Tearsheet

MV Oil Trust (MVO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.25 | Market Cap: $14.4 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

MV Oil Trust (MVO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.25
Market Cap: $14.4 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -52%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 93%
  Key risks
MVO key risks include [1] the trust's imminent termination scheduled for mid-2026 and [2] declining production volumes and rising operational costs from its underlying properties.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 93%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -52%
5 Key risks
MVO key risks include [1] the trust's imminent termination scheduled for mid-2026 and [2] declining production volumes and rising operational costs from its underlying properties.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MVO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why MV Oil Trust (MVO) stock moved by -78.3% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Impending Trust Termination in July 2026. The most significant factor contributing to MV Oil Trust's stock decline was its scheduled termination in July 2026. After this date, the trust will cease all future distributions, and its units are expected to be canceled, creating a clear expiration date for the investment and diminishing its long-term value. 2. Significant Decline in Distributable Income and Dividends. MV Oil Trust experienced a sharp decline in distributable income and corresponding dividends, with payouts in late 2025 being considerably lower than in earlier periods of 2024 and 2025. For example, distributable income reportedly collapsed by 75% since 2024. This reduction in its core income-generating function directly impacted the trust's attractiveness to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MVO Return-44%226%124%-18%-23%-82%-54%
Peers Return-19%120%148%-35%-1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MVO Win Rate50%75%83%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%58%70%42%47%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MVO Max Drawdown-70%0%-0%-44%-28%-85% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-2%-4%-44%-31%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRT, PBT, CRT, TPL, MTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMVOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-71.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven249.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven424 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven839 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven317.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven632 days1,480 days

Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY


In The Past

MV Oil Trust's stock fell -45.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2022. A -45.2% loss requires a 82.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MV Oil Trust (MVO)

Better Bets than MV Oil Trust (MVO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MVO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MV Oil Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MVOPRTPBTCRTTPLMTRMedian
NameMV Oil T.PermRock.Permian .Cross Ti.Texas Pa.Mesa Roy. 
Mkt Price1.26-17.047.62883.004.907.62
Mkt Cap0.10.00.90.020.30.00.1
Rev LTM13617677219
Op Inc LTM12515458508
FCF LTM----236-236
FCF 3Y Avg----323-323
CFO LTM----559-559
CFO 3Y Avg----491-491

Growth & Margins

MVOPRTPBTCRTTPLMTRMedian
NameMV Oil T.PermRock.Permian .Cross Ti.Texas Pa.Mesa Roy. 
Rev Chg LTM-33.0%-0.8%-54.2%-27.2%12.5%-34.5%-30.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-17.5%-20.0%-19.3%-18.4%5.7%-28.9%-18.9%
Rev Chg Q-52.3%-19.5%-13.6%-55.1%17.0%101.7%-16.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-16.8%-4.8%-6.2%-14.4%4.0%13.2%-5.5%
Op Mgn LTM92.7%85.3%88.5%78.9%75.8%64.9%82.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg93.9%86.9%93.6%86.6%76.7%71.6%86.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%0.5%-1.0%-5.0%-0.1%2.8%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM----72.3%-72.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----70.9%-70.9%
FCF/Rev LTM----30.5%-30.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg----47.9%-47.9%

Valuation

MVOPRTPBTCRTTPLMTRMedian
NameMV Oil T.PermRock.Permian .Cross Ti.Texas Pa.Mesa Roy. 
Mkt Cap0.10.00.90.020.30.00.1
P/S5.18.149.38.227.817.913.0
P/EBIT---10.436.7-23.5
P/E5.59.455.610.345.023.316.8
P/CFO----38.4-38.4
Total Yield18.3%10.6%1.8%9.7%2.9%4.3%7.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg----1.9%-1.9%
D/E---0.00.0-0.0
Net D/E----0.0-0.0--0.0

Returns

MVOPRTPBTCRTTPLMTRMedian
NameMV Oil T.PermRock.Permian .Cross Ti.Texas Pa.Mesa Roy. 
1M Rtn-53.8%--10.1%-13.4%-7.6%8.8%-10.1%
3M Rtn-78.7%--6.2%0.1%-3.1%-13.1%-6.2%
6M Rtn-77.4%-43.0%-21.9%-17.9%-42.6%-21.9%
12M Rtn-82.4%-44.9%-16.3%-26.2%-19.5%-19.5%
3Y Rtn-86.3%--16.3%-55.9%8.9%-68.4%-55.9%
1M Excs Rtn-54.6%--10.9%-14.1%-8.3%8.1%-10.9%
3M Excs Rtn-80.2%--6.9%-1.8%-4.5%-12.1%-6.9%
6M Excs Rtn-89.8%-30.6%-34.3%-30.3%-55.0%-34.3%
12M Excs Rtn-94.2%-29.2%-30.2%-37.0%-33.8%-33.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-154.5%--83.5%-126.0%-59.5%-134.9%-126.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment182712713
Total182712713


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity178,053
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-58.1%
Average Daily Volume593,570
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity11,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/3/20251.9%2.8%-16.0%
7/3/20252.3%4.2%1.5%
4/4/20256.9%19.5%13.6%
1/6/2025-0.7%2.6%-37.9%
10/4/20242.1%3.8%-5.0%
7/5/20242.2%6.1%0.1%
4/5/2024-2.5%-9.3%-8.8%
1/5/20243.4%-0.8%0.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151410
# Negative8913
Median Positive3.4%6.6%11.8%
Median Negative-2.1%-1.4%-9.3%
Max Positive17.5%60.6%27.9%
Max Negative-14.3%-31.1%-37.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024320202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023320202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021317202210-K 12/31/2021