Tearsheet

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL)


Market Price (2/4/2026): $13.05 | Market Cap: $644.7 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL)


Market Price (2/4/2026): $13.05
Market Cap: $644.7 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Asset Management & Custody Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 29%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 25%, FCF Yield is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 164%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 206%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 206%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  Key risks
NCDL key risks include [1] significant credit exposure from its heavy portfolio concentration in volatile middle-market companies, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 29%, Dividend Yield is 17%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 25%, FCF Yield is 28%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 206%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 206%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Private Credit.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 164%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -36%
7 Key risks
NCDL key risks include [1] significant credit exposure from its heavy portfolio concentration in volatile middle-market companies, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) stock has lost about 5% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Declining Net Investment Income (NII) and Undercovered Dividend. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) experienced its sixth consecutive quarter of declining Net Investment Income (NII) per share in Q3 2025, reaching $0.43. This NII figure resulted in the company's base dividend being 95% covered, which is below the sector average of 100%, suggesting that NCDL may need to draw from its balance sheet to sustain its current dividend distributions. Analysts also anticipate a continued decrease in NII for NCDL in 2025, 2026, and 2027.

2. Weakening Broadly Syndicated Loan Market Conditions. The broader leveraged credit market, which can influence direct lending, saw a significant weakening in Q4 2025. Secondary loan prices softened, and lenders imposed stricter terms. Overall syndicated loan activity decreased substantially, with new-issue volume hitting a two-year low, indicating a less favorable environment for lending activities.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -6.4% change in NCDL stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120252032026Change
Stock Price ($)13.9713.07-6.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9886-12.4%
Net Income Margin (%)98.9%92.0%-7.0%
P/E Multiple7.28.213.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)50491.6%
Cumulative Contribution-6.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCDL-6.4% 
Market (SPY)1.1%33.6%
Sector (XLF)2.2%34.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.7% change in NCDL stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120252032026Change
Stock Price ($)15.3313.07-14.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9986-13.1%
Net Income Margin (%)102.4%92.0%-10.1%
P/E Multiple7.98.23.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)52495.7%
Cumulative Contribution-14.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCDL-14.7% 
Market (SPY)9.4%30.9%
Sector (XLF)2.6%36.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.1% change in NCDL stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252032026Change
Stock Price ($)15.2113.07-14.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11486-24.6%
Net Income Margin (%)101.3%92.0%-9.2%
P/E Multiple7.28.213.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)554910.7%
Cumulative Contribution-14.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCDL-14.1% 
Market (SPY)15.6%48.4%
Sector (XLF)5.1%49.1%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/3/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NCDL  
Market (SPY)75.9%37.6%
Sector (XLF)53.1%40.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NCDL Return---6%-10%0%-4%
Peers Return28%-10%32%21%-7%-6%61%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%86%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NCDL Win Rate---50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate80%45%72%72%48%0% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NCDL Max Drawdown----10%-13%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%-19%-2%-2%-17%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ARCC, OBDC, FSK, BXSL, GBDC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/3/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

NCDL has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,470 days1,480 days

Compare to ARCC, OBDC, FSK, BXSL, GBDC

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL):
  • It's like **JPMorgan Chase** or **Bank of America**, but specifically lending to private businesses.
  • It's like a **Vanguard bond fund**, but it invests in loans to private companies instead of public bonds.
  • It's like **Blackstone** or **KKR**, but focused on providing debt (loans) to private companies instead of equity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Senior Secured Direct Loans: NCDL provides debt financing directly to U.S. middle-market companies, typically secured by the borrower's assets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) operates as a Business Development Company (BDC), which means it primarily provides financing to other companies, rather than individuals.

Specifically, NCDL invests primarily in senior secured loans, junior secured loans, and to a lesser extent, unsecured loans and equity of private middle-market companies. These companies are its "customers" (borrowers).

Due to the private and confidential nature of direct lending, NCDL does not publicly disclose the names of its specific borrower companies. In the direct lending market, loans are typically made to privately held businesses, often backed by private equity sponsors. Therefore, it is not possible to list specific customer companies or their symbols as they are generally not public entities, and their identities are typically kept confidential as part of the lending agreements.

