Microvast (MVST)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.535 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Microvast (MVST)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.535Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -6.8% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 132% | ||
| Short seller reportGrizzly Reports report on 6/25/2025. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Renewable Energy Transition, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -6.8% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 58% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 132% |
| Short seller reportGrizzly Reports report on 6/25/2025. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MVST Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Microvast (MVST) has experienced significant developments from late 2024 into late 2025, which have influenced its stock performance. While a specific 31.8% movement for the period of 8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025 cannot be directly attributed without real-time data for that exact future period, the following key points highlight the major drivers of stock movement for the company in the recent past (up to December 2025 based on available information):
1. Strong Financial Performance and Turnaround to Profitability. Microvast reported a significant financial turnaround, achieving net profit and positive adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2024. The company recorded a net profit of $13.2 million in Q3 2024, a notable shift from a net loss of $26.2 million in Q3 2023. This trend of improved profitability continued into 2025, with Q1 2025 seeing a record revenue of $116.5 million and a net profit of $61.8 million. For Q3 2025, Microvast reported record revenue of $123.3 million, up 21.6% year-over-year.
2. Significant Revenue Growth and Improved Gross Margins. Microvast has consistently demonstrated strong revenue growth. The company reported a 26.6% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2024, reaching $101.4 million. Year-to-date revenue for the first nine months of 2024 grew by 31.9% compared to the same period in 2023. Gross margins also improved substantially, rising to 33.2% in Q3 2024 from 22.3% in Q3 2023, driven by operational efficiencies, a more favorable product mix, and lower raw material prices. This positive trend in revenue growth and gross margin continued through 2025, with Q3 2025 gross margin reaching 37.6%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MVST Return | 72% | -67% | -73% | -8% | 48% | 60% | -67% |
| Peers Return | 37% | 9% | -19% | 15% | -25% | 14% | 18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MVST Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 53% | 38% | 47% | 35% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MVST Max Drawdown | -5% | -68% | -75% | -38% | -89% | -44% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -63% | -9% | -41% | -14% | -37% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MVST | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -96.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2478.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -22.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 148 days |
Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA
In The Past
Microvast's stock fell -96.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/1/2021. A -96.1% loss requires a 2478.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MVST. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Microvast
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 63.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,816 |
| Op Inc LTM | 300 |
| FCF LTM | 275 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 274 |
| CFO LTM | 398 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 378 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.1 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 8.0 |
| P/E | 11.8 |
| P/CFO | 7.3 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -87.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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