Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -97 Mil
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 108%
4   Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.75
5   Key risks
NGNE key risks include [1] major clinical and regulatory uncertainty for its lead gene therapy, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -97 Mil
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 108%
6 Significant short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 15.75
7 Key risks
NGNE key risks include [1] major clinical and regulatory uncertainty for its lead gene therapy, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NGNE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Neurogene (NGNE) stock moved by approximately 3.6% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Positive Interim Clinical Data for Rett Syndrome Program

Neurogene reported positive interim clinical data from the pediatric cohort of its NGN-401 Phase 1/2 trial for Rett syndrome. This data demonstrated multidomain, durable gains with continued developmental and milestone skill acquisition, which contributed to positive investor sentiment. 2. Advancement of the Embolden Registrational Trial

The company significantly advanced its NGN-401 gene therapy clinical program by dosing the first participant in the Embolden registrational trial and initiating 12 of 13 sites, with complete enrollment expected within three to six months. This milestone signals progress toward potential regulatory approval.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NGNE Return18%-15%
Peers Return-54%-4%-11%-22%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NGNE Win Rate58%42% 
Peers Win Rate51%32%47%38%40%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NGNE Max Drawdown-21%-68% 
Peers Max Drawdown-59%-49%-45%-36%-52% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRPT, TSHA, RGNX, VYGR, PASG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

NGNE has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Neurogene (NGNE)

Better Bets than Neurogene (NGNE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NGNE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Neurogene

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NGNESRPTTSHARGNXVYGRPASGMedian
NameNeurogeneSarepta .Taysha G.RegenxbioVoyager .Passage . 
Mkt Price19.1421.145.4413.174.269.0111.09
Mkt Cap0.42.11.90.70.30.00.5
Rev LTM02,414616131019
Op Inc LTM-97-86-102-155-140-47-100
FCF LTM-78-389-85-106-119-33-96
FCF 3Y Avg--495-72-174-21-59-72
CFO LTM-77-245-85-103-117-33-94
CFO 3Y Avg--379-69-168-17-58-69

Growth & Margins

NGNESRPTTSHARGNXVYGRPASGMedian
NameNeurogeneSarepta .Taysha G.RegenxbioVoyager .Passage . 
Rev Chg LTM-100.0%47.1%-36.4%91.3%-80.9%--36.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-40.6%--1.0%15.7%-15.7%
Rev Chg Q--14.5%-100.0%22.9%-45.7%--30.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--2.7%-22.1%3.6%-26.5%--12.4%
Op Mgn LTM--3.6%-1,618.5%-96.0%-447.7%--271.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--11.6%-986.7%-216.3%-138.3%--177.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--3.5%-517.5%9.6%-157.9%--80.7%
CFO/Rev LTM--10.1%-1,341.9%-64.0%-372.8%--218.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--26.8%-811.0%-166.2%-110.4%--138.3%
FCF/Rev LTM--16.1%-1,349.7%-65.9%-379.5%--222.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--33.7%-837.5%-172.6%-114.2%--143.4%

Valuation

NGNESRPTTSHARGNXVYGRPASGMedian
NameNeurogeneSarepta .Taysha G.RegenxbioVoyager .Passage . 
Mkt Cap0.42.11.90.70.30.00.5
P/S-0.8183.13.18.8-5.9
P/EBIT--8.4-11.6-3.7---8.4
P/E-4.3-7.1-11.6-2.8-2.2-0.6-3.6
P/CFO-4.7-7.9-13.6-4.8-2.4-0.8-4.8
Total Yield-23.2%-14.1%-8.6%-35.7%-46.2%-177.3%-29.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--10.0%-11.7%-29.3%---11.7%
D/E-0.60.10.2--0.2
Net D/E-0.2-0.2-0.4---0.2

Returns

NGNESRPTTSHARGNXVYGRPASGMedian
NameNeurogeneSarepta .Taysha G.RegenxbioVoyager .Passage . 
1M Rtn-14.8%20.5%32.0%18.2%3.6%0.3%10.9%
3M Rtn8.1%24.0%87.6%45.8%0.0%28.2%26.1%
6M Rtn4.6%1.8%111.7%53.7%40.1%15.4%27.7%
12M Rtn-19.3%-83.2%168.0%55.5%-31.8%-32.8%-25.6%
3Y Rtn--82.9%154.2%-43.3%-28.2%-62.5%-43.3%
1M Excs Rtn-15.5%19.8%31.3%17.5%2.9%-0.4%10.2%
3M Excs Rtn1.1%12.8%80.6%39.4%-6.4%18.0%15.4%
6M Excs Rtn-7.8%-10.6%99.3%41.3%27.7%3.0%15.4%
12M Excs Rtn-29.7%-94.0%151.7%48.0%-43.1%-51.7%-36.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--151.0%64.0%-110.5%-99.7%-127.1%-110.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment  0
Total  0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment223109101
Total223109101


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,285,408
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume208,609
Days-to-Cover Short Interest15.75
Basic Shares Quantity21,168,431
Short % of Basic Shares15.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-14.0%-23.0% 
8/11/2025-5.6%0.5%-8.6%
3/24/20251.7%-16.1%10.6%
11/18/2024-13.1%12.6%9.9%
8/9/2024-2.6%-2.5%-3.9%
3/18/202420.0%30.6%-10.4%
11/14/2022   
8/9/2022   
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive232
# Negative131213
Median Positive10.9%12.6%10.3%
Median Negative-9.3%-16.1%-8.6%
Max Positive20.0%30.6%10.6%
Max Negative-14.0%-23.0%-10.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251113202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024324202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241118202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023318202410-K 12/31/2023
123120229282023S-4/A 12/31/2022