Navan (NAVN)
Market Price (7/21/2026): $26.28 | Market Cap: $6.6 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Navan (NAVN)
Market Price (7/21/2026): $26.28Market Cap: $6.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -26% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -199 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 311x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.4% Key risksNAVN key risks include [1] a persistent lack of profitability and [2] intense competition from both established travel providers and newer fintech entrants. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Cloud Computing, Fintech & Digital Payments, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Software as a Service (SaaS), Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -26% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -199 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 311x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.4% |
| Key risksNAVN key risks include [1] a persistent lack of profitability and [2] intense competition from both established travel providers and newer fintech entrants. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Navan (NAVN) stock has gained about 110% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2027 Performance. Navan reported strong results for its fiscal first quarter ended April 30, 2026, announcing earnings per share (EPS) of $0.08, significantly beating the consensus estimate for a loss of $0.01 or -$0.12 by nearly 970%. Revenue for the quarter reached $220.23 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $205.27 million and marking a 40% year-over-year increase. This robust growth was further highlighted by a 50% year-over-year surge in Gross Booking Volume (GBV) to a record $3.1 billion and a 29% rise in payment volume from Navan-issued cards to $1.3 billion. The strong Q1 results indicated significant operational improvements and drove investor optimism.
2. Upgraded Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Guidance. Following the impressive first-quarter results, Navan raised its full fiscal year 2027 revenue outlook to a range of $907 million to $913 million, representing a 30% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, an increase from its previous forecast of 24% growth. The company also increased its non-GAAP operating income forecast for fiscal year 2027 to a range of $76 million to $80 million, reflecting improved profitability expectations. This revised, more optimistic guidance signaled management's confidence in sustained growth and operational efficiency, contributing to the positive stock trend.
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Navan (NAVN) stock has gained about 110% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2027 Performance. Navan reported strong results for its fiscal first quarter ended April 30, 2026, announcing earnings per share (EPS) of $0.08, significantly beating the consensus estimate for a loss of $0.01 or -$0.12 by nearly 970%. Revenue for the quarter reached $220.23 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $205.27 million and marking a 40% year-over-year increase. This robust growth was further highlighted by a 50% year-over-year surge in Gross Booking Volume (GBV) to a record $3.1 billion and a 29% rise in payment volume from Navan-issued cards to $1.3 billion. The strong Q1 results indicated significant operational improvements and drove investor optimism.
2. Upgraded Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Guidance. Following the impressive first-quarter results, Navan raised its full fiscal year 2027 revenue outlook to a range of $907 million to $913 million, representing a 30% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, an increase from its previous forecast of 24% growth. The company also increased its non-GAAP operating income forecast for fiscal year 2027 to a range of $76 million to $80 million, reflecting improved profitability expectations. This revised, more optimistic guidance signaled management's confidence in sustained growth and operational efficiency, contributing to the positive stock trend.
3. Renewed Investor Confidence in Corporate Travel and AI Integration. The stock's rebound was significantly fueled by renewed confidence in enterprise spending and resilient corporate travel demand. Navan's CEO attributed the strong performance to "enterprise momentum" and the company's "proprietary, AI-led platform features," which include automated Audit Engine and "Navan Anywhere." Analysts noted that "rising expectations that AI will be embedded in critical business workflows is driving demand for Navan Cognition, Ava and the upcoming Navan Edge experience," expected to deepen product adoption and increase usage-based revenue, thereby enhancing operating margins through automation.
4. Positive Analyst Coverage and Price Target Revisions. A wave of positive analyst revisions and upgraded price targets followed Navan's strong performance. Multiple firms reiterated "buy" ratings and raised their price targets. For instance, Citizens Jmp increased its target from $31.00 to $38.00 on June 11, 2026, assigning a "market outperform" rating. BTIG Research raised its price target from $26.00 to $30.00 on June 11, 2026. Rosenblatt Securities boosted its target from $20.00 to $24.00 on June 8, 2026, and further to $27.00 by July 1, 2026. As of July 19, 2026, Navan maintained a "Strong Buy" consensus rating from analysts, with an average price target of $29.14.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 109.4% change in NAVN stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.24 | 27.73 | 109.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 248 | 248 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NAVN | 109.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.1% | 15.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 32.2% | 16.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 62.4% change in NAVN stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7202026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.08 | 27.73 | 62.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 248 | 248 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NAVN | 62.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.1% | 13.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 22.2% | 12.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NAVN | ||
| Market (SPY) | 21.1% | 14.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 39.3% | 11.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/20/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NAVN | ||
| Market (SPY) | 73.3% | 14.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 105.9% | 11.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NAVN Return | - | - | - | - | -15% | 52% | 30% |
| Peers Return | 12% | -44% | 28% | 27% | -5% | -2% | -4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NAVN Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 67% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 40% | 57% | 60% | 43% | 49% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NAVN Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -20% | -58% | -37% | -29% | -36% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GBTG, EXPE, BKNG, EXFY, WDAY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/20/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
NAVN has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -17.0% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 92 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -10.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 100 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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NAVN has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 65 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -33.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.5% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 100 days | 105 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 106.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 797 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -25.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Navan (NAVN)
Navan (NAVN) provides an end-to-end, AI-powered software platform specifically designed to simplify global business travel and expense (T&E) management. The company tackles inefficiencies prevalent in traditional business travel systems, which often lead to fragmented spending, complex booking processes, and a lack of visibility for finance teams. Navan's goal is to streamline and integrate the entire T&E experience, from pre-booking to post-trip reconciliation, for all stakeholders.
The core offering of Navan is a unified platform that delivers distinct benefits to its three main constituents: users (business travelers), customers (companies), and suppliers. For business travelers, Navan offers intuitive, AI-powered booking that drastically reduces trip planning time, along with integrated expense management and clear policy guidance. Companies gain critical real-time visibility into spending, enhanced cost control, and improved policy enforcement. Suppliers benefit from direct market access to Navan's large and loyal base of high-value business travelers, facilitating increased adoption and bookings.
Navan differentiates itself through its proprietary AI framework, Navan Cognition, which powers features like specialized virtual agents for trip changes and leverages its infrastructure, Navan Cloud, for global, real-time inventory. The company's strategy is to initially secure customers with its travel booking solution and then expand to manage all related aspects, including payments, expenses, VIP services, meetings and events, and bleisure travel. Navan serves businesses of all sizes across diverse industry verticals, cultivating a powerful "flywheel effect" where the benefits for travelers, companies, and suppliers mutually reinforce each other within a robust and self-sustaining ecosystem.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Navan:
- A modern, AI-powered Concur for business travel and expenses.
- Salesforce for corporate travel and expense management.
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- Business Travel Management Platform: An AI-powered, end-to-end software platform designed to simplify global business travel booking and management.
- Expense Management: Integrated tools for digitizing in-trip expenses, automating reconciliation, and ensuring policy adherence.
- Payment Solutions: A system for managing and processing travel and entertainment payments.
- Meetings & Events Management: Tools and services for planning, booking, and managing corporate meetings and events.
- VIP Services: Specialized support and offerings tailored for high-priority or VIP travelers.
- Bleisure Travel Integration: Functionality that allows for the seamless combination of business and personal travel within the platform.
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Navan (NAVN) sells primarily to other companies, offering an end-to-end, AI-powered software platform to simplify global business travel and expense (T&E) management.
The provided company description does not list the names of specific customer companies that utilize Navan's platform. It states that Navan serves "customers of all sizes across any industry vertical." The platform is designed to benefit various stakeholders within these companies, including CEOs, CFOs, finance teams, executive assistants, program administrators, and employees across different departments and seniority levels, by providing intuitive booking, expense management, real-time visibility, cost control, and policy enforcement.
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Ariel Cohen, CEO & Co-Founder
Ariel Cohen co-founded Navan (formerly TripActions) in 2015. He also co-founded StreamOnce, a business multimedia integration platform, with Ilan Twig, which was later acquired by Jive Software. Before StreamOnce, Cohen held a senior leadership role in product management at Hewlett-Packard. He holds an Executive MBA from the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University.
Aurélien Nolf, Chief Financial Officer
Aurélien Nolf was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Navan, effective March 2, 2026. He joined Navan from Lyft, where he served as VP, Head of FP&A and Investor Relations, and played a key role in the company's financial transformation. Prior to Lyft, Nolf spent 15 years at Electronic Arts (EA) in various finance leadership positions, including Vice President of FP&A. He holds a master's degree in corporate law from the University of Lyon and a Master in Management and Finance from Emlyon Business School.
Ilan Twig, CTO & Co-Founder
Ilan Twig is the co-founder and Chief Technology Officer of Navan (formerly TripActions), which he started with Ariel Cohen in 2015. Together, they previously co-founded StreamOnce, a business multimedia integration platform that was acquired by Jive Software. Twig has almost two decades of experience in engineering, having led large research and development teams at Hewlett-Packard and Rockmelt. He earned a Bachelor of Science in Computer Science from the Academic College of Tel-Aviv, Yaffo, and a Master of Science in Computer Science from The Open University of Israel.
Michael Sindicich, President
As President, Michael Sindicich focuses on the global distribution of Navan's travel and expense management platform. He leads the company's global go-to-market strategy, overseeing sales, marketing, partnerships, and revenue operations. Sindicich previously served as CEO of Navan Expense and prior to that, as Vice President of Sales. Before joining Navan, he led sales teams at Apptimize (acquired by Airship) and was a co-founder of the financial brokerage Hurley Brothers. He holds a bachelor's degree in psychology and biology from UCLA.
Michael Riegel, CEO, EMEA
Michael Riegel was named CEO of Navan, EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa) in October 2023, where he is responsible for the full business motion and increasing market share in the region. He is an experienced entrepreneur and company builder, having started his career in the early Internet era. Prior to Navan, Riegel was the CEO and co-founder of Comtravo, a tech-forward travel management company based in Berlin, which the Navan Group acquired in 2022.
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The key risks to Navan's business are:
- Dependence on the global business travel market: Navan's entire business model is predicated on the continued need and volume of business travel. Any significant reduction in business travel due to economic downturns, shifts towards remote work and virtual meetings, or unforeseen global events could severely impact the company's addressable market and revenue. The company itself states, "Travel is more than just getting from point A to point B; it's the lifeblood of connection in the modern business world." This highlights its fundamental reliance on this activity.
- Intense competition and ability to maintain technological leadership: Navan operates in a competitive landscape, aiming to disrupt "clunky, outdated systems" and challenging the "status quo." Its success relies heavily on its proprietary AI framework, Navan Cognition, and its integrated platform. There is a risk that existing competitors or new entrants could develop superior technologies, offer more compelling integrated solutions, or possess greater resources, potentially eroding Navan's market share and competitive advantage. The company acknowledges it is "making Navan an increasingly formidable competitor," implying an ongoing struggle in the market.
- Reliance on third-party suppliers and partnerships: Navan aggregates travel supply through "direct supplier relationships, real-time API integrations, and a robust network of partnerships." Any disruption to these critical relationships, an inability to secure favorable terms, or a reduction in the availability of diverse and competitive inventory from these suppliers could negatively impact Navan's ability to provide a comprehensive and attractive offering to its users, thus hindering its "flywheel effect."
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- Business Travel Management: The global business travel market size was estimated at approximately USD 1,851.61 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 3,255.11 billion by 2033. Other estimates for the global business travel market in 2025 include USD 1.38 trillion and USD 1.595.21 trillion.
- Expense Management: The global expense management software market was valued at USD 7.70 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow from USD 8.48 billion in 2025 to reach USD 18.52 billion by 2033. Another source estimated the market at USD 7.1 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 23.88 billion by 2035.
- Corporate Payments: The global B2B payments market size was valued at USD 97.88 trillion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 109.39 trillion in 2026 to USD 282.48 trillion by 2034.
- Meetings and Events: The global Meetings and Events market value is expected to rise from approximately USD 1.62 trillion in 2026 to USD 3.6 trillion by 2035. The global meetings market size was valued at USD 772.96 billion in 2025.
