National Bankshares (NKSH)
Market Price (10/25/2026): $40.28 | Market Cap: $256.6 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
National Bankshares (NKSH)
Market Price (10/25/2026): $40.28Market Cap: $256.6 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 7.1% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | Key risksNKSH key risks include [1] pressure on its net interest margin from increased funding costs and [2] intense local competition over loan and deposit rates. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 7.1% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -29% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Key risksNKSH key risks include [1] pressure on its net interest margin from increased funding costs and [2] intense local competition over loan and deposit rates. |
Qualitative Assessment
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National Bankshares (NKSH) stock has gained about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Beat and Significant Year-over-Year Growth.
National Bankshares (NKSH) reported net income of $5.49 million, or $0.86 per diluted share, for the fiscal third quarter of 2026 (ended September 30, 2026). This represents a 24% increase in diluted earnings per share compared to $0.69 in the fiscal third quarter of 2025. The reported EPS of $0.86 also modestly exceeded the consensus estimate of approximately $0.83 per share. Furthermore, year-to-date earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, rose over 55% from the prior year, or over 33% when adjusted for nonrecurring items.
2. Expansion of Net Interest Margin (NIM) Driven by Strategic Portfolio Repositioning.
The company's net interest margin (NIM) expanded significantly to 3.21% in fiscal Q3 2026, an increase of 49 basis points from 2.72% in fiscal Q3 2025. This improvement was largely attributed to a strategic repositioning of its securities portfolio during fiscal Q2 2026. National Bankshares sold low-yielding securities and reinvested the proceeds into higher-yielding mortgage-backed securities, a move anticipated to recover a $6.549 million pretax loss within 1.8 years and lead to earnings accretion thereafter.
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National Bankshares (NKSH) stock has gained about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Beat and Significant Year-over-Year Growth.
National Bankshares (NKSH) reported net income of $5.49 million, or $0.86 per diluted share, for the fiscal third quarter of 2026 (ended September 30, 2026). This represents a 24% increase in diluted earnings per share compared to $0.69 in the fiscal third quarter of 2025. The reported EPS of $0.86 also modestly exceeded the consensus estimate of approximately $0.83 per share. Furthermore, year-to-date earnings for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, rose over 55% from the prior year, or over 33% when adjusted for nonrecurring items.
2. Expansion of Net Interest Margin (NIM) Driven by Strategic Portfolio Repositioning.
The company's net interest margin (NIM) expanded significantly to 3.21% in fiscal Q3 2026, an increase of 49 basis points from 2.72% in fiscal Q3 2025. This improvement was largely attributed to a strategic repositioning of its securities portfolio during fiscal Q2 2026. National Bankshares sold low-yielding securities and reinvested the proceeds into higher-yielding mortgage-backed securities, a move anticipated to recover a $6.549 million pretax loss within 1.8 years and lead to earnings accretion thereafter.
3. Favorable Broader Regional Banking Sector Trends.
The regional banking sector experienced a general trend of improved net interest income and expanding margins during fiscal Q3 2026. This was primarily due to higher interest rates, which allowed regional banks to increase lending rates while maintaining relatively stable funding costs. This macroeconomic tailwind provided a supportive environment for NKSH's performance.
4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Ratings.
Analysts maintained a positive outlook on NKSH, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy." Notably, StockInvest.us upgraded NKSH to a "Strong Buy Candidate" as of October 12, 2026, from a previous "Buy" rating. Additionally, Weiss Ratings upgraded the stock from a "buy (b-)" to a "buy (b)" rating in August 2026. The average one-year price target for National Bankshares is $47.68, with some forecasts reaching as high as $49.09.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.4% change in NKSH stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 36.33 | 40.48 | 11.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 58 | 60 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 30.3% | 33.6% | 11.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.2 | 12.7 | -3.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.4% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKSH | 11.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.8% | 14.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.3% | 43.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.6% change in NKSH stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.64 | 40.48 | 13.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 56 | 60 | 8.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.5% | 33.6% | 17.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.3 | 12.7 | -11.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKSH | 13.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.2% | 7.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 13.6% | 36.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 44.2% change in NKSH stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.08 | 40.48 | 44.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 50 | 60 | 20.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.5% | 33.6% | 49.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.8 | 12.7 | -19.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 44.2% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKSH | 44.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 19.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 5.0% | 44.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 88.5% change in NKSH stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 139.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.47 | 40.48 | 88.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 59 | 60 | 3.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 40.9% | 33.6% | -17.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.3 | 12.7 | 139.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | -7.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 88.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKSH | 88.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 83.9% | 30.8% |
| Sector (XLF) | 75.9% | 41.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NKSH Return | 19% | 17% | -13% | -7% | 23% | 39% | 93% |
| Peers Return | 31% | -3% | -18% | 8% | 10% | 18% | 46% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NKSH Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 38% | 40% | 47% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NKSH Max Drawdown | -13% | -17% | -46% | -23% | -21% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -23% | -24% | -48% | -19% | -24% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TOWN, AUB, UBSI, BHRB, BRBS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/23/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NKSH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1005 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -12.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 96 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 321 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 332 days | 105 days |
In The Past
National Bankshares's stock fell -16.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | NKSH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.0% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1005 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 321 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 332 days | 105 days |
In The Past
National Bankshares's stock fell -16.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 19.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About National Bankshares (NKSH)
National Bankshares, Inc. (NKSH) operates as a bank holding company, primarily through its subsidiary, the National Bank of Blacksburg. The company delivers a full suite of retail and commercial banking products and services designed to meet the financial needs of its diverse clientele.
The core offerings of National Bankshares include a variety of deposit accounts such as checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit, alongside specialized accounts like Health Savings Accounts and Individual Retirement Accounts. On the lending side, the company provides commercial and agricultural loans, commercial and residential real estate loans (including construction), home equity loans, and various consumer loan products. Additionally, NKSH offers complementary services like debit and credit cards, wealth management, trust and estate services, non-deposit investment and insurance products, and convenient digital banking options.
National Bankshares serves a broad customer base, including individuals, businesses, non-profit organizations, and local governments. Its operations are concentrated within the Southwest Virginia market, where it maintains 23 branch offices, a loan production office, and 22 automated teller machines.
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Think of it as the Bank of America for Southwest Virginia.
JPMorgan Chase for Southwest Virginia.
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- Deposit Accounts: Offers a variety of checking, savings, money market, certificates of deposit, health savings accounts, and individual retirement accounts.
- Loan Products: Provides commercial and agricultural, commercial real estate, residential real estate, home equity, consumer, and construction loans.
- Debit and Credit Cards: Issues both business and consumer debit and credit cards.
- Wealth Management, Trust, and Estate Services: Delivers services for managing financial assets, trusts, and estates.
- Investment and Insurance Products: Offers non-deposit investment and insurance products.
- Digital Banking Services: Includes telephone, mobile, and Internet banking for convenient access and management.
- Auxiliary Banking Services: Provides letters of credit, night depository, safe deposit boxes, utility payment services, and automatic funds transfers.
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National Bankshares (NKSH) primarily serves a diverse set of customers, including individuals and various organizations. Based on the provided description, its major customer categories are:
- Individuals: The company provides a wide range of retail banking products and services, including various deposit accounts (interest-bearing and non-interest bearing demand deposit accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, certificates of deposit), residential real estate loans, home equity loans, various consumer loan products, health savings accounts, individual retirement accounts, and debit and credit cards to individual consumers.
- Businesses: National Bankshares offers commercial banking products and services to businesses. This includes commercial and agricultural loans, commercial real estate loans, loans for the construction of commercial properties, and business debit and credit cards, as well as wealth management, trust, and estate services.
- Non-profits and Local Governments: The company explicitly provides commercial banking products and services tailored for non-profit organizations and local government entities.
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Lara E. Ramsey President and Chief Executive Officer
Ms. Ramsey was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of National Bankshares, Inc. and The National Bank of Blacksburg, effective July 1, 2025. She has been with the company since 1996, previously holding roles such as Senior Vice President of Administration, where she oversaw Investment, Human Resources, Marketing, Training, and Corporate Secretary functions, and Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Ms. Ramsey holds bachelor's degrees in Psychology and Economics and a Master's Degree in Industrial and Organizational Psychology from Radford University. She is also an alumna of the Virginia Bankers Association's School of Bank Management, the American Bankers Association's Stonier Graduate School of Banking, and The New River Valley Leadership program, and is a certified Senior Professional in Human Resources.
Lora M. Jones Executive Vice President, Treasurer and Chief Financial Officer
Ms. Jones serves as Executive Vice President, Treasurer, and Chief Financial Officer. She joined National Bankshares in 2010 as a Corporate Analyst, was promoted to Corporate Analysis Officer in 2011, and became Controller in 2014. Before her tenure at National Bankshares, Ms. Jones worked as a Supervisory Senior Accountant at Yount, Hyde, and Barbour, P.C. She is a Certified Public Accountant and holds a Bachelor's Degree in Finance and a Master's Degree in Accounting and Information Systems from Virginia Tech. She is a member of both the Virginia Society of Certified Public Accountants and the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants.
Paul M. Mylum Executive Vice President and Chief Lending Officer
Mr. Mylum joined The National Bank of Blacksburg in 2012 as Senior Vice President of Loans. He brings over 30 years of commercial lending experience, having previously served as a lender at Bank of America, First Citizens Bank, and First Bank and Trust. Mr. Mylum is a graduate of Virginia Tech.
David K. Skeens Executive Vice President and Chief Risk Officer
Mr. Skeens has been with the company since 1990. His past roles include Auditor, Senior Vice President of Operations and Risk Management, and Chief Financial Officer. He earned his Bachelor's Degree in Accounting from Radford University and is a graduate of the Graduate School of Banking at Louisiana State University. Mr. Skeens holds Certified Financial Services Auditor and Certified Trust Auditor designations.
Bobby D. Sanders II Senior Vice President and Chief Credit Officer
Mr. Sanders joined The National Bank of Blacksburg in 2022. He has nineteen years of experience in lending and credit administration. Mr. Sanders holds a Bachelor of Business Administration degree from Western Carolina University and is a graduate of the American Bankers Association Stonier Graduate School of Banking.
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Key Risks to National Bankshares (NKSH)
- Credit Risk and Regional Economic Dependence: National Bankshares operates primarily in Southwest Virginia, with a significant portion of its loan portfolio consisting of commercial, agricultural, residential real estate, and construction loans. This concentration makes the company highly susceptible to the economic health and stability of this specific region. A downturn in the Southwest Virginia economy, declines in real estate values, or struggles within the agricultural or commercial sectors could lead to increased loan defaults, higher non-performing assets, and reduced demand for the bank's lending products, thereby negatively impacting its financial performance.
- Interest Rate Risk: As a traditional bank, National Bankshares' profitability is significantly influenced by interest rate fluctuations. The company generates revenue from the spread between the interest earned on its loan portfolio and investments and the interest paid on its deposits and borrowings. Rapid or unexpected changes in market interest rates, particularly if the rates on deposits increase faster than the rates on loans, could compress the bank's net interest margin, reducing its profitability.
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- Digital-only banks and other fintech companies that offer a completely online/mobile banking experience, often with lower fees, higher interest rates on deposits, and more convenient digital services, directly challenging the traditional branch-based model for deposits and consumer loans.
- Large technology companies (e.g., Apple, Google, Amazon) expanding their offerings into financial services such as payments, lending, and other banking-adjacent products, leveraging their massive user bases and technological capabilities to disintermediate traditional banks.
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National Bankshares (NKSH) anticipates several key drivers for its future revenue growth over the next two to three years.
- Expansion into New Markets: The company has strategically opened new branch facilities in Roanoke and Lynchburg, aiming to tap into these "dynamic economies" to drive growth.
- Launch of Innovative Products and Services: Following a core systems conversion, National Bankshares is now better positioned to offer innovative new products and services, which are expected to enhance customer experience and contribute to revenue growth.
- Improvement in Net Interest Margin: Higher loan yields and reduced deposit costs have already driven net interest margin improvement, which was a significant contributor to net income gains in 2025 and is expected to continue impacting revenue positively.
- Organic Growth in Lending and Deposits: National Bankshares is committed to growing value for its customers and shareholders by elevating its brand as the bank of choice in its communities. This commitment, coupled with its expansion into new markets, suggests a continued focus on attracting new customers and increasing its loan and deposit bases.
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Share Repurchases
- National Bankshares' Board of Directors renewed a stock repurchase plan on May 14, 2025, authorizing the purchase of up to 250,000 shares of common stock from June 1, 2025, to May 31, 2026.
- The company's prior stock repurchase plan expired on May 31, 2025.
- National Bankshares spent $0 on share buybacks in the third quarter of 2024. The last twelve months' (LTM) buyback yield as of March 2026 was 0.0%, indicating minimal recent repurchases.
Share Issuance
- The acquisition of Frontier Community Bank on June 1, 2024, increased National Bankshares' stockholders' equity by $14.3 million.
- As of Q3 2025, National Bankshares had 6 million shares outstanding, with a 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.4%, suggesting no significant net share issuance over the last five years.
Inbound Investments
- No significant inbound investments made in National Bankshares by third-parties have been reported in the last 3-5 years.
Outbound Investments
- National Bankshares, Inc. completed the acquisition of Frontier Community Bank (FCB) on June 1, 2024.
- The acquisition of FCB added $118.7 million in loans, $4.9 million in goodwill, and $2.1 million in core deposit intangibles to National Bankshares.
