Tearsheet

Northann (NCL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.3806 | Market Cap: $4.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances

Northann (NCL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.3806
Market Cap: $4.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Household Appliances

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.4
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -23%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -56%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 115%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -72%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 665%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.4
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.3 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -44%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -23%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -56%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 115%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -72%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 665%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NCL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Northann (NCL) experienced a significant stock price decline of 64.2% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Delayed Q2 2025 10-Q Filing.

Northann Corp. announced a delay in filing its Form 10-Q for the quarter ending June 30, 2025, on August 14, 2025, citing the need for additional time to compile and verify data. This delay raised concerns about the company's financial reporting and operational stability. 2. Approval of a Reverse Stock Split.

On September 25, 2025, Northann Corp. announced its Board of Directors approved a one-for-eight reverse stock split, effective October 7, 2025. This action was explicitly taken to increase the per-share price to maintain the company's listing on the NYSE American, often signaling underlying financial distress and leading to negative investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NCL Return-----82%-81%-96%
Peers Return17%3%-13%-6%2%-19%-18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCL Win Rate---0%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate27%22%15%27%32%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCL Max Drawdown-----89%-94% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-5%-18%-13%-24%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SN, IRBT, ALH, XWIN, WHR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

NCL has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northann (NCL)

Better Bets than Northann (NCL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NCL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Northann

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCLSNIRBTALHXWINWHRMedian
NameNorthann SharkNin.iRobot Alliance.XMax Whirlpool 
Mkt Price0.39107.443.3922.495.4980.8513.99
Mkt Cap0.015.20.1--4.52.3
Rev LTM126,085547-1015,563547
Op Inc LTM-5782-149--4828-4
FCF LTM-6392-107--162-1
FCF 3Y Avg-4176-45--2229-2
CFO LTM-5537-107--1437-1
CFO 3Y Avg-3313-43--2720-2

Growth & Margins

NCLSNIRBTALHXWINWHRMedian
NameNorthann SharkNin.iRobot Alliance.XMax Whirlpool 
Rev Chg LTM-20.9%18.9%-33.1%--0.0%-11.4%-11.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-22.8%--24.3%--9.1%-8.9%-15.9%
Rev Chg Q-56.1%14.3%-24.6%--4.9%1.0%-4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-15.4%3.5%-8.0%--1.3%0.3%-1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-43.9%12.8%-27.3%--38.4%5.3%-27.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.7%10.5%-21.9%--68.5%5.1%-19.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-21.8%1.0%-6.7%-2.5%-0.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-43.6%8.8%-19.6%--9.5%2.8%-9.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-24.3%6.0%-7.5%--23.2%4.1%-7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-50.3%6.4%-19.6%--9.5%0.4%-9.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-27.4%3.3%-7.7%--23.3%1.3%-7.7%

Valuation

NCLSNIRBTALHXWINWHRMedian
NameNorthann SharkNin.iRobot Alliance.XMax Whirlpool 
Mkt Cap0.015.20.1--4.52.3
P/S1.02.40.2--0.30.7
P/EBIT-1.518.4-0.7--8.84.1
P/E-1.525.3-0.6---24.1-1.0
P/CFO-2.427.1-1.2--10.14.5
Total Yield-67.7%3.9%-166.7%--3.7%-32.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--7.8%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.6%-32.4%--3.8%1.6%
D/E0.50.11.8--1.91.2
Net D/E0.40.01.6--1.71.0

Returns

NCLSNIRBTALHXWINWHRMedian
NameNorthann SharkNin.iRobot Alliance.XMax Whirlpool 
1M Rtn-34.3%26.0%17.3%-16.2%-15.4%15.4%
3M Rtn-68.4%-8.9%6.3%---8.5%-8.7%
6M Rtn-96.4%22.2%1.6%--1.2%1.4%
12M Rtn-80.4%8.7%-57.9%---22.2%-40.0%
3Y Rtn---93.6%---33.5%-63.6%
1M Excs Rtn-34.3%26.0%17.3%-16.2%-15.5%15.5%
3M Excs Rtn-72.5%-16.7%2.6%---16.4%-16.5%
6M Excs Rtn-111.1%7.5%-13.1%---13.5%-13.3%
12M Excs Rtn-94.2%-6.7%-69.0%---36.4%-52.7%
3Y Excs Rtn---166.3%---105.3%-135.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity223,813
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202564.0%
Average Daily Volume108,765
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.06
Basic Shares Quantity11,933,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025819202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025718202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024701202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024520202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023416202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231120202310-Q 9/30/2023
63020238242023S-1/A 6/30/2023
123120227142023S-1 12/31/2022
123120212102023DRS/A 12/31/2021