MV Oil Trust (MVO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.25 | Market Cap: $14.4 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
MV Oil Trust (MVO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.25Market Cap: $14.4 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -52% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 93% | Key risksMVO key risks include [1] the trust's imminent termination scheduled for mid-2026 and [2] declining production volumes and rising operational costs from its underlying properties. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 93% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -129%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -52% |
| Key risksMVO key risks include [1] the trust's imminent termination scheduled for mid-2026 and [2] declining production volumes and rising operational costs from its underlying properties. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MVO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why MV Oil Trust (MVO) stock moved by -78.3% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Impending Trust Termination in July 2026. The most significant factor contributing to MV Oil Trust's stock decline was its scheduled termination in July 2026. After this date, the trust will cease all future distributions, and its units are expected to be canceled, creating a clear expiration date for the investment and diminishing its long-term value. 2. Significant Decline in Distributable Income and Dividends. MV Oil Trust experienced a sharp decline in distributable income and corresponding dividends, with payouts in late 2025 being considerably lower than in earlier periods of 2024 and 2025. For example, distributable income reportedly collapsed by 75% since 2024. This reduction in its core income-generating function directly impacted the trust's attractiveness to investors.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MVO Return | -44% | 226% | 124% | -18% | -23% | -82% | -54% |
| Peers Return | -19% | 120% | 148% | -35% | -1% | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MVO Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 83% | 50% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 58% | 70% | 42% | 47% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MVO Max Drawdown | -70% | 0% | -0% | -44% | -28% | -85% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -55% | -2% | -4% | -44% | -31% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRT, PBT, CRT, TPL, MTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MVO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -45.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 82.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -71.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 249.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 424 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 839 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -76.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 317.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 632 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY
In The Past
MV Oil Trust's stock fell -45.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2022. A -45.2% loss requires a 82.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| MV Oil Trust Earnings Notes | ||
| MV Oil Trust Stock 7-Day Losing Spree: Stock Falls -77% | Notification | |
| MV Oil Trust Stock Slides -71% With A 6-Day Losing Spree | Notification | |
| 5-Day Sell-Off Sends MV Oil Trust Stock Down -63% | Notification | |
| MV Oil Trust Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MVO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.5% | 4.5% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.5% | 24.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.1% | -7.1% | -7.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MV Oil Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.62 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 9 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8 |
| FCF LTM | 236 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 323 |
| CFO LTM | 559 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 491 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -30.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -18.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -16.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -5.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 82.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 86.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 72.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 70.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 30.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 47.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| P/S | 13.0 |
| P/EBIT | 23.5 |
| P/E | 16.8 |
| P/CFO | 38.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -10.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -19.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -55.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -34.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -126.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/3/2025 | 1.9% | 2.8% | -16.0% |
| 7/3/2025 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| 4/4/2025 | 6.9% | 19.5% | 13.6% |
| 1/6/2025 | -0.7% | 2.6% | -37.9% |
| 10/4/2024 | 2.1% | 3.8% | -5.0% |
| 7/5/2024 | 2.2% | 6.1% | 0.1% |
| 4/5/2024 | -2.5% | -9.3% | -8.8% |
| 1/5/2024 | 3.4% | -0.8% | 0.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 10 |
| # Negative | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 6.6% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.1% | -1.4% | -9.3% |
| Max Positive | 17.5% | 60.6% | 27.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.3% | -31.1% | -37.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |