Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.55 | Market Cap: $51.3 MilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Cross Timbers Royalty Trust (CRT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.55Market Cap: $51.3 MilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 84% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Traditional Energy Sources. Themes include Domestic Oil & Gas Production. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.1% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 84% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Traditional Energy Sources. Themes include Domestic Oil & Gas Production. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 9.1x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -25%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -17% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CRT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Significant Decline in Distributable Cash Flow: Cross Timbers Royalty Trust reported a substantial 68% plunge in distributable cash flow per unit during the third quarter of fiscal 2025. This was primarily driven by a 20% reduction in oil volumes, a 47% decrease in gas volumes, and a 20% decline in the average realized price of oil compared to the prior year's quarter.
2. Falling Oil Prices and Market Oversupply: The broader oil and gas market faced downward pressure, with Brent crude prices forecast to drop to approximately $58 per barrel by the fourth quarter of 2025. This was exacerbated by International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts indicating that global oil supply growth was outpacing demand by a 3:1 ratio, leading to tighter margins across the industry.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CRT Return | 5% | 53% | 146% | -24% | -39% | -10% | 65% |
| Peers Return | -39% | 91% | 65% | 8% | -3% | -3% | 93% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CRT Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 75% | 58% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 70% | 58% | 57% | 48% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CRT Max Drawdown | -49% | -9% | 0% | -46% | -47% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -73% | -1% | 0% | -14% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CRT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 351 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 892 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 338.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY
In The Past
Cross Timbers Royalty Trust's stock fell -55.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/14/2023. A -55.1% loss requires a 122.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| With Cross Timbers Royalty Trust Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 13.3% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.5% | 22.5% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.4% | -0.4% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 67.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| Rev LTM | 24,864 |
| Op Inc LTM | 6,562 |
| FCF LTM | 4,776 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 5,745 |
| CFO LTM | 12,146 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,366 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -6.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 27.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 30.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 44.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 17.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 53.0 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 8.2 |
| P/E | 10.9 |
| P/CFO | 4.7 |
| Total Yield | 11.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 3.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 5.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -12.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -26.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -85.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3302023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3292022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11122021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |