McEwen (MUX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.58 | Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Precious Metals & Minerals
McEwen (MUX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.58Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Extraction, and Sustainable Mining Operations. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 363x | ||
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.3% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 134% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Global Resource Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Extraction, and Sustainable Mining Operations. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -16 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.4% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 363x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.3% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 134% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MUX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Below are key points explaining the approximate 62.7% movement in McEwen Mining (MUX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Robust Q2 2025 Financial Health and Ambitious Production Growth Plans. McEwen Mining reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting improved financial health with a treasury of $54 million and working capital of $62 million. The company also reiterated its strategic objective to significantly increase annual gold and silver production by 2030, supported by substantial investments in exploration that have yielded promising drill results.
2. Significant Milestones and Incentives for the Los Azules Copper Project. During the period, McEwen Copper's Los Azules project secured its inclusion in Argentina's Large Investment Incentive Regime (RIGI) in September 2025, providing crucial tax and foreign exchange stability. Furthermore, the Feasibility Study results for Los Azules, announced on October 7, 2025, confirmed the project as an economically robust copper venture with strong environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MUX Return | -22% | -10% | -93% | 23% | 8% | 135% | -86% |
| Peers Return | 54% | 326% | -35% | 8% | 62% | 84% | 1282% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MUX Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 90% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 28% | 40% | 50% | 43% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MUX Max Drawdown | -54% | -16% | -97% | -7% | -18% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -22% | -14% | -49% | -22% | -30% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PLG, LODE, TFPM, PPTA, SLSR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MUX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5609.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 124.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -75.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 311.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -93.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1465.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 769 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PLG, LODE, TFPM, PPTA, SLSR
In The Past
McEwen's stock fell -98.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/10/2021. A -98.2% loss requires a 5609.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| McEwen Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MUX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for McEwen
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.28 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1 |
| Op Inc LTM | -20 |
| FCF LTM | -18 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -21 |
| CFO LTM | -0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -9 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 39.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 33.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -9.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -39.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -6.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -27.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -26.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 17.5 |
| P/EBIT | -24.7 |
| P/E | -25.7 |
| P/CFO | 7.4 |
| Total Yield | -2.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 40.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 51.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 100.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 94.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 34.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 36.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 96.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 54.8% |
Returns Analyses
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |