Tearsheet

Vail Resorts (MTN)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $139.8 | Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Vail Resorts (MTN)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $139.8
Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Key risks
MTN key risks include [1] operational challenges stemming from its high fixed-cost structure and the difficulties of staffing and securing adequate housing for its seasonal workforce in resort communities.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Sustainable Resource Management, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -78%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57%
7 Key risks
MTN key risks include [1] operational challenges stemming from its high fixed-cost structure and the difficulties of staffing and securing adequate housing for its seasonal workforce in resort communities.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MTN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Missed Q4 Fiscal 2025 Earnings and Revenue Expectations.

Vail Resorts reported its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on September 29, 2025, with revenue of $271.3 million falling short of analyst estimates and a non-GAAP loss per share of $5.08, wider than projected. This financial underperformance led to a negative market reaction, with the stock declining approximately 2.5% in after-market trading, compounding an already nearly 10% drop in the preceding month.

2. Wider Net Loss in Q1 Fiscal 2026.

The company reported a net loss of $186.8 million for its first quarter of fiscal 2026, which ended October 31, 2025. This loss was wider than the $173.3 million net loss reported in the same period of the prior fiscal year, signaling increased operational challenges.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.8% change in MTN stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -8.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)146.74139.66-4.83%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2958.442975.100.56%
Net Income Margin (%)9.81%8.94%-8.87%
P/E Multiple18.8218.850.15%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37.2435.913.57%
Cumulative Contribution-4.95%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MTN-4.8% 
Market (SPY)4.4%23.5%
Sector (XLY)2.3%36.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.5% change in MTN stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -8.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)152.71139.66-8.54%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2958.442975.100.56%
Net Income Margin (%)9.81%8.94%-8.87%
P/E Multiple19.5918.85-3.76%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37.2435.913.57%
Cumulative Contribution-8.66%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MTN-8.5% 
Market (SPY)14.0%22.5%
Sector (XLY)15.3%39.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.1% change in MTN stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -35.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)181.51139.66-23.06%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2886.902975.103.06%
Net Income Margin (%)8.08%8.94%10.64%
P/E Multiple29.1518.85-35.33%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)37.4735.914.17%
Cumulative Contribution-23.19%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MTN-23.1% 
Market (SPY)15.8%42.6%
Sector (XLY)5.3%50.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -34.3% change in MTN stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -32.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)212.48139.66-34.27%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2629.782975.1013.13%
Net Income Margin (%)13.32%8.94%-32.85%
P/E Multiple24.4418.85-22.89%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)40.3035.9110.88%
Cumulative Contribution-35.05%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
MTN-31.3% 
Market (SPY)48.9%40.5%
Sector (XLY)38.7%44.3%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MTN Return18%18%-25%-7%-8%-21%-29%
Peers Return-12%5%-2%28%11%24%59%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MTN Win Rate58%42%33%50%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate43%50%50%58%55%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MTN Max Drawdown-44%-6%-37%-11%-20%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-21%-24%-3%-13%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HST, MAR, HLT, WYNN, LVS. See MTN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMTNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven220 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven764 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven345.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,530 days1,480 days

Compare to DKNG, H, SCI, HGV, VAC

In The Past

Vail Resorts's stock fell -45.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -45.3% loss requires a 82.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Vail Resorts (MTN)

Vail Resorts, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates mountain resorts and urban ski areas in the United States. It operates through three segments: Mountain, Lodging, and Real Estate. The Mountain segment operates 37 destination mountain resorts and regional ski areas. This segment is also involved in the ancillary activities, including ski school, dining, and retail/rental operations, as well as real estate brokerage activities. The Lodging segment owns and/or manages various luxury hotels and condominiums, and other lodging properties under the RockResorts brand; various condominiums located in proximity to the company's mountain resorts; destination resorts; and golf courses, as well as offers resort ground transportation services. This segment operates owned and managed hotel and condominium units. The Real Estate segment owns, develops, and sells real estate properties. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Broomfield, Colorado.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Vail Resorts:

Vail Resorts is like:

  • Marriott for ski resorts, owning and operating a portfolio of premium mountain destinations.
  • Disney for mountain experiences, offering a comprehensive, high-quality recreational destination and entertainment experience.
  • Netflix for ski access, primarily through its Epic Pass, which provides subscription-based access to multiple resorts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Mountain Access (Lift Tickets & Passes): Provides access to ski slopes, chairlifts, and gondolas at their various resorts.
  • Lodging: Offers hotel rooms, condominiums, and other accommodations within or near their resort properties.
  • Ski & Snowboard Schools: Provides instruction and lessons for skiing and snowboarding enthusiasts of all skill levels.
  • Retail & Rental: Sells ski and snowboard equipment, apparel, and accessories, alongside offering equipment rental services.
  • Dining: Operates a variety of restaurants, cafes, and food service outlets across its resort properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Vail Resorts (symbol: MTN) primarily sells directly to individuals rather than other companies. Its business model focuses on providing mountain resort experiences, including skiing, snowboarding, lodging, and related amenities, directly to end-users.

The company serves the following three major categories of individual customers:

  1. Season Pass Holders: This category encompasses individuals who purchase multi-day or season passes, most notably the Epic Pass. These customers are typically frequent skiers and snowboarders who commit to visiting Vail Resorts' properties (and partner resorts) multiple times throughout a season. They represent a loyal customer base seeking value and extensive access.
  2. Destination Visitors/Vacationers: This segment includes individuals and families who travel to Vail Resorts' destinations for multi-day vacations. These customers often seek a comprehensive resort experience, utilizing services such as lodging (in Vail-owned or managed properties), lift access, ski/snowboard lessons, equipment rentals, and dining at the resorts. They are looking for a complete holiday experience.
  3. Day Visitors/Local Recreationalists: This category comprises individuals or groups who visit a resort for a single day of skiing, snowboarding, or other recreational activities. They often reside within a reasonable driving distance of a resort and typically purchase single-day lift tickets or utilize specialized local access products. This group is focused on convenient, short-duration recreational outings.

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Rob Katz, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Rob Katz was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Vail Resorts in May 2025, a role he previously held from February 2006 until November 2021. He served as Executive Chairperson of the Board from November 2021 to May 2025. Mr. Katz has been involved with Vail Resorts since 1991 and has served on its Board of Directors since 1996. Prior to his tenure as CEO of Vail Resorts, he was associated with Apollo Management L.P., a private equity investment firm, since its founding in 1990.

Angela Korch, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Angela Korch was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in December 2022. She rejoined Vail Resorts from CorePower Yoga, where she served as Chief Financial Officer since May 2020. Ms. Korch previously spent over a decade in various leadership roles within Vail Resorts' finance organization, including Vice President of Corporate & Mountain Finance. In this role, she led financial and capital allocation strategies and played a significant role in integrating more than 30 mountain resorts. Before her initial time at Vail Resorts, she was an Assistant Portfolio Manager at Muzinich & Company. At CorePower Yoga, she was instrumental in helping the company navigate COVID-19 challenges, raise capital, and expand its studio portfolio.

Bill Rock, President of the Mountain Division

Bill Rock serves as the President of the Mountain Division at Vail Resorts. He began his career at Vail Resorts in 2010.

Courtney Goldstein, Executive Vice President & Chief Marketing Officer

Courtney Goldstein was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer in April 2024. Prior to joining Vail Resorts, she served as Senior Vice President of Consumer Marketing, Growth, and Engagement at Comcast, and also held positions with American Express.

Lynanne J. Kunkel, Executive Vice President & Chief Human Resources Officer

Lynanne J. Kunkel serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer for Vail Resorts, a position she has held since 2017.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Vail Resorts (MTN) are primarily tied to environmental factors, economic conditions impacting consumer behavior, and the inherent operational challenges of its business model.

  1. Weather and Climate Change: Vail Resorts is highly vulnerable to unfavorable weather conditions and the broader impacts of climate change. Insufficient or delayed snowfall directly reduces skier visits and revenue, affecting both current season performance and future pass sales momentum. This reliance on weather-dependent revenue streams poses a significant and ongoing challenge to the company's financial performance.
  2. Economic Conditions and Consumer Spending: Prolonged economic weakness, inflationary pressures, and elevated interest rates can lead to reduced consumer discretionary spending on travel and leisure activities. This directly impacts visitation numbers and overall revenue for Vail Resorts, particularly as the company offers premium products and expects strong demand in higher-tier passes, which could be sensitive to economic downturns.
  3. Operational Risks, High Fixed Costs, and Labor: The mountain resort business operates with a high fixed cost structure, meaning that any decline in revenue can significantly compress profit margins. Furthermore, the company faces operational challenges related to managing a seasonal workforce, including staffing difficulties, increased labor costs, and the need to secure adequate employee housing in resort communities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Clear Emerging Threats to Vail Resorts (MTN)

  • The increasing popularity and accessibility of backcountry and uphill skiing and snowboarding represent an emerging threat. This trend allows participants to access mountain terrain and experience the sport without purchasing expensive lift tickets, thereby bypassing Vail Resorts' primary revenue model. As gear becomes more specialized, safety education more widespread, and interest in self-powered outdoor recreation grows, a segment of potential or existing resort guests may opt for these alternative forms of mountain access, potentially diverting revenue and altering long-term demand for traditional lift-serviced skiing and snowboarding.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Vail Resorts (symbol: MTN) operates primarily in two main addressable markets: Mountain Operations and Lodging. The company's business model also includes real estate development and sales, though a specific addressable market size for this niche is not readily available.

Mountain Operations

Vail Resorts' Mountain segment generates revenue through lift ticket sales (including season passes like the Epic Pass), ski and snowboard lessons, equipment rentals, retail merchandise sales, dining, and other winter and summer recreational activities. * U.S. Mountain and Ski Resort Market: The U.S. mountain and ski resort industry is estimated at USD 3.4 billion in 2024. It is projected to increase to USD 3.6 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 8.1 billion by 2035, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.4% over the forecast period. Another report estimates the market size for Ski & Snowboard Resorts in the U.S. at USD 4.2 billion in 2025. The U.S. skiing and snowboarding market size was estimated at USD 5.78 billion in 2024. * North America Mountain and Ski Resort Market: The USA market contributes 55% of North America's total mountain and ski resort market. Based on the U.S. market value of USD 3.4 billion in 2024, the North American mountain and ski resort market would be approximately USD 6.18 billion in 2024 (USD 3.4 billion / 0.55). North America held the largest share in the global mountain and ski resort market in 2024. * Global Mountain and Ski Resort Market: The global mountain and ski resort market was valued at USD 9.53 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 14.4 billion by 2035, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.85% from 2025 to 2035. Another source states the market size as USD 14.74 billion in 2024, growing to USD 16.35 billion in 2025.

Lodging

Vail Resorts owns and operates a number of hotels, lodges, and condominiums at its various resort locations, catering to visitors. * North America Hotel Market: The North America hotel market was valued at USD 120 billion according to recent reports based on a five-year historical analysis. * North America Luxury Hotel Market: Given Vail Resorts' focus on premium experiences, the luxury hotel segment is particularly relevant. This market reached USD 30.48 billion in 2024. Other estimates for the North America luxury hotel market include USD 37.86 billion in 2024 and USD 41.23 billion in 2025. The resorts sub-category within the North America luxury hotel market is projected to have the fastest growth, with a 7.6% CAGR through 2030. * North American Hotels Market (United States, Canada, and Mexico): This market is estimated at USD 40.16 billion in 2025.

Real Estate

Vail Resorts engages in real estate development, selling residential properties and commercial spaces in and around its resorts. * No specific addressable market size for "resort real estate development and sales" was found in the provided search results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Vail Resorts (MTN) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Epic Pass Price Increases: Vail Resorts has consistently increased prices for its various Epic Pass products, including the Epic Pass, Epic Local Pass, and Epic Day Pass, for the upcoming 2025-26 ski season. For example, the top-tier Epic Pass saw a 7% increase, while some Epic Day Pass products experienced steeper hikes of 25-30% for the 2025-26 season. These annual price adjustments directly contribute to higher revenue per pass holder.

  2. Strategic Capital Investments and Enhanced Guest Experience: The company has announced a significant capital investment plan of approximately $249 million to $254 million for calendar year 2025. These investments aim to improve the guest experience through infrastructure upgrades, such as a new 10-person gondola at Park City Mountain and new six-person chairlifts at Andermatt-Sedrun-Disentis. Additionally, plans include developing a fourth base village at Vail Mountain's West Lionshead, featuring new lodging, dining, and retail spaces. These enhancements are designed to attract more guests and encourage increased visitation and ancillary spending.

