Nike (NKE)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $58.69 | Market Cap: $86.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Nike (NKE)
Market Price (12/24/2025): $58.69Market Cap: $86.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -96%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | Key risksNKE key risks include [1] a faltering innovation cycle and a backfiring direct-to-consumer strategy, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, and Advanced Materials. Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO LTM is 3.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.0 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Consumption, and Advanced Materials. Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -96%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3% |
| Key risksNKE key risks include [1] a faltering innovation cycle and a backfiring direct-to-consumer strategy, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 24, 2025, Nike's stock (NKE) experienced a significant decline, with reports indicating a drop of around 25% over the past 12 months and year-to-date, including notable single-day plunges of approximately 10-11% following its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings report in December 2025. This movement was influenced by several key factors:1. Declining Gross Margins: Nike's gross margins saw a meaningful decrease, contracting by nearly 300 basis points in Q2 FY26, primarily due to higher tariff costs in North America, increased promotional activities, and a shift in sales mix towards lower-margin wholesale channels.
2. Persistent Weakness in Greater China Market: Sales in Greater China, a region once considered a strong growth engine for Nike, continued to decline significantly, falling 17% in Q2 FY26. This was attributed to low consumer confidence and intense competition from local brands.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.6% change in NKE stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -10.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 9232025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 70.48 | 57.34 | -18.64% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 46309.00 | 46440.00 | 0.28% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.95% | 6.23% | -10.32% |
| P/E Multiple | 32.33 | 29.25 | -9.55% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1476.80 | 1476.60 | 0.01% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.64% |
Market Drivers
9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKE | -18.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.7% | 25.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 2.7% | 40.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.6% change in NKE stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -33.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 6242025 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 60.71 | 57.34 | -5.56% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 47818.00 | 46440.00 | -2.88% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.43% | 6.23% | -33.88% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.91 | 29.25 | 46.91% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1478.10 | 1476.60 | 0.10% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.56% |
Market Drivers
6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKE | -5.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.7% | 27.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 13.5% | 43.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.5% change in NKE stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -41.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12232024 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.00 | 57.34 | -23.54% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 50012.00 | 46440.00 | -7.14% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.60% | 6.23% | -41.19% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.19 | 29.25 | 38.02% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1497.70 | 1476.60 | 1.41% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.56% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKE | -23.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.7% | 48.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.3% | 55.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -48.0% change in NKE stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -47.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12242022 | 12232025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 110.24 | 57.34 | -47.99% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 47149.00 | 46440.00 | -1.50% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.96% | 6.23% | -47.89% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.63 | 29.25 | -4.52% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1567.10 | 1476.60 | 5.77% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -48.16% |
Market Drivers
12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NKE | -44.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 40.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.2% | 47.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NKE Return | 41% | 19% | -29% | -6% | -29% | -23% | -39% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NKE Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NKE Max Drawdown | -38% | -10% | -50% | -23% | -34% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GIL, AGIE, JPO, MPJS, ZCXX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NKE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 68 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 371 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GIL, AGIE, JPO, MPJS, ZCXX
In The Past
Nike's stock fell -53.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -53.2% loss requires a 113.6% gain to breakeven.
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NIKE, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and sells athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories worldwide. The company offers NIKE brand products in six categories, including running, NIKE basketball, the Jordan brand, football, training, and sportswear. It also markets products designed for kids, as well as for other athletic and recreational uses, such as American football, baseball, cricket, golf, lacrosse, skateboarding, tennis, volleyball, walking, wrestling, and other outdoor activities; and apparel with licensed college and professional team, and league logos, as well as sells sports apparel. In addition, the company sells a line of performance equipment and accessories comprising bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment, and other equipment for sports activities; and various plastic products to other manufacturers. Further, it provides athletic and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories under the Jumpman trademark; and casual sneakers, apparel, and accessories under the Converse, Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron, and Jack Purcell trademarks. Additionally, the company licenses agreements that permit unaffiliated parties to manufacture and sell apparel, digital devices, and applications and other equipment for sports activities under NIKE-owned trademarks. It sells its products to footwear stores; sporting goods stores; athletic specialty stores; department stores; skate, tennis, and golf shops; and other retail accounts through NIKE-owned retail stores, digital platforms, independent distributors, licensees, and sales representatives. The company was formerly known as Blue Ribbon Sports, Inc. and changed its name to NIKE, Inc. in 1971. NIKE, Inc. was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Nike (NKE):
- Apple for sportswear
- Coca-Cola for athletic gear
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- Athletic Footwear: Nike designs, develops, and sells a wide range of athletic shoes for various sports and lifestyle purposes.