- Merger expenses related to the FCB acquisition were included in noninterest expense in 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- National Bankshares upgraded to a new core banking system, with most of the conversion expense recognized in the second quarter of 2025.
- Noninterest expense in both 2025 and 2024 included costs associated with this core banking system upgrade.
- The company invested $800K in capital expenditures during the third quarter of 2025, and also opened new branch facilities in Roanoke and Lynchburg in 2025.
Peer Outperformance in Regional Banks
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKSH | National Bankshares | 3.6% | 12.7x | 45.7% | 105.8% | 44.4% | — |
| FBP | First BanCorp | 2.9% | 11.3x | 39.3% | 134.7% | 131.8% | +87pp |
| BPOP | Popular | 2.8% | 10.5x | 43.1% | 187.4% | 119.9% | +76pp |
| SRCE | 1st Source | 7.5% | 11.8x | 46.4% | 115.1% | 100.0% | +56pp |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp | 6.3% | 12.5x | 31.3% | 169.8% | 76.4% | +32pp |
| CATY | Cathay General Bancorp | 2.0% | 12.4x | 40.7% | 114.6% | 75.3% | +31pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinsurance | 6 | 28.7% | 75.2% | 121.5% | SPNT 173% · RNR 148% · RGA 146% |
| Diversified Banks | 12 | 26.4% | 152.5% | 88.0% | CM 137% · RY 123% · JPM 119% |
| Life & Health Insurance | 20 | 14.7% | 55.4% | 74.1% | JXN 472% · UNM 277% · MFC 176% |
| Investment Banking & Brokerage | 13 | -14.4% | 108.1% | 71.9% | IBKR 343% · SNEX 168% · HOOD 140% |
| Property & Casualty Insurance | 42 | 15.1% | 71.3% | 66.7% | TRV 170% · PGR 166% · ACGL 147% |
| Multi-line Insurance | 9 | 6.3% | 66.1% | 57.5% | GNW 99% · L 98% · AIZ 87% |
| Multi-Sector Holdings | 3 | 4.0% | 57.0% | 52.5% | BRK-B 87% · VOYA 52% · JEF 28% |
| Regional Banks ← | 264 | 30.2% | 104.2% | 51.1% | CBC 241% · FCNCA 186% · NIC 148% |
| Financial Exchanges & Data | 15 | 13.8% | 39.1% | 32.1% | CBOE 181% · VIRT 152% · CME 73% |
| Insurance Brokers | 15 | -3.4% | 10.1% | 22.9% | LIFE 405% · ARX 88% · AJG 71% |
| Consumer Finance | 30 | 0.0% | 79.9% | 14.7% | ENVA 374% · FCFS 102% · AGM 92% |
| Diversified Financial Services | 4 | -9.1% | 23.5% | 3.5% | FRHC 160% · EQH 77% |
| Asset Management & Custody Banks | 85 | -12.8% | 19.9% | 2.8% | WT 283% · AAMI 246% · VCTR 241% |
| Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance | 14 | -57.9% | 26.5% | -8.5% | FNMA 386% · FMCC 347% · ACT 161% |
| Specialized Finance | 3 | 7.6% | 44.9% | -12.4% | CACC -12% · HASI -22% |
| Mortgage REITs | 34 | -20.1% | 0.7% | -32.8% | RITM 36% · DX 20% · AGNC 8% |
| Transaction & Payment Processing Services | 17 | 5.3% | 12.0% | -34.1% | V 83% · MA 79% · CPAY 47% |
| Diversified Capital Markets | 20 | -55.6% | 2.1% | -66.5% | LPLA 85% · TW 46% · RIOT -56% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| National Bankshares Stock Lost 5.9%, Buy Or Wait? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 40.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 623 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 107 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 113 |
| CFO LTM | 139 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 143 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 17.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 27.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 27.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.48 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/01/1999 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -11.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $42.35 | $37.84 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -4.4% | 7.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 33.6% | 28.4% |
| Downside Capture | 51.98 | 39.09 |
| Upside Capture | 96.60 | 76.83 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 13.2% | 17.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.73 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.14 | 0.43 | 0.74 |
| Up Beta | -1.81 | 0.72 | -0.61 | -0.28 | 0.31 | 0.61 |
| Down Beta | 2.47 | 0.80 | 0.49 | -0.10 | 0.55 | 0.88 |
| Up Capture | 98% | 25% | 104% | 43% | 54% | 55% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 16 | 28 | 40 | 70 | 137 | 384 |