Instead of a few "major customers," NCDL's portfolio is diversified across numerous middle-market companies operating in various industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Churchill Asset Management LLC
  • State Street Corporation (STT)
  • Computershare Limited (CPU.AX)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Kenneth Kencel, Chief Executive Officer, President, Chairman of the Board

Kenneth Kencel has served as Chief Executive Officer, President, and Chairman of the Board of Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL) since December 2019. He has also been the President and Chief Executive Officer of Churchill Asset Management (Churchill) since 2015. Kencel has over 35 years of experience in leading private credit investment businesses. He previously served as a Managing Director of The Carlyle Group and was President and a Director of TCG BDC, Inc. (Carlyle's publicly traded business development company). Prior to Carlyle, he founded and was President and CEO of Churchill Financial Group. He also served as Head of Leveraged Finance for Royal Bank of Canada and as Head of Indosuez Capital. Kencel helped found the high-yield finance business at Chase Securities (now JP Morgan Chase) and began his career at Drexel Burnham Lambert in Mergers & Acquisitions.

Shai Vichness, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Shai Vichness serves as Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. He also holds the position of Senior Managing Director and Chief Financial Officer of Churchill Asset Management. Previously, as Managing Director and Head of Senior Leveraged Lending for Nuveen, Vichness was responsible for initiating Nuveen's investment program in middle market senior loans and was directly involved in the launch of Churchill as an affiliate in 2015.

Jason Strife, Senior Managing Director, Head of Private Equity & Junior Capital

Jason Strife serves as Senior Managing Director and Head of Private Equity & Junior Capital at Churchill Asset Management. In this role, he is responsible for sourcing, executing, portfolio construction, and monitoring Churchill's middle market private equity and junior capital investment efforts, including fund commitments, equity co-investments, and junior debt investments. Prior to joining Nuveen, Strife was a Principal at Bison Capital, a Los Angeles-based private equity firm focused on structured junior capital investments in lower middle-market companies. He also serves as an NCDL Investment Committee Member.

Randy Schwimmer, Senior Managing Director, Head of Origination & Capital Markets

Randy Schwimmer is a Senior Managing Director and Head of Origination & Capital Markets at Churchill Asset Management. He leads the firm’s origination team, which sources and screens new investment opportunities. He also oversees Churchill's capital markets activities and co-heads its and NCDL’s Investment Committee. Prior to Churchill, he founded and was CEO of The Debt Exchange, a loan sale advisory firm, which he sold to Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) in 2010. He also previously worked at BT Alex. Brown in debt private placements.

John McCally, Vice President and Secretary

John McCally serves as Vice President and Secretary of Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. His role involves administrative and secretarial duties for the company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) faces several key risks inherent to its business model and investment strategy.

  1. High Exposure to Middle-Market Companies and Credit Risk: A significant portion of NCDL's portfolio, approximately 79%, is allocated to senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle-market companies. These companies are generally more susceptible to financial volatility than larger corporations, which increases the credit risk for NCDL. During economic downturns, these middle-market borrowers may face difficulties with cash flow, potentially leading to increased defaults and a negative impact on NCDL's financial performance.
  2. Dependence on Leveraged Financing and Sensitivity to Interest Rate Changes: NCDL employs substantial leverage in its financing structure, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.5:1. This reliance on borrowed capital makes the company particularly sensitive to fluctuations in interest rates. Rising interest rates can increase NCDL's borrowing costs, which could lead to tighter profit margins and affect its overall profitability. While most of NCDL's investments are in floating-rate loans, offering some protection in a rising rate environment, a sustained period of declining interest rates could also negatively impact the yields on its debt investments.
  3. Potential Conflicts of Interest: Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending has related-party transactions, which introduce the potential for conflicts of interest. The company's success relies on the senior management of Churchill, and there may be conflicts arising from the obligations these investment professionals have to other clients. The recommendations provided to NCDL by Churchill may also differ from those given to other clients. Related-party transactions account for approximately 15% of NCDL's total revenue, posing a risk of misalignment between management and shareholder interests.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The most significant clear emerging threat for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) is the **intensifying competition within the broader private credit and direct lending market**. Fueled by a massive influx of institutional capital seeking higher yields and diversification, an increasing number of private credit funds and Business Development Companies (BDCs) are competing for a finite pool of middle-market borrowers. This heightened competition is leading to several pressures:

  1. **Yield Compression:** More lenders chasing the same deals drives down interest rates and fees, directly impacting NCDL's potential interest income and overall profitability.
  2. **Erosion of Underwriting Standards:** To win deals in a crowded market, lenders may accept looser covenants and less protective terms, potentially increasing the risk profile across portfolios without necessarily commensurate returns.
  3. **Increased Difficulty in Sourcing Attractive Assets:** The supply of high-quality, suitable borrowers may not be keeping pace with the abundant supply of lending capital, forcing participants to either take on more risk or accept lower returns on investment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) primarily focuses on investing in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle-market companies. This falls within the broader private credit and direct lending markets.

The global private credit market reached approximately US$3 trillion in assets under management (AUM) in 2025. Direct lending, which is NCDL's main product area, constitutes roughly 50% of this global private credit AUM, translating to approximately US$1.5 trillion in 2025.

Focusing on the United States, which is NCDL's primary region of operation, the U.S. private credit market was approximately US$1.25 trillion in 2024. More broadly, the private credit market in the United States is estimated to be between US$1.5 trillion and US$2.1 trillion, representing approximately three-quarters of the global market. Specifically for direct lending, U.S.-based funds deployed roughly US$500 billion in new loans in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL)

Over the next 2-3 years, Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key factors:

  1. Increased Transaction Activity and Deployment of New Investments: NCDL anticipates benefiting from increased transaction activity, particularly as a potential rate reduction cycle in 2025 is expected to spur higher merger and acquisition (M&A) activity. This will provide more opportunities for the company to deploy new investments. In 2024, NCDL's investment team deployed over $950 million in new investments, representing a year-over-year increase of more than 40%. The company aims to redeploy capital from repayments and maintain its leverage within its target range of 1 to 1.25 times debt to equity to capitalize on attractive investment opportunities.
  2. Continued Growth of Private Credit Markets: The sustained expansion of the private credit markets is a significant factor supporting NCDL's platform strength and earnings power. The company's predominantly floating rate portfolio is considered advantageous in a declining interest rate environment, which can contribute to long-term growth in the private credit market.
  3. Strong Position and Differentiated Sourcing in the Core Middle Market: NCDL is strategically positioned as a leader in the core middle market. The company leverages its differentiated investment approach, unique sourcing model, and deep network of relationships with private equity sponsors across the broader Churchill platform. This enables NCDL to access a wide array of attractive investment opportunities and provide a full suite of scaled solutions across the capital structure, solidifying its role as a preferred capital partner.
  4. Optimization of Capital Structure and Balance Sheet: NCDL has taken steps to optimize its capital structure and balance sheet, including the issuance of $300 million in unsecured notes in January 2025. This strategic financial management provides additional capital and flexibility to support continued investment growth. The company also focuses on maintaining optimal leverage to maximize its investment capacity.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending (NCDL) completed a nearly $100 million share repurchase program in July 2025.
  • Approximately 5.9 million shares were repurchased at a meaningful discount to Net Asset Value (NAV) during this program.
  • A 10b5-1 Plan for share repurchases became effective on March 29, 2024, commenced on April 1, 2024, and was amended on March 28, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • NCDL conducted private offerings of its shares from March 2020 to April 2023.
  • The company completed its initial public offering (IPO) on the New York Stock Exchange in January 2024.
  • As of February 27, 2024, the registrant had 54,815,740 shares of common stock outstanding.

Outbound Investments

  • As of September 30, 2025, NCDL's investment portfolio was valued at $1.97 billion across 213 portfolio companies.
  • The portfolio primarily focuses on investing in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies.
  • As of September 30, 2025, the investment portfolio's fair value composition was approximately 84.6% first lien loans, 12.1% second lien loans, and 3.3% equity investments.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to NCDL.

Unique Key

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NCDLARCCOBDCFSKBXSLGBDCMedian
NameNuveen C.Ares Cap.Blue Owl.FS KKR C.Blacksto.Golub Ca. 
Mkt Price13.0719.1311.0913.1524.4912.7913.11
Mkt Cap0.613.65.73.75.63.44.7
Rev LTM861,551742362647408527
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM178-1,5581,3651,375-1,133-11432
FCF 3Y Avg-196-1,0897701,459-710142-27
CFO LTM178-1,5581,3651,375-1,133-11432
CFO 3Y Avg-196-1,0897701,459-710142-27

Growth & Margins

NCDLARCCOBDCFSKBXSLGBDCMedian
NameNuveen C.Ares Cap.Blue Owl.FS KKR C.Blacksto.Golub Ca. 
Rev Chg LTM-24.6%-11.2%5.7%-39.6%-10.7%52.3%-10.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-20.8%18.9%61.4%21.1%39.8%21.1%
Rev Chg Q-36.1%5.5%-0.7%34.1%-9.3%10.7%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-12.4%1.6%-0.1%19.1%-2.3%2.5%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM206.5%-100.5%183.8%379.8%-175.2%-27.9%78.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-225.2%-63.3%98.6%274.7%-95.5%57.3%-3.0%
FCF/Rev LTM206.5%-100.5%183.8%379.8%-175.2%-27.9%78.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-225.2%-63.3%98.6%274.7%-95.5%57.3%-3.0%

Valuation

NCDLARCCOBDCFSKBXSLGBDCMedian
NameNuveen C.Ares Cap.Blue Owl.FS KKR C.Blacksto.Golub Ca. 
Mkt Cap0.613.65.73.75.63.44.7
P/S7.58.77.610.28.78.48.5
P/EBIT-------
P/E8.210.08.513.59.49.09.2
P/CFO3.6-8.74.22.7-5.0-30.0-1.2
Total Yield29.0%19.3%24.5%28.7%22.4%21.9%23.5%
Dividend Yield16.7%9.2%12.8%21.3%11.7%10.8%12.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--7.4%12.6%28.4%-9.7%4.4%4.4%
D/E1.71.21.72.01.41.41.6
Net D/E1.61.11.61.91.31.41.5

Returns

NCDLARCCOBDCFSKBXSLGBDCMedian
NameNuveen C.Ares Cap.Blue Owl.FS KKR C.Blacksto.Golub Ca. 
1M Rtn-3.1%-6.4%-11.7%-11.9%-7.9%-5.7%-7.1%
3M Rtn-5.9%-3.4%-11.5%-7.8%-3.9%-6.5%-6.2%
6M Rtn-12.5%-11.0%-17.1%-28.8%-16.7%-8.7%-14.6%
12M Rtn-14.5%-12.1%-17.6%-33.9%-19.2%-9.6%-16.0%
3Y Rtn-6.3%28.9%17.8%3.3%36.6%29.5%23.4%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%-7.3%-12.6%-12.8%-8.7%-6.6%-8.0%
3M Excs Rtn-7.6%-4.9%-13.4%-10.0%-5.8%-7.8%-7.7%
6M Excs Rtn-21.9%-20.0%-25.8%-37.8%-25.7%-17.5%-23.8%
12M Excs Rtn-28.6%-26.1%-32.3%-48.9%-33.4%-24.1%-30.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.3%-40.7%-51.8%-65.9%-29.3%-41.0%-46.4%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment155544310
Total155544310


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$13.07 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.6 
First Trading Date01/25/2024 
Distance from 52W High-18.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$13.71$14.31
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-4.7%-8.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility20.3%21.0%
Downside Capture56.3856.30
Upside Capture14.7931.53
Correlation (SPY)31.4%48.2%
NCDL Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.750.370.580.520.520.02
Up Beta1.760.780.660.910.510.04
Down Beta0.661.030.910.510.66-0.12
Up Capture61%-36%26%14%23%4%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days10182856125258
Down Capture54%14%54%69%63%45%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days10223167122236

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCDL
NCDL-14.1%20.9%-0.82-
Sector ETF (XLF)5.1%19.1%0.1349.1%
Equity (SPY)15.6%19.2%0.6348.4%
Gold (GLD)77.2%24.5%2.30-4.8%
Commodities (DBC)10.0%16.5%0.4021.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%16.5%-0.0048.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.4%40.3%-0.5618.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCDL
NCDL-1.3%18.9%-0.30-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.9%18.7%0.6640.4%
Equity (SPY)14.5%17.0%0.6837.6%
Gold (GLD)21.5%16.8%1.04-3.7%
Commodities (DBC)12.0%18.9%0.5112.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1640.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)20.9%57.5%0.5611.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NCDL
NCDL-0.7%18.9%-0.30-
Sector ETF (XLF)14.1%22.2%0.5840.4%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7537.6%
Gold (GLD)15.6%15.5%0.84-3.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.6%0.3912.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.8%0.2440.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)69.9%66.5%1.0911.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 12312025-38.2%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity49.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-1.6%-2.1%1.6%
8/6/20250.8%1.9%0.4%
5/8/2025-4.2%-0.7%3.7%
2/27/2025-1.9%-3.0%-1.7%
11/7/2024-0.6%-0.1%0.8%
5/9/20240.5%0.5%3.2%
2/27/20241.7%0.3%6.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive336
# Negative441
Median Positive0.8%0.5%2.4%
Median Negative-1.7%-1.4%-1.7%
Max Positive1.7%1.9%6.7%
Max Negative-4.2%-3.0%-1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/07/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202301/26/2024424B1

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Miranda, Kenneth M held in Joint TrustBuy1121202514.102,00028,200380,700Form
2Vichness, ShaulChief Financial Off./TreasurerTrustBuy1117202514.205,00071,000284,000Form
3Kencel, Kenneth JCEO & PresidentTrustBuy1107202514.2220,000284,400684,224Form
4Vichness, ShaulChief Financial Off./TreasurerTrustBuy916202514.855,00074,250222,750Form
5Vichness, ShaulChief Financial Off./TreasurerTrustBuy616202516.305,00081,500163,000Form