Tearsheet

National Bankshares (NKSH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.87 | Market Cap: $215.4 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

National Bankshares (NKSH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $33.87
Market Cap: $215.4 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
Key risks
NKSH key risks include [1] pressure on its net interest margin from increased funding costs and [2] intense local competition over loan and deposit rates.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%
6 Key risks
NKSH key risks include [1] pressure on its net interest margin from increased funding costs and [2] intense local competition over loan and deposit rates.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NKSH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide an analysis for the specified time period from August 31, 2025, to today (December 18, 2025), as this period is entirely in the future. Therefore, there is no historical data available to explain a 10.9% stock movement during that time.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NKSH Return-27%19%17%-13%-7%24%2%
Peers Return8%16%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NKSH Win Rate42%58%75%50%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate41%47%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NKSH Max Drawdown-46%-1%-12%-41%-17%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TOWN, AUB, UBSI, BHRB, BRBS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNKSHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven90.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-36.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven214 days1,480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

National Bankshares's stock fell -47.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/13/2023. A -47.4% loss requires a 90.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About National Bankshares (NKSH)

Better Bets than National Bankshares (NKSH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NKSH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for National Bankshares

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NKSHTOWNAUBUBSIBHRBBRBSMedian
NameNational.Towne Ba.Atlantic.United B.Burke & .Blue Rid. 
Mkt Price33.8635.6236.8940.2769.454.5636.25
Mkt Cap0.22.75.25.71.00.41.9
Rev LTM537911,2051,17833293562
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM132002,210481144-6172
FCF 3Y Avg1312492644663693
CFO LTM162452,221496154-5199
CFO 3Y Avg16174934459737123

Growth & Margins

NKSHTOWNAUBUBSIBHRBBRBSMedian
NameNational.Towne Ba.Atlantic.United B.Burke & .Blue Rid. 
Rev Chg LTM19.8%17.5%53.9%14.3%64.4%-3.3%18.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.7%6.1%22.9%5.9%50.9%-16.3%6.0%
Rev Chg Q21.2%23.6%71.0%23.6%2.4%18.1%22.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.0%5.5%14.6%5.5%0.6%4.4%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM30.8%30.9%184.3%42.1%46.3%-5.0%36.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.9%23.5%87.6%42.2%31.8%8.1%30.9%
FCF/Rev LTM24.6%25.3%183.3%40.8%43.5%-6.0%33.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg25.0%16.5%86.8%40.9%26.6%7.3%25.8%

Valuation

NKSHTOWNAUBUBSIBHRBBRBSMedian
NameNational.Towne Ba.Atlantic.United B.Burke & .Blue Rid. 
Mkt Cap0.22.75.25.71.00.41.9
P/S3.63.34.14.52.84.03.8
P/EBIT-------
P/E14.415.622.812.28.783.915.0
P/CFO11.610.82.310.66.0-81.28.3
Total Yield9.6%9.3%5.0%12.1%13.4%1.2%9.5%
Dividend Yield2.6%2.9%0.6%3.9%1.8%0.0%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.7%22.1%9.7%9.0%2.1%9.0%
D/E-0.10.20.10.60.50.2
Net D/E--0.4-0.0-0.9-0.10.1-0.1

Returns

NKSHTOWNAUBUBSIBHRBBRBSMedian
NameNational.Towne Ba.Atlantic.United B.Burke & .Blue Rid. 
1M Rtn18.1%11.2%17.9%16.7%16.7%11.5%16.7%
3M Rtn14.7%2.1%5.9%9.4%13.2%16.1%11.3%
6M Rtn34.1%10.4%25.6%18.1%25.7%45.2%25.7%
12M Rtn16.0%2.4%-2.8%4.8%3.7%49.7%4.3%
3Y Rtn2.8%30.1%21.9%19.0%--58.6%19.0%
1M Excs Rtn17.4%10.5%17.2%16.0%15.9%10.8%16.0%
3M Excs Rtn9.3%-2.7%0.7%5.9%7.6%9.7%6.7%
6M Excs Rtn21.7%-2.0%13.2%5.7%13.3%32.8%13.3%
12M Excs Rtn3.4%-10.1%-17.0%-8.0%-6.9%33.2%-7.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-65.7%-44.8%-53.6%-57.0%--132.3%-57.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment4759504647
Total4759504647


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity95,954
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202521.4%
Average Daily Volume13,639
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.04
Basic Shares Quantity6,360,973
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20251.6%-2.4%8.6%
7/24/2025-0.8%-4.4%5.2%
4/24/2025-2.4%-4.1%1.5%
1/23/2025-2.9%-1.1%-9.7%
10/24/2024-4.4%-5.0%6.5%
7/25/2024-0.3%-9.6%-4.0%
4/25/2024-2.7%-1.5%12.4%
1/25/2024-0.4%-3.8%-2.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111017
# Negative13147
Median Positive0.9%2.8%8.6%
Median Negative-2.4%-4.0%-9.7%
Max Positive3.6%13.6%18.6%
Max Negative-5.7%-9.6%-17.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023319202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021