Microvast (MVST)
Market Price (6/17/2026): $1.24 | Market Cap: $412.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Microvast (MVST)
Market Price (6/17/2026): $1.24Market Cap: $412.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -85% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.2% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% Short seller reportGrizzly Reports report on 6/25/2025. Key risksMVST key risks include [1] a high probability of financial distress due to persistent net losses and weak liquidity, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.2% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -85% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.2% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -48% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Short seller reportGrizzly Reports report on 6/25/2025. |
| Key risksMVST key risks include [1] a high probability of financial distress due to persistent net losses and weak liquidity, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Microvast (MVST) stock has lost about 45% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weak Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Report and Bleak 2026 Outlook.
Microvast's stock declined following its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report on March 16, 2026, which revealed a significant miss on revenue estimates and included a substantial impairment charge. Despite achieving record annual revenue of $427.5 million for fiscal year 2025 and an overall swing to non-GAAP profitability, the company's backlog for fiscal year 2026 effectively halved, raising considerable concerns among investors about its future revenue growth prospects. Management also provided minimal guidance for fiscal year 2026, further unsettling the market.
2. Issuance of "Going Concern" Warning.
Compounding the negative sentiment from the fiscal Q4 2025 results, Microvast's 10-K filing for the period included a "going concern" warning. This warning indicated substantial doubt about the company's ability to meet its near-term debt obligations and liquidity needs, specifically highlighting over $93 million in debt due within the next 12 months. This critical development signaled potential financial instability and weighed heavily on investor confidence, a concern that was reiterated in the fiscal Q1 2026 report, citing capital repatriation hurdles from China and persistent losses.
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Microvast (MVST) stock has lost about 45% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Weak Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Report and Bleak 2026 Outlook.
Microvast's stock declined following its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings report on March 16, 2026, which revealed a significant miss on revenue estimates and included a substantial impairment charge. Despite achieving record annual revenue of $427.5 million for fiscal year 2025 and an overall swing to non-GAAP profitability, the company's backlog for fiscal year 2026 effectively halved, raising considerable concerns among investors about its future revenue growth prospects. Management also provided minimal guidance for fiscal year 2026, further unsettling the market.
2. Issuance of "Going Concern" Warning.
Compounding the negative sentiment from the fiscal Q4 2025 results, Microvast's 10-K filing for the period included a "going concern" warning. This warning indicated substantial doubt about the company's ability to meet its near-term debt obligations and liquidity needs, specifically highlighting over $93 million in debt due within the next 12 months. This critical development signaled potential financial instability and weighed heavily on investor confidence, a concern that was reiterated in the fiscal Q1 2026 report, citing capital repatriation hurdles from China and persistent losses.
3. Substantial Revenue Decline and Earnings Miss in Fiscal Q1 2026.
On May 11, 2026, Microvast reported its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings, which showed a significant year-over-year revenue decrease of 48.0%, falling to $60.6 million from $116.5 million in fiscal Q1 2025, missing analysts' estimates by nearly 39%. The company also reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of $5.5 million, a sharp reversal from a positive $28.5 million in fiscal Q1 2025. Earnings per share (EPS) came in at -$0.04, missing expectations. This poor performance, attributed to delivery timing, regional headwinds in APAC, and delays from a customer transitioning to a new battery pack, triggered a single-day stock plunge of more than 30%.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -44.2% change in MVST stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.24 | 1.25 | -44.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 445 | 372 | -16.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 1.1 | -31.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 324 | 332 | -2.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -44.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MVST | -44.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 33.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.6% | 29.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -64.5% change in MVST stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -56.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.52 | 1.25 | -64.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 445 | 372 | -16.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.6 | 1.1 | -56.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 324 | 332 | -2.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -64.5% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MVST | -64.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.4% | 37.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.6% | 34.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -65.2% change in MVST stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -60.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.59 | 1.25 | -65.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 415 | 372 | -10.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.8 | 1.1 | -60.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 323 | 332 | -2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -65.2% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MVST | -65.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.8% | 34.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.7% | 30.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.8% change in MVST stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 73.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.24 | 1.25 | 0.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 215 | 372 | 73.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.8 | 1.1 | -37.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 308 | 332 | -7.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.8% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MVST | 0.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.6% | 11.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 60.1% | 14.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MVST Return | -67% | -73% | -8% | 48% | 35% | -54% | -92% |
