Micron Technology (MU)
Market Price (7/16/2026): $861.1 | Market Cap: $969.6 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Micron Technology (MU)
Market Price (7/16/2026): $861.1Market Cap: $969.6 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 31 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 654% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131% Key risksMU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 31 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 654% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131% |
| Key risksMU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Micron Technology (MU) stock has gained about 170% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Micron Technology reported exceptional financial results for its fiscal third quarter of 2026, which ended May 28, 2026, and provided an even stronger outlook for fiscal Q4 2026. The company's revenue reached $41.46 billion, significantly surpassing analyst estimates ranging from $35.59 billion to $35.91 billion and representing a 346% year-over-year increase and a 74% sequential increase from fiscal Q2 2026. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) hit $25.11, exceeding consensus estimates between $20.20 and $21.39, while achieving a record non-GAAP gross margin of 84.9%. Furthermore, Micron's fiscal Q4 2026 revenue guidance of a $50 billion midpoint significantly surpassed Wall Street's $43.45 billion consensus, with projected non-GAAP EPS of $31.00, exceeding estimates of $25.50.
2. Unprecedented demand from Artificial Intelligence (AI) data centers created a structural and prolonged memory shortage, driving significant price increases. The memory market has entered a multi-year "supercycle" with a severe structural shortage expected to extend beyond calendar 2027. AI data centers are consuming a disproportionate share of global memory supply, projected to absorb up to 70% of high-end DRAM in 2026. High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), critical for AI accelerators, offers 3 to 5 times higher profit margins than standard RAM, leading Micron to reallocate production capacity. As a result, Micron's entire HBM supply for calendar 2026 is sold out, with demand extending into 2028. DRAM contract prices surged by a record 90-95% quarter-over-quarter in fiscal Q1 2026, with further increases of 58-63% projected for conventional DRAM and 70-75% for NAND Flash in fiscal Q2 2026.
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Micron Technology (MU) stock has gained about 170% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Micron Technology reported exceptional financial results for its fiscal third quarter of 2026, which ended May 28, 2026, and provided an even stronger outlook for fiscal Q4 2026. The company's revenue reached $41.46 billion, significantly surpassing analyst estimates ranging from $35.59 billion to $35.91 billion and representing a 346% year-over-year increase and a 74% sequential increase from fiscal Q2 2026. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) hit $25.11, exceeding consensus estimates between $20.20 and $21.39, while achieving a record non-GAAP gross margin of 84.9%. Furthermore, Micron's fiscal Q4 2026 revenue guidance of a $50 billion midpoint significantly surpassed Wall Street's $43.45 billion consensus, with projected non-GAAP EPS of $31.00, exceeding estimates of $25.50.
2. Unprecedented demand from Artificial Intelligence (AI) data centers created a structural and prolonged memory shortage, driving significant price increases. The memory market has entered a multi-year "supercycle" with a severe structural shortage expected to extend beyond calendar 2027. AI data centers are consuming a disproportionate share of global memory supply, projected to absorb up to 70% of high-end DRAM in 2026. High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), critical for AI accelerators, offers 3 to 5 times higher profit margins than standard RAM, leading Micron to reallocate production capacity. As a result, Micron's entire HBM supply for calendar 2026 is sold out, with demand extending into 2028. DRAM contract prices surged by a record 90-95% quarter-over-quarter in fiscal Q1 2026, with further increases of 58-63% projected for conventional DRAM and 70-75% for NAND Flash in fiscal Q2 2026.
3. Micron secured multiple Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) that provide long-term revenue visibility and stability. The company announced 16 multi-year "take-or-pay" SCAs with customers across data centers, consumer devices, and automotive applications. These contracts cover minimum committed volumes through calendar 2030, with a cumulative minimum revenue value of approximately $100 billion, including $22 billion in projected customer cash deposits and financial commitments. These agreements are strategically designed to mitigate the historical boom-and-bust cycles of the memory industry by ensuring long-term demand visibility.
4. Micron's strong and evolving portfolio of AI-optimized memory and storage solutions positioned it as a key enabler in the accelerating AI infrastructure build-out. At COMPUTEX 2026, Micron showcased its comprehensive lineup of AI-optimized products, including HBM4, SOCAMM2, DDR5 RDIMMs, PCIe Gen6 SSDs, GDDR7, LPDDR5X, and LPCAMM2, all designed for AI training and inference. The company is actively developing HBM4E, built on 1-gamma DRAM technology, with volume production anticipated in calendar 2027, and has shipped qualification samples of 256GB DDR5 RDIMMs to key server ecosystem partners. Furthermore, Micron is the sole provider of a 256GB SOCAMM2, offering substantial advantages in power and footprint compared to standard RDIMMs.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 167.7% change in MU stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 167.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 337.79 | 904.28 | 167.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 58,119 | 58,119 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 41.5% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.8 | 42.2 | 167.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,126 | 1,126 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 167.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MU | 167.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.1% | 56.1% |
| Sector (XLK) | 36.6% | 78.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 217.0% change in MU stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 285.25 | 904.28 | 217.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 42,312 | 58,119 | 37.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 28.1% | 41.5% | 47.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.9 | 42.2 | 56.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,125 | 1,126 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 217.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MU | 217.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.0% | 50.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 26.3% | 72.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 635.6% change in MU stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 125.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 122.94 | 904.28 | 635.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 33,813 | 58,119 | 71.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.4% | 41.5% | 125.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.1 | 42.2 | 91.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,118 | 1,126 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 635.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MU | 635.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.2% | 52.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 44.0% | 70.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1351.6% change in MU stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 367.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7152026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.30 | 904.28 | 1351.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 18,173 | 58,119 | 219.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.8 | 17.5 | 367.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,094 | 1,126 | -2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1351.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/15/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MU | 1351.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.3% | 56.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 112.8% | 69.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MU Return | 24% | -46% | 72% | -1% | 240% | 245% | 1241% |
| Peers Return | 46% | -48% | 112% | 23% | 100% | 119% | 762% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MU Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 75% | 57% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 37% | 63% | 53% | 60% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 57% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MU Max Drawdown | -30% | -50% | -18% | -45% | -41% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -56% | -23% | -39% | -36% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM. See MU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/15/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -36.4% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.1% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 399 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -10.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 10 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 522 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -35.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 207 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Micron Technology's stock fell -37.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | MU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -36.4% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 57.1% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 399 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -48.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 95.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 522 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -35.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 207 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 210 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -70.3% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 236.4% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 568 days | 15 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -46.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.8% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 128 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.6% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.7% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 189 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 343.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 281 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.6% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2133 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Micron Technology's stock fell -37.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Micron Technology (MU)
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) is a global leader in the design, manufacture, and sale of advanced memory and storage products. The company provides essential semiconductor devices, primarily focusing on DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory) for high-speed data retrieval and NAND (Non-Volatile) products for persistent data storage. It also offers NOR memory, known for its fast read speeds. These critical components are supplied under the company's Micron and Crucial brands, as well as through private labels.
Micron's diverse portfolio of memory and storage solutions serves a wide range of industries and applications. Its DRAM products are vital for cloud servers, enterprise systems, client computing, graphics, and networking markets, as well as powering smartphones and other mobile devices. The company's NAND-based SSDs (Solid State Drives) and other storage solutions cater to enterprise, cloud, client, and consumer storage needs. Beyond these, Micron also develops specialized memory and storage products for the demanding automotive, industrial, and broader consumer markets.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Micron Technology:
- Micron is like Intel for computer memory chips.
- Micron is like Samsung, but solely focused on making memory and storage chips.
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- DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory) Products: Semiconductor devices offering low-latency, high-speed data retrieval for various computing applications.
- NAND Products: Non-volatile, re-writable semiconductor storage devices primarily used for data storage.
- NOR Memory Products: Non-volatile, re-writable semiconductor memory devices providing fast read speeds.
- SSDs (Solid State Drives): Storage devices and component-level solutions for enterprise, cloud, client, and consumer markets.
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Based on the company description, Micron Technology primarily designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products as components and solutions to other businesses for integration into their final products. Therefore, its major customers are other companies rather than individuals.
Major customers for Micron Technology typically include large-scale manufacturers and cloud service providers across the following sectors:
- Smartphone and Mobile Device Manufacturers: Companies that integrate Micron's memory and storage into smartphones, tablets, and other mobile devices.
- Example: Apple Inc. (AAPL)
- PC, Server, and Enterprise System Manufacturers: Companies that utilize Micron's DRAM, NAND, and SSD solutions for client PCs, enterprise servers, and data center infrastructure.
- Example: Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)
- Cloud Service Providers and Hyperscalers: Large technology companies that build and operate massive data centers requiring vast amounts of memory and storage for their cloud computing services.
- Example: Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) for its Azure cloud platform.
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- ASML (ASML)
- Applied Materials (AMAT)
- Lam Research (LRCX)
- KLA Corporation (KLAC)
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Sanjay Mehrotra, Chairman, President and CEO
Sanjay Mehrotra is the Chairman, President, and CEO of Micron Technology. He co-founded SanDisk Corporation in 1988 and served as its president and CEO from 2011 until its acquisition by Western Digital in 2016 for $19 billion. Mehrotra has over 40 years of experience in the semiconductor memory industry, including engineering and leadership positions at Integrated Device Technology, SEEQ Technology, and Intel Corp. He holds more than 70 patents.
Mark Murphy, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mark Murphy is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Micron Technology, joining the company in 2022. He is responsible for leading Micron's finance organization and all financial functions, including accounting, tax, treasury, internal audit, and investor relations. Prior to Micron, Murphy served as Executive Vice President and CFO of Qorvo, a semiconductor company. He also held senior leadership positions at Delphi Automotive, MEMC Electronic Materials, and Praxair. Murphy has over 25 years of experience across finance and general management roles in global companies.
Sumit Sadana, Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer
Sumit Sadana is the Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer at Micron Technology, a role he assumed in 2017. He is responsible for the company's business units, driving revenue and profitability, and corporate strategy and business development. Sadana previously served as Executive Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer, and General Manager of Enterprise Solutions at SanDisk. His career also includes executive roles at IBM and Freescale Semiconductor. Sadana has completed approximately $40 billion in mergers and acquisitions throughout his career.
Manish Bhatia, Executive Vice President, Global Operations
Manish Bhatia is the Executive Vice President, Global Operations at Micron Technology, a position he has held since October 2017. He is responsible for the company's end-to-end operations, including manufacturing, packaging, quality, and supply chain. Before joining Micron, Bhatia held several executive roles at Western Digital Corporation and SanDisk Corporation, including Executive Vice President of Worldwide Operations at SanDisk. He joined SanDisk in 2006 through the acquisition of Matrix Semiconductor. His earlier career included positions at McKinsey & Company and Saint Gobain Corporation.
Scott J. DeBoer, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology and Products Officer
Scott J. DeBoer is the Executive Vice President, Chief Technology and Products Officer at Micron Technology. He oversees the company's research and development, as well as product development and technology roadmap. DeBoer has held various leadership positions in technology and engineering throughout his career at Micron. His extensive experience includes driving innovation in memory and storage solutions.
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The key risks to Micron Technology's business include:
- Cyclicality and Potential Oversupply in the Memory Market: The memory and storage industry is inherently cyclical, characterized by fluctuating demand, pricing, and profitability. While currently experiencing strong demand, particularly for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) driven by AI, there is a significant risk of future oversupply. Micron and its competitors are undertaking substantial capital expenditures to expand production capacity, which could lead to an imbalance where supply outstrips demand, resulting in declines in average selling prices and compressed profit margins, potentially by late 2026 or 2027.
- Intense Competition in High Bandwidth Memory (HBM): Micron faces fierce competition, especially in the high-growth HBM segment critical for AI applications. Key rivals like SK Hynix and Samsung are aggressively increasing their HBM production capacity and developing next-generation technologies. Reports suggest Micron may be trailing in the HBM4 market, potentially impacting its market share, pricing power, and future profitability in this crucial, high-margin area.
- Geopolitical Risks and Supply Chain Dependency: A substantial portion of Micron's manufacturing and operational footprint is located in Taiwan. This concentration exposes the company to significant geopolitical risks. Any regional conflict or increased tensions could lead to catastrophic disruptions in Micron's supply chain and manufacturing capabilities, severely impacting its global operations and financial performance.
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Micron Technology's main products, DRAM, NAND, and NOR memory, operate within substantial addressable markets globally.
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The global Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) market was valued at approximately USD 121.83 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 223.7 billion by 2034, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.20% during the forecast period. Another estimate placed the global DRAM market size at USD 135.4 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 359.0 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 11.4% from 2025-2033.
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The global NAND flash memory market was valued at USD 65.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a 5.6% CAGR from 2025 to 2034. Other reports indicate the NAND flash memory market is estimated to be valued at USD 77.81 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 117.00 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.0% from 2026 to 2033. Furthermore, the NAND Flash Memory market was valued at USD 108.25 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 225.68 billion by 2034, advancing at a CAGR of 8.64%.
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The global NOR Flash Market is projected to expand from USD 3.04 billion in 2025 to USD 4.27 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 5.74% between 2026 and 2031. Another analysis forecasts the global NOR Flash Market to reach a valuation of USD 5.27 billion in 2025 and to reach USD 10.73 billion by 2034, recording a CAGR of 8.2% from 2025 to 2034.
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Micron Technology (MU) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
- Explosive Demand for AI-Driven High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and Data Center Products: The proliferation of artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs) is creating unprecedented demand for high-performance memory. Micron has reported record revenues in data center DRAM and HBM, with HBM shipments ahead of plan. The company has sold out its entire HBM output for calendar year 2025 and has secured agreements for its calendar 2026 HBM supply, including the advanced HBM4. The HBM market is projected to expand significantly, with estimates indicating growth from approximately $35 billion in 2025 to nearly $100 billion by 2028.
- Overall DRAM and NAND Market Recovery and Improved Pricing: Following a period of oversupply, the broader memory market for both DRAM and NAND products is experiencing a robust recovery. Tight supply conditions across the industry are leading to increased pricing power for memory manufacturers like Micron. The company expects these tight market conditions to persist beyond calendar 2026. This environment is contributing to significantly improved gross margins and overall revenue expansion.
- Technological Leadership and New Product Ramps: Micron's continuous investment in advanced technology nodes, such as the 1-gamma DRAM and G9 NAND, is a crucial driver. The 1-gamma DRAM node offers higher bit density and improved power efficiency, while the ramp of HBM4 is expected to command higher average selling prices (ASPs). These technological advancements enhance Micron's competitive edge and enable the delivery of higher-value, higher-margin products.
- Recovery in Traditional End Markets: Beyond the dominant AI segment, Micron is also observing improvements in demand across other key end markets. This includes the recovery of inventories in client (PC) and smartphone markets, as well as strengthening demand in broad distribution, industrial, and parts of the automotive sectors. This broader market stabilization and growth will contribute to overall revenue diversification and stability.
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Share Repurchases
- Micron's annual share buybacks amounted to $425 million in 2023 and $300 million in 2024.
- The company conducted $300 million in share repurchases during the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended November 27, 2025.
- Micron completed $300 million in share repurchases under the CHIPS definitive agreement.
Capital Expenditures
- Micron invested $13.8 billion in capital expenditures during fiscal 2025.
- The company anticipates fiscal 2026 capital expenditures to be approximately $20 billion, an increase from fiscal 2025, primarily focused on 1γ DRAM and HBM-related investments, DRAM front-end equipment, and fab construction.
- For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, capital expenditures were $4.5 billion.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 363.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 693.3 |
| Rev LTM | 49,125 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,879 |
| FCF LTM | 9,428 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,346 |
| CFO LTM | 12,132 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12,119 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 22.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 41.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 102.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 53.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 28.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 693.3 |
| P/S | 16.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 42.0 |
| P/EBIT | 25.8 |
| P/E | 29.7 |
| P/CFO | 46.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -18.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 49.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 124.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 294.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 362.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 42.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 129.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 281.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 313.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU) | 13,524 | 3,792 | 1,872 | ||
| Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU) | 11,859 | 11,667 | 7,394 | ||
| Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU) | 7,229 | 4,984 | 2,124 | ||
| Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU) | 4,753 | 4,631 | 4,139 | ||
| All Other | 13 | 37 | 11 | 17 | 40 |
| Unallocated | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU) | 13,693 | 12,280 | |||
| Embedded Business Unit (EBU) | 5,235 | 4,209 | |||
| Mobile Business Unit (MBU) | 7,260 | 7,203 | |||
| Storage Business Unit (SBU) | 4,553 | 3,973 | |||
| Total | 37,378 | 25,111 | 15,540 | 30,758 | 27,705 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU) | 6,129 | 244 | -768 | ||
| Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU) | 2,180 | 255 | -563 | ||
| Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU) | 1,981 | -1 | -3,189 | ||
| Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU) | 557 | 432 | 680 | ||
| All Other | -1 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| Unallocated | -1,076 | 356 | -1,913 | -579 | -1,384 |
| Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU) | 5,844 | 4,295 | |||
| Embedded Business Unit (EBU) | 1,752 | 1,006 | |||
| Mobile Business Unit (MBU) | 2,160 | 2,173 | |||
| Storage Business Unit (SBU) | 513 | 173 | |||
| Total | 9,770 | 1,304 | -5,745 | 9,702 | 6,283 |
| $ Mil | 2001 |
|---|---|
| Semiconductor operations | 7,789 |
| Total | 7,789 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $904.28 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1,018.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/16/1989 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -19.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $923.86 | $476.00 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -2.1% | 90.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 104.9% | 76.1% |
| Downside Capture | 458.91 | 254.34 |
| Upside Capture | 664.93 | 448.37 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 56.5% | 53.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.68 | 4.87 | 3.79 | 3.29 | 3.13 | 2.28 |
| Up Beta | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.35 | 1.63 | 2.50 | 1.96 |
| Down Beta | 5.71 | 5.16 | 5.05 | 3.21 | 3.42 | 2.47 |
| Up Capture | 851% | 1428% | 1346% | 1624% | 2702% | 11570% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 69 | 144 | 408 |
| Down Capture | 345% | 313% | 294% | 199% | 157% | 112% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 16 | 25 | 56 | 108 | 343 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | 737.2% | 75.9% | 3.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 44.4% | 24.5% | 1.45 | 71.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.4% | 12.6% | 1.27 | 53.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 28.0% | 0.67 | 23.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 28.4% | 18.9% | 1.19 | 1.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.2% | 13.9% | 0.60 | -5.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.2% | 42.8% | -1.32 | 26.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | 66.8% | 54.8% | 1.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 20.3% | 25.5% | 0.71 | 67.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 57.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.2% | 18.4% | 0.76 | 14.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.9% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 11.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.7% | 18.9% | 0.04 | 24.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.8% | 53.5% | 0.44 | 25.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | 55.9% | 50.7% | 1.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.2% | 24.8% | 0.92 | 67.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 59.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.1% | 16.1% | 0.56 | 9.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.6% | 18.0% | 0.29 | 18.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 30.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 57.9% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 18.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/6/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/24/2026 | 15.7% | -1.5% | |
| 3/18/2026 | -3.8% | -17.2% | -1.4% |
| 12/17/2025 | 10.2% | 27.1% | 61.9% |
| 9/23/2025 | -2.8% | 0.5% | 19.3% |
| 6/25/2025 | -1.0% | -4.3% | -12.5% |
| 3/20/2025 | -8.0% | -11.5% | -35.1% |
| 12/18/2024 | -16.2% | -13.6% | 5.3% |
| 9/25/2024 | 14.7% | 4.3% | 11.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -6.7% | -8.7% |
| Max Positive | 15.7% | 27.1% | 61.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.2% | -17.2% | -35.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/24/2026 | 15.7% | -1.5% | |
| 3/18/2026 | -3.8% | -17.2% | -1.4% |
| 12/17/2025 | 10.2% | 27.1% | 61.9% |
| 9/23/2025 | -2.8% | 0.5% | 19.3% |
| 6/25/2025 | -1.0% | -4.3% | -12.5% |
| 3/20/2025 | -8.0% | -11.5% | -35.1% |
| 12/18/2024 | -16.2% | -13.6% | 5.3% |
| 9/25/2024 | 14.7% | 4.3% | 11.7% |
| 6/26/2024 | -7.1% | -3.9% | -23.1% |
| 3/20/2024 | 14.1% | 23.9% | 11.0% |
| 12/20/2023 | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% |
| 9/27/2023 | -4.4% | -0.1% | -5.2% |
| 6/28/2023 | -4.1% | -8.7% | 6.4% |
| 3/28/2023 | 7.2% | -3.4% | 4.6% |
| 12/21/2022 | -3.4% | -1.1% | 19.9% |
| 9/29/2022 | 0.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% |
| 6/30/2022 | -2.9% | 7.2% | 13.4% |
| 3/29/2022 | -3.5% | -9.1% | -14.3% |
| 12/20/2021 | 10.5% | 13.3% | 3.8% |
| 6/30/2021 | -5.7% | -9.3% | -8.7% |
| 3/31/2021 | 4.8% | 8.0% | -2.4% |
| 1/7/2021 | -2.1% | 2.8% | 6.2% |
| 9/29/2020 | -7.4% | -6.7% | -1.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 10.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.9% | -6.7% | -8.7% |
| Max Positive | 15.7% | 27.1% | 61.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.2% | -17.2% | -35.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 03/19/2026 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2025 | 12/18/2025 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2025 | 10/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2025 | 06/26/2025 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2025 | 03/21/2025 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2024 | 12/19/2024 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2024 | 10/04/2024 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2024 | 06/27/2024 | 10-Q |
| 02/29/2024 | 03/21/2024 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2023 | 12/21/2023 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2023 | 10/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2023 | 06/29/2023 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2023 | 03/29/2023 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2022 | 12/22/2022 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2022 | 10/07/2022 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2022 | 07/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 02/28/2026 | 03/19/2026 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2025 | 12/18/2025 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2025 | 10/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2025 | 06/26/2025 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2025 | 03/21/2025 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2024 | 12/19/2024 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2024 | 10/04/2024 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2024 | 06/27/2024 | 10-Q |
| 02/29/2024 | 03/21/2024 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2023 | 12/21/2023 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2023 | 10/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2023 | 06/29/2023 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2023 | 03/29/2023 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2022 | 12/22/2022 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2022 | 10/07/2022 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2022 | 07/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2022 | 03/30/2022 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2021 | 01/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2021 | 10/08/2021 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2021 | 07/01/2021 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2021 | 04/01/2021 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2020 | 01/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2020 | 10/19/2020 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2020 | 06/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 02/29/2020 | 03/26/2020 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2019 | 12/20/2019 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2019 | 10/17/2019 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2019 | 06/26/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/8/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 6/24/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2026 Revenue | 49.00 Bil | 50.00 Bil | 51.00 Bil | 49.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 33.50 Bil for Q3 2026 | |
| Q4 2026 Gross margin | 86.0% | 5.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 81.0% for Q3 2026 | |||
| Q4 2026 Operating expenses (GAAP) | 1.86 Bil | 16.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.60 Bil for Q3 2026 | |||
| Q4 2026 Operating expenses (Non-GAAP) | 1.65 Bil | ||||||
| Q4 2026 Diluted earnings per share (GAAP) | 29.7 | 30.7 | 31.7 | 62.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 18.9 for Q3 2026 | |
| Q4 2026 Diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP) | 30 | 31 | 32 | ||||
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 3/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Revenue | 32.75 Bil | 33.50 Bil | 34.25 Bil | 79.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 18.70 Bil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Gross margin | 81.0% | 14.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 67.0% for Q2 2026 | |||
| Q3 2026 Operating expenses | 1.60 Bil | 2.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.56 Bil for Q2 2026 | |||
| Q3 2026 Diluted earnings per share | 18.5 | 18.9 | 19.3 | 130.8% | Higher New | Guidance: 8.19 for Q2 2026 | |
Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 12/17/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 18.30 Bil | 18.70 Bil | 19.10 Bil | 49.6% | Higher New | Guidance: 12.50 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Gross Margin | 66.0% | 67.0% | 68.0% | 16.5% | Higher New | Guidance: 50.5% for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Operating Expenses | 1.54 Bil | 1.56 Bil | 1.58 Bil | 4.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 1.49 Bil for Q1 2026 | |
| Q2 2026 Diluted Earnings Per Share | 7.99 | 8.19 | 8.39 | 130.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 3.56 for Q1 2026 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 7/6/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arnzen, April S | EVP and Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 1083.94 | 40,000 | 43,357,473 | 92,933,492 | Form |
| 2 | Dugle, Lynn A | Direct | Sell | 7022026 | 1150.43 | 1,300 | 1,495,559 | 20,394,823 | Form | |
| 3 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6302026 | 1180.96 | 11,494 | 13,573,977 | 406,844,944 | Form |
| 4 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6302026 | 1149.28 | 28,506 | 32,761,315 | 409,139,479 | Form |
| 5 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 975.63 | 2,561 | 2,498,589 | 375,132,698 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arnzen, April S | EVP and Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 7062026 | 1083.94 | 40,000 | 43,357,473 | 92,933,492 | Form |
| 2 | Dugle, Lynn A | Direct | Sell | 7022026 | 1150.43 | 1,300 | 1,495,559 | 20,394,823 | Form | |
| 3 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6302026 | 1180.96 | 11,494 | 13,573,977 | 406,844,944 | Form |
| 4 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6302026 | 1149.28 | 28,506 | 32,761,315 | 409,139,479 | Form |
| 5 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 975.63 | 2,561 | 2,498,589 | 375,132,698 | Form |
| 6 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 960.38 | 37,439 | 35,955,527 | 371,727,080 | Form |
| 7 | Gomo, Steven J | Direct | Sell | 5132026 | 787.03 | 2,000 | 1,574,070 | 13,488,993 | Form | |
| 8 | Ray, Michael Charles | SVP, Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 5052026 | 534.30 | 7,601 | 4,061,207 | 35,919,321 | Form |
| 9 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 5052026 | 536.26 | 40,000 | 21,450,555 | 227,645,622 | Form |
| 10 | Cordano, Michael D | EVP, Worldwide Sales | Direct | Sell | 4162026 | 435.00 | 3,407 | 1,482,045 | 19,165,665 | Form |
| 11 | Cordano, Michael D | EVP, Worldwide Sales | Direct | Sell | 4132026 | 420.81 | 3,407 | 1,433,700 | 19,974,167 | Form |
| 12 | Arnzen, April S | EVP and Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 347.39 | 40,000 | 13,895,762 | 43,680,285 | Form |
| 13 | Sadana, Sumit | EVP and Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 429.89 | 25,000 | 10,747,266 | 106,621,911 | Form |
| 14 | Ray, Michael Charles | SVP, Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1292026 | 409.68 | 12,268 | 5,025,987 | 30,593,056 | Form |
| 15 | Bhatia, Manish H | EVP, Global Operations | Direct | Sell | 1262026 | 391.04 | 26,623 | 10,410,771 | 126,497,342 | Form |
| 16 | Liu, Teyin M | Direct | Buy | 1152026 | 337.22 | 11,600 | 3,911,711 | 8,737,280 | Form | |
| 17 | Liu, Teyin M | Direct | Buy | 1152026 | 337.07 | 11,600 | 3,910,012 | 4,823,472 | Form | |
| 18 | Arnzen, April S | EVP and Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 277.09 | 15,000 | 4,156,350 | 45,891,092 | Form |
| 19 | Gomo, Steven J | Direct | Sell | 12232025 | 263.63 | 5,000 | 1,318,150 | 5,045,615 | Form | |
| 20 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 233.39 | 3,743 | 873,567 | 92,556,142 | Form |
| 21 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 241.34 | 8,757 | 2,113,441 | 96,614,699 | Form |
| 22 | Murphy, Mark J | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11032025 | 225.31 | 126,000 | 28,389,111 | 49,499,119 | Form |
| 23 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10312025 | 225.23 | 10,602 | 2,387,880 | 92,136,303 | Form |
| 24 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10312025 | 230.53 | 11,898 | 2,742,851 | 96,749,014 | Form |
| 25 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10292025 | 220.72 | 22,500 | 4,966,229 | 98,569,265 | Form |
| 26 | Deboer, Scott J | EVP, CTO and Products Officer | Direct | Sell | 10292025 | 222.81 | 82,000 | 18,270,420 | 34,345,047 | Form |
| 27 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10222025 | 203.12 | 19,761 | 4,013,785 | 95,277,467 | Form |
| 28 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10222025 | 211.19 | 2,739 | 578,443 | 103,236,800 | Form |
| 29 | Allen, Scott R | CVP, Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 10212025 | 210.02 | 8,800 | 1,848,176 | 8,450,575 | Form |
| 30 | Ray, Michael Charles | SVP, Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 201.63 | 3,682 | 742,384 | 20,581,914 | Form |
| 31 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 188.47 | 21,563 | 4,064,029 | 51,386,600 | Form |
| 32 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 194.44 | 10,800 | 2,099,964 | 57,206,722 | Form |
| 33 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 190.51 | 5,137 | 978,628 | 58,106,358 | Form |
| 34 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10032025 | 180.86 | 15,000 | 2,712,866 | 56,092,658 | Form |
| 35 | Arnzen, April S | EVP and Chief People Officer | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 164.04 | 15,000 | 2,460,600 | 21,584,383 | Form |
| 36 | Beyer, Richard M | Direct | Sell | 9292025 | 155.68 | 5,552 | 864,335 | 14,950,106 | Form | |
| 37 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9222025 | 162.20 | 13,798 | 2,238,003 | 52,738,228 | Form |
| 38 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9222025 | 170.18 | 1,202 | 204,556 | 57,681,830 | Form |
| 39 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9172025 | 158.29 | 7,319 | 1,158,546 | 53,843,041 | Form |
| 40 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9172025 | 160.04 | 181 | 28,967 | 55,608,619 | Form |
| 41 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9122025 | 152.27 | 7,500 | 1,142,042 | 52,937,142 | Form |
| 42 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9122025 | 140.58 | 7,500 | 1,054,387 | 49,928,453 | Form |
| 43 | Mehrotra, Sanjay | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 9092025 | 130.83 | 7,500 | 981,212 | 47,444,604 | Form |
| 44 | McCarthy, Mary Pat | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 115.67 | 2,404 | 278,071 | 2,330,288 | Form | |
| 45 | Murphy, Mark J | EVP & Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7242025 | 109.32 | 34,000 | 3,716,823 | 28,863,975 | Form |
| 46 | McCarthy, Mary Pat | Direct | Sell | 7032025 | 121.28 | 2,404 | 291,562 | 2,734,911 | Form | |
| 47 | Bhatia, Manish H | EVP, Global Operations | Direct | Sell | 7022025 | 123.16 | 80,000 | 9,852,800 | 33,877,252 | Form |
| 48 | Sadana, Sumit | EVP and Chief Business Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012025 | 125.49 | 92,638 | 11,625,143 | 25,264,400 | Form |
| 49 | Gomo, Steven J | Direct | Sell | 7012025 | 125.15 | 7,000 | 876,050 | 2,848,664 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 16, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF Advisers, LLC | $50.7 Mil | 19.1% | 72 | TRIM -10.3% | 13F |
| Trivest Advisors Ltd | $264.9 Mil | 19.1% | 29 | ADD +28.1% | 13F |
| WS Management LLLP | $121.6 Mil | 15.9% | 35 | TRIM -41.9% | 13F |
| Tensor Edge Capital, LLC | $78.8 Mil | 13.5% | 17 | ADD +16.6% | 13F |
| Oak Grove Capital LLC | $75.2 Mil | 12.9% | 82 | Hold | 13F |
| Prime Capital Management Co Ltd | $85.3 Mil | 9.6% | 7 | New | 13F |
| Horiko Capital Management LLC | $41.5 Mil | 9.6% | 20 | Hold | 13F |
| Tairen Capital Ltd | $88.3 Mil | 9.6% | 44 | New | 13F |
| Appaloosa LP | $562.5 Mil | 9.5% | 31 | ADD +11.0% | 13F |
| KCM Capital Inc | $50.7 Mil | 9.5% | 31 | ADD +66.7% | 13F |
| Anther Capital Ltd | $340.4 Mil | 8.9% | 31 | New | 13F |
| California First Leasing Corp | $27.7 Mil | 8.9% | 39 | Hold | 13F |
| Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC | $42.1 Mil | 8.1% | 32 | TRIM -51.3% | 13F |
| CTC LLC | $99.4 Mil | 8.0% | 25 | TRIM -16.0% | 13F |
| Headwater Capital Co Ltd | $36.1 Mil | 5.8% | 15 | ADD +37.2% | 13F |
| Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group | $15.2 Mil | 5.8% | 28 | Hold | 13F |
| WT Asset Management Ltd | $264.8 Mil | 5.5% | 32 | TRIM -13.1% | 13F |
| Crosslink Capital Inc | $56.6 Mil | 5.5% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd | $16.6 Mil | 5.0% | 37 | ADD +13.8% | 13F |
| Halter Ferguson Financial Inc. | $21.9 Mil | 4.8% | 36 | ADD +56.3% | 13F |
| Ravenswood Partners LP | $12.0 Mil | 4.4% | 35 | TRIM -39.9% | 13F |
| E20 Capital Ltd | $44.6 Mil | 4.2% | 22 | New | 13F |
| FFG Partners, LLC | $9.7 Mil | 3.9% | 35 | New | 13F |
| Element Capital Management LLC | $9.8 Mil | 3.8% | 34 | New | 13F |
| Valueworks LLC | $13.0 Mil | 3.6% | 35 | TRIM -60.1% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anther Capital Ltd | $340.4 Mil | 8.9% | 31 | New | 13F |
| Tairen Capital Ltd | $88.3 Mil | 9.6% | 44 | New | 13F |
| Prime Capital Management Co Ltd | $85.3 Mil | 9.6% | 7 | New | 13F |
| Crake Asset Management LLP | $64.9 Mil | 2.3% | 20 | New | 13F |
| E20 Capital Ltd | $44.6 Mil | 4.2% | 22 | New | 13F |
| Element Capital Management LLC | $9.8 Mil | 3.8% | 34 | New | 13F |
| FFG Partners, LLC | $9.7 Mil | 3.9% | 35 | New | 13F |
| KCM Capital Inc | $50.7 Mil | 9.5% | 31 | ADD +66.7% | 13F |
| Halter Ferguson Financial Inc. | $21.9 Mil | 4.8% | 36 | ADD +56.3% | 13F |
| Headwater Capital Co Ltd | $36.1 Mil | 5.8% | 15 | ADD +37.2% | 13F |
| Trivest Advisors Ltd | $264.9 Mil | 19.1% | 29 | ADD +28.1% | 13F |
| Tensor Edge Capital, LLC | $78.8 Mil | 13.5% | 17 | ADD +16.6% | 13F |
| PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd | $16.6 Mil | 5.0% | 37 | ADD +13.8% | 13F |
| Appaloosa LP | $562.5 Mil | 9.5% | 31 | ADD +11.0% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | As Of | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Value Aligned Research Advisors, LLC | $62.4 Mil | 1.3% | 47 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Shapiro Capital Management LLC | $36.0 Mil | 1.9% | 48 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Talos Eurisko Asset Management LP | $22.8 Mil | 4.0% | 24 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Alta Park Capital, LP | $15.5 Mil | 1.9% | 34 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Fund 1 Investments, LLC | $12.6 Mil | 1.8% | 49 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Overbrook Management Corp | $12.1 Mil | 2.1% | 46 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd | $11.4 Mil | 1.1% | 44 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| MIG Capital, LLC | $10.6 Mil | 1.8% | 43 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Nishkama Capital, LLC | $9.3 Mil | 1.3% | 49 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Shannon River Fund Management LLC | $5.8 Mil | 0.9% | 26 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne | $16.9 Mil | 3.0% | 28 | TRIM -66.7% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd. | $146.0 Mil | 3.3% | 40 | TRIM -61.1% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Valueworks LLC | $13.0 Mil | 3.6% | 35 | TRIM -60.1% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Analog Century Management LP | $48.7 Mil | 2.3% | 25 | TRIM -60.0% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC | $42.1 Mil | 8.1% | 32 | TRIM -51.3% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Summit Street Capital Management, LLC | $18.1 Mil | 2.6% | 31 | TRIM -42.0% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| WS Management LLLP | $121.6 Mil | 15.9% | 35 | TRIM -41.9% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Ravenswood Partners LP | $12.0 Mil | 4.4% | 35 | TRIM -39.9% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Thames Capital Management LLC | $17.0 Mil | 3.0% | 43 | TRIM -31.1% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| CTC LLC | $99.4 Mil | 8.0% | 25 | TRIM -16.0% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| WT Asset Management Ltd | $264.8 Mil | 5.5% | 32 | TRIM -13.1% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| DCF Advisers, LLC | $50.7 Mil | 19.1% | 72 | TRIM -10.3% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa LP | $562.5 Mil | 9.5% | 31 | ADD +11.0% | 13F |
| Anther Capital Ltd | $340.4 Mil | 8.9% | 31 | New | 13F |
| Trivest Advisors Ltd | $264.9 Mil | 19.1% | 29 | ADD +28.1% | 13F |
| WT Asset Management Ltd | $264.8 Mil | 5.5% | 32 | TRIM -13.1% | 13F |
| Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd. | $146.0 Mil | 3.3% | 40 | TRIM -61.1% | 13F |
| WS Management LLLP | $121.6 Mil | 15.9% | 35 | TRIM -41.9% | 13F |
| CTC LLC | $99.4 Mil | 8.0% | 25 | TRIM -16.0% | 13F |
| Tairen Capital Ltd | $88.3 Mil | 9.6% | 44 | New | 13F |
| Prime Capital Management Co Ltd | $85.3 Mil | 9.6% | 7 | New | 13F |
| Tensor Edge Capital, LLC | $78.8 Mil | 13.5% | 17 | ADD +16.6% | 13F |
| Oak Grove Capital LLC | $75.2 Mil | 12.9% | 82 | Hold | 13F |
| Crake Asset Management LLP | $64.9 Mil | 2.3% | 20 | New | 13F |
| Crosslink Capital Inc | $56.6 Mil | 5.5% | 21 | Hold | 13F |
| DCF Advisers, LLC | $50.7 Mil | 19.1% | 72 | TRIM -10.3% | 13F |
| KCM Capital Inc | $50.7 Mil | 9.5% | 31 | ADD +66.7% | 13F |
| Analog Century Management LP | $48.7 Mil | 2.3% | 25 | TRIM -60.0% | 13F |
| E20 Capital Ltd | $44.6 Mil | 4.2% | 22 | New | 13F |
| Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC | $42.1 Mil | 8.1% | 32 | TRIM -51.3% | 13F |
| Horiko Capital Management LLC | $41.5 Mil | 9.6% | 20 | Hold | 13F |
| Headwater Capital Co Ltd | $36.1 Mil | 5.8% | 15 | ADD +37.2% | 13F |
| California First Leasing Corp | $27.7 Mil | 8.9% | 39 | Hold | 13F |
| Halter Ferguson Financial Inc. | $21.9 Mil | 4.8% | 36 | ADD +56.3% | 13F |
| Summit Street Capital Management, LLC | $18.1 Mil | 2.6% | 31 | TRIM -42.0% | 13F |
| Thames Capital Management LLC | $17.0 Mil | 3.0% | 43 | TRIM -31.1% | 13F |
| Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne | $16.9 Mil | 3.0% | 28 | TRIM -66.7% | 13F |
MU Trade Sentinel
High Conviction
CONVICTION RATIONALE
Micron is securing its future with approximately $100 billion in multi-year, take-or-pay customer agreements. This contractual backlog, combined with a severe AI-driven supply shortage expected beyond 2027, provides unprecedented visibility into revenue and profitability. The business model appears to be undergoing a fundamental, positive transformation, reducing historical volatility.
STOCK ARCHETYPE
Cyclical Manufacturing with emerging long-term contractual visibilityVolume (Bit Shipments) x Average Selling Price (ASP) Mix shift to high-margin HBM and data center SSDs, and operating leverage from high fab utilization.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Evidence suggests a structural shift is underway, converting cyclical volatility into durable, high-margin revenue streams backed by binding customer commitments.
- Signed agreements create ~$100 billion in remaining performance obligations.
- Contracts are take-or-pay with binding volume commitments.
- Industry supply is expected to remain tight beyond calendar 2027.
- Latest quarterly revenue accelerated to 196.3% year-over-year growth.
- Cloud Memory (CMBU) operating margin was 45% in fiscal 2025.
PRIMARY RISK
This is a historic cyclical peak, not a permanent change. Record capital spending of ~$27 billion in fiscal 2026 will create a future supply glut. Management already guides for a "meaningful moderation in the rate of price increases," signaling the top is near. The new contracts have not yet been tested in a downturn.
- Fiscal 2026 capital spending is projected at approximately $27 billion.
- Q4 guidance reflects a 'meaningful moderation' in price increases.
- China has restricted purchases by critical infrastructure operators.
- Competitors are also investing heavily, including state-backed entities.
| KPI | Status | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue Growth (Year-over-Year) | 196.3% year-over-year growth for the quarter ended 3/31/2026 - Accelerating | The growth trajectory shows extreme acceleration over the past three quarters. Management attributes this to a market where "DRAM and NAND industry demand continues to significantly exceed industry supply," driven by AI, leading to substantial price increases. |
| Trailing-Twelve-Month Revenue Growth (YoY) | 85.5% (TTM ended 3/31/2026) | Sustained high growth over the past year, indicating the durability of the current market cycle. |
| Inventory vs. Revenue Growth Divergence | -204.5 percentage points (Quarter ended 3/31/2026) | An extreme imbalance where revenue growth vastly outpaces inventory growth (which is negative), indicating severe supply constraints and an inability to meet all customer demand. |
Contractual Backlog vs. Cyclical Gravity
BULL VIEW
The ~$100 billion in take-or-pay contracts creates a durable revenue and margin floor, fundamentally insulating the company from the historical boom-bust cycle and justifying a higher valuation.
CORE TENSION
Can ~$100B in new take-or-pay contracts offset the historical boom-bust pattern driven by record industry capex?
PREVAILING SENTIMENT
The latest evidence—the signed contracts and massive backlog—favors the structural change argument, as it provides a contractual buffer absent in all prior cycles.
BEAR VIEW
History repeats. Record industry-wide capital spending will inevitably lead to oversupply. The new contracts will bend or break under the pressure of a severe downturn, proving the cycle is unbreakable.
| Timeline | Event & Metric To Watch |
|---|---|
7/29/2026 | Qualcomm Earnings Report Watch: Peer Qualcomm (QCOM) reports earnings, providing a signal on the mobile end-market. |
8/25/2026 | Negative AI Demand Signal From Key Peer Watch: NVIDIA's data center revenue growth and forward guidance. Any commentary on AI infrastructure spending slowdown. |
8/25/2026 | NVIDIA Earnings Report Watch: Peer NVIDIA (NVDA) reports earnings, a key indicator for AI data center demand. |
9/21/2026 | Moderating Price Increase Momentum Watch: Q4 results and Q1 fiscal 2027 guidance for signs of gross margin compression or decelerating revenue growth. |
No set date | Adverse Patent Litigation Ruling Watch: Court filings and rulings in the Netlist and YMTC cases, particularly from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit. |
August 10 | KeyBanc Investor Conference Watch: Company executives will participate at the KeyBanc Capital Markets Technology Leadership Forum. |
| Date | Event | Stock Impact |
|---|---|---|
2026-07-09 | Accelerated US Investment Plans Details: Micron increased its planned U.S. investment to over $250 billion through 2035 and announced a $3 billion investment to strengthen the U.S. semiconductor ecosystem. | +3.2% $948.80 -> $979.30 |
2026-06-24 | Record Q3 Results And Guidance Details: Reported record Q3 revenue of $41.46 billion, and guided Q4 revenue significantly higher with a change of 49.3%. The stock reacted positively by 15.0%. | +15.4% $1051.61 -> $1213.37 |
2026-04-01 | Debt Reduction Via Tender Offer Details: The company announced the expiration of cash tender offers for certain outstanding senior notes as part of its balance sheet strengthening efforts. | +8.4% $337.79 -> $366.18 |
2026-03-18 | Mixed Q2 Earnings Reaction Details: Following the March 18 earnings report, the stock dropped, with the two-day reaction being -4.0% versus -2.0% for the S&P 500, as investors focused on potential margin peaks. | -3.8% $461.43 -> $444.02 |
2026-02-11 | Stock Rallied On AI Visibility Details: The stock closed up over 10% on February 11, 2026, as AI data center expansion reinforced revenue visibility. | +10.9% $373.04 -> $413.73 |
2026-01-16 | New York Megafab Groundbreaking Details: Micron celebrated the official groundbreaking at its New York megafab site, joined by federal and state government officials. | +8.4% $336.44 -> $364.79 |
Position Sizing
1% - 2%
MINIMAL POSITION
Sizing is volatility-based: MU trades at roughly 95% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (7.2x the market), around the 91st percentile of its own trailing year. A 1% - 2% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.
Diversification Alternatives
NVDA - NVIDIA
AI Platform LeaderNVIDIA defines the AI data center architecture and captures higher margins, with a 64% operating margin versus Micron's 48.4%, offering a different risk profile.
INTC - Intel
Diversified Data Center PlayIntel provides broader exposure to the data center beyond just memory, with products spanning CPUs and other silicon, though its growth has been slower.
Micron is transforming from a cyclical commodity memory producer into a strategic, high-margin enabler of the AI infrastructure buildout.
Driven by explosive AI-related demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and data center storage, Micron is experiencing a period of unprecedented pricing power. The company is capitalizing on this by locking in a significant portion of its future revenue through multi-year, take-or-pay Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs). This new business model aims to reduce historical cyclicality and provide more durable, predictable financial performance.
Announcements of additional multi-billion dollar SCAs, upward revisions to capital expenditure to accelerate fab construction, and sustained high gross margins.
A significant slowdown in AI infrastructure spending by hyperscalers, a competitor achieving a technological leap in HBM that surpasses Micron's offerings, or a rapid easing of industry-wide supply constraints.
Short-term stock price volatility not directly related to fundamental supply/demand dynamics or major SCA announcements.
Repricing Catalyst
The market's full valuation of the de-risking effect of the new Strategic Customer Agreements and the associated ~$100 billion in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), which fundamentally changes the company's earnings visibility.
Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU)
$21.0B TTM (36% of Total) · 56% MarginWhat It Is
Sells memory solutions, including High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), DDR, LPDDR, and GDDR, to large hyperscale cloud customers and provides HBM for all data center customers.
Who Pays & How
Large hyperscale cloud customers pay for memory solutions essential for AI and data-centric workloads, which require significantly increasing quantities of high-performance DRAM like HBM to turn data into insight.
Competition
Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU)
$11.2B TTM (19% of Total) · 48% MarginWhat It Is
Sells memory solutions (DDR5, DDR4) to mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers, and storage solutions (data center SSDs, NAND components) to all data center customers.
Who Pays & How
Mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers pay for memory and high-performance storage needed to support the proliferation of AI, cloud computing, and big data.
Competition
Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU)
$19.0B TTM (33% of Total) · 50% MarginWhat It Is
Sells memory and storage solutions for the mobile (smartphones) and client (PCs) segments, as well as Crucial-branded consumer products.
Who Pays & How
Smartphone and PC OEMs pay for memory (LPDDR) and storage (managed NAND, SSDs) to support increasing performance requirements, particularly for on-device AI capabilities.
Competition
Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU)
$7.0B TTM (12% of Total) · 39% MarginWhat It Is
Sells memory and storage solutions (DRAM, NAND, NOR, SSDs) for the automotive, industrial, and consumer segments, targeting the 'intelligent edge'.
Who Pays & How
Automotive and industrial OEMs pay for high-reliability memory and storage to enable autonomous driving, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), in-vehicle infotainment, and industrial IoT/automation.
Competition
Micron Technology — Investor Video Playlist










Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Semiconductors Resources |
| EE Times |
| Semiconductor Engineering |
| Semiconductor Digest |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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