Tearsheet

Morningstar (MORN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $218.355 | Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Morningstar (MORN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $218.355
Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
 
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Sustainable Finance, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -72%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MORN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide specific key points for a -16.8% stock movement for Morningstar (MORN) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, as the available information for this future period does not indicate such a decline. The financial reports for Q3 2025, released on October 29, 2025, showed revenue growth and increases in operating income and margins. While diluted net income per share decreased by 21.7% in Q3 2025 compared to the prior year, adjusted diluted net income per share increased by 27.5%. Market sentiment and analyst forecasts for Morningstar as of late 2025 generally indicate a positive outlook, with analysts giving "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" ratings and forecasting a rise in stock price over the next 12 months. Some sources also indicate a "Bearish" sentiment based on technical indicators but an overall expectation of price increase. While some reports mention Morningstar stock hitting a 52-week low on October 15, 2025, and a decline of 35.91% over the past 12 months leading up to that date, this is a broader historical performance and not directly a -16.8% movement within the specified approximate timeframe of August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Additionally, revenue expectations for FY2025 were revised upward by 0.7% over the three months prior to late November 2025, even as the stock price changed by -15.59% during that same period. This suggests that while there might have been some negative movement, it wasn't explicitly tied to a -16.8% drop within the narrow requested window with clear, identifiable causes from the search results.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MORN Return55%48%-36%33%18%-35%49%
Peers Return22%37%-23%29%16%-3%88%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MORN Win Rate58%50%33%67%67%20% 
Peers Win Rate63%63%40%62%58%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MORN Max Drawdown-29%-7%-39%-20%-5%-38% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-7%-34%-4%-9%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, CME. See MORN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMORNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven561 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven132 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven211.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1814 days1480 days

Compare to BLK, SPGI, MCO, FDS, CME


In The Past

Morningstar's stock fell -50.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -50.4% loss requires a 101.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Morningstar (MORN)

Better Bets than Morningstar (MORN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MORN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
MORN_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-21.3%-21.3%-24.8%
MORN_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.2%-29.1%-31.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
MORN_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-21.3%-21.3%-24.8%
MORN_4302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04302022MORNMorningstarMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.2%-29.1%-31.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Morningstar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MORNBLKSPGIMCOFDSCMEMedian
NameMornings.BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .CME  
Mkt Price217.871,079.87499.88492.01279.15274.34385.58
Mkt Cap9.2167.3152.188.010.598.793.3
Rev LTM2,39522,88515,0127,5012,3226,3976,949
Op Inc LTM4717,7216,0313,2867484,1573,722
FCF LTM3943,9335,4612,3986174,0843,166
FCF 3Y Avg3323,9224,6572,1666053,6742,920
CFO LTM5394,2685,6432,7177264,1613,439
CFO 3Y Avg4664,2484,8052,4706913,7563,113

Growth & Margins

MORNBLKSPGIMCOFDSCMEMedian
NameMornings.BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .CME  
Rev Chg LTM7.8%18.2%9.0%8.8%5.4%5.8%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.9%7.5%13.3%9.8%8.0%8.9%8.9%
Rev Chg Q8.4%25.2%8.8%10.7%6.2%-3.0%8.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%6.1%2.1%2.7%1.5%-0.7%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM19.7%33.7%40.2%43.8%32.2%65.0%37.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.6%35.3%36.3%40.7%31.4%63.1%35.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-1.9%1.0%1.3%1.7%-0.3%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM22.5%18.6%37.6%36.2%31.3%65.0%33.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.9%21.5%34.8%36.8%31.3%63.3%33.1%
FCF/Rev LTM16.5%17.2%36.4%32.0%26.6%63.8%29.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%19.9%33.7%32.2%27.5%61.9%29.9%

Valuation

MORNBLKSPGIMCOFDSCMEMedian
NameMornings.BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .CME  
Mkt Cap9.2167.3152.188.010.598.793.3
P/S4.17.99.911.44.715.28.9
P/EBIT17.720.624.126.013.919.420.0
P/E26.029.635.138.018.125.827.8
P/CFO18.142.326.231.414.923.424.8
Total Yield4.6%5.2%3.6%3.4%7.0%6.5%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.8%1.8%0.8%0.8%1.5%2.6%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.9%3.0%3.3%2.9%4.2%4.5%3.1%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.00.1
Net D/E0.10.00.10.10.10.00.1

Returns

MORNBLKSPGIMCOFDSCMEMedian
NameMornings.BlackRockS&P Glob.Moodys FactSet .CME  
1M Rtn2.1%1.0%0.8%1.4%5.9%3.9%1.8%
3M Rtn-14.7%-1.8%-7.1%-0.7%-24.4%1.9%-4.5%
6M Rtn-29.5%10.3%-2.4%1.7%-35.2%-0.3%-1.4%
12M Rtn-37.6%6.1%-2.8%0.4%-41.8%19.0%-1.2%
3Y Rtn-11.0%63.1%42.4%67.2%-39.0%78.5%52.8%
1M Excs Rtn2.2%1.1%0.8%1.5%6.0%3.9%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-20.8%-8.0%-12.6%-6.7%-29.5%-2.8%-10.3%
6M Excs Rtn-44.2%-4.4%-17.1%-13.0%-49.9%-15.1%-16.1%
12M Excs Rtn-51.6%-5.8%-17.2%-14.4%-56.0%6.9%-15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-80.8%-11.5%-26.8%0.0%-109.1%9.3%-19.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Morningstar Direct Platform747697   
PitchBook552451   
Morningstar Wealth230229   
Morningstar Credit215237   
Corporate and All Other184154   
Morningstar Retirement110104   
Asset-based  265224212
License-based  1,132935813
Transaction-based  303231155
Total2,0391,8711,6991,3901,179


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Morningstar Direct Platform340313   
PitchBook14872   
Morningstar Retirement5451   
Morningstar Credit2259   
Merger and Acquisition (M&A) - related earn-outs0-12   
Merger and Acquisition (M&A) - related gains0    
Asset impairment costs-30   
Severance and personnel expenses-6-28   
Transformation costs-7-8   
Merger and Acquisition (M&A) - related expenses-10-17   
Morningstar Wealth-40-14   
Intangible amortization expense-70-67   
Corporate and All Other-197-182   
Total231168   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity785,510
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202519.8%
Average Daily Volume430,920
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.82
Basic Shares Quantity42,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mansueto Joseph DExecutive Chairman11262025Sell211.9931666,9901,823,591,219Form
1Mansueto Joseph DExecutive Chairman11242025Sell209.821,104231,6441,807,789,700Form