Natural Alternatives International (NAII)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.13 | Market Cap: $18.8 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Natural Alternatives International (NAII)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $3.13Market Cap: $18.8 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, and Organic & Natural Products. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.9% | |
| Key risksNAII key risks include [1] significant net losses driven by shrinking revenue, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, and Organic & Natural Products. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -127% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.9% |
| Key risksNAII key risks include [1] significant net losses driven by shrinking revenue, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
NAII Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Natural Alternatives International (NAII) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Poor Fiscal Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results.
Natural Alternatives International announced its fiscal fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results on September 23, 2025, reporting a net loss of $7.2 million, or $1.20 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter. This compared to a net loss of $1.9 million in the same quarter of the prior fiscal year. The increased loss included non-recurring, non-cash charges of $1.4 million for a litigation settlement and a $4.8 million valuation allowance against deferred tax assets. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company recorded a net loss of $13.6 million.
2. Failure to Comply with Credit Agreement Covenants.
On December 17, 2025, Natural Alternatives International announced it had failed to comply with certain financial covenants under its Credit Agreement with Wells Fargo Bank for its fiscal first quarter ending September 30, 2025. While the company successfully negotiated a Waiver and Release Agreement with Wells Fargo on the same day, reinforcing its financial arrangements, this breach indicated underlying financial strain.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NAII Return | 33% | 19% | -34% | -22% | -34% | -26% | -60% |
| Peers Return | 3% | 18% | -22% | 1% | -25% | 8% | -22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NAII Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 67% | 42% | 52% | 38% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NAII Max Drawdown | -35% | 0% | -43% | -35% | -37% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -10% | -34% | -18% | -31% | -31% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRGO, BCPC, ADM, HLF, USNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NAII | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -71.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 251.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 234 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 420 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,180 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA
In The Past
Natural Alternatives International's stock fell -71.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/5/2021. A -71.5% loss requires a 251.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NAII. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 15.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 15.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Natural Alternatives International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| Rev LTM | 2,648 |
| Op Inc LTM | 299 |
| FCF LTM | 189 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 169 |
| CFO LTM | 253 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 248 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.7 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 11.0 |
| P/E | 13.5 |
| P/CFO | 6.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -41.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -28.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -110.1% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/8/2008 | 0.6% | 0.4% | -5.3% |
| 9/28/2007 | -0.8% | 1.3% | 25.5% |
| 4/30/2007 | -1.1% | -0.9% | -4.8% |
| 1/24/2007 | -2.2% | 0.7% | -0.1% |
| 9/12/2006 | -5.6% | -2.7% | -2.6% |
| 5/1/2006 | 0.3% | -2.1% | 2.2% |
| 2/14/2006 | 0.5% | 1.9% | 13.2% |
| 9/8/2005 | 5.2% | 0.4% | -0.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| # Negative | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 0.6% | 0.8% | 4.5% |
| Median Negative | -1.4% | -2.1% | -2.6% |
| Max Positive | 5.2% | 1.9% | 25.5% |
| Max Negative | -5.6% | -9.8% | -5.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11122025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 9232025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 9272024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9212023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9212022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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