Tearsheet

Morningstar (MORN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $214.11 | Market Cap: $9.0 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Morningstar (MORN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $214.11
Market Cap: $9.0 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
Key risks
MORN key risks include [1] the direct negative impact of market downturns on its significant asset-based revenue streams and [2] pressure on its premium valuation due to potential slowing growth and intense competition from established players.
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74%
5 Key risks
MORN key risks include [1] the direct negative impact of market downturns on its significant asset-based revenue streams and [2] pressure on its premium valuation due to potential slowing growth and intense competition from established players.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MORN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting potential reasons for Morningstar's (MORN) stock movement by -18.3% between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025: 1. Morningstar's diluted net income per share decreased in Q3 2025. While adjusted earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst expectations, the company reported a 21.7% decrease in diluted net income per share to $2.17 in the third quarter of 2025, compared to $2.77 in the same period of 2024.

2. Free cash flow saw a year-over-year decline. For the nine months ending Q3 2025, Morningstar's free cash flow was down 16.3% year-over-year, primarily attributed to higher tax and bonus payments. Additionally, income tax payments in Q3 2025 significantly increased to $40.3 million from $21.9 million in Q3 2024.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MORN Return55%48%-36%33%18%-37%44%
Peers Return32%43%-20%29%11%-11%94%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MORN Win Rate58%50%33%67%67%25% 
Peers Win Rate63%70%40%60%48%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MORN Max Drawdown-29%-7%-39%-20%-5%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-9%-33%-2%-11%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SPGI, MCO, MSCI, FDS, TRI. See MORN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMORNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven561 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven132 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven211.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,814 days1,480 days

Compare to BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, CME


In The Past

Morningstar's stock fell -50.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -50.4% loss requires a 101.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Morningstar (MORN)

Better Bets than Morningstar (MORN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MORN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
MORN_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-24.0%-24.0%-24.8%
MORN_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.2%-29.1%-31.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.1%5.1%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.4%-2.4%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.6%4.6%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-9.0%-9.0%-11.0%
MORN_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-24.0%-24.0%-24.8%
MORN_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.2%-29.1%-31.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Morningstar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MORNSPGIMCOMSCIFDSTRIMedian
NameMornings.S&P Glob.Moodys MSCI FactSet .Thomson . 
Mkt Price213.89510.59499.02560.97296.13132.08397.57
Mkt Cap9.0155.489.342.911.259.451.1
Rev LTM2,39515,0127,5013,0552,3227,3765,216
Op Inc LTM4716,0313,2861,6557482,1281,892
FCF LTM3945,4612,3981,3886171,8221,605
FCF 3Y Avg3324,6572,1661,2736051,8691,571
CFO LTM5395,6432,7171,5187262,4591,988
CFO 3Y Avg4664,8052,4701,3806912,4561,918

Growth & Margins

MORNSPGIMCOMSCIFDSTRIMedian
NameMornings.S&P Glob.Moodys MSCI FactSet .Thomson . 
Rev Chg LTM7.8%9.0%8.8%9.0%5.4%3.0%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.9%13.3%9.8%11.2%8.0%3.9%9.3%
Rev Chg Q8.4%8.8%10.7%9.5%6.2%3.4%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%2.1%2.7%2.3%1.5%0.8%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM19.7%40.2%43.8%54.2%32.2%28.9%36.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.6%36.3%40.7%54.1%31.4%26.9%33.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%1.0%1.3%0.3%1.7%2.3%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM22.5%37.6%36.2%49.7%31.3%33.3%34.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.9%34.8%36.8%50.0%31.3%34.6%34.7%
FCF/Rev LTM16.5%36.4%32.0%45.4%26.6%24.7%29.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%33.7%32.2%46.1%27.5%26.4%29.9%

Valuation

MORNSPGIMCOMSCIFDSTRIMedian
NameMornings.S&P Glob.Moodys MSCI FactSet .Thomson . 
Mkt Cap9.0155.489.342.911.259.451.1
P/S4.19.911.414.24.79.59.7
P/EBIT17.724.126.026.113.929.425.0
P/E26.035.138.035.518.139.835.3
P/CFO18.126.231.428.614.928.427.3
Total Yield4.6%3.6%3.4%4.1%7.0%4.0%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%0.8%1.3%1.5%1.5%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%3.3%2.9%2.9%4.2%2.8%2.9%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.00.1
Net D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.00.1

Returns

MORNSPGIMCOMSCIFDSTRIMedian
NameMornings.S&P Glob.Moodys MSCI FactSet .Thomson . 
1M Rtn3.1%4.6%5.7%0.5%8.6%-3.7%3.9%
3M Rtn-13.9%-6.0%-2.3%-2.7%-11.5%-21.6%-8.8%
6M Rtn-29.1%2.0%6.5%3.8%-29.8%-32.1%-13.6%
12M Rtn-38.4%2.8%3.5%-7.1%-38.7%-19.4%-13.2%
3Y Rtn1.6%54.1%81.6%23.2%-28.8%21.3%22.2%
1M Excs Rtn2.4%3.9%5.0%-0.2%7.9%-4.4%3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-9.6%-0.6%2.3%-0.1%-2.7%-18.8%-1.6%
6M Excs Rtn-41.5%-10.4%-5.9%-8.6%-42.2%-44.5%-26.0%
12M Excs Rtn-50.1%-9.4%-8.3%-20.2%-49.8%-31.4%-25.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.9%-17.7%7.4%-51.6%-100.6%-49.2%-50.4%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Morningstar Direct Platform747697   
PitchBook552451   
Morningstar Wealth230229   
Morningstar Credit215237   
Corporate and All Other184154   
Morningstar Retirement110104   
Asset-based  265224212
License-based  1,132935813
Transaction-based  303231155
Total2,0391,8711,6991,3901,179


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Morningstar Direct Platform340313   
PitchBook14872   
Morningstar Retirement5451   
Morningstar Credit2259   
Merger and Acquisition (M&A) - related earn-outs0-12   
Merger and Acquisition (M&A) - related gains0    
Asset impairment costs-30   
Severance and personnel expenses-6-28   
Transformation costs-7-8   
Merger and Acquisition (M&A) - related expenses-10-17   
Morningstar Wealth-40-14   
Intangible amortization expense-70-67   
Corporate and All Other-197-182   
Total231168   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity871,311
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.9%
Average Daily Volume269,651
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.23
Basic Shares Quantity42,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.7%1.8%3.6%
7/30/2025-2.7%-8.5%-8.1%
2/26/2025-2.8%-5.6%-5.6%
10/23/2024-3.1%-3.4%-0.5%
7/25/20241.1%-2.7%-2.7%
2/23/2024-1.1%-0.2%0.9%
10/26/2023-2.5%4.6%12.6%
7/28/20232.2%-2.2%-3.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive766
# Negative111212
Median Positive1.1%2.9%3.8%
Median Negative-2.5%-3.6%-5.1%
Max Positive3.5%5.5%12.6%
Max Negative-6.2%-9.7%-33.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mansueto Joseph DExecutive Chairman11262025Sell211.9931666,9901,823,591,219Form
1Mansueto Joseph DExecutive Chairman11242025Sell209.821,104231,6441,807,789,700Form