  3. Global Expansion and Increased Access: Vail Resorts is continuing its global expansion, particularly in Europe, to enhance the value and reach of its Epic Pass. For the 2025-26 season, the Epic Pass network will significantly increase access to Verbier 4 Vallées in Switzerland and will include six new Austrian ski resorts: Saalbach Hinterglemm Leogang Fieberbrunn, Zell am See-Kaprun, Mayrhofen, Hintertux Glacier, Silvretta Montafon, and Sölden. This expansion aims to attract a broader international customer base and boost pass sales.

  4. Growth in Ancillary Spending and Targeted Lift Ticket Strategies: The company anticipates increased revenue from ancillary services such as ski school and dining. Furthermore, Vail Resorts is implementing new strategies to improve guest visitation, including new "Epic Friend Tickets" that offer discounted lift access for friends of pass holders, and more targeted pricing strategies for daily lift tickets. The company is also increasing its media investment to enhance brand awareness and drive overall visitation to its resorts.

  5. Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan: While primarily focused on cost savings, the company's two-year "Resource Efficiency Transformation Plan" is projected to achieve $100 million in annualized cost efficiencies by the end of its fiscal year 2026. These efficiencies are expected to improve operating leverage and profitability, thereby contributing to overall financial growth and freeing up resources for further investments that can indirectly support revenue generation.

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Capital Allocation Decisions of Vail Resorts (MTN) over the Last 3-5 Years

Share Repurchases

  • Vail Resorts repurchased approximately 1.29 million shares for a total of $200 million during the quarter ending July 31, 2025.
  • As of March 10, 2025, the company had 1.5 million shares remaining under its authorization for future share repurchases.
  • Annual share buybacks amounted to $200 million in fiscal year 2025, $150 million in fiscal year 2024, and $500 million in fiscal year 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • In March 2022, Vail Resorts acquired a 55% stake in Andermatt+Sedrun+Disentis, a Swiss resort operator, for $160 million, marking its first expansion into Europe.
  • The company acquired Seven Springs Mountain Resort, Hidden Valley Resort, and Laurel Mountain Ski Area in Pennsylvania in December 2021.
  • In fiscal year 2024, Vail Resorts closed on the acquisition of Crans-Montana Mountain Resort in Switzerland, securing an 84% ownership stake in its lift operations for an enterprise value of CHF 118.5 million (approximately $128 million).

Capital Expenditures

  • Vail Resorts expects its calendar year 2025 capital plan to be approximately $198 million to $203 million in core capital, plus an additional $46 million for growth capital investments at its European resorts (Andermatt-Sedrun and Crans-Montana), and $5 million for real estate related projects.
  • Total planned capital investments for calendar year 2025 are estimated to be between $249 million and $254 million.
  • Key capital investments for 2025 and 2026 focus on multi-year transformational plans at Park City Mountain and Vail Mountain, including lift and snowmaking upgrades, new gondolas, and technology enhancements for the My Epic App.

Better Bets than Vail Resorts (MTN)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MTN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.3%13.3%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.7%19.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.8%1.8%-1.6%
MTN_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.6%3.2%-1.3%
MTN_6302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302022MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
11.0%19.6%-6.5%
MTN_1312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312019MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
32.0%28.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Vail Resorts

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTNHSTMARHLTWYNNLVSMedian
NameVail Res.Host Hot.Marriott.Hilton W.Wynn Res.Las Vega. 
Mkt Price139.6618.52315.16293.30125.0266.31132.34
Mkt Cap5.012.785.768.612.945.229.0
Rev LTM2,9755,93925,92511,7357,11112,2649,423
Op Inc LTM5378084,1372,5801,4532,8172,016
FCF LTM3526711,9272,2967371,215976
FCF 3Y Avg3528242,3231,9167461,3891,106
CFO LTM5881,2982,7012,5081,3542,7341,931
CFO 3Y Avg5881,4222,9142,1221,2102,7151,772

Growth & Margins

MTNHSTMARHLTWYNNLVSMedian
NameVail Res.Host Hot.Marriott.Hilton W.Wynn Res.Las Vega. 
Rev Chg LTM3.1%6.5%4.7%6.7%-0.3%8.4%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%8.6%10.6%13.1%25.0%51.6%11.9%
Rev Chg Q4.1%0.9%3.7%8.8%8.3%24.2%6.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%0.2%0.9%2.2%2.0%5.6%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM18.1%13.6%16.0%22.0%20.4%23.0%19.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.2%14.0%16.3%22.0%16.1%21.0%17.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.2%0.6%0.8%2.2%1.1%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM19.8%21.9%10.4%21.4%19.0%22.3%20.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%25.6%11.8%19.4%18.0%25.4%19.8%
FCF/Rev LTM11.8%11.3%7.4%19.6%10.4%9.9%10.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg12.1%14.8%9.4%17.5%11.1%13.0%12.5%

