Tearsheet

ARKO (ARKO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.035 | Market Cap: $567.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

ARKO (ARKO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.035
Market Cap: $567.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, FCF Yield is 7.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 442%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include EV Charging Infrastructure, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
2   Key risks
ARKO key risks include [1] execution challenges with its dealerization program causing declining revenue, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, FCF Yield is 7.2%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include EV Charging Infrastructure, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 442%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
5 Key risks
ARKO key risks include [1] execution challenges with its dealerization program causing declining revenue, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ARKO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why ARKO's stock moved by approximately 1.5% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Positive Q3 2025 Earnings Report: On November 5, 2025, ARKO Corp. reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results. While the company missed consensus earnings per share (EPS) estimates, it surpassed revenue expectations with $2.02 billion, and its net income increased to $13.5 million compared to $9.7 million in the prior year. This announcement was followed by a 2.94% increase in the stock's aftermarket trading.

2. Improved Merchandise and Retail Fuel Margins: In the third quarter of 2025, ARKO demonstrated enhanced operational efficiency, with its merchandise margin rising to 33.7% from 32.8% in the same period last year. Additionally, the retail fuel margin improved to 43.6 cents per gallon, up from 41.3 cents per gallon year-over-year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ARKO Return-10%-3%-0%-3%-19%-21%-46%
Peers Return11%40%23%34%26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ARKO Win Rate58%42%50%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%72%56%69%56%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ARKO Max Drawdown-22%-16%-14%-21%-49%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-3%-12%-8%-6%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CASY, MUSA, SUN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventARKOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven126 days148 days

Compare to TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA


In The Past

ARKO's stock fell -40.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2021. A -40.2% loss requires a 67.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About ARKO (ARKO)

Better Bets than ARKO (ARKO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ARKO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for ARKO

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ARKOCASYMUSASUNMedian
NameARKO Casey's .Murphy U.Sunoco  
Mkt Price5.04554.73409.61-409.61
Mkt Cap0.621.07.47.37.3
Rev LTM7,84116,97019,35121,87018,160
Op Inc LTM95897732985814
FCF LTM37682367373370
FCF 3Y Avg76497408268338
CFO LTM1711,258817923870
CFO 3Y Avg1921,033808623716

Growth & Margins

ARKOCASYMUSASUNMedian
NameARKO Casey's .Murphy U.Sunoco  
Rev Chg LTM-12.6%13.3%-6.1%-5.2%-5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.1%4.5%-5.4%-4.0%-4.0%
Rev Chg Q-11.3%14.2%-2.5%4.9%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.2%3.4%-0.7%1.3%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM1.2%5.3%3.8%4.5%4.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.2%5.0%3.7%3.4%3.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.1%-0.0%0.6%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM2.2%7.4%4.2%4.2%4.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.2%6.6%3.9%2.8%3.4%
FCF/Rev LTM0.5%4.0%1.9%1.7%1.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.9%3.2%2.0%1.2%1.6%

Valuation

ARKOCASYMUSASUNMedian
NameARKO Casey's .Murphy U.Sunoco  
Mkt Cap0.621.07.47.37.3
P/S0.11.20.40.30.3
P/EBIT4.4--6.45.4
P/E27.734.615.720.424.1
P/CFO3.016.79.07.48.2
Total Yield6.3%3.3%6.9%7.2%6.6%
Dividend Yield2.7%0.4%0.5%2.3%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.1%--4.2%7.2%
D/E5.0--1.53.3
Net D/E4.4--1.02.7

Returns

ARKOCASYMUSASUNMedian
NameARKO Casey's .Murphy U.Sunoco  
1M Rtn20.6%3.4%14.3%-14.3%
3M Rtn1.7%0.0%3.1%-1.7%
6M Rtn21.6%9.8%0.8%-9.8%
12M Rtn-29.4%32.2%-23.7%--23.7%
3Y Rtn-39.2%134.9%45.3%-45.3%
1M Excs Rtn19.8%2.7%13.6%-13.6%
3M Excs Rtn-0.3%0.8%6.1%-0.8%
6M Excs Rtn9.2%-2.6%-11.5%--2.6%
12M Excs Rtn-40.0%19.9%-36.3%--36.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-110.2%61.4%-23.7%--23.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Retail5,7715,6024,7293,4883,957
GPM Petroleum LP (GPMP)5,1655,6844,3911,7112,050
Wholesale3,0663,2582,682518165
Fleet Fueling539273   
All Other528136
Inter-segment revenues-5,180-5,682-4,385-1,709-2,049
Other revenues  0-0-0
Total9,4139,1437,4174,0104,129


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Retail31526524020090
GPM Petroleum LP (GPMP)10289924744
Wholesale79342240
Fleet Fueling4118   
All Other11136
Total539407355254140


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,361,636
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-38.6%
Average Daily Volume547,702
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.31
Basic Shares Quantity112,723,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-12.1%-4.6%7.3%
8/6/202513.5%24.6%20.6%
5/8/20257.2%18.9%3.5%
2/26/2025-37.7%-41.5%-43.4%
11/7/2024-3.4%-5.0%6.5%
8/6/20247.5%3.0%1.6%
5/7/202417.8%32.6%45.1%
2/27/2024-16.1%-19.8%-30.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81011
# Negative1198
Median Positive7.4%6.9%7.3%
Median Negative-8.7%-10.7%-7.7%
Max Positive17.8%32.6%45.1%
Max Negative-37.7%-41.5%-43.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021