- Bleisure Travel: The global bleisure travel market size was accounted for at USD 816.24 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 3,573.74 billion by 2034. Other estimates for the global bleisure travel market in 2025 include USD 762.01 billion.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Navan (NAVN)
- Expansion of Product and Service Offerings: Navan's strategy involves broadening engagement with existing customers by offering additional services beyond core travel management, such as payments, expense management, VIP services, meetings and events, and bleisure travel on its unified platform. This focus on "higher product attachment rates" is expected to drive increased revenue per customer.
- Growth in Customer Base and Market Share Acquisition: Navan aims to expand its reach by acquiring new businesses of all sizes across various industries. The company is anticipated to continue gaining market share, particularly in the global business travel bookings market where it currently has low penetration, through enterprise growth and attracting new clients.
- Increased Adoption and Usage by Existing Customers: The company expects revenue growth from increased utilization of its platform by existing customers. A positive and efficient user experience, driven by Navan's intuitive design and AI-powered booking, fosters greater adoption among frequent travelers, leading to higher transaction volumes and increased spending on the platform.
- AI Innovation and Enhanced Competitive Advantage: Navan's proprietary AI framework, Navan Cognition, is a cornerstone of its platform, enhancing support capabilities and improving gross margins. This AI-driven innovation is expected to fortify Navan's competitive position, enabling it to attract more customers and drive higher transaction volumes by offering a superior and more automated business travel and expense management experience.
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Share Issuance
- Navan issued 30 million shares of Class A common stock in its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on October 30, 2025, raising approximately $750 million in gross proceeds.
- As part of the IPO, selling stockholders offered an additional 6.9 million shares, from which Navan did not receive any proceeds.
- In January 2026, company executives sold shares to cover tax obligations from vesting restricted stock units (RSUs).
Inbound Investments
- Navan completed a Series G funding round in 2022, securing $154 million in equity investment and $150 million in structured financing, which valued the company at $9.2 billion.
- In 2021, Navan raised $275 million in its Series F funding round, achieving a $7.25 billion valuation.
- As of July 31, 2025, Navan had accumulated $1.8 billion in fair market value investment from various investors.
Outbound Investments
- Navan's international expansion strategy included acquisitions of regional travel agencies in Europe and Asia.
- Proceeds from the IPO are intended, in part, for potential acquisitions.
Capital Expenditures
- Navan has continuously invested in automation and AI to enhance efficiency, which includes the development of its proprietary "Navan Cloud" infrastructure.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 87.47 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.6 |
| Rev LTM | 6,396 |
| Op Inc LTM | 663 |
| FCF LTM | 1,499 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,427 |
| CFO LTM | 1,672 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,656 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 21.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 25.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.9% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.89 | 0.70 | 1.22 | 0.99 | -0.29 | 0.36 |
| Up Beta | 2.68 | 0.98 | 2.39 | 2.52 | -1.90 | 0.50 |
| Down Beta | 0.51 | 0.66 | 1.01 | -0.47 | -0.50 | 0.37 |
| Up Capture | 99% | 155% | 193% | 145% | 63% | 6% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 39 | 67 | 87 | 87 |
| Down Capture | 16% | -23% | -92% | 80% | 80% | 43% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 18 | 24 | 58 | 76 | 76 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NAVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVN | 38.8% | 91.8% | 0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 35.3% | 24.6% | 1.18 | 11.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.2% | 12.6% | 1.12 | 14.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.6% | 28.0% | 0.63 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.7% | 19.0% | 1.24 | 2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.2% | 14.0% | 0.78 | 6.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.6% | 42.9% | -1.34 | 19.