Tearsheet

Northann (NCL)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $0.2753 | Market Cap: $4.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Household Appliances

Northann (NCL)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $0.2753
Market Cap: $4.2 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Household Appliances

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 138%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%
4   Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%
5   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -429%
7   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 664%
8   Key risks
NCL key risks include [1] a "going concern" qualification and potential delisting from the NYSE American due to financial and filing non-compliance, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Green Building Materials, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.3
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -112%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 138%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 62%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -50%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -429%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 664%
10 Key risks
NCL key risks include [1] a "going concern" qualification and potential delisting from the NYSE American due to financial and filing non-compliance, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NCL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -75.2% stock movement for Northann (NCL) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025: 1. NYSE American Non-Compliance Notice: On December 11, 2025, Northann Corp. received a notice from NYSE American for failing to meet continued listing standards, specifically citing stockholders' equity of approximately $1.8 million as of September 30, 2025, which fell below the required $2.0 million threshold. The company was given until January 7, 2026, to submit a compliance plan and was also required to pay an outstanding fee, leading to its common stock trading with a ".BC" suffix, indicating "below compliance."

2. Late Filing of Quarterly Report: Northann Corp. filed a Form 12b-25 on August 14, 2025, notifying the SEC that it would not be able to timely file its Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2025. The company stated it required additional time to compile and verify necessary data, raising concerns about its financial reporting and operational efficiency.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NCL Return-82%-87%
Peers Return18%21%-45%29%25%-18%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCL Win Rate0%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate60%52%35%54%50%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCL Max Drawdown-89%-94% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-15%-51%-17%-15%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MHK, TILE, FND, CULP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

NCL has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Northann (NCL)

Better Bets than Northann (NCL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NCL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.6%3.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.4%18.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.9%11.9%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.6%3.6%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.4%18.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.9%11.9%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Northann

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCLMHKTILEFNDCULPMedian
NameNorthann Mohawk I.InterfaceFloor & .Culp  
Mkt Price0.27107.8827.9362.253.4627.93
Mkt Cap0.06.71.66.70.01.6
Rev LTM1310,7231,3724,6002051,372
Op Inc LTM-15551158306-8158
FCF LTM-658711735-1835
FCF 3Y Avg-361311690-1190
CFO LTM-5994157417-16157
CFO 3Y Avg-31,100146556-8146

Growth & Margins

NCLMHKTILEFNDCULPMedian
NameNorthann Mohawk I.InterfaceFloor & .Culp  
Rev Chg LTM-16.6%-0.8%5.1%4.9%-7.8%-0.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.0%-3.2%1.8%5.7%-7.4%-3.2%
Rev Chg Q38.6%1.4%5.9%7.1%-4.4%5.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.2%0.4%1.5%1.8%-1.2%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM-112.2%5.1%11.5%6.7%-3.9%5.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-46.9%5.4%9.7%7.8%-5.6%5.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-68.3%-0.7%0.7%-0.0%0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-41.7%9.3%11.4%9.1%-7.9%9.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-19.0%10.1%11.1%12.5%-4.0%10.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-49.6%5.5%8.6%0.8%-8.7%0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-22.6%5.6%8.8%2.0%-5.2%2.0%

Valuation

NCLMHKTILEFNDCULPMedian
NameNorthann Mohawk I.InterfaceFloor & .Culp  
Mkt Cap0.06.71.66.70.01.6
P/S0.30.61.21.50.20.6
P/EBIT-0.212.410.524.7-5.210.5
P/E-0.215.914.431.7-4.114.4
P/CFO-0.86.710.416.1-2.76.7
Total Yield-425.3%6.3%7.1%3.2%-24.6%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.7%12.6%0.8%-17.3%4.7%
D/E1.40.30.20.30.50.3
Net D/E1.40.30.10.30.20.3

Returns

NCLMHKTILEFNDCULPMedian
NameNorthann Mohawk I.InterfaceFloor & .Culp  
1M Rtn-31.5%3.1%8.8%9.0%-10.4%3.1%
3M Rtn-82.2%-17.4%-5.4%-25.3%-19.0%-19.0%
6M Rtn-80.5%8.4%39.0%-17.7%-11.5%-11.5%
12M Rtn-87.0%-7.7%13.6%-36.1%-35.0%-35.0%
3Y Rtn-14.7%184.5%-12.5%-22.9%1.1%
1M Excs Rtn-34.4%0.2%5.9%6.1%-13.3%0.2%
3M Excs Rtn-81.9%-18.3%-8.1%-25.3%-20.5%-20.5%
6M Excs Rtn-93.2%-8.6%21.4%-31.1%-21.9%-21.9%
12M Excs Rtn-101.2%-26.4%-4.2%-55.6%-50.0%-50.0%
3Y Excs Rtn--65.2%97.4%-92.7%-95.5%-79.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Sales of products3413
Patent licensing00
Total3513


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity104,582
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-53.3%
Average Daily Volume92,711
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.13
Basic Shares Quantity15,353,362
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025819202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025718202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024701202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024520202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023416202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231120202310-Q 9/30/2023
63020238242023S-1/A 6/30/2023
123120227142023S-1 12/31/2022
123120212102023DRS/A 12/31/2021