| Down Capture | 49% | -1% | 31% | 25% | 28% | 89% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 14 | 24 | 56 | 114 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NKSH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKSH | 45.0% | 28.4% | 1.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 8.0% | 14.5% | 0.29 | 40.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.8% | 12.7% | 0.80 | 16.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | -2.8% | 28.5% | -0.11 | 3.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 52.1% | 20.7% | 1.91 | -31.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.3% | 13.9% | 0.06 | 33.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -24.8% | 43.5% | -0.54 | 5.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NKSH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKSH | 7.7% | 32.6% | 0.27 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.0% | 18.3% | 0.35 | 33.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.56 | 23.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.3% | 18.9% | 0.73 | 1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.5% | 19.5% | 0.37 | 0.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.1% | 18.9% | -0.05 | 28.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.7% | 51.7% | 0.29 | 10.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NKSH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKSH | 5.7% | 37.8% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.2% | 22.1% | 0.54 | 46.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 38.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.8% | 16.4% | 0.59 | 0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 18.1% | 0.38 | 8.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 35.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 62.4% | 66.2% | 1.02 | 11.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 10/22/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/23/2026 | -2.6% | -2.2% | -2.8% |
| 1/22/2026 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 4.5% |
| 10/23/2025 | 1.6% | -2.4% | 5.8% |
| 7/24/2025 | -0.8% | -4.4% | 5.2% |
| 4/24/2025 | -2.4% | -4.1% | 1.5% |
| 1/23/2025 | -2.9% | -1.1% | -9.7% |
| 10/24/2024 | -4.4% | -5.0% | 6.5% |
| 7/25/2024 | -0.3% | -9.6% | -4.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 16 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 0.5% | 2.5% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -3.8% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 3.6% | 6.0% | 18.6% |
| Max Negative | -5.7% | -9.6% | -17.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 4/23/2026 | -2.6% | -2.2% | -2.8% |
| 1/22/2026 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 4.5% |
| 10/23/2025 | 1.6% | -2.4% | 5.8% |
| 7/24/2025 | -0.8% | -4.4% | 5.2% |
| 4/24/2025 | -2.4% | -4.1% | 1.5% |
| 1/23/2025 | -2.9% | -1.1% | -9.7% |
| 10/24/2024 | -4.4% | -5.0% | 6.5% |
| 7/25/2024 | -0.3% | -9.6% | -4.0% |
| 4/25/2024 | -2.7% | -1.5% | 12.4% |
| 1/25/2024 | -0.4% | -3.8% | -2.1% |
| 10/26/2023 | 1.4% | 3.3% | 17.5% |
| 7/20/2023 | -5.7% | -7.8% | -17.0% |
| 4/20/2023 | -0.4% | -5.3% | -13.8% |
| 2/2/2023 | 0.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| 10/20/2022 | 0.0% | 5.2% | 13.4% |
| 7/19/2022 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 8.7% |
| 4/21/2022 | 0.1% | -1.4% | -3.8% |
| 2/3/2022 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| 10/21/2021 | -0.1% | 2.5% | 5.9% |
| 7/15/2021 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 8.6% |
| 4/22/2021 | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% |
| 2/4/2021 | 1.7% | 1.3% | 18.1% |
| 10/22/2020 | 0.2% | 3.1% | 18.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 10 | 16 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 0.5% | 2.5% | 6.2% |
| Median Negative | -1.6% | -3.8% | -4.0% |
| Max Positive | 3.6% | 6.0% | 18.6% |
| Max Negative | -5.7% | -9.6% | -17.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/19/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/15/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/19/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/18/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/11/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/07/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/11/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweet, Alan Jeffrey | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 37.10 | 215 | 7,976 | 349,519 | Form | |
| 2 | Ball, Lawrence J | Direct | Buy | 6182025 | 25.80 | 1,000 | 25,800 | 597,760 | Form | |
| 3 | Sweet, Alan Jeffrey | Direct | Buy | 6132025 | 26.50 | 225 | 5,962 | 238,156 | Form | |
| 4 | Smith, Lutheria H | Direct | Buy | 6122025 | 26.17 | 24 | 628 | 39,203 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweet, Alan Jeffrey | Direct | Buy | 3162026 | 37.10 | 215 | 7,976 | 349,519 | Form | |
| 2 | Ball, Lawrence J | Direct | Buy | 6182025 | 25.80 | 1,000 | 25,800 | 597,760 | Form | |
| 3 | Sweet, Alan Jeffrey | Direct | Buy | 6132025 | 26.50 | 225 | 5,962 | 238,156 | Form | |
| 4 | Smith, Lutheria H | Direct | Buy | 6122025 | 26.17 | 24 | 628 | 39,203 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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