Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 31 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 654%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131%

Key risks
MU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 86%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 48%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, CFO LTM is 31 Bil, FCF LTM is 10 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more.
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 171%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 654%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 131%
6 Key risks
MU key risks include [1] intense competition from emerging state-owned entities and [2] targeted geopolitical actions, Show more.

MU in ETFs

Weight = MU's share of each fund

SPY1.6%
VOO1.7%
IVV1.7%
VTI1.5%
ITOT1.5%
QQQ4.7%
QQQM4.8%
IWB1.6%
+39 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/15/2026

Micron Technology (MU) stock has gained about 170% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Micron Technology reported exceptional financial results for its fiscal third quarter of 2026, which ended May 28, 2026, and provided an even stronger outlook for fiscal Q4 2026. The company's revenue reached $41.46 billion, significantly surpassing analyst estimates ranging from $35.59 billion to $35.91 billion and representing a 346% year-over-year increase and a 74% sequential increase from fiscal Q2 2026. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) hit $25.11, exceeding consensus estimates between $20.20 and $21.39, while achieving a record non-GAAP gross margin of 84.9%. Furthermore, Micron's fiscal Q4 2026 revenue guidance of a $50 billion midpoint significantly surpassed Wall Street's $43.45 billion consensus, with projected non-GAAP EPS of $31.00, exceeding estimates of $25.50.

2. Unprecedented demand from Artificial Intelligence (AI) data centers created a structural and prolonged memory shortage, driving significant price increases. The memory market has entered a multi-year "supercycle" with a severe structural shortage expected to extend beyond calendar 2027. AI data centers are consuming a disproportionate share of global memory supply, projected to absorb up to 70% of high-end DRAM in 2026. High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), critical for AI accelerators, offers 3 to 5 times higher profit margins than standard RAM, leading Micron to reallocate production capacity. As a result, Micron's entire HBM supply for calendar 2026 is sold out, with demand extending into 2028. DRAM contract prices surged by a record 90-95% quarter-over-quarter in fiscal Q1 2026, with further increases of 58-63% projected for conventional DRAM and 70-75% for NAND Flash in fiscal Q2 2026.

Show more
Updated on 7/15/2026

Micron Technology (MU) stock has gained about 170% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Micron Technology reported exceptional financial results for its fiscal third quarter of 2026, which ended May 28, 2026, and provided an even stronger outlook for fiscal Q4 2026. The company's revenue reached $41.46 billion, significantly surpassing analyst estimates ranging from $35.59 billion to $35.91 billion and representing a 346% year-over-year increase and a 74% sequential increase from fiscal Q2 2026. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) hit $25.11, exceeding consensus estimates between $20.20 and $21.39, while achieving a record non-GAAP gross margin of 84.9%. Furthermore, Micron's fiscal Q4 2026 revenue guidance of a $50 billion midpoint significantly surpassed Wall Street's $43.45 billion consensus, with projected non-GAAP EPS of $31.00, exceeding estimates of $25.50.

2. Unprecedented demand from Artificial Intelligence (AI) data centers created a structural and prolonged memory shortage, driving significant price increases. The memory market has entered a multi-year "supercycle" with a severe structural shortage expected to extend beyond calendar 2027. AI data centers are consuming a disproportionate share of global memory supply, projected to absorb up to 70% of high-end DRAM in 2026. High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), critical for AI accelerators, offers 3 to 5 times higher profit margins than standard RAM, leading Micron to reallocate production capacity. As a result, Micron's entire HBM supply for calendar 2026 is sold out, with demand extending into 2028. DRAM contract prices surged by a record 90-95% quarter-over-quarter in fiscal Q1 2026, with further increases of 58-63% projected for conventional DRAM and 70-75% for NAND Flash in fiscal Q2 2026.

3. Micron secured multiple Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) that provide long-term revenue visibility and stability. The company announced 16 multi-year "take-or-pay" SCAs with customers across data centers, consumer devices, and automotive applications. These contracts cover minimum committed volumes through calendar 2030, with a cumulative minimum revenue value of approximately $100 billion, including $22 billion in projected customer cash deposits and financial commitments. These agreements are strategically designed to mitigate the historical boom-and-bust cycles of the memory industry by ensuring long-term demand visibility.

4. Micron's strong and evolving portfolio of AI-optimized memory and storage solutions positioned it as a key enabler in the accelerating AI infrastructure build-out. At COMPUTEX 2026, Micron showcased its comprehensive lineup of AI-optimized products, including HBM4, SOCAMM2, DDR5 RDIMMs, PCIe Gen6 SSDs, GDDR7, LPDDR5X, and LPCAMM2, all designed for AI training and inference. The company is actively developing HBM4E, built on 1-gamma DRAM technology, with volume production anticipated in calendar 2027, and has shipped qualification samples of 256GB DDR5 RDIMMs to key server ecosystem partners. Furthermore, Micron is the sole provider of a 256GB SOCAMM2, offering substantial advantages in power and footprint compared to standard RDIMMs.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 167.7% change in MU stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 167.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267152026Change
Stock Price ($)337.79904.28167.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)58,11958,1190.0%
Net Income Margin (%)41.5%41.5%0.0%
P/E Multiple15.842.2167.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1261,1260.0%
Cumulative Contribution167.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU167.7% 
Market (SPY)16.1%56.1%
Sector (XLK)36.6%78.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 217.0% change in MU stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257152026Change
Stock Price ($)285.25904.28217.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)42,31258,11937.4%
Net Income Margin (%)28.1%41.5%47.4%
P/E Multiple26.942.256.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1251,126-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution217.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU217.0% 
Market (SPY)11.0%50.7%
Sector (XLK)26.3%72.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 635.6% change in MU stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 125.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020257152026Change
Stock Price ($)122.94904.28635.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)33,81358,11971.9%
Net Income Margin (%)18.4%41.5%125.3%
P/E Multiple22.142.291.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,1181,126-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution635.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU635.6% 
Market (SPY)23.2%52.0%
Sector (XLK)44.0%70.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 1351.6% change in MU stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/15/2026 was primarily driven by a 367.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237152026Change
Stock Price ($)62.30904.281351.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)18,17358,119219.8%
P/S Multiple3.817.5367.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1,0941,126-2.8%
Cumulative Contribution1351.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/15/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MU1351.6% 
Market (SPY)76.3%56.7%
Sector (XLK)112.8%69.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MU Return24%-46%72%-1%240%245%1241%
Peers Return46%-48%112%23%100%119%762%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MU Win Rate42%42%58%50%75%57% 
Peers Win Rate53%37%63%53%60%57% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MU Max Drawdown-30%-50%-18%-45%-41%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-56%-23%-39%-36%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM. See MU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/15/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMUS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-37.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven62 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-36.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven399 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-10.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven10 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven95.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven522 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven245 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven207 days105 days