Valuation

MTNHSTMARHLTWYNNLVSMedian
NameVail Res.Host Hot.Marriott.Hilton W.Wynn Res.Las Vega. 
Mkt Cap5.012.785.768.612.945.229.0
P/S1.72.13.35.81.83.72.7
P/EBIT8.912.620.426.510.015.814.2
P/E18.817.332.841.225.529.127.3
P/CFO8.59.831.727.49.516.513.2
Total Yield6.9%10.7%3.9%2.5%5.3%5.2%5.3%
Dividend Yield1.6%4.9%0.8%0.1%1.4%1.8%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.3%7.0%3.5%3.8%6.6%3.8%4.6%
D/E0.70.40.20.20.90.30.4
Net D/E0.60.40.20.20.80.30.3

Returns

MTNHSTMARHLTWYNNLVSMedian
NameVail Res.Host Hot.Marriott.Hilton W.Wynn Res.Las Vega. 
1M Rtn3.4%6.9%6.4%6.9%1.4%1.0%4.9%
3M Rtn-4.8%7.9%20.5%11.5%-0.5%25.6%9.7%
6M Rtn-8.5%22.4%19.1%15.7%36.6%55.9%20.7%
12M Rtn-23.1%7.4%11.1%16.1%42.2%30.5%13.6%
3Y Rtn-34.3%32.8%118.6%134.1%59.3%49.3%54.3%
1M Excs Rtn0.1%3.5%3.0%3.5%-1.9%-2.4%1.5%
3M Excs Rtn-8.4%3.2%16.1%7.4%-5.4%20.5%5.3%
6M Excs Rtn-22.7%7.9%4.6%1.2%22.7%40.5%6.2%
12M Excs Rtn-36.9%-9.3%-4.8%1.0%25.0%12.7%-1.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-116.6%-52.3%33.0%46.3%-23.9%-31.8%-27.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Mountain2,5442,5412,2131,7031,710
Lodging336340312205248
Real Estate58125
Total2,8852,8892,5261,9101,964


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$139.66 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.1 
First Trading Date02/04/1997 
Distance from 52W High-23.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$146.81$148.99
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-4.9%-6.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility38.5%35.9%
Downside Capture124.0993.92
Upside Capture75.8054.25
Correlation (SPY)23.6%42.7%
MTN Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.111.030.930.870.830.88
Up Beta-1.630.271.010.710.890.92
Down Beta1.040.800.930.910.750.67
Up Capture146%99%32%51%54%49%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days9203060114376
Down Capture195%151%133%124%99%104%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11223366135375

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of MTN With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 MTNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-18.9%8.3%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility35.8%24.3%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.520.270.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 50.6%42.8%-1.5%14.4%49.0%26.2%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of MTN With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 MTNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-10.1%9.8%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility31.4%23.8%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio-0.290.370.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 51.4%50.4%5.1%11.8%43.3%24.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of MTN With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 MTNSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return3.4%13.1%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility31.9%22.0%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.180.550.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 51.7%51.9%-3.7%14.0%44.9%13.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,716,550
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020255.2%
Average Daily Volume1,091,231
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.41
Basic Shares Quantity35,910,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/10/20259.3%10.5% 
9/29/20251.0%6.9%4.5%
6/5/2025-2.9%-0.8%8.9%
3/10/20257.7%5.8%-13.3%
12/9/20242.5%0.3%-4.8%
9/26/2024-3.9%-7.4%-9.3%
6/6/2024-10.3%-6.5%-9.5%
3/11/20240.7%-0.6%4.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14109
# Negative101415
Median Positive2.7%6.0%4.5%
Median Negative-4.3%-4.5%-9.4%
Max Positive9.3%10.5%11.5%
Max Negative-10.3%-15.5%-16.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251210202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025929202510-K 7/31/2025
4302025605202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025310202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241209202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024926202410-K 7/31/2024
4302024606202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024311202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023928202310-K 7/31/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023309202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022928202210-K 7/31/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022314202210-Q 1/31/2022