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National Research (NRC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.65 | Market Cap: $412.7 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Technology

National Research (NRC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.65
Market Cap: $412.7 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Technology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
Key risks
NRC key risks include [1] a significant and ongoing earnings contraction cycle, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.7%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -115%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.4%
7 Key risks
NRC key risks include [1] a significant and ongoing earnings contraction cycle, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NRC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, National Research (NRC) experienced a 28% stock movement, primarily driven by several key factors related to its robust third-quarter 2025 financial performance.

1. Strong Growth in Total Recurring Contract Value (TRCV). National Research reported an 8% year-over-year increase in its Total Recurring Contract Value (TRCV) to $141.7 million for the third quarter of 2025. This marked the strongest TRCV growth since 2020 and the fourth consecutive quarter of sequential growth, signaling strong sales momentum and improved customer retention.

2. Increased Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Expansion. The company's adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 grew by 11% year-over-year, reaching $10.9 million. Furthermore, the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 31.4% from 27.2% in the previous year's third quarter, reflecting improved operational efficiency and profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NRC Return-35%-2%-8%10%-54%7%-69%
Peers Return-32%-5%-24%-47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NRC Win Rate42%58%50%33%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate45%40%52%40%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NRC Max Drawdown-47%-6%-23%0%-56%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-36%-41%-49% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HSTM, PHR, DH, HCAT, EVH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNRCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven175 days120 days

Compare to OMCL, BEAT, CARL, HTFL, VEEV


In The Past

National Research's stock fell -41.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/23/2021. A -41.5% loss requires a 71.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About National Research (NRC)

Better Bets than National Research (NRC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NRC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
NRC_9302019_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302019NRCNational ResearchQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-21.7%-14.1%-39.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
NRC_9302019_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302019NRCNational ResearchQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-21.7%-14.1%-39.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for National Research

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NRCHSTMPHRDHHCATEVHMedian
NameNational.HealthSt.Phreesia Definiti.Health C.Evolent . 
Mkt Price18.6423.8216.302.282.394.0410.17
Mkt Cap0.30.71.40.20.20.50.4
Rev LTM1392994632423162,054307
Op Inc LTM2823-9-14-64-1-5
FCF LTM12293536-33-6920
FCF 3Y Avg1931-1538-313225
CFO LTM26616159-13-3642
CFO 3Y Avg33601049-146241

Growth & Margins

NRCHSTMPHRDHHCATEVHMedian
NameNational.HealthSt.Phreesia Definiti.Health C.Evolent . 
Rev Chg LTM-3.5%3.7%14.3%-5.3%4.6%-16.6%0.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%4.4%21.0%5.6%5.2%22.7%5.4%
Rev Chg Q-3.4%4.6%12.7%-4.2%-0.0%-22.8%-1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%1.1%3.0%-1.1%-0.0%-6.5%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM19.8%7.5%-1.9%-5.6%-20.1%-0.0%-1.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg24.3%6.7%-21.7%-8.5%-31.1%-0.9%-4.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.3%4.0%-1.8%-1.2%0.7%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM18.4%20.5%13.3%24.4%-4.0%-1.8%15.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.1%20.8%1.0%19.6%-4.8%2.9%11.3%
FCF/Rev LTM8.4%9.7%7.6%14.9%-10.6%-3.3%8.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.2%10.7%-5.3%15.2%-10.4%1.4%6.0%

Valuation

NRCHSTMPHRDHHCATEVHMedian
NameNational.HealthSt.Phreesia Definiti.Health C.Evolent . 
Mkt Cap0.30.71.40.20.20.50.4
P/S2.02.83.01.70.50.51.9
P/EBIT-37.2--1.6-2.1-11.6-1.8
P/E17.340.5-262.4-2.2-1.6-7.5-1.9
P/CFO11.013.723.07.1-13.2-26.79.1
Total Yield9.7%2.9%-0.4%-44.8%-64.0%-13.3%-6.8%
Dividend Yield3.9%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.9%-7.1%-9.2%-0.6%1.6%
D/E-0.0-0.41.01.10.7
Net D/E--0.1--0.00.51.00.2

Returns

NRCHSTMPHRDHHCATEVHMedian
NameNational.HealthSt.Phreesia Definiti.Health C.Evolent . 
1M Rtn16.4%-2.5%-20.9%-13.0%6.7%4.4%0.9%
3M Rtn18.2%-17.8%-30.0%-44.3%-14.9%-52.7%-23.9%
6M Rtn12.6%-12.9%-36.5%-40.0%-34.5%-53.3%-35.5%
12M Rtn8.8%-25.2%-34.4%-48.9%-68.8%-62.8%-41.7%
3Y Rtn-46.6%-1.9%-52.0%-80.5%-77.8%-85.3%-64.9%
1M Excs Rtn15.6%-3.3%-21.6%-13.7%6.0%3.7%0.2%
3M Excs Rtn17.0%-19.6%-34.0%-48.1%-22.2%-55.1%-28.1%
6M Excs Rtn0.2%-25.3%-48.9%-52.4%-46.9%-65.7%-47.9%
12M Excs Rtn-3.0%-37.1%-45.7%-60.3%-81.2%-75.6%-53.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-115.4%-71.3%-117.9%-149.4%-145.9%-153.8%-131.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Analytics and insights that facilitate the measurement and improvement of patient and employee149152148133128
Total149152148133128


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Analytics and insights that facilitate the measurement and improvement of patient and employee40    
Total40    


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Analytics and insights that facilitate the measurement and improvement of patient and employee31    
Total31    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity426,700
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.9%
Average Daily Volume89,924
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.75
Basic Shares Quantity22,130,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/202516.0%16.0%57.8%
7/28/2025-4.8%-2.0%10.4%
4/28/20259.5%17.9%22.7%
1/27/2025-11.9%-12.7%-20.7%
10/25/20244.5%1.1%9.4%
8/6/2024-9.5%-5.1%-5.0%
5/7/2024-16.5%-12.2%-24.7%
2/13/20246.1%5.5%5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121414
# Negative131111
Median Positive2.2%4.5%8.6%
Median Negative-2.6%-4.4%-9.1%
Max Positive16.0%17.9%57.8%
Max Negative-16.5%-12.7%-32.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022303202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021304202210-K 12/31/2021