- Apparel: The company offers extensive athletic and casual clothing lines, including jerseys, shorts, t-shirts, hoodies, and jackets.
- Equipment & Accessories: Nike provides various sports equipment and accessories such as balls, bags, socks, and headwear.
- Digital Fitness and Community Platforms: Nike operates mobile applications like Nike Run Club and Nike Training Club, offering guided workouts, running tracking, and social features to enhance user engagement.
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Nike's Major Customers (NKE)
Based on its latest financial reporting, Nike (NKE) still primarily generates revenue through its wholesale segment, selling to other companies, although it has made a significant strategic shift towards increasing its direct-to-consumer sales.
Major Wholesale Customer Companies:
Nike generally does not disclose the specific percentage of sales contributed by individual wholesale customers. However, based on industry analysis and their publicly acknowledged relationships, the following are recognized as major strategic partners for Nike's wholesale business:
- Foot Locker (NYSE: FL)
- DICK'S Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS)
- JD Sports Fashion Plc (LSE: JD.L / OTC: JDSPY)
It is important to note that Nike has been actively reducing its overall number of wholesale accounts globally to focus on key strategic partners and to prioritize its own direct-to-consumer channels (e.g., Nike.com, SNKRS app, and Nike-owned retail stores).
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Elliott Hill, President & Chief Executive Officer
Elliott Hill was appointed President & Chief Executive Officer of Nike in October 2024 and has been a director since 2024. He was employed by Nike from 1988 to 2020, holding senior leadership positions across Europe and North America. Before his retirement in 2020, Hill served as President of Consumer and Marketplace, where he was responsible for all commercial and marketing operations for the NIKE and Jordan Brands globally. He also held the role of VP, Global Retail in 2006. Hill currently serves on the board of trustees for Texas Christian University.
Matthew Friend, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Matthew Friend leads Nike's Strategy, Finance, and Business Services organizations to drive value creation for NIKE, Inc. He joined Nike in 2009, initially working in Corporate Strategy and Development. Friend later served as Chief Financial Officer of Emerging Markets, then Chief Financial Officer of Global Categories, Product and Functions, and subsequently Chief Financial Officer of the Nike Brand. He also took on responsibilities as VP, Investor Relations. Prior to joining Nike, Friend worked in the financial industry, holding leadership roles in investment banking and mergers and acquisitions at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. He is a board member for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. and holds a bachelor's degree in business administration from the University of California, Berkeley.
Amy Montagne, President, Nike Brand
Amy Montagne was promoted to President, Nike Brand, effective May 2025. In this role, she is responsible for serving consumers across all sports and driving future growth for the Nike Brand. Montagne has served at Nike for 20 years, previously holding the position of VP/GM Global Women's.
Phil McCartney, Executive Vice President, Chief Innovation, Design & Product Officer
Phil McCartney was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Innovation, Design & Product Officer, effective May 2025. He is responsible for the creation of innovative products across the Nike, Jordan, and Converse brands. McCartney previously served as VP, Footwear and has nearly three decades of experience at Nike.
Nicole Graham, Executive Vice President, Chief Marketing Officer
Nicole Graham was promoted to Executive Vice President, Chief Marketing Officer, effective May 2025. She leads the storytelling for Nike, Jordan, and Converse brands. Graham rejoined Nike in 2023 after a brief break, having previously spent 18 years with the company. She is also a co-founder of Adopt, a minority-owned creative agency.
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Key Risks to Nike's Business (NKE)
Nike, Inc. (NKE) faces several significant risks to its business, primarily stemming from intense market competition, vulnerabilities within its global supply chain, and challenges to its brand reputation. These factors can impact the company's sales, profitability, and market position.
- Intense Competition and Shifting Consumer Preferences: Nike operates in a highly competitive global sportswear and footwear market, facing strong rivals such as Adidas, Under Armour, Puma, and emerging brands like Hoka and On. The company has experienced challenges with its innovation cycle and a perceived decline in excitement around some classic product lines. Consumer preferences are rapidly evolving, with a trend towards more comfort-focused or value-priced options, and a general slowdown in discretionary spending on high-end athletic apparel. Nike's strategic decision to reduce wholesale partners in favor of its direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel has, at times, backfired, negatively impacting sales and requiring the company to reinstate some retailers.
- Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Geopolitical Tensions: Nike's heavy reliance on outsourced manufacturing, particularly in Asian countries like Vietnam and China, exposes it to significant supply chain risks. Disruptions due to geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade wars, tariffs), and the lingering effects of global events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, have led to factory closures, labor shortages, transportation bottlenecks, and issues with inventory management, including periods of both shortages and surpluses. Allegations of forced labor and ethical concerns in its supply chain also pose ongoing risks.
- Brand Reputation and Ethical Concerns: Nike's brand value, a core asset, is vulnerable to controversies and ethical concerns. The company has faced criticism regarding its labor practices, environmental impact, and workplace culture. Recent reports indicate a decline in Nike's reputation score, particularly among high-income consumers, driven by issues related to citizenship, conduct, and workplace conditions. Allegations of mistreatment of female employees and concerns about labor practices in its supply chain continue to challenge Nike's image. Additionally, the widespread issue of counterfeit products can dilute Nike's brand reputation for quality and performance.
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- The rapid ascent and market share capture by specialized performance footwear brands (e.g., On Running, Hoka One One) in key athletic categories like running, challenging Nike's traditional dominance and innovation leadership in performance-oriented products.
- The strategic expansion of premium athleisure brands (e.g., Lululemon) into broader activewear and footwear segments, leveraging their strong brand loyalty and direct-to-consumer models to directly compete with Nike in lifestyle and athletic apparel and footwear markets.
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The addressable markets for Nike's main products and services are significant globally and within the United States.
Athletic Footwear
- Global: The global athletic footwear market was estimated at approximately USD 146.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 205.8 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.0% from 2024 to 2030. Another source indicates the market size was USD 141.1 billion in 2023 and is poised to grow to USD 226.51 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 5.4%.
- U.S.: The U.S. athletic footwear market was valued at approximately USD 15 billion in 2023. It is projected to increase by USD 8.51 billion, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.4% between 2024 and 2029. The market is also projected to reach a value of around USD 26.98 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 5.80% between 2025 and 2034.
Sports Apparel
- Global: The global sports apparel market size was valued at USD 230.6 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 410.8 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 6% from 2023 to 2032. Another report valued the global sportswear market at USD 313.22 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach USD 558.14 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 6.63%. In 2024, the global sports apparel market size was valued at USD 213.31 billion and is expected to reach USD 328.12 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 5.53%.
- U.S.: The U.S. sports apparel market was valued at USD 49.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 80.9 billion by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.60% during 2025-2033. The U.S. sports apparel market generated a revenue of USD 3,569.0 million in 2022 and is expected to reach USD 5,425.0 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.4% from 2023 to 2030.
Sports Equipment
- Global: The global sports equipment market size was valued at USD 388.22 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 695.93 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 6.7% during the forecast period (2025–2033). Another source states the global sports equipment market was valued at USD 234.2 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 423.4 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 6.1% from 2024 to 2033. In 2022, the market was worth around USD 220.57 billion and is predicted to grow to around USD 337.73 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of roughly 5.47%.
- U.S.: The U.S. athletic & sporting goods market size in 2024 was USD 35.5 billion, and it is expected to reach USD 60.1 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 6.9% during 2025–2032. The USA Sports Equipment market is anticipated to reach over USD 32.06 billion by 2029. Additionally, the U.S. ball sports goods market size was estimated at USD 31.35 billion in 2023.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Nike (NKE) over the next 2-3 years:
- Product Innovation Across Key Categories: Nike is expected to drive future revenue growth through continuous product innovation, particularly in performance categories such as running, global football, and women's fitness. The company's "Sport Offense" strategy emphasizes introducing new and compelling products, with innovation platforms anticipated to drive over 50 percent of revenue growth. Recent successes and upcoming products like the Pegasus 41, Air Max Dn, and Vomero 18 are examples of this focus.
- Strategic Repositioning of Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) and Digital: Nike is repositioning its digital and direct-to-consumer channels to be premium, full-price platforms. While this has led to some recent declines in Nike Digital due to reduced promotional activity, the long-term strategy aims to enhance profitability and brand strength by offering a more elevated consumer experience and personalized connections.
- Strengthening the Wholesale Channel and Strategic Partnerships: The company is actively working to strengthen its relationships with wholesale partners and is seeing momentum build in this channel. This includes a focus on newness in the product portfolio for wholesale and aims to create a more balanced marketplace portfolio for sustainable growth.
- Focus on Key Geographic Markets: Nike continues to strengthen its presence in strategic geographic markets, such as Greater China. Despite some recent softness and challenges in brick-and-mortar traffic in this region, it remains an area of focus for growth and market expansion.
- "Sport Offense" Strategy and Brand Storytelling: Nike is sharpening its focus on sport, accelerating the pace and scaling of newness and innovation, and driving "bigger, bolder storytelling." This comprehensive "Sport Offense" strategy aims to fuel brand distinction, elevate the entire marketplace, and deepen connections with consumers, with events like the Olympics serving as key moments to energize the brand.
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Share Repurchases
- In June 2022, Nike's Board of Directors authorized a new four-year, $18 billion program to repurchase shares of its Class B common stock.
- As of October 2024, approximately $8 billion remained under the $18 billion share repurchase authorization.
- Nike repurchased $4.0 billion in shares during fiscal year 2022, $5.48 billion in fiscal year 2023, and $4.25 billion in fiscal year 2024.
Share Issuance
- Nike's issuance of common stock was $1.172 billion in fiscal year 2021, $1.151 billion in fiscal year 2022, and $651 million in fiscal year 2023.
- The company's common stock issuance was $667 million in fiscal year 2024 and an estimated $551 million in fiscal year 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Nike's capital expenditures were $695 million in fiscal year 2021, $758 million in fiscal year 2022, and peaked at $969 million in fiscal year 2023.
- Capital expenditures were $812 million in fiscal year 2024 and are estimated to be $430 million for fiscal year 2025, marking a five-year low.
- Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 are forecasted at $902.2 million. The primary focus of these expenditures includes investments in a new Enterprise Resource Planning Platform, data and analytics, and enhancing the direct-to-consumer (DTC) model to accelerate digital transformation.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to NKE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.6% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.6% | 2.6% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.9% | 3.9% | -1.6% |
| 03312025 | NKE | Nike | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.9% | -8.0% | -16.1% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Nike
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 60.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 47.0 |
| Rev LTM | 24,901 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,074 |
| FCF LTM | 3,009 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 4,893 |
| CFO LTM | 3,526 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,611 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 47.0 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 19.3 |
| P/E | 24.5 |
| P/CFO | 24.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 6.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $57.34 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 84.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/02/1980 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -28.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $64.41 | $66.29 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -11.0% | -13.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 38.2% | 41.6% |
| Downside Capture | 161.33 | 131.17 |
| Upside Capture | 35.25 | 85.03 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.0% | 48.3% |
NKE Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.41 | 0.87 | 0.96 | 1.23 | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Up Beta | -0.19 | 0.46 | 0.61 | 0.88 | 1.04 | 1.04 |
| Down Beta | -2.11 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.71 | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| Up Capture | 79% | 76% | 60% | 143% | 90% | 48% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 19 | 30 | 60 | 113 | 363 |
| Down Capture | 100% | 151% | 186% | 165% | 116% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 22 | 32 | 64 | 134 | 382 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of NKE With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -23.7% | 7.8% | 18.8% | 72.9% | 9.0% | 3.7% | -11.4% |
| Annualized Volatility | 41.4% | 24.3% | 19.5% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.55 | 0.25 | 0.76 | 2.72 | 0.36 | 0.05 | -0.14 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 55.0% | 48.3% | -5.7% | 17.8% | 42.3% | 16.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of NKE With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -15.1% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 35.5% |
| Annualized Volatility | 34.8% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.39 | 0.38 | 0.70 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.16 | 0.62 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 56.5% | 53.9% | 3.7% | 11.4% | 41.9% | 19.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of NKE With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NKE | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 0.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 69.1% |
| Annualized Volatility | 31.7% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.08 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.85 | 0.31 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 61.9% | 58.8% | -0.1% | 17.8% | 46.4% | 14.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/18/2025 | -10.5% | ||
| 9/30/2025 | 6.4% | -1.2% | -6.3% |
| 6/26/2025 | 15.2% | 22.4% | 25.2% |
| 3/20/2025 | -5.5% | -8.4% | -21.9% |
| 12/19/2024 | -0.2% | -0.9% | -3.6% |
| 10/1/2024 | -6.8% | -9.4% | -14.2% |
| 6/27/2024 | -20.0% | -19.9% | -21.9% |
| 3/21/2024 | -6.9% | -6.8% | -6.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| # Negative | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -7.3% | -6.4% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 22.4% | 25.2% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -19.9% | -21.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10012025 | 10-Q 8/31/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7172025 | 10-K 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4032025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1032025 | 10-Q 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10072024 | 10-Q 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7252024 | 10-K 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4042024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1052024 | 10-Q 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10062023 | 10-Q 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7202023 | 10-K 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4062023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1052023 | 10-Q 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10062022 | 10-Q 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7212022 | 10-K 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4052022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1062022 | 10-Q 11/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG | 11102025 | Buy | 62.09 | 16,150 | 1,002,754 | 1,327,981 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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