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NAVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVN | 6.8% | 91.8% | 0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 19.2% | 25.5% | 0.67 | 11.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.6% | 17.1% | 0.57 | 14.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.8% | 18.4% | 0.74 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 19.5% | 0.34 | 2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.6% | 18.9% | 0.04 | 6.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.0% | 53.5% | 0.44 | 19.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NAVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAVN | 3.3% | 91.8% | 0.89 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 24.4% | 24.8% | 0.89 | 11.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 14.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 10.9% | 16.1% | 0.55 | -0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 17.9% | 0.31 | 2.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 6.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.9% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 19.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/15/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/10/2026 | 8.4% | 0.6% | 25.2% |
| 3/25/2026 | 43.3% | 38.1% | 70.5% |
| 12/15/2025 | -11.9% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 25.9% | 8.6% | 25.2% |
| Median Negative | -11.9% | ||
| Max Positive | 43.3% | 38.1% | 70.5% |
| Max Negative | -11.9% | ||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/10/2026 | 8.4% | 0.6% | 25.2% |
| 3/25/2026 | 43.3% | 38.1% | 70.5% |
| 12/15/2025 | -11.9% | 8.6% | 0.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | 25.9% | 8.6% | 25.2% |
| Median Negative | -11.9% | ||
| Max Positive | 43.3% | 38.1% | 70.5% |
| Max Negative | -11.9% | ||
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/12/2026Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 6/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2027 Revenue | 219.00 Mil | 220.00 Mil | 221.00 Mil | 7.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 205.00 Mil for Q1 2027 | |
| Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Income from Operations | 13.50 Mil | 14.00 Mil | 14.50 Mil | 180.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 5.00 Mil for Q1 2027 | |
| Q2 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Margin | 6.0% | 4.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.0% for Q1 2027 | |||
| 2027 Revenue | 907.00 Mil | 910.00 Mil | 913.00 Mil | 4.6% | Raised | Guidance: 870.00 Mil for 2027 | |
| 2027 Non-GAAP Income from Operations | 76.00 Mil | 78.00 Mil | 80.00 Mil | 30.0% | Raised | Guidance: 60.00 Mil for 2027 | |
| 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Margin | 9.0% | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 7.0% for 2027 | |||
Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 3/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2027 Revenue | 204.00 Mil | 205.00 Mil | 206.00 Mil | 26.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 162.00 Mil for Q4 2026 | |
| Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Income from Operations | 4.50 Mil | 5.00 Mil | 5.50 Mil | -133.3% | Higher New | Guidance: -15.00 Mil for Q4 2026 | |
| Q1 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Margin | 2.0% | 11.0% | Higher New | Guidance: -9.0% for Q4 2026 | |||
| 2027 Revenue | 866.00 Mil | 870.00 Mil | 874.00 Mil | 26.8% | Higher New | Guidance: 686.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2027 Non-GAAP Income from Operations | 58.00 Mil | 60.00 Mil | 62.00 Mil | 179.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 21.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2027 Non-GAAP Operating Margin | 7.0% | 4.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 3.0% for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/10/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7092026 | 25.36 | 8,983 | Form | |||
| 2 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7092026 | 25.36 | 8,983 | Form | |||
| 3 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7022026 | 24.65 | 10,569 | Form | |||
| 4 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7022026 | 24.65 | 10,569 | Form | |||
| 5 | Sindicich, Michael Eric | President | Direct | Sell | 6232026 | 21.06 | 2,176 | 45,827 | 11,547,796 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7092026 | 25.36 | 8,983 | Form | |||
| 2 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7092026 | 25.36 | 8,983 | Form | |||
| 3 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7022026 | 24.65 | 10,569 | Form | |||
| 4 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Management Company, L.L.C. | Sell | 7022026 | 24.65 | 10,569 | Form | |||
| 5 | Sindicich, Michael Eric | President | Direct | Sell | 6232026 | 21.06 | 2,176 | 45,827 | 11,547,796 | Form |
| 6 | Twig, Ilan Ezra | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 6232026 | 21.06 | 24,726 | 520,816 | 16,974,232 | Form |
| 7 | Cohen, Ariel M | Chairperson and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6232026 | 21.06 | 41,530 | 874,821 | 26,430,658 | Form |
| 8 | Janmohamed, Arif | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6182026 | 19.06 | 77,323 | 1,473,999 | 43,482,206 | Form | |
| 9 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6182026 | 19.06 | 77,323 | 1,473,999 | 43,482,206 | Form | |
| 10 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6182026 | 19.06 | 77,323 | 1,473,999 | 43,482,206 | Form | |
| 11 | Janmohamed, Arif | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6182026 | 19.13 | 398,546 | 7,624,185 | 45,114,509 | Form | |
| 12 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6182026 | 19.13 | 398,546 | 7,624,185 | 45,114,509 | Form | |
| 13 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6182026 | 19.13 | 398,546 | 7,624,185 | 45,114,509 | Form | |
| 14 | Janmohamed, Arif | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6152026 | 20.37 | 1,004,231 | 20,460,607 | 56,169,336 | Form | |
| 15 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6152026 | 20.37 | 1,004,231 | 20,460,607 | 56,169,336 | Form | |
| 16 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6152026 | 20.37 | 1,004,231 | 20,460,607 | 56,169,336 | Form | |
| 17 | Janmohamed, Arif | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6152026 | 20.00 | 1,019,900 | 20,401,918 | 75,236,227 | Form | |
| 18 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners Select Ii, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6152026 | 20.00 | 1,019,900 | 20,401,918 | 75,236,227 | Form | |
| 19 | Lightspeed, Venture Partners X, LP | Lightspeed Opportunity Fund, L.P. | Sell | 6152026 | 20.00 | 1,019,900 | 20,401,918 | 75,236,227 | Form | |
| 20 | Sindicich, Michael Eric | President | Direct | Sell | 6012026 | 20.20 | 51,169 | 1,033,547 | 11,094,156 | Form |
| 21 | Williams, Anre D | Direct | Buy | 3312026 | 12.00 | 100,000 | 1,200,000 | 2,580,288 | Form | |
| 22 | Twig, Ilan Ezra | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 3242026 | 8.62 | 49,210 | 424,294 | 4,638,793 | Form |
| 23 | Sindicich, Michael Eric | President | Direct | Sell | 3242026 | 8.62 | 2,206 | 19,010 | 2,656,875 | Form |
| 24 | Cohen, Ariel M | Chairperson and CEO | Direct | Sell | 3242026 | 8.62 | 151,007 | 1,302,043 | 8,656,183 | Form |
| 25 | Giviskos, Anne Mary | See Remarks | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 9.52 | 31,150 | 296,601 | 713,556 | Form |
| 26 | Giviskos, Anne Mary | Interim CFO | Direct | Sell | 1302026 | 13.85 | 2,675 | 37,045 | 1,469,194 | Form |
| 27 | Sindicich, Michael Eric | President | Direct | Sell | 1302026 | 13.86 | 9,349 | 129,532 | 4,302,221 | Form |
| 28 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1092026 | 18.11 | 46,337 | 839,163 | 151,160,403 | Form | |
| 29 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1092026 | 18.11 | 46,337 | 839,163 | 151,160,403 | Form | |
| 30 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1092026 | 18.11 | 46,337 | 839,163 | 151,160,403 | Form | |
| 31 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1092026 | 18.11 | 46,337 | 839,163 | 151,160,403 | Form | |
| 32 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.74 | 308,188 | 5,159,067 | 138,949,617 | Form | |
| 33 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.74 | 308,188 | 5,159,067 | 138,949,617 | Form | |
| 34 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.74 | 308,188 | 5,159,067 | 138,949,617 | Form | |
| 35 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.74 | 308,188 | 5,159,067 | 138,949,617 | Form | |
| 36 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 15.77 | 202,729 | 3,197,036 | 126,038,051 | Form | |
| 37 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 15.77 | 202,729 | 3,197,036 | 126,038,051 | Form | |
| 38 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 15.77 | 202,729 | 3,197,036 | 126,038,051 | Form | |
| 39 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 15.77 | 202,729 | 3,197,036 | 126,038,051 | Form | |
| 40 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.27 | 466,058 | 7,582,764 | 126,735,783 | Form | |
| 41 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.27 | 466,058 | 7,582,764 | 126,735,783 | Form | |
| 42 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.27 | 466,058 | 7,582,764 | 126,735,783 | Form | |
| 43 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 1062026 | 16.27 | 466,058 | 7,582,764 | 126,735,783 | Form | |