| Peers Return | -24% | -44% | 15% | 54% | 73% | 14% | 47% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MVST Win Rate | 33% | 33% | 42% | 25% | 50% | 17% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 33% | 47% | 43% | 58% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MVST Max Drawdown | -77% | -85% | -67% | -89% | -57% | -68% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -63% | -49% | -35% | -44% | -46% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BWA, ENS, FLNC, EOSE, QS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MVST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -27.3% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 400 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -38.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -73.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 280.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1097 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Microvast's stock fell -50.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 100.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | MVST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -27.3% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 400 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -38.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.1% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -73.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 280.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1097 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Microvast's stock fell -50.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 100.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Microvast (MVST)
Microvast Holdings, Inc. specializes in the design, development, and manufacturing of advanced battery systems tailored for electric vehicles and energy storage applications. The company develops a range of cell chemistries, including lithium titanate oxide (LTO), lithium iron phosphate (LFP), and both version 1 and version 2 of nickel manganese cobalt (NMC). In addition to complete battery systems, Microvast also manufactures key battery components such as cathodes, anodes, electrolytes, and separators.
The primary markets Microvast serves are the commercial vehicle sector and large-scale energy storage systems. For commercial vehicles, its battery solutions are used in a diverse array of applications globally, including buses, trains, mining trucks, marine and port applications, automated guided vehicles (AGVs), specialty vehicles, and light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Microvast Holdings (MVST):
Imagine CATL or LG Energy Solution, but specialized in batteries for heavy-duty commercial electric vehicles like buses, trucks, and trains.
Think of them as the "Intel Inside" for electrified commercial fleets and industrial equipment.
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- Battery Systems: Microvast designs, develops, and manufactures complete battery systems for electric vehicles and energy storage applications.
- Battery Components: The company also designs, develops, and manufactures individual battery components, including cathodes, anodes, electrolytes, and separators.
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Microvast (MVST) primarily sells its battery systems and components to other companies (B2B) for integration into their electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Its major customers operate in commercial vehicle markets, industrial equipment, and powertrain manufacturing.
Major Customer Companies:
- Oshkosh Corporation (NYSE: OSK) - A leading manufacturer of specialty vehicles and vehicle bodies, including defense vehicles, fire & emergency vehicles, and commercial vehicles. Microvast has been involved in providing battery solutions for their electric vehicle programs.
- REE Automotive (NASDAQ: REE) - An electric vehicle technology company developing modular EV platforms. Microvast has a strategic partnership to supply battery solutions for REE's commercial electric vehicles.
- Kion Group AG (XTRA: KGX) - A global leader in industrial trucks, warehouse technology, and supply chain solutions. Microvast has a long-term supply agreement to provide lithium-ion battery solutions for Kion's industrial trucks and warehouse applications.
- FPT Industrial (part of CNH Industrial N.V.) (NYSE: CNHI) - A global brand of CNH Industrial N.V. that designs, produces, and sells powertrains for on-road and off-road vehicles, marine and power generation applications. Microvast supplies battery systems for FPT Industrial's electric powertrain solutions.
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Yang Wu, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Wu is the founder of Microvast, establishing the company in 2006. He has served as Chairman, Chief Executive Officer, and director since Microvast's inception. Prior to Microvast, he founded Omex Environmental Engineering Co., Ltd. in 2000, serving as its chief executive officer until it was acquired by Dow Chemical Company in 2006. Mr. Wu is recognized as a visionary serial entrepreneur.
Rodney Worthen, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Worthen was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Microvast, effective January 7, 2026. He previously served as Interim Chief Financial Officer, appointed in August 2025. In addition to his CFO role, Mr. Worthen also serves as the Vice President of Corporate Strategy for the company.
Isida Tushe, President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary
Ms. Tushe was appointed President of Microvast in April 2024. As President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary, she contributes critical legal and governance oversight to the executive team.
Shengxian Wu, Chief Operating Officer and President of Microvast China
Dr. Wu was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Microvast Holdings in April 2024. He has also served as President of Microvast Power Systems Co. Ltd. ("Microvast China") since January 2021. Before joining Microvast China in March 2016, Dr. Wu managed the Commercial Vehicle Research Institute at Zhejiang Geely Holding Group and held management roles at Beiqi Foton Motor Company for over six years.
Wenjuan Mattis, Chief Technology Officer
Ms. Mattis has served as Microvast's Chief Technology Officer since 2018. She is responsible for leading the core battery technology development efforts for the company and holds 97 patents.
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1. Financial Instability and Lack of Profitability
Microvast has demonstrated ongoing challenges in achieving and sustaining profitability, marked by persistent losses and negative net margins. The company's financial health indicators, such as a negative Altman Z-Score, suggest potential financial instability and a heightened risk of bankruptcy. Furthermore, Microvast faces liquidity constraints and a high cash burn rate, indicating a reliance on additional financing to support its operations and expansion plans. Recent financial results have shown disappointing revenue performance and a decline in backlog, casting uncertainty over future revenue growth.2. Intense Competition and Market Share Erosion
The electric vehicle (EV) battery market is characterized by intense competition from larger, well-established, and better-capitalized rivals. These competitors often possess significant cost advantages and greater resources for research and development, posing a continuous threat to Microvast's market share and profit margins. Microvast's ability to differentiate its technology and execute its strategy flawlessly is crucial to avoid being outmaneuvered by rivals or leapfrogged by rapidly advancing technologies.3. Regulatory, Geopolitical, and Reputational Risks
Microvast faces risks associated with its manufacturing presence and reliance on operations in China, which exposes it to geopolitical tensions and potential regulatory hurdles. A notable instance of this risk materialized when the company was denied a significant $200 million U.S. government grant due to suspected ties with the Chinese government. Additionally, the company has been subject to allegations of fabricating a substantial portion of its business and capabilities, including overstating sales and backlog, which has led to legal investigations and a securities class action lawsuit. These issues can severely impact Microvast's access to funding, market opportunities, and overall public and investor trust.AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Microvast (MVST) is the increasing adoption and technological advancement of **hydrogen fuel cell technology for heavy-duty commercial vehicles and other long-range applications.** As Microvast primarily focuses on battery systems for commercial vehicles (buses, trains, mining trucks, marine, port applications, and heavy-duty trucks), the rapid development and deployment of hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) and infrastructure by competitors or alternative energy providers present a direct challenge. Hydrogen fuel cells offer advantages in terms of faster refueling times and potentially lighter weight for long-haul and heavy-duty applications, which could displace the market share for battery-electric solutions in segments crucial to Microvast's business.
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Microvast Holdings, Inc. (MVST) operates in significant addressable markets related to battery systems for electric vehicles and energy storage systems.
For Electric Vehicle (EV) Battery Systems:
- The global electric vehicle battery market size was estimated at USD 61.31 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 198.86 billion by 2030, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 22.2% from 2025 to 2030.
- More broadly, the global lithium-ion battery market, which includes EV batteries, was valued at USD 115.89 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 555.15 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 16.96% from 2026 to 2035.
- In terms of regional markets for EV batteries, North America accounted for 14.6% of the overall market in 2024. The Asia-Pacific region dominated the global lithium-ion battery market with the largest market share of 53% in 2025.
For Energy Storage Systems:
- The global energy storage systems market was estimated at USD 668.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 5.12 trillion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 21.7% from 2025 to 2034.
- Another estimate indicates the global energy storage system market was valued at USD 241.47 billion in 2025 and is likely to surpass USD 763.47 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of more than 12.2% during the forecast period from 2026 to 2035.
- The global stationary energy storage market size specifically was valued at USD 120.69 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 262.15 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 10.18% during the forecast period.
- The Asia Pacific region is expected to lead the energy storage system market with a 48% share in 2025, while North America is anticipated to be the fastest-growing region.
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- Capacity Expansion and Production Localization: Microvast is significantly expanding its manufacturing capabilities. The Huzhou Phase 3.2 expansion in China is expected to add up to 2 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of annual production capacity for its high-energy nickel manganese cobalt (NMC) 53.5 Ah cell technology, with serial production anticipated to commence in 2026. Additionally, the company plans to initiate pack line operations at its Clarksville, Tennessee facility by the end of 2026, aiming to support growth and penetrate high-barrier market segments in North America. This localization effort may also be bolstered by a potential joint venture with Oshkosh Corporation.
- Expansion into New Markets and Customer Growth: Microvast is actively pursuing expansion into new geographic regions and growing its customer base. The company is focusing on high-barrier segments across the EMEA (Europe, Middle East, and Africa), North America, and APAC (Asia-Pacific) regions. EMEA, in particular, has been identified as a strong growth engine, with positive momentum expected in 2026 as previously experienced vehicle platform delays are resolved. The company also reported a substantial 173% year-over-year increase in U.S. revenue in 2025, driven by increased customer deliveries and engagement in new markets.
- Launch and Growth of New Products and Technologies: The introduction and scaling of new battery technologies are key revenue drivers. Microvast has successfully launched new products, including a 55 amp-hour cell and a next-generation Lithium Titanate Oxide (LTO) cell, which enhances its product portfolio. Furthermore, the company is advancing its all-solid-state battery platform, which demonstrates the potential for future scaling and market adoption. These innovations position Microvast to capture demand for advanced battery solutions.
- Increasing Demand for Electrification: The overarching global trend towards electrification across various commercial vehicle and energy storage markets is a fundamental driver for Microvast's revenue growth. The company's 2025 revenue growth was primarily attributed to a 16.5% year-over-year increase in sales volume, equivalent to approximately 266 megawatt hours. The global nickel manganese cobalt (NMC) battery market, central to Microvast's offerings, is projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.8% from 2025 to 2034, indicating sustained demand for their core products.
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Share Issuance
- As of March 24, 2025, Microvast had 325,209,085 shares of common stock issued and outstanding.
- As of August 26, 2025, there were 325,354,111 shares of the company's common stock issued and outstanding.
- A framework agreement on February 1, 2021, resulted in the issuance of 3,255,266 shares of common stock to Hangzhou CDH New Trend Equity Investment Partnership.
Inbound Investments
- Hangzhou CDH New Trend Equity Investment Partnership (Limited Partnership) had sole voting and dispositive power over 3,255,266 shares of common stock issued in its name through a framework agreement dated February 1, 2021.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled $87.9 million in fiscal year 2021, a significant increase from $18.6 million in fiscal year 2020, primarily driven by investments in manufacturing capacity expansions in Huzhou, China, and Clarksville, Tennessee.
- The company expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2022 to be in the range of $300 to $350 million, mainly for ongoing manufacturing capacity expansions in Huzhou, China, and Clarksville, Tennessee, alongside research and development projects in Orlando, Florida.
- Capital expenditures were $31.4 million year-to-date in 2025, compared to $43.8 million year-to-date in 2024, with a strategic expansion in Huzhou expected to be completed by the fourth quarter of 2025, adding 2 gigawatt-hours of annual production capacity.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Microvast Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Microvast Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Microvast Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 47.9% in 2024 and -28.5% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | 03/07/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.42 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,478 |
| Op Inc LTM | -33 |
| FCF LTM | -122 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -108 |
| CFO LTM | -95 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -62 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -30.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -5.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.25 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/27/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -80.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.60 | $2.86 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -22.1% | -56.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 112.6% | 95.6% |
| Downside Capture | 600.15 | 394.28 |
| Upside Capture | 306.00 | 134.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 33.1% | 33.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 6.73 | 5.01 | 2.57 | 2.77 | 2.61 | 1.63 |
| Up Beta | 0.51 | 2.60 | 3.72 | 3.62 | 2.89 | -0.24 |
| Down Beta | -6.94 | -3.24 | -1.61 | 0.64 | 1.88 | 1.20 |
| Up Capture | 664% | 562% | 196% | 198% | 243% | 5962% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 20 | 28 | 51 | 111 | 338 |
| Down Capture | 1747% | 1189% | 364% | 286% | 203% | 114% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 35 | 71 | 133 | 399 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MVST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVST | -68.2% | 96.7% | -0.73 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.8% | 18.3% | 0.52 | 30.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 27.2% | 12.4% | 1.66 | 33.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.8% | 27.4% | 0.82 | 17.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.3% | 18.9% | 0.98 | -3.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.69 | 2.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -37.7% | 42.4% | -1.00 | 28.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MVST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVST | -37.4% | 187.7% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.6% | 23.8% | 0.27 | 17.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 14.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.6% | 18.2% | 0.78 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 19.4% | 0.30 | 1.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.8% | 0.04 | 12.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.1% | 54.2% | 0.42 | 11.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MVST | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVST | -18.3% | 159.9% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.1% | 0.53 | 14.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 11.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.8% | 16.1% | 0.66 | 1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.2% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 1.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 9.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.7% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 7.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/2/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/16/2026 | -34.2% | -31.2% | -16.9% |
| 11/10/2025 | -10.0% | -27.7% | -32.9% |
| 8/12/2025 | 10.3% | -3.1% | 8.0% |
| 5/12/2025 | 30.1% | 50.2% | 76.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | 340.0% | 245.8% | 597.3% |
| 4/2/2024 | 2.8% | -14.2% | -31.5% |
| 11/9/2023 | 11.6% | 4.4% | -6.8% |
| 8/8/2023 | -14.4% | -15.6% | -12.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| # Negative | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 8.2% | 42.1% | 47.4% |
| Median Negative | -10.0% | -9.0% | -19.3% |
| Max Positive | 340.0% | 245.8% | 597.3% |
| Max Negative | -34.2% | -31.2% | -33.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/16/2026 | -34.2% | -31.2% | -16.9% |
| 11/10/2025 | -10.0% | -27.7% | -32.9% |
| 8/12/2025 | 10.3% | -3.1% | 8.0% |
| 5/12/2025 | 30.1% | 50.2% | 76.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | 340.0% | 245.8% | 597.3% |
| 4/2/2024 | 2.8% | -14.2% | -31.5% |
| 11/9/2023 | 11.6% | 4.4% | -6.8% |
| 8/8/2023 | -14.4% | -15.6% | -12.3% |
| 3/16/2023 | -3.9% | -7.0% | -2.3% |
| 11/10/2022 | 0.8% | -6.1% | -19.7% |
| 8/11/2022 | 6.1% | -9.0% | -15.8% |
| 5/16/2022 | 19.0% | 33.9% | -20.8% |
| 3/29/2022 | -7.8% | -20.1% | -33.4% |
| 2/4/2022 | 4.6% | -2.5% | 18.2% |
| 11/15/2021 | 0.5% | -6.2% | -19.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 4 | 4 |
| # Negative | 5 | 11 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 8.2% | 42.1% | 47.4% |
| Median Negative | -10.0% | -9.0% | -19.3% |
| Max Positive | 340.0% | 245.8% | 597.3% |
| Max Negative | -34.2% | -31.2% | -33.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/29/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/12/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mattis, Wenjuan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 1.10 | 4,705 | 5,176 | 1,020,770 | Form |
| 2 | Tushe, Isida | Pres., Gen. Couns. & Corp. Sec | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 1.24 | 6,403 | 7,940 | 228,284 | Form |
| 3 | Wu, Yang | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 1.24 | 46,313 | 57,428 | 166,241,144 | Form |
| 4 | Mattis, Wenjuan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 1.32 | 48,346 | 63,817 | 1,231,135 | Form |
| 5 | Worthen, Rodney | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1292026 | 3.48 | 2,671 | 9,295 | 110,344 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mattis, Wenjuan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 1.10 | 4,705 | 5,176 | 1,020,770 | Form |
| 2 | Tushe, Isida | Pres., Gen. Couns. & Corp. Sec | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 1.24 | 6,403 | 7,940 | 228,284 | Form |
| 3 | Wu, Yang | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 6122026 | 1.24 | 46,313 | 57,428 | 166,241,144 | Form |
| 4 | Mattis, Wenjuan | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 1.32 | 48,346 | 63,817 | 1,231,135 | Form |
| 5 | Worthen, Rodney | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1292026 | 3.48 | 2,671 | 9,295 | 110,344 | Form |
| 6 | Pan, Yixin | Direct | Sell | 1162026 | 2.76 | 12,596 | 34,778 | 360,977 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment Resources |
| AftermarketNews |
| Tire Review |
| Motor Age |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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