risks include [1] severe financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NRGV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Energy Vault (NRGV) experienced a significant stock movement from late August 2025 through December 2025 due to several key developments:

1. Regulatory Compliance and De-risking: Energy Vault regained compliance with NYSE listing requirements in early September 2025, eliminating previous delisting risks and stabilizing investor sentiment.

2. Strategic "Asset Vault" Launch and Major Funding: The company officially launched its "Asset Vault" platform by closing a $300 million non-dilutive preferred equity investment in August-October 2025. This strategy focuses on building, owning, and operating energy storage assets to generate predictable, high-margin recurring revenue and accelerate the deployment of 1.5 GW of global energy storage projects.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NRGV Return-25%-2%119%
Peers Return-66%1%45%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NRGV Win Rate40%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate43%32%47%45%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NRGV Max Drawdown-52%-66%-72% 
Peers Max Drawdown-77%-39%-59%-67% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLNC, STEM, EOSE, GWH, TSLA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNRGVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1342.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to ORA, STEM, BEPC, CWEN, FLNC


In The Past

Energy Vault's stock fell -93.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/5/2022. A -93.1% loss requires a 1342.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Energy Vault (NRGV)

Better Bets than Energy Vault (NRGV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NRGV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Energy Vault

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NRGVFLNCSTEMEOSEGWHTSLAMedian
NameEnergy V.Fluence .Stem Eos Ener.ESS Tech Tesla  
Mkt Price4.7018.5715.9212.272.06467.2614.09
Mkt Cap0.52.40.13.30.01,507.81.5
Rev LTM842,26316563695,633124
Op Inc LTM-117-46-94-223-634,868-79
FCF LTM-75-175-24-246-626,834-68
FCF 3Y Avg-84-80-107-197-694,719-82
CFO LTM-34-146-16-204-5715,748-45
CFO 3Y Avg-41-59-94-166-6314,130-61

Growth & Margins

NRGVFLNCSTEMEOSEGWHTSLAMedian
NameEnergy V.Fluence .Stem Eos Ener.ESS Tech Tesla  
Rev Chg LTM-36.0%-16.1%-35.6%324.1%-3.5%-1.6%-9.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg171.6%30.2%-2.0%104.1%156.6%9.3%67.1%
Rev Chg Q2,678.9%-15.2%30.5%3,472.8%-40.4%11.6%21.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM62.1%-7.6%5.7%87.7%-2.4%3.1%4.4%
Op Mgn LTM-139.9%-2.0%-57.3%-351.0%-1,046.5%5.1%-98.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-84.0%-2.0%-55.1%-874.6%-1,492.7%8.3%-69.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM105.2%-0.9%20.9%276.9%200.3%-1.1%63.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-40.4%-6.4%-9.7%-320.9%-945.1%16.5%-25.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-22.3%-2.8%-24.4%-827.7%-1,124.1%14.7%-23.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-89.6%-7.7%-14.8%-388.4%-1,027.5%7.1%-52.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-56.3%-3.7%-29.1%-973.6%-1,230.8%4.9%-42.7%

Valuation

NRGVFLNCSTEMEOSEGWHTSLAMedian
NameEnergy V.Fluence .Stem Eos Ener.ESS Tech Tesla  
Mkt Cap0.52.40.13.30.01,507.81.5
P/S5.81.10.948.84.815.05.3
P/EBIT--52.51.2-2.8-0.5205.9-0.5
P/E-3.4-50.41.4-2.8-0.5282.6-1.6
P/CFO-14.3-16.7-9.1-15.2-0.591.1-11.7
Total Yield-29.8%-2.0%69.9%-36.1%-215.8%0.4%-15.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.0%-714.2%-30.7%-136.6%0.5%-30.7%
D/E-0.22.20.10.40.00.2
Net D/E--0.11.90.10.3-0.00.1

Returns

NRGVFLNCSTEMEOSEGWHTSLAMedian
NameEnergy V.Fluence .Stem Eos Ener.ESS Tech Tesla  
1M Rtn48.3%7.8%2.2%-5.6%-19.8%14.3%5.0%
3M Rtn99.2%149.6%-9.5%44.4%28.7%9.7%36.6%
6M Rtn428.4%233.4%3,555.6%167.9%108.1%45.1%200.6%
12M Rtn156.8%9.0%118.6%213.8%-59.0%-2.6%63.8%
3Y Rtn60.4%-6.8%-92.8%967.0%-94.7%211.0%26.8%
1M Excs Rtn47.5%7.0%1.5%-6.4%-20.6%13.5%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn74.0%133.1%-8.4%35.0%36.0%10.7%35.5%
6M Excs Rtn416.1%221.0%3,543.2%155.5%95.7%32.7%188.3%
12M Excs Rtn144.4%-2.9%111.0%249.8%-70.6%-4.0%54.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-8.6%-60.5%-161.0%1,096.5%-163.1%110.0%-34.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Sale of energy storage products340860
Intellectual property (IP) licensing1  
Other120
Operation and maintenance services0  
Software licensing0  
Licensing of intellectual property 580
Total3421460


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,949,695
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-16.3%
Average Daily Volume3,435,436
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.02
Basic Shares Quantity163,329,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202520.8%-10.7%52.7%
8/7/20253.6%12.1%37.9%
3/17/2025-21.0%-16.9%-38.6%
11/12/2024-28.9%-19.9%-5.5%
8/6/2024-13.8%-17.3%-9.5%
3/12/20245.0%-5.5%-30.4%
11/7/202327.9%14.4%3.9%
8/8/2023-2.6%5.2%-4.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive764
# Negative568
Median Positive10.5%13.6%23.0%
Median Negative-13.8%-17.1%-9.5%
Max Positive27.9%21.3%52.7%
Max Negative-28.9%-26.8%-41.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024401202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022413202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
123120201212022424B3 12/31/2020