Tearsheet

NeuroPace (NPCE)


Market Price (5/13/2026): $15.72 | Market Cap: $524.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

NeuroPace (NPCE)


Market Price (5/13/2026): $15.72
Market Cap: $524.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0%

Key risks
NPCE key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on a single product, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Personalized Diagnostics, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -24%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -16%
3 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.0%
6 Key risks
NPCE key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on a single product, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

NeuroPace (NPCE) stock has gained about 5% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong First Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance. NeuroPace exceeded analyst expectations for its first quarter ended March 31, 2026, reporting a narrower loss of $0.13 per share against an estimated loss of $0.19. The company also surpassed revenue estimates, posting $22.07 million compared to a consensus of $21.65 million, representing a 20.1% year-over-year non-GAAP revenue growth (excluding DIXI Medical). This robust performance led NeuroPace to raise its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $99 million to $101 million, an increase from its previous outlook of $98 million to $100 million, implying 21%-23% underlying RNS growth. The non-GAAP net loss improved to ($4.4) million from ($5.6) million, and Adjusted EBITDA loss also showed improvement to ($3.3) million from ($4.1) million year over year.

2. Positive Clinical Trial Data Reinforcing RNS System Efficacy. In April 2026, NeuroPace announced the publication of 3-year Post-Approval Study (PAS) results in the journal Neurology, demonstrating an 82% median seizure reduction in patients with drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Additionally, the company presented 12- and 18-month data from its ongoing NAUTILUS trial at the 2026 American Academy of Neurology Annual Meeting, showing a 77% median reduction in generalized tonic-clonic seizures in patients with idiopathic generalized epilepsy (IGE). These strong clinical outcomes underscore the effectiveness and durability of the RNS System.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.4% change in NPCE stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120265122026Change
Stock Price ($)15.1315.804.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)951005.4%
P/S Multiple5.35.3-0.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3333-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution4.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NPCE4.4% 
Market (SPY)7.0%27.9%
Sector (XLV)-5.4%29.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 59.0% change in NPCE stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255122026Change
Stock Price ($)9.9415.8059.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8910012.9%
P/S Multiple3.75.343.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3333-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution59.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NPCE59.0% 
Market (SPY)8.8%28.6%
Sector (XLV)2.0%24.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 35.2% change in NPCE stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 25.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020255122026Change
Stock Price ($)11.6915.8035.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8010025.1%
P/S Multiple4.45.320.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3033-10.4%
Cumulative Contribution35.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NPCE35.2% 
Market (SPY)34.6%19.1%
Sector (XLV)5.7%13.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 216.0% change in NPCE stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 119.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020235122026Change
Stock Price ($)5.0015.80216.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)46100119.7%
P/S Multiple2.75.393.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2533-25.6%
Cumulative Contribution216.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NPCE216.0% 
Market (SPY)84.4%22.7%
Sector (XLV)14.8%14.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NPCE Return-60%-85%592%9%38%1%-37%
Peers Return16%-10%2%9%3%-26%-12%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%97%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NPCE Win Rate22%17%67%58%42%20% 
Peers Win Rate48%50%48%58%48%25% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NPCE Max Drawdown-65%-87%-3%-43%-26%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-32%-22%-15%-22%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MDT, LIVN, BSX, INSP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/12/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventNPCES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven23 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-24.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven12 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-73.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven272.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven435 days427 days

Compare to MDT, LIVN, BSX, INSP

In The Past

NeuroPace's stock fell -25.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventNPCES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-25.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven23 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-24.1%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven12 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-73.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven272.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven435 days427 days

Compare to MDT, LIVN, BSX, INSP

In The Past

NeuroPace's stock fell -25.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NeuroPace (NPCE)

NeuroPace, Inc. operates as a medical device company in the United States. It develops and sells RNS system, a brain-responsive neuromodulation system for treating medically refractory focal epilepsy by delivering personalized real-time treatment at the seizure source. The company's RNS system also records continuous brain activity data; and enables clinicians to monitor patients in person and remotely. It sells its products to hospital facilities for initial RNS system implant procedures and for replacement procedures. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for NeuroPace:

  • Medtronic for epilepsy.

  • Boston Scientific for brain-responsive seizure control.

  • Abbott for advanced epilepsy therapy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • RNS System: A brain-responsive neuromodulation system designed to treat medically refractory focal epilepsy by delivering personalized, real-time therapy at the seizure source, while also recording continuous brain activity data for patient monitoring.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NeuroPace (NPCE) primarily sells its products to other organizations, not individuals.

Based on the provided background, NeuroPace's major customers are hospital facilities.

The company sells its RNS system to these facilities for initial RNS system implant procedures and for replacement procedures. The provided information does not disclose the specific names of individual hospital customers or their public symbols.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Suppliers:

  • Spectrum Plastics Group
  • Cirtronics Corporation

AI Analysis | Feedback

Joel Becker, CEO and Board Member

Mr. Becker is a global medical device executive with over two decades of experience. He has over 25 years of diverse experience developing markets, driving growth, and leading innovation in medical technologies, from product development to corporate strategy and commercial execution. His prior experience includes leadership roles at Viking North Venturers, the Cardiac Rhythm Management and Neuromodulation business for Integer, and St. Jude Medical.

Patrick F. Williams, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Williams has over 25 years of financial and operational management experience with public medical device companies. He most recently served as Chief Financial Officer at STAAR Surgical. Prior to STAAR, he was Chief Financial Officer of Sientra before transitioning to General Manager of the miraDry® business unit. Before Sientra, he was Chief Financial Officer of ZELTIQ, a medical device company that was acquired in 2017. He has also served as Vice President at NuVasive in strategy, finance, and investor relations roles.

Martha Morrell, MD, Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Morrell serves as NeuroPace's Chief Medical Officer. Her role involves overseeing the medical and clinical aspects of the company's operations, consistent with the company's focus on epilepsy treatment with its RNS system.

Dylan St. John, Chief, Operations and Development

Mr. St. John holds the position of Chief, Operations and Development at NeuroPace. His responsibilities include leading the company's operational strategies and development initiatives.

Brett Wingeier, PhD, Vice President, Research and Development

Dr. Wingeier is a proven innovator and developer of advanced medical devices, including NeuroPace's RNS technology. He served as CEO, CTO, and co-founder of Magnus Medical, which gained FDA clearance for a data-driven platform for major depression. Prior to Magnus, he was CTO, CEO, and co-founder of Halo Neuroscience, a venture-backed company focusing on non-invasive neuromodulation for human performance, from 2013 to 2019. Dr. Wingeier also previously served as a Principal Engineer at NeuroPace from 2001 to 2013, where he was instrumental in projects including the development of the RNS System and the analysis of the company's earliest clinical data.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to NeuroPace's business:

  1. Regulatory Approval and Payer Coverage for Market Expansion: NeuroPace's growth strategy heavily relies on expanding the approved indications for its RNS System, particularly for conditions such as idiopathic generalized epilepsy (IGE) and pediatric use. The process of obtaining FDA approvals for these new indications is lengthy and costly. Furthermore, even with regulatory approval, there is a significant risk in securing adequate coverage and reimbursement from private payers, as well as establishing effective referral pathways and physician training to ensure broad market adoption. Delays or unfavorable outcomes in these areas could materially constrain the company's growth and market access.
  2. Sustained Profitability and Cash Management: NeuroPace has historically experienced operating losses and negative free cash flow. While the company has shown revenue growth, there is a risk that operating expenses could be higher than anticipated, leading to a faster depletion of cash resources and continued unprofitability. Managing financial stability during a critical growth phase, which requires substantial investment in marketing, training, and research and development for new products and expanded indications, presents an ongoing challenge.
  3. Intense Competition and the Need for Continuous Innovation: The medical device industry is highly competitive. NeuroPace operates in a rapidly evolving environment and must continuously innovate its RNS System technology to maintain its differentiated market position and drive adoption. The company faces potential competition from other medical device companies offering alternative epilepsy treatments. Failure to innovate effectively or to compete successfully against existing and emerging technologies could hinder market share growth and impact the company's long-term viability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

NeuroPace's RNS System, which treats medically refractory focal epilepsy, has an addressable market of approximately $26 billion to $27 billion in the United States. This market specifically targets adult epilepsy patients with drug-resistant focal epilepsy.

This U.S. market opportunity corresponds to an estimated 575,000 adults who have drug-resistant focal epilepsy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

NeuroPace (NPCE) anticipates several key drivers for its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, focusing on expanding the reach and utilization of its RNS System:

  1. Increased Adoption and Utilization of the RNS System: NeuroPace expects continued revenue growth from the increasing sales and deeper penetration of its RNS System within its current adult focal epilepsy indication. The company is actively working to expand access to RNS therapy through community pathways and deepening adoption and utilization within its existing customer base, including Level 4 Comprehensive Epilepsy Centers.
  2. Expansion into New Indications – Idiopathic Generalized Epilepsy (IGE): A significant driver is the potential expansion of the RNS System's labeled indication to include patients with drug-resistant idiopathic generalized epilepsy (IGE) with generalized tonic-clonic seizures. NeuroPace submitted a Premarket Approval Supplement (PMA-S) application to the FDA, supported by positive NAUTILUS trial data, with potential approval expected in the second half of 2026.
  3. Launch of AI-Enabled Software Products and Platform Advancements: NeuroPace is developing and launching new software tools, such as the AI-enabled Seizure ID. This tool is designed to analyze brain activity data, rapidly identify seizures and trends, and provide clinicians with clinically relevant data more efficiently, thereby enhancing the RNS platform and expanding clinician capacity. Future advancements include remote care capabilities for telehealth programming and follow-up. Seizure ID is expected to receive FDA approval in the first half of 2026.
  4. Expansion into the Pediatric Focal Epilepsy Population: The company is also pursuing an indication expansion for the RNS System into the drug-resistant pediatric focal epilepsy patient population, which represents a new market opportunity for future growth.
  5. Favorable Medicare Payment Changes: Changes in Medicare payment policies, effective in 2026, are anticipated to improve hospital and physician economics related to RNS System replacement procedures, which could act as a catalyst for increased adoption and utilization.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Share Repurchases

  • In February 2025, NeuroPace completed the repurchase of 5,270,845 shares of its common stock from KCK Ltd. at $9.40 per share, totaling approximately $49.5 million.
  • This repurchase facilitated the organized exit of KCK Ltd. as a significant shareholder.
  • The company also terminated its at-the-market (ATM) offering program around February 2025.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2025, NeuroPace completed an underwritten public offering of 7,475,000 shares of its common stock at $10.00 per share, including the full exercise of the underwriters' option to purchase additional shares.
  • The aggregate gross proceeds from this offering were approximately $74.8 million.

Inbound Investments

  • In February 2025, NeuroPace raised approximately $74.8 million in gross proceeds through a public offering of common stock.

Capital Expenditures

  • NeuroPace reported capital expenditures of $97K in Q4 2025, representing a 223.3% increase from the prior quarter.
  • For the fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures consumed approximately $332K.
  • The primary focus of these capital expenditures is to fund long-term assets and infrastructure.
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Better Bets vs. NeuroPace (NPCE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NPCE.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEHC_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026GEHCGE HealthCare TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
IQV_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026IQVIQVIADip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
UHS_4302026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302026UHSUniversal Health ServicesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ABT_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026ABTAbbott LaboratoriesDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ZBIO_4302026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K04302026ZBIOZenas BioPharmaInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NPCEMDTLIVNBSXINSPMedian
NameNeuroPaceMedtronicLivaNova Boston S.Inspire . 
Mkt Price15.8076.8271.7554.1044.0654.10
Mkt Cap0.598.53.980.31.33.9
Rev LTM10035,4831,43320,6159151,433
Op Inc LTM-166,6111924,10651192
FCF LTM-115,4101613,29897161
FCF 3Y Avg-165,2691122,52560112
CFO LTM-117,2852464,341137246
CFO 3Y Avg-167,0161693,54395169

Growth & Margins

NPCEMDTLIVNBSXINSPMedian
NameNeuroPaceMedtronicLivaNova Boston S.Inspire . 
Rev Chg LTM25.1%6.9%12.4%17.4%8.9%12.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg30.3%4.9%11.1%16.5%25.9%16.5%
Rev Chg Q23.9%8.7%14.3%11.6%1.6%11.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.4%2.1%3.3%2.7%0.4%2.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM24.6%11.1%19.1%26.6%3.0%19.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg26.1%5.3%106.7%24.4%90.3%26.1%
Op Mgn LTM-16.3%18.6%13.4%19.9%5.6%13.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-28.3%18.5%9.8%18.5%2.0%9.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.9%-0.7%-1.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-11.0%20.5%17.1%21.1%14.9%17.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-21.2%20.8%12.7%19.9%11.3%12.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.3%15.2%11.2%16.0%10.6%11.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.5%15.7%8.4%14.0%6.8%8.4%

Valuation

NPCEMDTLIVNBSXINSPMedian
NameNeuroPaceMedtronicLivaNova Boston S.Inspire . 
Mkt Cap0.598.53.980.31.33.9
P/S5.32.82.73.91.42.8
P/Op Inc-32.314.920.419.624.619.6
P/EBIT-37.715.723.819.620.919.6
P/E-24.621.436.622.59.621.4
P/CFO-47.913.516.018.59.313.5
Total Yield-4.1%8.4%2.7%4.4%10.4%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.9%4.7%4.1%2.3%2.8%2.8%
D/E0.10.30.10.10.00.1
Net D/E0.00.2-0.10.1-0.20.0

Returns

NPCEMDTLIVNBSXINSPMedian
NameNeuroPaceMedtronicLivaNova Boston S.Inspire . 
1M Rtn10.8%-11.9%14.3%-12.4%-18.4%-11.9%
3M Rtn3.4%-23.6%7.5%-27.1%-35.3%-23.6%
6M Rtn17.1%-18.2%36.2%-47.2%-51.4%-18.2%
12M Rtn18.2%-7.6%58.6%-47.4%-71.8%-7.6%
3Y Rtn270.9%-4.7%52.5%1.4%-85.0%1.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%-20.2%3.6%-21.8%-27.2%-20.2%
3M Excs Rtn-3.2%-30.3%0.9%-33.8%-42.0%-30.3%
6M Excs Rtn10.4%-25.4%32.2%-55.9%-56.1%-25.4%
12M Excs Rtn-8.2%-35.8%32.1%-78.2%-101.6%-35.8%
3Y Excs Rtn140.3%-84.9%-27.8%-74.0%-163.0%-74.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment8065464541
Total8065464541


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$15.80 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date04/22/2021 
Distance from 52W High-18.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$15.11$13.34
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.5%18.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.8%71.5%
Downside Capture96.75171.86
Upside Capture84.43141.47
Correlation (SPY)27.8%18.8%
NPCE Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.281.241.051.671.091.18
Up Beta0.601.150.921.280.130.86
Down Beta-0.360.26-0.070.540.431.37
Up Capture255%194%159%394%227%280%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days12213160122373
Down Capture170%114%120%142%144%103%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days10223263127364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NPCE
NPCE25.1%71.5%0.60-
Sector ETF (XLV)11.9%15.5%0.5314.2%
Equity (SPY)32.5%12.4%1.9818.6%
Gold (GLD)41.3%26.9%1.269.4%
Commodities (DBC)50.3%18.5%2.06-15.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.5%0.6511.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-21.0%41.7%-0.4614.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NPCE
NPCE-6.8%84.0%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLV)5.1%14.6%0.1712.8%
Equity (SPY)13.7%17.1%0.6319.1%
Gold (GLD)21.0%17.9%0.953.8%
Commodities (DBC)11.4%19.4%0.473.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.9%18.8%0.1113.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.2%55.9%0.349.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NPCE
NPCE-4.3%83.9%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.5%16.5%0.4612.8%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7419.1%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.703.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.9%0.393.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2413.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.2%66.8%1.0710.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-15.6%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity33.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/12/2026   
3/3/20260.9%2.8%1.7%
11/4/202538.1%43.5%74.5%
8/12/20252.1%-9.6%9.6%
5/13/202520.5%38.9%-13.3%
1/28/20254.0%-1.6%-11.1%
11/12/202428.2%28.6%52.8%
8/13/2024-7.0%-0.5%-0.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive899
# Negative988
Median Positive8.0%10.1%10.5%
Median Negative-5.1%-9.8%-12.4%
Max Positive38.1%43.5%103.4%
Max Negative-17.0%-25.3%-45.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/03/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/12/202510-Q
03/31/202505/13/202510-Q
12/31/202403/04/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/13/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202303/05/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/08/202310-Q
03/31/202305/04/202310-Q
12/31/202203/02/202310-K
09/30/202211/08/202210-Q
06/30/202208/11/202210-Q
03/31/202205/12/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue21.00 Mil21.50 Mil22.00 Mil   
2026 Revenue98.00 Mil99.00 Mil100.00 Mil1.5% Higher NewGuidance: 97.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Revenue Growth20.0%21.0%22.0%   
2026 Non-GAAP Gross Margin81.5%82.0%82.5%7.2%5.5%Higher NewGuidance: 76.5% for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA-10.00 Mil-9.50 Mil-9.00 Mil   

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Revenue97.00 Mil97.50 Mil98.00 Mil1.6% RaisedGuidance: 96.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Gross Margin76.0%76.5%77.0%1.3%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 75.5% for 2025
2025 Operating Expenses94.00 Mil94.50 Mil95.00 Mil1.1% RaisedGuidance: 93.50 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Morrell, MarthaCHIEF MEDICAL OFFICERDirectSell304202615.9725,000399,250797,925Form
2Orbimed, Advisors LlcSee FootnotesSell516202515.85168,1362,665,33351,332,720Form