Jaguar Uranium (JAGU)
Market Price (3/23/2026): $1.74 | Market Cap: $33.1 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Jaguar Uranium (JAGU)
Market Price (3/23/2026): $1.74Market Cap: $33.1 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Energy, and Uranium Production. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.6 Mil | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 124% | ||
| Key risksJAGU key risks include its [1] pre-production status with no operating history or revenue and [2] the high risk of substantial shareholder dilution due to its significant financing requirements. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Nuclear Energy, and Uranium Production. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.6 Mil |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 124% |
| Key risksJAGU key risks include its [1] pre-production status with no operating history or revenue and [2] the high risk of substantial shareholder dilution due to its significant financing requirements. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Early-stage exploration company with no defined mineral resources.
Jaguar Uranium is an exploration and development company focused on projects in Colombia and Argentina, currently possessing no mineral reserves and generating no revenue. The company's 2026 strategy aims to advance its projects toward the potential definition of an initial mineral resource, highlighting its inherently high-risk profile as an early-stage explorer.
2. Decline in uranium spot prices post-IPO peak.
The spot price for uranium experienced a notable decline shortly after Jaguar Uranium's IPO. After reaching a two-year high of $101.50 per pound in January 2026, uranium spot prices decreased to $86.95 per pound by the end of February 2026 and further to approximately $85.90 per pound by mid-March 2026. This downturn was primarily attributed to unexpected supply increases from Uzbekistan, creating headwinds for uranium-focused companies.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| JAGU | ||
| Market (SPY) | -4.8% | 7.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 31.1% | 19.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| JAGU | ||
| Market (SPY) | 1.1% | 7.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 32.4% | 19.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| JAGU | ||
| Market (SPY) | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 33.6% | 19.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/22/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| JAGU | ||
| Market (SPY) | 70.3% | 7.8% |
| Sector (XLE) | 55.6% | 19.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| JAGU Return | - | - | - | - | - | -48% | -48% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 3% | 983% | -2% | 30% | -28% | 1184% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -3% | 76% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| JAGU Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 31% | 27% | 50% | 35% | 48% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| JAGU Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -48% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -9% | -5% | -16% | -24% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NC, EU, JAGU, NUCL, CCJ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
JAGU has limited trading history. Below is the Energy sector ETF (XLE) in its place.
| Event | XLE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 660 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,201 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -57.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,858 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NC, EU, JAGU, NUCL, CCJ
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/8/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Jaguar Uranium (JAGU)
AI Analysis | Feedback
A junior uranium explorer, similar to a small-cap gold miner searching for new deposits.
An early-stage uranium company, aspiring to become a major producer like Cameco.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Uranium: The primary radioactive metal the company explores for, intended for use as fuel in nuclear reactors.
- Battery Metals and Rare Earth Elements: A range of valuable by-product minerals, including phosphate, vanadium, nickel, molybdenum, rhenium, yttrium, and neodymium, associated with the Berlin Project.
- Copper: A base metal identified as part of the mineralization at the Huemul Project.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jaguar Uranium (JAGU) is described as an "exploration and development company focused on uranium discoveries." The provided information indicates that the company is in the early stages of identifying and evaluating mineral deposits for uranium and associated by-products like rare earth elements. There is no mention of current production, sales, or revenue-generating activities from mining operations. Therefore, Jaguar Uranium does not currently have any major customers.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Here is the management team for Jaguar Uranium (JAGU):Steven Gold
President, CEO & Director Steven Gold was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Jaguar Uranium Corp. in May 2024, having previously served as its Chief Financial Officer from January 2024. He was also formerly the Vice President-Corporate Development at Collective Mining Ltd., Chief Financial Officer at Energold Drilling Corp., and Vice President-Investments at Pinetree Capital Ltd. Mr. Gold co-founded Jaguar Uranium in late 2023 with the objective of acquiring uranium assets.William Keith Avery
Chief Financial Officer William Keith Avery serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Jaguar Uranium Corp. He holds professional designations as a C.A. and C.P.A.Luis Augusto Ducassi
Executive Chairman Luis Augusto Ducassi is the Executive Chairman of Jaguar Uranium Corp. In March 2026, he emphasized the company's commitment to responsible development and creating sustainable value through its collaboration with the Ministry of Energy and Environment of the Province of Mendoza.Andres Caceres
Vice President of Exploration Andres Caceres holds the position of Vice President of Exploration at Jaguar Uranium Corp.AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Jaguar Uranium (JAGU):
- Exploration and Development Risk: As an uranium exploration and development company with early-stage projects, Jaguar Uranium faces the fundamental risk that its exploration activities may not result in the discovery of economically viable uranium deposits, or that identified resources cannot be successfully developed and brought into production. The company's portfolio consists of "exploration projects" and "early-stage exploration projects," indicating a high degree of inherent uncertainty regarding the quantity, quality, and economic extractability of mineral resources.
- Commodity Price Volatility: The economic viability and future profitability of Jaguar Uranium are highly dependent on the market price of uranium. Significant fluctuations or a sustained decline in uranium prices, and to a lesser extent, the prices of by-products like rare earth elements from the Berlin Project, could adversely impact the value of its projects and its ability to generate revenue.
- Regulatory and Permitting Risk: Operating in Colombia and Argentina exposes the company to risks associated with obtaining and maintaining necessary mining concessions, exploration permits, and environmental approvals. Delays in the evaluation and granting of these applications, such as the "concession applications under evaluation with the Agencia Nacional de Minería" for the Berlin Project, or changes in governmental regulations, environmental policies, or local community opposition in these jurisdictions, could significantly impede or halt the development of its projects.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Jaguar Uranium (symbol: JAGU) is an exploration and development company focused on uranium, with its Berlin Project also yielding by-products such as battery commodities including phosphate, vanadium, nickel, molybdenum, rhenium, yttrium, neodymium, and other rare earth elements. The addressable markets for these main products and by-products are identified as follows:
Uranium
The global uranium market size is projected to reach US$12.7 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.3% from 2024. Another estimate places the global market value at US$9.3 billion in 2024, projected to climb to US$13.59 billion by 2032 at a CAGR of approximately 4.9% from 2025 to 2032.
In South America, the uranium mining market was valued at USD 427.41 million in 2024 and is estimated to grow to USD 616.5 million by 2031. Specifically, Colombia's Uranium Mining market is projected to reach USD 38.04 million in 2024. Argentina possesses approximately 34,250 tonnes of identified uranium resources. The Argentine government aims to expand nuclear power and considers domestic uranium production a strategic priority. Argentina currently imports uranium to meet the requirements of its nuclear power plants.
Phosphate
The global phosphate market size is projected to grow from USD 193.38 billion in 2026 to USD 300.13 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.6% during the forecast period. The global phosphates market size is also estimated at USD 185.41 billion in 2025 and is expected to expand to USD 263.68 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.50% from 2025 to 2033. The global phosphate rock market, specifically, is estimated at US$ 26.29 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$ 36.37 billion by 2034, with sales ascending at a CAGR of 3.3%.
Vanadium
The global vanadium market size was valued at USD 3.62 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 3.78 billion in 2026 to USD 5.33 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 4.40%. Another report estimates the global vanadium market size at USD 54.2 billion in 2025, which is predicted to reach USD 98.0 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 9.1% during 2026–2032. A different source estimates the global vanadium market size at USD 42.72 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 64.69 billion by 2033 at a 4.7% CAGR.
Nickel
The global nickel market size was USD 47.8 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 78.3 billion by 2034 at a CAGR of 7.30% during the forecast period. Other estimations include a market size of USD 44.49 billion in 2025, reaching USD 83.77 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 7.25%, and USD 48.74 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 86.35 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 7.41%.
Molybdenum
The global molybdenum market size was valued at USD 4.25 billion in 2022 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.0% over the forecast period. It is also projected to reach USD 7.91 billion by 2034 from USD 5.23 billion in 2026, at a CAGR of 5.31%. Another source states the global molybdenum market size was valued at around USD 4.60 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 6.29 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4%.
Rhenium
The rhenium market size is forecast to increase by USD 96.1 million at a CAGR of 11.8% between 2023 and 2028. The global rhenium market is projected to reach USD 2.6 billion by 2030. Another report indicates the rhenium market was valued at USD 44.25 million in 2024 and is expected to increase to USD 91.87 million by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 11.0%.
Neodymium
The global neodymium market size was estimated at USD 5.28 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 7.30 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.7% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate shows the global neodymium market size at USD 6.07 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 9.76 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.30%. The market was also valued at USD 5.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 9.6 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 15.2% during the forecast period 2024–2033.
Other Rare Earth Elements (REEs)
The global rare earth elements market size was estimated at USD 3.95 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 6.28 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.6% from 2025 to 2030. Other projections include a market size of USD 14.0 billion in 2025, reaching USD 41.1 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 12.30% from 2026-2034, and USD 18.2 billion in 2024, expected to grow to USD 36.7 billion in 2034 at a CAGR of 7.6%. In terms of volume, the rare earth elements market is projected to be 196.97 kilotons in 2025, reaching 273.30 kilotons by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 5.61% from 2026 to 2031.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Jaguar Uranium (JAGU) is an exploration and development company currently in its pre-revenue stage, focused on advancing its uranium projects in Colombia and Argentina. Over the next 2-3 years, its future revenue growth is expected to be driven by several key factors:
- Advancement of Exploration Projects to Resource Definition and Potential Production: As an exploration-stage company, Jaguar Uranium's primary driver of future revenue will be the successful progression of its Berlin Project in Colombia and its Laguna Project and Huemul Project in Argentina from exploration to the definition of mineral resources and, ultimately, into commercial production. The company's 2026 exploration strategy is specifically aimed at advancing its projects toward the potential definition of an initial mineral resource. For instance, the company recently received an Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) permit for its Laguna Salada project in Argentina, which is expected to expedite exploration activities and advance the project towards defining an initial mineral resource.
- Commercialization of By-products from the Berlin Project: The Berlin Project in Colombia is not only rich in uranium but also contains valuable by-products such as phosphate, vanadium, nickel, molybdenum, rhenium, yttrium, neodymium, and other rare earth elements. The successful extraction, processing, and sale of these critical battery and rare earth commodities could provide a significant additional revenue stream, diversifying the company's income base once production is established.
- Favorable Uranium Market Conditions and Increasing Uranium Prices: Future revenue growth is highly dependent on the global uranium market. The uranium market is currently experiencing a persistent supply deficit, with uranium prices trading near 16-year highs due to insufficient supply and rising demand for nuclear energy. Analysts project a significant uranium deficit by 2040, expanding from nearly a 5+ million pound deficit in 2025. This growing demand, driven by emerging markets, hyperscaler and AI-driven power needs, and the expansion of small modular reactors (SMRs), creates strong tailwinds that would significantly enhance the economic viability and revenue potential of Jaguar Uranium's projects once they reach the production stage.
- Successful Permitting and Regulatory Approvals: Obtaining the necessary environmental and regulatory approvals is critical for an exploration and development company to advance its projects towards production. Jaguar Uranium's ability to secure these permits, such as the recently obtained EIA permit for the Laguna Salada project, is crucial for accelerating exploration timelines and moving towards potential revenue generation. The company is actively engaging with local and provincial governments in both Argentina and Colombia to facilitate these processes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- Jaguar Uranium completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on February 11, 2026, selling 6,250,000 Class A common shares at $4.00 per share, resulting in gross proceeds of $25.0 million.
- In connection with the IPO, the company granted an option to the underwriter to purchase up to an additional 937,500 common shares (15% of the offering) to cover over-allotments.
- On February 12, 2026, Jaguar Uranium issued 50,000 common shares upon the conversion of a convertible debenture, 3,836,757 common shares to Green Shift Commodities Ltd. (pursuant to a December 2023 agreement amended in April 2024), and 1,000,000 common shares to Consolidated Uranium Inc. (pursuant to a July 2024 agreement).
Inbound Investments
- IsoEnergy (NYSE: ISOU) participated as a strategic investor in Jaguar Uranium's IPO.
- Green Shift Commodities Ltd. holds 5,181,777 Jaguar Shares, reflecting a significant investment.
Capital Expenditures
- Net proceeds from the $25.0 million IPO are designated to fund exploration, development plans, property maintenance, and general corporate purposes over the next two years.
- The company's 2026 exploration strategy is focused on advancing its uranium portfolio in Argentina (Laguna Salada and Huemul Projects) and Colombia (Berlin Project) to define an initial mineral resource.
- Jaguar Uranium anticipates its current cash resources, following the IPO, will be sufficient to support planned exploration activities for approximately two years.
Trade Ideas
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Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 44 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | 2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -7 |
| CFO LTM | 51 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 43 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -14.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -19.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 7.3 |
| P/EBIT | 19.2 |
| P/E | 20.6 |
| P/CFO | 7.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -34.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -35.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -38.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -29.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -21.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -32.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -78.5% |
Industry Resources
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