Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -80%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -131%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -80%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

NEOG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025, Neogen's stock (NEOG) experienced a 37% increase, driven by several key developments.

1. New CEO Appointment: The appointment of Mike Nassif as Neogen's new Chief Executive Officer and President, effective August 11, 2025, was met with a positive investor response. Investors likely viewed Nassif's track record as a strong indicator of potential for future operational direction and market position.

2. Strong Full-Year Guidance: On October 9, 2025, Neogen announced its first-quarter 2026 results. Despite reporting a 3.6% decrease in revenue, the company reaffirmed its full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance, with both midpoints slightly exceeding analyst expectations. This optimistic outlook for future profitability led to a significant 21.4% jump in the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NEOG Return22%15%-66%32%-40%-48%-80%
Peers Return41%28%-27%29%-15%21%75%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NEOG Win Rate58%50%17%58%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate67%62%40%57%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NEOG Max Drawdown-17%-2%-76%-4%-42%-64% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-10%-43%-10%-21%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MRK, ZTS, IDXX, ELAN, WST. See NEOG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNEOGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-77.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven348.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-25.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven848 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven175 days1480 days

Compare to MRK, ZTS, IDXX, ELAN, WST


In The Past

Neogen's stock fell -77.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2021. A -77.7% loss requires a 348.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Neogen (NEOG)

Better Bets than Neogen (NEOG)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NEOG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.9%-8.9%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.2%-31.2%-31.2%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.8%15.8%-7.0%
NEOG_9302022_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd09302022NEOGNeogenDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
32.6%32.7%-22.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.9%-8.9%-10.1%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-31.2%-31.2%-31.2%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.7%-1.7%-1.9%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.8%15.8%-7.0%
NEOG_9302022_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd09302022NEOGNeogenDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
32.6%32.7%-22.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Neogen

Financials

NEOGMRKZTSIDXXELANWSTMedian
NameNeogen Merck Zoetis IDEXX La.Elanco A.West Pha. 
Mkt Price6.3792.93121.16701.4821.99266.66107.05
Mkt Cap1.4231.953.756.210.919.336.5
Rev LTM88764,2359,3974,1674,5913,0184,379
Op Inc LTM-2022,3913,5361,306241631968
FCF LTM-313,0492,240940354379660
FCF 3Y Avg-4413,6852,013804223374589
CFO LTM8717,0652,9161,088629694891
CFO 3Y Avg5317,5062,686945426721833

Growth & Margins

NEOGMRKZTSIDXXELANWSTMedian
NameNeogen Merck Zoetis IDEXX La.Elanco A.West Pha. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.8%1.7%2.7%8.4%3.1%4.9%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg23.2%2.9%5.5%7.7%0.4%1.3%4.2%
Rev Chg Q-3.6%3.7%0.5%13.3%10.4%7.7%5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%1.0%0.1%3.2%2.4%1.9%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM-2.3%34.9%37.6%31.3%5.2%20.9%26.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.6%23.7%36.8%30.1%6.2%21.8%22.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.1%3.7%0.1%0.3%0.6%-0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.8%26.6%31.0%26.1%13.7%23.0%24.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%28.2%29.8%24.4%9.4%24.6%24.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.4%20.3%23.8%22.6%7.7%12.6%16.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.9%22.0%22.3%20.7%4.9%12.7%16.7%

Valuation

NEOGMRKZTSIDXXELANWSTMedian
NameNeogen Merck Zoetis IDEXX La.Elanco A.West Pha. 
Mkt Cap1.4231.953.756.210.919.336.5
P/S1.63.65.713.52.46.44.7
P/EBIT-1.410.015.142.964.331.923.5
P/E-1.312.220.254.7303.539.229.7
P/CFO15.913.618.451.617.427.717.9
Total Yield-75.4%11.7%6.5%1.8%0.3%2.7%2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.5%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.3%5.5%2.6%1.9%2.5%1.7%2.2%
D/E0.60.20.10.00.40.00.2
Net D/E0.50.10.10.00.3-0.00.1

Returns

NEOGMRKZTSIDXXELANWSTMedian
NameNeogen Merck Zoetis IDEXX La.Elanco A.West Pha. 
1M Rtn7.8%9.7%-15.3%10.1%8.8%2.2%8.3%
3M Rtn15.8%13.4%-20.6%7.3%22.2%8.4%10.9%
6M Rtn-2.9%26.7%-23.9%37.0%69.9%26.8%26.7%
12M Rtn-58.0%-2.2%-30.7%63.2%55.0%-22.2%-12.2%
3Y Rtn-60.1%1.3%-14.6%63.9%70.7%10.9%6.1%
1M Excs Rtn6.1%9.5%-15.4%8.8%6.2%0.5%6.1%
3M Excs Rtn12.9%7.0%-25.6%3.3%18.0%3.9%5.5%
6M Excs Rtn-16.8%12.9%-37.8%23.1%56.1%12.9%12.9%
12M Excs Rtn-73.4%-16.6%-42.6%48.1%41.8%-30.5%-23.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-130.9%-75.9%-84.1%7.2%-8.8%-56.4%-66.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Food Safety655547260234213
Animal Safety269276267234205
Corporate and Eliminations 00  
Total924822527468418


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Food Safety8260393434
Animal Safety3943534939
Corporate and Eliminations-63-66-33-8-5
Total5938597468


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Food Safety4,0353,970304295222
Animal Safety343339307244231
Corporate and Eliminations171246381381344
Total4,5494,554993920797


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity23,141,526
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520250.9%
Average Daily Volume3,341,059
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.93
Basic Shares Quantity217,217,836
Short % of Basic Shares10.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/9/202516.5%2.2%2.7%
7/29/2025-10.9%-13.7%3.9%
4/9/2025-28.7%-29.7%-14.9%
1/10/2025-5.4%-11.2%-20.3%
10/10/2024-7.1%-1.6%6.3%
7/30/20241.6%-6.6%-0.6%
4/9/2024-9.3%-16.5%-13.7%
1/9/2024-8.4%-9.3%-19.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive569
# Negative161512
Median Positive1.6%2.1%4.9%
Median Negative-5.5%-5.7%-9.3%
Max Positive16.5%10.1%23.2%
Max Negative-28.7%-29.7%-20.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251009202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025730202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025409202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024115202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241010202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024730202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024409202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023109202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231010202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023815202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023404202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022109202310-Q 11/30/2022
8312022930202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022727202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022401202210-Q 2/28/2022
113020211230202110-Q 11/30/2021

Insider Activity

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