Tearsheet

Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.69 | Market Cap: $8.7 Mil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.69
Market Cap: $8.7 Mil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 33x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -57%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Natural Gas Production, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 62%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US Natural Gas Production, and US Oilfield Technologies.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 33x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -57%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -28%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR) experienced a stock decline of approximately 15.2% due to several key factors:

1. Reduced Distributions: The Trust announced materially reduced income distributions to unitholders during this period. For instance, the August 2025 distribution was $0.009431485 per unit, followed by a September 2025 distribution of $0.001723157 per unit. These reductions, along with a stated expectation for distributions to be materially reduced until cash reserves reach $2.0 million, likely dampened investor confidence.

2. Unsustainable Payout Ratio: Mesa Royalty Trust's dividend payout ratio stood at an undesirable 152.17%, indicating that the Trust was paying out more in dividends than it earned, which is generally considered unsustainable.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTR Return-39%62%313%-35%-54%-18%-0%
Peers Return-39%91%65%8%-3%-3%93%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTR Win Rate33%50%83%42%25%30% 
Peers Win Rate37%70%58%57%48%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTR Max Drawdown-48%0%-0%-44%-56%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-73%-1%0%-14%-12%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven152.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven170 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven139.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven487 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven206.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven894 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven364.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to COP, CNQ, EOG, FANG, OXY


In The Past

Mesa Royalty Trust's stock fell -60.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/26/2022. A -60.4% loss requires a 152.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR)

Better Bets than Mesa Royalty Trust (MTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mesa Royalty Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTRCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameMesa Roy.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Price4.6891.8134.13111.51158.3842.4567.13
Mkt Cap0.0114.371.360.345.741.853.0
Rev LTM059,78844,52122,57915,28427,15024,864
Op Inc LTM012,5499,0227,5395,5845,4576,562
FCF LTM-7,0888,1243,891-1,0944,7764,776
FCF 3Y Avg-8,9108,2845,167-1,9665,7455,745
CFO LTM-19,93514,77010,1958,75612,14612,146
CFO 3Y Avg-20,72013,87411,4536,73012,36612,366

Growth & Margins

MTRCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameMesa Roy.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Rev Chg LTM-57.0%8.2%8.3%-5.0%60.1%0.1%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.0%-6.6%-2.4%-7.6%20.8%-6.8%-4.5%
Rev Chg Q-27.7%15.3%6.4%-2.3%48.2%-5.9%2.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-14.7%3.4%1.5%-0.6%9.1%-1.5%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM62.1%21.0%20.3%33.4%36.5%20.1%27.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg72.8%24.1%21.9%36.4%46.8%23.4%30.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.0%-1.0%-4.3%-0.8%-1.3%-2.0%-1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-33.3%33.2%45.2%57.3%44.7%44.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-35.6%32.8%49.0%62.5%43.1%43.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.9%18.2%17.2%-7.2%17.6%17.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.3%19.6%22.1%-18.6%19.7%19.6%

Valuation

MTRCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameMesa Roy.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
Mkt Cap0.0114.371.360.345.741.853.0
P/S20.72.01.52.72.71.52.3
P/EBIT33.38.17.68.36.98.88.2
P/E25.913.310.011.09.917.212.1
P/CFO-5.94.55.94.73.44.7
Total Yield3.9%10.8%17.1%12.6%12.9%5.8%11.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.3%7.1%3.5%2.7%0.0%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.9%12.0%7.6%-5.2%11.6%7.6%
D/E0.00.20.30.10.40.60.2
Net D/E-0.20.10.30.10.40.50.2

Returns

MTRCOPCNQEOGFANGOXYMedian
NameMesa Roy.ConocoPh.Canadian.EOG Reso.Diamondb.Occident. 
1M Rtn0.2%4.6%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.7%5.1%
3M Rtn-15.0%-2.1%10.7%-6.6%12.1%-8.3%-4.4%
6M Rtn-5.1%8.7%13.4%2.5%15.3%2.4%5.6%
12M Rtn-30.5%-10.4%5.1%-12.5%-7.3%-14.0%-11.5%
3Y Rtn-69.5%-16.5%31.6%-9.3%23.4%-34.8%-12.9%
1M Excs Rtn0.2%4.7%6.8%5.6%12.9%3.8%5.1%
3M Excs Rtn-20.9%-8.6%4.9%-12.8%6.4%-14.3%-10.7%
6M Excs Rtn-19.8%-6.0%-1.4%-12.2%0.5%-12.3%-9.1%
12M Excs Rtn-46.5%-25.9%-7.2%-27.0%-21.8%-27.9%-26.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-139.8%-90.4%-39.2%-80.6%-47.9%-107.7%-85.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity923
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-53.7%
Average Daily Volume5,221
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1,863,590
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022323202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021