Compare to WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM

In The Past

Micron Technology's stock fell -37.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMUS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-37.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven61.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven62 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-36.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven57.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven399 days18 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-48.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven95.2%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven522 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-42.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven74.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven245 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-35.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven55.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven207 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-43.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven77.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven210 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-70.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven236.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven568 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-46.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven128 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-33.6%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven189 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-77.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven343.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven281 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-22.9%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.6%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven2133 days47 days

Compare to WDC, INTC, NVDA, AMD, QCOM

In The Past

Micron Technology's stock fell -37.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Micron Technology (MU)

Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) is a global leader in the design, manufacture, and sale of advanced memory and storage products. The company provides essential semiconductor devices, primarily focusing on DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory) for high-speed data retrieval and NAND (Non-Volatile) products for persistent data storage. It also offers NOR memory, known for its fast read speeds. These critical components are supplied under the company's Micron and Crucial brands, as well as through private labels.

Micron's diverse portfolio of memory and storage solutions serves a wide range of industries and applications. Its DRAM products are vital for cloud servers, enterprise systems, client computing, graphics, and networking markets, as well as powering smartphones and other mobile devices. The company's NAND-based SSDs (Solid State Drives) and other storage solutions cater to enterprise, cloud, client, and consumer storage needs. Beyond these, Micron also develops specialized memory and storage products for the demanding automotive, industrial, and broader consumer markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Micron Technology:

  • Micron is like Intel for computer memory chips.
  • Micron is like Samsung, but solely focused on making memory and storage chips.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • DRAM (Dynamic Random Access Memory) Products: Semiconductor devices offering low-latency, high-speed data retrieval for various computing applications.
  • NAND Products: Non-volatile, re-writable semiconductor storage devices primarily used for data storage.
  • NOR Memory Products: Non-volatile, re-writable semiconductor memory devices providing fast read speeds.
  • SSDs (Solid State Drives): Storage devices and component-level solutions for enterprise, cloud, client, and consumer markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the company description, Micron Technology primarily designs, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products as components and solutions to other businesses for integration into their final products. Therefore, its major customers are other companies rather than individuals.

Major customers for Micron Technology typically include large-scale manufacturers and cloud service providers across the following sectors:

  • Smartphone and Mobile Device Manufacturers: Companies that integrate Micron's memory and storage into smartphones, tablets, and other mobile devices.
    • Example: Apple Inc. (AAPL)
  • PC, Server, and Enterprise System Manufacturers: Companies that utilize Micron's DRAM, NAND, and SSD solutions for client PCs, enterprise servers, and data center infrastructure.
    • Example: Dell Technologies Inc. (DELL)
  • Cloud Service Providers and Hyperscalers: Large technology companies that build and operate massive data centers requiring vast amounts of memory and storage for their cloud computing services.
    • Example: Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) for its Azure cloud platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • ASML (ASML)
  • Applied Materials (AMAT)
  • Lam Research (LRCX)
  • KLA Corporation (KLAC)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Sanjay Mehrotra, Chairman, President and CEO

Sanjay Mehrotra is the Chairman, President, and CEO of Micron Technology. He co-founded SanDisk Corporation in 1988 and served as its president and CEO from 2011 until its acquisition by Western Digital in 2016 for $19 billion. Mehrotra has over 40 years of experience in the semiconductor memory industry, including engineering and leadership positions at Integrated Device Technology, SEEQ Technology, and Intel Corp. He holds more than 70 patents.

Mark Murphy, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mark Murphy is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Micron Technology, joining the company in 2022. He is responsible for leading Micron's finance organization and all financial functions, including accounting, tax, treasury, internal audit, and investor relations. Prior to Micron, Murphy served as Executive Vice President and CFO of Qorvo, a semiconductor company. He also held senior leadership positions at Delphi Automotive, MEMC Electronic Materials, and Praxair. Murphy has over 25 years of experience across finance and general management roles in global companies.

Sumit Sadana, Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer

Sumit Sadana is the Executive Vice President and Chief Business Officer at Micron Technology, a role he assumed in 2017. He is responsible for the company's business units, driving revenue and profitability, and corporate strategy and business development. Sadana previously served as Executive Vice President, Chief Strategy Officer, and General Manager of Enterprise Solutions at SanDisk. His career also includes executive roles at IBM and Freescale Semiconductor. Sadana has completed approximately $40 billion in mergers and acquisitions throughout his career.

Manish Bhatia, Executive Vice President, Global Operations

Manish Bhatia is the Executive Vice President, Global Operations at Micron Technology, a position he has held since October 2017. He is responsible for the company's end-to-end operations, including manufacturing, packaging, quality, and supply chain. Before joining Micron, Bhatia held several executive roles at Western Digital Corporation and SanDisk Corporation, including Executive Vice President of Worldwide Operations at SanDisk. He joined SanDisk in 2006 through the acquisition of Matrix Semiconductor. His earlier career included positions at McKinsey & Company and Saint Gobain Corporation.

Scott J. DeBoer, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology and Products Officer

Scott J. DeBoer is the Executive Vice President, Chief Technology and Products Officer at Micron Technology. He oversees the company's research and development, as well as product development and technology roadmap. DeBoer has held various leadership positions in technology and engineering throughout his career at Micron. His extensive experience includes driving innovation in memory and storage solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Micron Technology's business include:

  1. Cyclicality and Potential Oversupply in the Memory Market: The memory and storage industry is inherently cyclical, characterized by fluctuating demand, pricing, and profitability. While currently experiencing strong demand, particularly for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) driven by AI, there is a significant risk of future oversupply. Micron and its competitors are undertaking substantial capital expenditures to expand production capacity, which could lead to an imbalance where supply outstrips demand, resulting in declines in average selling prices and compressed profit margins, potentially by late 2026 or 2027.
  2. Intense Competition in High Bandwidth Memory (HBM): Micron faces fierce competition, especially in the high-growth HBM segment critical for AI applications. Key rivals like SK Hynix and Samsung are aggressively increasing their HBM production capacity and developing next-generation technologies. Reports suggest Micron may be trailing in the HBM4 market, potentially impacting its market share, pricing power, and future profitability in this crucial, high-margin area.
  3. Geopolitical Risks and Supply Chain Dependency: A substantial portion of Micron's manufacturing and operational footprint is located in Taiwan. This concentration exposes the company to significant geopolitical risks. Any regional conflict or increased tensions could lead to catastrophic disruptions in Micron's supply chain and manufacturing capabilities, severely impacting its global operations and financial performance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Micron Technology's main products, DRAM, NAND, and NOR memory, operate within substantial addressable markets globally.

  • The global Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) market was valued at approximately USD 121.83 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 223.7 billion by 2034, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 7.20% during the forecast period. Another estimate placed the global DRAM market size at USD 135.4 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 359.0 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 11.4% from 2025-2033.

  • The global NAND flash memory market was valued at USD 65.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a 5.6% CAGR from 2025 to 2034. Other reports indicate the NAND flash memory market is estimated to be valued at USD 77.81 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach USD 117.00 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.0% from 2026 to 2033. Furthermore, the NAND Flash Memory market was valued at USD 108.25 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 225.68 billion by 2034, advancing at a CAGR of 8.64%.

  • The global NOR Flash Market is projected to expand from USD 3.04 billion in 2025 to USD 4.27 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 5.74% between 2026 and 2031. Another analysis forecasts the global NOR Flash Market to reach a valuation of USD 5.27 billion in 2025 and to reach USD 10.73 billion by 2034, recording a CAGR of 8.2% from 2025 to 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Micron Technology (MU) is poised for significant revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:

  1. Explosive Demand for AI-Driven High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and Data Center Products: The proliferation of artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs) is creating unprecedented demand for high-performance memory. Micron has reported record revenues in data center DRAM and HBM, with HBM shipments ahead of plan. The company has sold out its entire HBM output for calendar year 2025 and has secured agreements for its calendar 2026 HBM supply, including the advanced HBM4. The HBM market is projected to expand significantly, with estimates indicating growth from approximately $35 billion in 2025 to nearly $100 billion by 2028.
  2. Overall DRAM and NAND Market Recovery and Improved Pricing: Following a period of oversupply, the broader memory market for both DRAM and NAND products is experiencing a robust recovery. Tight supply conditions across the industry are leading to increased pricing power for memory manufacturers like Micron. The company expects these tight market conditions to persist beyond calendar 2026. This environment is contributing to significantly improved gross margins and overall revenue expansion.
  3. Technological Leadership and New Product Ramps: Micron's continuous investment in advanced technology nodes, such as the 1-gamma DRAM and G9 NAND, is a crucial driver. The 1-gamma DRAM node offers higher bit density and improved power efficiency, while the ramp of HBM4 is expected to command higher average selling prices (ASPs). These technological advancements enhance Micron's competitive edge and enable the delivery of higher-value, higher-margin products.
  4. Recovery in Traditional End Markets: Beyond the dominant AI segment, Micron is also observing improvements in demand across other key end markets. This includes the recovery of inventories in client (PC) and smartphone markets, as well as strengthening demand in broad distribution, industrial, and parts of the automotive sectors. This broader market stabilization and growth will contribute to overall revenue diversification and stability.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Micron's annual share buybacks amounted to $425 million in 2023 and $300 million in 2024.
  • The company conducted $300 million in share repurchases during the first quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended November 27, 2025.
  • Micron completed $300 million in share repurchases under the CHIPS definitive agreement.

Capital Expenditures

  • Micron invested $13.8 billion in capital expenditures during fiscal 2025.
  • The company anticipates fiscal 2026 capital expenditures to be approximately $20 billion, an increase from fiscal 2025, primarily focused on 1γ DRAM and HBM-related investments, DRAM front-end equipment, and fab construction.
  • For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, capital expenditures were $4.5 billion.

Better Bets vs. Micron Technology (MU)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
Mkt Price904.28513.84102.99212.50529.14177.98363.17
Mkt Cap1,018.2175.7523.55,160.8863.0189.7693.3
Rev LTM58,11911,77753,763253,49137,45444,48749,125
Op Inc LTM28,1333,6741,056162,2854,36411,3947,879
FCF LTM10,2812,905-3,119119,0768,57412,5029,428
FCF 3Y Avg2,526847-9,40976,8254,16612,1543,346
CFO LTM30,6533,2869,980125,6489,72514,28512,132
CFO 3Y Avg15,5401,29010,77980,7774,96213,45812,119

Growth & Margins

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
Rev Chg LTM85.5%32.0%1.4%70.7%35.0%5.2%33.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg45.3%25.5%-1.6%121.7%18.5%3.3%22.0%
Rev Chg Q196.3%45.5%7.2%85.2%37.8%-3.5%41.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM37.4%9.7%1.7%17.4%8.1%-0.8%8.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM354.6%116.8%125.6%88.3%52.8%-2.3%102.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg108.3%-39.4%-140.2%376.9%230.0%-0.8%53.8%
Op Mgn LTM48.4%31.2%2.0%64.0%11.7%25.6%28.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.6%12.7%-1.5%60.6%8.2%26.0%14.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM15.9%3.3%2.0%3.6%1.0%-1.6%2.6%
CFO/Rev LTM52.7%27.9%18.6%49.6%26.0%32.1%30.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg36.8%8.3%19.9%50.5%15.3%33.0%26.4%
FCF/Rev LTM17.7%24.7%-5.8%47.0%22.9%28.1%23.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg0.5%1.6%-17.4%48.3%12.7%29.8%7.1%