| 44 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 16.16 | 99,502 | 1,607,952 | 118,347,437 | Form | |
| 45 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 16.16 | 99,502 | 1,607,952 | 118,347,437 | Form | |
| 46 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 16.16 | 99,502 | 1,607,952 | 118,347,437 | Form | |
| 47 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 16.16 | 99,502 | 1,607,952 | 118,347,437 | Form | |
| 48 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.57 | 229,917 | 3,579,808 | 112,477,337 | Form | |
| 49 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.57 | 229,917 | 3,579,808 | 112,477,337 | Form | |
| 50 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.57 | 229,917 | 3,579,808 | 112,477,337 | Form | |
| 51 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.57 | 229,917 | 3,579,808 | 112,477,337 | Form | |
| 52 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.83 | 167,519 | 2,651,826 | 110,715,986 | Form | |
| 53 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.83 | 167,519 | 2,651,826 | 110,715,986 | Form | |
| 54 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.83 | 167,519 | 2,651,826 | 110,715,986 | Form | |
| 55 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.83 | 167,519 | 2,651,826 | 110,715,986 | Form | |
| 56 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.84 | 225,484 | 3,571,667 | 108,132,425 | Form | |
| 57 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.84 | 225,484 | 3,571,667 | 108,132,425 | Form | |
| 58 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.84 | 225,484 | 3,571,667 | 108,132,425 | Form | |
| 59 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.84 | 225,484 | 3,571,667 | 108,132,425 | Form | |
| 60 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.90 | 334,112 | 5,312,381 | 104,956,822 | Form | |
| 61 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.90 | 334,112 | 5,312,381 | 104,956,822 | Form | |
| 62 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.90 | 334,112 | 5,312,381 | 104,956,822 | Form | |
| 63 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12292025 | 15.90 | 334,112 | 5,312,381 | 104,956,822 | Form | |
| 64 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 14.70 | 240,835 | 3,540,274 | 92,124,106 | Form | |
| 65 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 14.70 | 240,835 | 3,540,274 | 92,124,106 | Form | |
| 66 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 14.70 | 240,835 | 3,540,274 | 92,124,106 | Form | |
| 67 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 14.70 | 240,835 | 3,540,274 | 92,124,106 | Form | |
| 68 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 13.61 | 103,960 | 1,414,896 | 82,015,371 | Form | |
| 69 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 13.61 | 103,960 | 1,414,896 | 82,015,371 | Form | |
| 70 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 13.61 | 103,960 | 1,414,896 | 82,015,371 | Form | |
| 71 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 13.61 | 103,960 | 1,414,896 | 82,015,371 | Form | |
| 72 | Andreessen, Horowitz Fund V, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 12.65 | 347,600 | 4,397,140 | 74,915,210 | Form | |
| 73 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund Iii, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 12.65 | 347,600 | 4,397,140 | 74,915,210 | Form | |
| 74 | Horowitz, Benjamin A | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 12.65 | 347,600 | 4,397,140 | 74,915,210 | Form | |
| 75 | Andreessen, Horowitz Lsv Fund I, LP | Andreessen Horowitz LSV Fund II, L.P. | Buy | 12192025 | 12.65 | 347,600 | 4,397,140 | 74,915,210 | Form | |
| 76 | Williams, Anre D | Direct | Buy | 12182025 | 12.72 | 100,000 | 1,272,480 | 1,463,657 | Form | |
| 77 | Sindicich, Michael Eric | President | Direct | Sell | 10312025 | 25.00 | 231,842 | 5,796,050 | 7,996,575 | Form |
| 78 | Twig, Ilan Ezra | Chief Technology Officer | The Ilan Twig Living Trust | Sell | 10312025 | 25.00 | 1,000,000 | 25,000,000 | 223,477,025 | Form |
| 79 | Cohen, Ariel M | Chairperson and CEO | the Ariel Mordechai Cohen Living Trust | Sell | 10312025 | 25.00 | 833,333 | 20,833,325 | 79,143,900 | Form |
| 80 | Cohen, Ariel M | Chairperson and CEO | the Lihi Cohen GST Trust | Sell | 10312025 | 25.00 | 30,333 | 758,325 | 19,091,325 | Form |
| 81 | Cohen, Ariel M | Chairperson and CEO | the Shai Cohen GST Trust | Sell | 10312025 | 25.00 | 30,333 | 758,325 | 19,091,325 | Form |
| 82 | Cohen, Ariel M | Chairperson and CEO | the Sivan Cohen GST Trust | Sell | 10312025 | 25.00 | 30,333 | 758,325 | 19,091,325 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 21, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
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