Valuation

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
Mkt Cap1,018.2175.7523.55,160.8863.0189.7693.3
P/S17.514.99.720.423.04.316.2
P/Op Inc36.247.8495.731.8197.816.742.0
P/EBIT36.024.3-700.827.2170.315.325.8
P/E42.227.1-164.932.3172.319.129.7
P/CFO33.253.552.541.188.713.346.8
Total Yield2.4%3.8%-0.6%3.1%0.6%7.2%2.8%
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.3%1.2%-7.0%2.4%1.5%7.5%1.4%
D/E0.00.00.10.00.00.10.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.0

Returns

MUWDCINTCNVDAAMDQCOMMedian
NameMicron T.Western .Intel NVIDIA Advanced.Qualcomm  
1M Rtn-16.9%-21.4%-19.5%0.0%-3.3%-19.4%-18.1%
3M Rtn98.2%40.8%58.6%7.0%105.0%34.3%49.7%
6M Rtn171.4%139.2%111.4%16.2%136.6%9.3%124.0%
12M Rtn654.1%663.0%349.3%24.7%240.0%17.8%294.7%
3Y Rtn1,326.9%1,640.7%217.0%368.3%356.4%55.0%362.3%
1M Excs Rtn-9.8%-10.6%-19.2%1.7%1.5%-17.8%-10.2%
3M Excs Rtn85.5%31.7%52.7%-0.4%98.8%25.8%42.2%
6M Excs Rtn153.1%133.9%125.2%6.5%146.2%-2.3%129.5%
12M Excs Rtn642.8%649.0%321.2%8.9%241.0%-3.0%281.1%
3Y Excs Rtn1,291.8%1,651.2%149.3%333.0%294.1%-9.5%313.6%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU)13,5243,7921,872  
Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU)11,85911,6677,394  
Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU)7,2294,9842,124  
Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU)4,7534,6314,139  
All Other1337111740
Unallocated000  
Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU)   13,69312,280
Embedded Business Unit (EBU)   5,2354,209
Mobile Business Unit (MBU)   7,2607,203
Storage Business Unit (SBU)   4,5533,973
Total37,37825,11115,54030,75827,705


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU)6,129244-768  
Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU)2,180255-563  
Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU)1,981-1-3,189  
Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU)557432680  
All Other-11881220
Unallocated-1,076356-1,913-579-1,384
Compute and Networking Business Unit (CNBU)   5,8444,295
Embedded Business Unit (EBU)   1,7521,006
Mobile Business Unit (MBU)   2,1602,173
Storage Business Unit (SBU)   513173
Total9,7701,304-5,7459,7026,283


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2001
Semiconductor operations7,789
Total7,789


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$904.28 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1,018.2 
First Trading Date05/16/1989 
Distance from 52W High-19.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$923.86$476.00
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-2.1%90.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility104.9%76.1%
Downside Capture458.91254.34
Upside Capture664.93448.37
Correlation (SPY)56.5%53.5%
MU Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta4.684.873.793.293.132.28
Up Beta1.531.621.351.632.501.96
Down Beta5.715.165.053.213.422.47
Up Capture851%1428%1346%1624%2702%11570%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days12253869144408
Down Capture345%313%294%199%157%112%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days9162556108343

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MU
MU737.2%75.9%3.13-
Sector ETF (XLK)44.4%24.5%1.4571.2%
Equity (SPY)21.4%12.6%1.2753.3%
Gold (GLD)20.9%28.0%0.6723.8%
Commodities (DBC)28.4%18.9%1.191.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.2%13.9%0.60-5.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.2%42.8%-1.3226.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MU
MU66.8%54.8%1.14-
Sector ETF (XLK)20.3%25.5%0.7167.9%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.1%0.5957.9%
Gold (GLD)17.2%18.4%0.7614.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.9%19.5%0.3511.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.7%18.9%0.0424.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.8%53.5%0.4425.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MU
MU55.9%50.7%1.07-
Sector ETF (XLK)25.2%24.8%0.9267.1%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7459.5%
Gold (GLD)11.1%16.1%0.569.6%
Commodities (DBC)6.6%18.0%0.2918.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2030.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.9%66.2%0.9818.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity31.7 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6152026-23.9%
Average Daily Volume60.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity1,126.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/24/202615.7%-1.5% 
3/18/2026-3.8%-17.2%-1.4%
12/17/202510.2%27.1%61.9%
9/23/2025-2.8%0.5%19.3%
6/25/2025-1.0%-4.3%-12.5%
3/20/2025-8.0%-11.5%-35.1%
12/18/2024-16.2%-13.6%5.3%
9/25/202414.7%4.3%11.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91013
# Negative14139
Median Positive10.2%8.6%11.0%
Median Negative-3.9%-6.7%-8.7%
Max Positive15.7%27.1%61.9%
Max Negative-16.2%-17.2%-35.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
6/24/202615.7%-1.5% 
3/18/2026-3.8%-17.2%-1.4%
12/17/202510.2%27.1%61.9%
9/23/2025-2.8%0.5%19.3%
6/25/2025-1.0%-4.3%-12.5%
3/20/2025-8.0%-11.5%-35.1%
12/18/2024-16.2%-13.6%5.3%
9/25/202414.7%4.3%11.7%
6/26/2024-7.1%-3.9%-23.1%
3/20/202414.1%23.9%11.0%
12/20/20238.6%9.3%11.4%
9/27/2023-4.4%-0.1%-5.2%
6/28/2023-4.1%-8.7%6.4%
3/28/20237.2%-3.4%4.6%
12/21/2022-3.4%-1.1%19.9%
9/29/20220.2%9.2%8.3%
6/30/2022-2.9%7.2%13.4%
3/29/2022-3.5%-9.1%-14.3%
12/20/202110.5%13.3%3.8%
6/30/2021-5.7%-9.3%-8.7%
3/31/20214.8%8.0%-2.4%
1/7/2021-2.1%2.8%6.2%
9/29/2020-7.4%-6.7%-1.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91013
# Negative14139
Median Positive10.2%8.6%11.0%
Median Negative-3.9%-6.7%-8.7%
Max Positive15.7%27.1%61.9%
Max Negative-16.2%-17.2%-35.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
02/28/202603/19/202610-Q
11/30/202512/18/202510-Q
08/31/202510/03/202510-K
05/31/202506/26/202510-Q
02/28/202503/21/202510-Q
11/30/202412/19/202410-Q
08/31/202410/04/202410-K
05/31/202406/27/202410-Q
02/29/202403/21/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202310/06/202310-K
05/31/202306/29/202310-Q
02/28/202303/29/202310-Q
11/30/202212/22/202210-Q
08/31/202210/07/202210-K
05/31/202207/01/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
02/28/202603/19/202610-Q
11/30/202512/18/202510-Q
08/31/202510/03/202510-K
05/31/202506/26/202510-Q
02/28/202503/21/202510-Q
11/30/202412/19/202410-Q
08/31/202410/04/202410-K
05/31/202406/27/202410-Q
02/29/202403/21/202410-Q
11/30/202312/21/202310-Q
08/31/202310/06/202310-K
05/31/202306/29/202310-Q
02/28/202303/29/202310-Q
11/30/202212/22/202210-Q
08/31/202210/07/202210-K
05/31/202207/01/202210-Q
02/28/202203/30/202210-Q
11/30/202101/06/202210-Q
08/31/202110/08/202110-K
05/31/202107/01/202110-Q
02/28/202104/01/202110-Q
11/30/202001/08/202110-Q
08/31/202010/19/202010-K
05/31/202006/30/202010-Q
02/29/202003/26/202010-Q
11/30/201912/20/201910-Q
08/31/201910/17/201910-K
05/31/201906/26/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/8/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 6/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Revenue49.00 Bil50.00 Bil51.00 Bil49.3% Higher NewGuidance: 33.50 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Gross margin 86.0%  5.0%Higher NewGuidance: 81.0% for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Operating expenses (GAAP) 1.86 Bil 16.2% Higher NewGuidance: 1.60 Bil for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Operating expenses (Non-GAAP) 1.65 Bil    
Q4 2026 Diluted earnings per share (GAAP)29.730.731.762.6% Higher NewGuidance: 18.9 for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP)303132   

Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 3/18/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Revenue32.75 Bil33.50 Bil34.25 Bil79.1% Higher NewGuidance: 18.70 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Gross margin 81.0%  14.0%Higher NewGuidance: 67.0% for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Operating expenses 1.60 Bil 2.6% Higher NewGuidance: 1.56 Bil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Diluted earnings per share18.518.919.3130.8% Higher NewGuidance: 8.19 for Q2 2026

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 12/17/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue18.30 Bil18.70 Bil19.10 Bil49.6% Higher NewGuidance: 12.50 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Gross Margin66.0%67.0%68.0% 16.5%Higher NewGuidance: 50.5% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Operating Expenses1.54 Bil1.56 Bil1.58 Bil4.7% Higher NewGuidance: 1.49 Bil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Diluted Earnings Per Share7.998.198.39130.1% Higher NewGuidance: 3.56 for Q1 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 7/6/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell70620261083.9440,00043,357,47392,933,492Form
2Dugle, Lynn ADirectSell70220261150.431,3001,495,55920,394,823Form
3Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell63020261180.9611,49413,573,977406,844,944Form
4Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell63020261149.2828,50632,761,315409,139,479Form
5Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell6022026975.632,5612,498,589375,132,698Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell70620261083.9440,00043,357,47392,933,492Form
2Dugle, Lynn ADirectSell70220261150.431,3001,495,55920,394,823Form
3Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell63020261180.9611,49413,573,977406,844,944Form
4Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell63020261149.2828,50632,761,315409,139,479Form
5Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell6022026975.632,5612,498,589375,132,698Form
6Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell6022026960.3837,43935,955,527371,727,080Form
7Gomo, Steven JDirectSell5132026787.032,0001,574,07013,488,993Form
8Ray, Michael CharlesSVP, Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell5052026534.307,6014,061,20735,919,321Form
9Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell5052026536.2640,00021,450,555227,645,622Form
10Cordano, Michael DEVP, Worldwide SalesDirectSell4162026435.003,4071,482,04519,165,665Form
11Cordano, Michael DEVP, Worldwide SalesDirectSell4132026420.813,4071,433,70019,974,167Form
12Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell4032026347.3940,00013,895,76243,680,285Form
13Sadana, SumitEVP and Chief Business OfficerDirectSell2042026429.8925,00010,747,266106,621,911Form
14Ray, Michael CharlesSVP, Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell1292026409.6812,2685,025,98730,593,056Form
15Bhatia, Manish HEVP, Global OperationsDirectSell1262026391.0426,62310,410,771126,497,342Form
16Liu, Teyin MDirectBuy1152026337.2211,6003,911,7118,737,280Form
17Liu, Teyin MDirectBuy1152026337.0711,6003,910,0124,823,472Form
18Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell12232025277.0915,0004,156,35045,891,092Form
19Gomo, Steven JDirectSell12232025263.635,0001,318,1505,045,615Form
20Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell11102025233.393,743873,56792,556,142Form
21Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell11102025241.348,7572,113,44196,614,699Form
22Murphy, Mark JEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell11032025225.31126,00028,389,11149,499,119Form
23Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10312025225.2310,6022,387,88092,136,303Form
24Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10312025230.5311,8982,742,85196,749,014Form
25Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10292025220.7222,5004,966,22998,569,265Form
26Deboer, Scott JEVP, CTO and Products OfficerDirectSell10292025222.8182,00018,270,42034,345,047Form
27Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10222025203.1219,7614,013,78595,277,467Form
28Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10222025211.192,739578,443103,236,800Form
29Allen, Scott RCVP, Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10212025210.028,8001,848,1768,450,575Form
30Ray, Michael CharlesSVP, Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell10202025201.633,682742,38420,581,914Form
31Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10072025188.4721,5634,064,02951,386,600Form
32Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10072025194.4410,8002,099,96457,206,722Form
33Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10072025190.515,137978,62858,106,358Form
34Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell10032025180.8615,0002,712,86656,092,658Form
35Arnzen, April SEVP and Chief People OfficerDirectSell10022025164.0415,0002,460,60021,584,383Form
36Beyer, Richard MDirectSell9292025155.685,552864,33514,950,106Form
37Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell9222025162.2013,7982,238,00352,738,228Form
38Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell9222025170.181,202204,55657,681,830Form
39Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell9172025158.297,3191,158,54653,843,041Form
40Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell9172025160.0418128,96755,608,619Form
41Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell9122025152.277,5001,142,04252,937,142Form
42Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell9122025140.587,5001,054,38749,928,453Form
43Mehrotra, SanjayPresident and CEODirectSell9092025130.837,500981,21247,444,604Form
44McCarthy, Mary PatDirectSell9042025115.672,404278,0712,330,288Form
45Murphy, Mark JEVP & Chief Financial OfficerDirectSell7242025109.3234,0003,716,82328,863,975Form
46McCarthy, Mary PatDirectSell7032025121.282,404291,5622,734,911Form
47Bhatia, Manish HEVP, Global OperationsDirectSell7022025123.1680,0009,852,80033,877,252Form
48Sadana, SumitEVP and Chief Business OfficerDirectSell7012025125.4992,63811,625,14325,264,400Form
49Gomo, Steven JDirectSell7012025125.157,000876,0502,848,664Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 16, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
DCF Advisers, LLC$50.7 Mil19.1%72TRIM -10.3%13F
Trivest Advisors Ltd$264.9 Mil19.1%29ADD +28.1%13F
WS Management LLLP$121.6 Mil15.9%35TRIM -41.9%13F
Tensor Edge Capital, LLC$78.8 Mil13.5%17ADD +16.6%13F
Oak Grove Capital LLC$75.2 Mil12.9%82Hold13F
Prime Capital Management Co Ltd$85.3 Mil9.6%7New13F
Horiko Capital Management LLC$41.5 Mil9.6%20Hold13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$88.3 Mil9.6%44New13F
Appaloosa LP$562.5 Mil9.5%31ADD +11.0%13F
KCM Capital Inc$50.7 Mil9.5%31ADD +66.7%13F
Anther Capital Ltd$340.4 Mil8.9%31New13F
California First Leasing Corp$27.7 Mil8.9%39Hold13F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$42.1 Mil8.1%32TRIM -51.3%13F
CTC LLC$99.4 Mil8.0%25TRIM -16.0%13F
Headwater Capital Co Ltd$36.1 Mil5.8%15ADD +37.2%13F
Vienna Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne S.A. Vienna Insurance Group$15.2 Mil5.8%28Hold13F
WT Asset Management Ltd$264.8 Mil5.5%32TRIM -13.1%13F
Crosslink Capital Inc$56.6 Mil5.5%21Hold13F
PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd$16.6 Mil5.0%37ADD +13.8%13F
Halter Ferguson Financial Inc.$21.9 Mil4.8%36ADD +56.3%13F
Ravenswood Partners LP$12.0 Mil4.4%35TRIM -39.9%13F
E20 Capital Ltd$44.6 Mil4.2%22New13F
FFG Partners, LLC$9.7 Mil3.9%35New13F
Element Capital Management LLC$9.8 Mil3.8%34New13F
Valueworks LLC$13.0 Mil3.6%35TRIM -60.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Anther Capital Ltd$340.4 Mil8.9%31New13F
Tairen Capital Ltd$88.3 Mil9.6%44New13F
Prime Capital Management Co Ltd$85.3 Mil9.6%7New13F
Crake Asset Management LLP$64.9 Mil2.3%20New13F
E20 Capital Ltd$44.6 Mil4.2%22New13F
Element Capital Management LLC$9.8 Mil3.8%34New13F
FFG Partners, LLC$9.7 Mil3.9%35New13F
KCM Capital Inc$50.7 Mil9.5%31ADD +66.7%13F
Halter Ferguson Financial Inc.$21.9 Mil4.8%36ADD +56.3%13F
Headwater Capital Co Ltd$36.1 Mil5.8%15ADD +37.2%13F
Trivest Advisors Ltd$264.9 Mil19.1%29ADD +28.1%13F
Tensor Edge Capital, LLC$78.8 Mil13.5%17ADD +16.6%13F
PARUS FINANCE (UK) Ltd$16.6 Mil5.0%37ADD +13.8%13F
Appaloosa LP$562.5 Mil9.5%31ADD +11.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Value Aligned Research Advisors, LLC$62.4 Mil1.3%47ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$36.0 Mil1.9%48ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Talos Eurisko Asset Management LP$22.8 Mil4.0%24ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Alta Park Capital, LP$15.5 Mil1.9%34ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$12.6 Mil1.8%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Overbrook Management Corp$12.1 Mil2.1%46ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Melqart Asset Management (UK) Ltd$11.4 Mil1.1%44ExitedDec 31, 202513F
MIG Capital, LLC$10.6 Mil1.8%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Nishkama Capital, LLC$9.3 Mil1.3%49ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Shannon River Fund Management LLC$5.8 Mil0.9%26ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Generali Powszechne Towarzystwo Emerytalne$16.9 Mil3.0%28TRIM -66.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$146.0 Mil3.3%40TRIM -61.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Valueworks LLC$13.0 Mil3.6%35TRIM -60.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Analog Century Management LP$48.7 Mil2.3%25TRIM -60.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Spectrum Financial Alliance Ltd LLC$42.1 Mil8.1%32TRIM -51.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$18.1 Mil2.6%31TRIM -42.0%Mar 31, 202613F
WS Management LLLP$121.6 Mil15.9%35TRIM -41.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Ravenswood Partners LP$12.0 Mil4.4%35TRIM -39.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Thames Capital Management LLC$17.0 Mil3.0%43TRIM -31.1%Mar 31, 202613F
CTC LLC$99.4 Mil8.0%25TRIM -16.0%Mar 31, 202613F
WT Asset Management Ltd$264.8 Mil5.5%32TRIM -13.1%Mar 31, 202613F
DCF Advisers, LLC$50.7 Mil19.1%72TRIM -10.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Appaloosa LP$562.5 Mil9.5%31ADD +11.0%13F
Anther Capital Ltd$340.4 Mil8.9%31New13F
Trivest Advisors Ltd$264.9 Mil19.1%29ADD +28.1%13F
WT Asset Management Ltd$264.8 Mil5.5%32TRIM -13.1%13F
Evergreen Quality Fund GP, Ltd.$146.0 Mil3.3%40TRIM -61.1%13F
WS Management LLLP$121.6 Mil15.9%35TRIM -41.9%13F
CTC LLC$99.4 Mil8.0%25TRIM -16.0%13F
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MU Trade Sentinel


Stock Conviction

High Conviction

CONVICTION RATIONALE

Micron is securing its future with approximately $100 billion in multi-year, take-or-pay customer agreements. This contractual backlog, combined with a severe AI-driven supply shortage expected beyond 2027, provides unprecedented visibility into revenue and profitability. The business model appears to be undergoing a fundamental, positive transformation, reducing historical volatility.

STOCK ARCHETYPE
Cyclical Manufacturing with emerging long-term contractual visibility

Volume (Bit Shipments) x Average Selling Price (ASP) Mix shift to high-margin HBM and data center SSDs, and operating leverage from high fab utilization.

Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.
INVESTMENT THESIS
Can new long-term contracts permanently break the memory cycle?

Evidence suggests a structural shift is underway, converting cyclical volatility into durable, high-margin revenue streams backed by binding customer commitments.

Mechanism: Multi-year Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs) with take-or-pay terms create ~$100 billion in performance obligations. These contracts lock in floor prices that secure gross margins "well above...peak quarterly margins in any past cycle," fundamentally de-risking the business model and improving earnings visibility through 2030.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Signed agreements create ~$100 billion in remaining performance obligations.
  • Contracts are take-or-pay with binding volume commitments.
  • Industry supply is expected to remain tight beyond calendar 2027.
  • Latest quarterly revenue accelerated to 196.3% year-over-year growth.
  • Cloud Memory (CMBU) operating margin was 45% in fiscal 2025.
PRIMARY RISK
A Super-Cycle, Not A New Structure

This is a historic cyclical peak, not a permanent change. Record capital spending of ~$27 billion in fiscal 2026 will create a future supply glut. Management already guides for a "meaningful moderation in the rate of price increases," signaling the top is near. The new contracts have not yet been tested in a downturn.

Mechanism: A sharp slowdown in AI infrastructure spending, signaled by key customers, would pressure contract integrity.
Supporting Evidence:
  • Fiscal 2026 capital spending is projected at approximately $27 billion.
  • Q4 guidance reflects a 'meaningful moderation' in price increases.
  • China has restricted purchases by critical infrastructure operators.
  • Competitors are also investing heavily, including state-backed entities.
Key KPI Watchlist
KPI Status Rationale
Revenue Growth (Year-over-Year)196.3% year-over-year growth for the quarter ended 3/31/2026 - AcceleratingThe growth trajectory shows extreme acceleration over the past three quarters. Management attributes this to a market where "DRAM and NAND industry demand continues to significantly exceed industry supply," driven by AI, leading to substantial price increases.
Trailing-Twelve-Month Revenue Growth (YoY)85.5% (TTM ended 3/31/2026)Sustained high growth over the past year, indicating the durability of the current market cycle.
Inventory vs. Revenue Growth Divergence-204.5 percentage points (Quarter ended 3/31/2026)An extreme imbalance where revenue growth vastly outpaces inventory growth (which is negative), indicating severe supply constraints and an inability to meet all customer demand.
Core Investment Debate

Contractual Backlog vs. Cyclical Gravity

BULL VIEW

The ~$100 billion in take-or-pay contracts creates a durable revenue and margin floor, fundamentally insulating the company from the historical boom-bust cycle and justifying a higher valuation.

CORE TENSION

Can ~$100B in new take-or-pay contracts offset the historical boom-bust pattern driven by record industry capex?


PREVAILING SENTIMENT
BULLISH

The latest evidence—the signed contracts and massive backlog—favors the structural change argument, as it provides a contractual buffer absent in all prior cycles.

BEAR VIEW

History repeats. Record industry-wide capital spending will inevitably lead to oversupply. The new contracts will bend or break under the pressure of a severe downturn, proving the cycle is unbreakable.

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts
Timeline Event & Metric To Watch
7/29/2026
Qualcomm Earnings Report
Watch: Peer Qualcomm (QCOM) reports earnings, providing a signal on the mobile end-market.
8/25/2026
Negative AI Demand Signal From Key Peer
Watch: NVIDIA's data center revenue growth and forward guidance. Any commentary on AI infrastructure spending slowdown.
8/25/2026
NVIDIA Earnings Report
Watch: Peer NVIDIA (NVDA) reports earnings, a key indicator for AI data center demand.
9/21/2026
Moderating Price Increase Momentum
Watch: Q4 results and Q1 fiscal 2027 guidance for signs of gross margin compression or decelerating revenue growth.
No set date
Adverse Patent Litigation Ruling
Watch: Court filings and rulings in the Netlist and YMTC cases, particularly from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit.
August 10
KeyBanc Investor Conference
Watch: Company executives will participate at the KeyBanc Capital Markets Technology Leadership Forum.
Key Events in Last 6 Months
Date Event Stock Impact
2026-07-09
Accelerated US Investment Plans
Details: Micron increased its planned U.S. investment to over $250 billion through 2035 and announced a $3 billion investment to strengthen the U.S. semiconductor ecosystem.
+3.2%
$948.80 -> $979.30
2026-06-24
Record Q3 Results And Guidance
Details: Reported record Q3 revenue of $41.46 billion, and guided Q4 revenue significantly higher with a change of 49.3%. The stock reacted positively by 15.0%.
+15.4%
$1051.61 -> $1213.37
2026-04-01
Debt Reduction Via Tender Offer
Details: The company announced the expiration of cash tender offers for certain outstanding senior notes as part of its balance sheet strengthening efforts.
+8.4%
$337.79 -> $366.18
2026-03-18
Mixed Q2 Earnings Reaction
Details: Following the March 18 earnings report, the stock dropped, with the two-day reaction being -4.0% versus -2.0% for the S&P 500, as investors focused on potential margin peaks.
-3.8%
$461.43 -> $444.02
2026-02-11
Stock Rallied On AI Visibility
Details: The stock closed up over 10% on February 11, 2026, as AI data center expansion reinforced revenue visibility.
+10.9%
$373.04 -> $413.73
2026-01-16
New York Megafab Groundbreaking
Details: Micron celebrated the official groundbreaking at its New York megafab site, joined by federal and state government officials.
+8.4%
$336.44 -> $364.79
Risk Management
Position Sizing

1% - 2%

MINIMAL POSITION

Sizing is volatility-based: MU trades at roughly 95% annualized options-implied volatility versus about 13% for the S&P 500 (7.2x the market), around the 91st percentile of its own trailing year. A 1% - 2% position keeps a single-name swing of that size within a diversified portfolio's risk budget.

Diversification Alternatives
NVDA - NVIDIA
AI Platform Leader

NVIDIA defines the AI data center architecture and captures higher margins, with a 64% operating margin versus Micron's 48.4%, offering a different risk profile.

Core Thesis: The core provider of AI accelerators, benefiting directly from the same data center buildout trend.
INTC - Intel
Diversified Data Center Play

Intel provides broader exposure to the data center beyond just memory, with products spanning CPUs and other silicon, though its growth has been slower.

Core Thesis: A turnaround story focused on regaining manufacturing leadership and capturing share in the AI ecosystem.
How Is The Market Pricing MU?

Micron is transforming from a cyclical commodity memory producer into a strategic, high-margin enabler of the AI infrastructure buildout.

Driven by explosive AI-related demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and data center storage, Micron is experiencing a period of unprecedented pricing power. The company is capitalizing on this by locking in a significant portion of its future revenue through multi-year, take-or-pay Strategic Customer Agreements (SCAs). This new business model aims to reduce historical cyclicality and provide more durable, predictable financial performance.

What will confirm the thesis

Announcements of additional multi-billion dollar SCAs, upward revisions to capital expenditure to accelerate fab construction, and sustained high gross margins.

What will damage the thesis

A significant slowdown in AI infrastructure spending by hyperscalers, a competitor achieving a technological leap in HBM that surpasses Micron's offerings, or a rapid easing of industry-wide supply constraints.

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Short-term stock price volatility not directly related to fundamental supply/demand dynamics or major SCA announcements.

Repricing Catalyst

The market's full valuation of the de-risking effect of the new Strategic Customer Agreements and the associated ~$100 billion in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO), which fundamentally changes the company's earnings visibility.

What MU Makes & Who Pays
TTM figures based on the twelve months through fiscal Q2 2026
Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU)
$21.0B TTM (36% of Total) · 56% Margin
What It Is

Sells memory solutions, including High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM), DDR, LPDDR, and GDDR, to large hyperscale cloud customers and provides HBM for all data center customers.

Who Pays & How

Large hyperscale cloud customers pay for memory solutions essential for AI and data-centric workloads, which require significantly increasing quantities of high-performance DRAM like HBM to turn data into insight.

Unit sales, increasingly under multi-year strategic agreements.
Competition
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.; SK hynix Inc.
Some competitors are large conglomerates with greater resources to invest in technology and may benefit from government assistance.
Technology leadership in HBM, including industry-leading HBM3E and HBM4 products, and manufacturing scale.
Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU)
$11.2B TTM (19% of Total) · 48% Margin
What It Is

Sells memory solutions (DDR5, DDR4) to mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers, and storage solutions (data center SSDs, NAND components) to all data center customers.

Who Pays & How

Mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers pay for memory and high-performance storage needed to support the proliferation of AI, cloud computing, and big data.

Unit sales, increasingly under multi-year strategic agreements.
Competition
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.; SK hynix Inc.; Kioxia Holdings Corporation.
Competitors may have larger market share and greater resources to withstand downturns.
A vertically integrated portfolio of data center SSDs utilizing proprietary G8 and G9 NAND, controllers, and firmware.
Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU)
$19.0B TTM (33% of Total) · 50% Margin
What It Is

Sells memory and storage solutions for the mobile (smartphones) and client (PCs) segments, as well as Crucial-branded consumer products.

Who Pays & How

Smartphone and PC OEMs pay for memory (LPDDR) and storage (managed NAND, SSDs) to support increasing performance requirements, particularly for on-device AI capabilities.

Unit sales.
Competition
Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.; SK hynix Inc.
Competitors may use aggressive pricing to obtain market share.
Technology leadership in low-power DRAM (LPDDR5X) on advanced 1ß and 1γ nodes, engineered to accelerate AI applications on flagship smartphones.
Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU)
$7.0B TTM (12% of Total) · 39% Margin
What It Is

Sells memory and storage solutions (DRAM, NAND, NOR, SSDs) for the automotive, industrial, and consumer segments, targeting the 'intelligent edge'.

Who Pays & How

Automotive and industrial OEMs pay for high-reliability memory and storage to enable autonomous driving, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), in-vehicle infotainment, and industrial IoT/automation.

Unit sales, with some automotive agreements having 3-year terms.
Competition
A portfolio of high-reliability, automotive-qualified products, including LPDDR5X DRAM and enterprise-grade SSDs, to meet stringent market requirements.
MU Evolution: Price Return by Era
Through fiscal year 2022 · Pre-2023 Market-Based Structure
-47%
The company was organized around traditional end-markets: Compute and Networking (CNBU), Mobile (MBU), Storage (SBU), and Embedded (EBU), reflecting a broader, less specialized business focus.
Beginning fiscal year 2023 · Post-2023 AI-Centric Reorganization
+71%
In the fourth quarter of 2025, Micron reorganized into four new business units to better align with the AI-driven market: Cloud Memory (CMBU), Core Data Center (CDBU), Mobile and Client (MCBU), and Automotive and Embedded (AEBU). This structural change signifies a strategic pivot to capture the high-value data center and cloud opportunity, which has since become the company's primary growth and profit engine.
Market Appears To Be Skeptical Of Core Thesis
Price structure is showing early stress, with SMA alignment beginning to break down. Relative to SPY: Strong 63D outperformance but 'relative strength' momentum is fading, indicating that money rotation may be maturing. Volume and momentum show mild distribution. The selling pressure is present but not overwhelming. Earnings history is mildly cautionary. The reaction or drift are negative, and the market is beginning to push back on the thesis.
① Structure
-1
Structural pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by trend regime, SMA cross events, proximity to 52W high, and relative strength vs SPY.
② Volume / Momentum
-1
Volume/Momentum pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by institutional footprint score, OBV divergence, and momentum character.
③ Catalyst
-1
Catalyst pillar score (-4 to +4). Driven by earnings day reaction, 20D post-earnings drift, and post-earnings volume character.
Combined Score
-3 / 12
1 Price Structure & Trend Potential Bottoming · -
2 Momentum Pausing
3 Relative Strength vs. SPY Facing Relative Strength
4 Institutional Footprint & Volume Neutral / Mixed
5 Volatility Expanded
6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol Falling
7 Earnings Reaction History Inconsistent
8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/15/2026