Midland States Bancorp (MSBI)
Market Price (8/6/2026): $34.24 | Market Cap: $721.6 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks
Midland States Bancorp (MSBI)
Market Price (8/6/2026): $34.24Market Cap: $721.6 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Regional Banks
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 16% Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -196% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 118% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.7% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52% Key risksMSBI key risks include [1] a potential delisting from Nasdaq for failing to timely file financial reports, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 16% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -196% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 118% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.7% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 52% |
| Key risksMSBI key risks include [1] a potential delisting from Nasdaq for failing to timely file financial reports, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) stock has gained about 35% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Midland States Bancorp reported strong financial results for both fiscal Q1 and fiscal Q2 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company's Q1 2026 diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.79 beat the consensus estimate of $0.6347 by 24.47%. Building on this momentum, fiscal Q2 2026 saw an EPS of $0.82, exceeding the $0.78 consensus by $0.04, and revenues of $83.74 million, above the $80.70 million estimate. This sustained outperformance in core profitability contributed to investor confidence and stock appreciation.
2. The company achieved an expanded net interest margin (NIM) and optimized its balance sheet. Midland States Bancorp's net interest margin increased to 3.98% in fiscal Q2 2026, up from 3.91% in fiscal Q1 2026, driven by favorable loan repricing and asset optimization. Concurrently, total deposits rose by $267.2 million to $5.71 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, leading to a reduced reliance on higher-cost brokered deposits and an improved loan-to-deposit ratio of 74.4%.
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Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) stock has gained about 35% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Midland States Bancorp reported strong financial results for both fiscal Q1 and fiscal Q2 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company's Q1 2026 diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.79 beat the consensus estimate of $0.6347 by 24.47%. Building on this momentum, fiscal Q2 2026 saw an EPS of $0.82, exceeding the $0.78 consensus by $0.04, and revenues of $83.74 million, above the $80.70 million estimate. This sustained outperformance in core profitability contributed to investor confidence and stock appreciation.
2. The company achieved an expanded net interest margin (NIM) and optimized its balance sheet. Midland States Bancorp's net interest margin increased to 3.98% in fiscal Q2 2026, up from 3.91% in fiscal Q1 2026, driven by favorable loan repricing and asset optimization. Concurrently, total deposits rose by $267.2 million to $5.71 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, leading to a reduced reliance on higher-cost brokered deposits and an improved loan-to-deposit ratio of 74.4%.
3. Midland States Bancorp enhanced its capital management strategy by increasing its stock repurchase program. In May 2026, the company expanded its stock repurchase program from $25 million to $45 million, extending it through December 31, 2026. This authorization allows the company to repurchase up to 8% of its outstanding shares, signaling management's confidence in the company's valuation and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
4. The company benefited from positive macroeconomic tailwinds within the regional banking sector. The broader regional bank sector experienced a significant rally during the period, with the S&P Regional Bank ETF (KRE) returning 18.9% year-to-date through July 29, 2026, outperforming the S&P 500's 7.5% gain. This sector-wide strength was fueled by overall earnings growth, net interest margin expansion across many regional banks, and a return to a positively sloped yield curve, which improved the backdrop for asset repricing and funding costs.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.2% change in MSBI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.70 | 34.24 | 33.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 292 | 292 | 0.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.1% | 14.7% | 22.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.6 | 16.8 | 7.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 21 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSBI | 33.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.1% | 16.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 11.3% | 40.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 53.8% change in MSBI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 62.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.27 | 34.24 | 53.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 321 | 292 | -9.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 21 | 3.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 53.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSBI | 53.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.5% | 31.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 9.1% | 47.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 115.2% change in MSBI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 84.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.91 | 34.24 | 115.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 356 | 292 | -18.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.7% | 14.7% | 38.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.1 | 16.8 | 84.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 21 | 3.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 115.2% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSBI | 115.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.8% | 30.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | 12.1% | 45.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 74.0% change in MSBI stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 283.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.68 | 34.24 | 74.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 384 | 292 | -24.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 26.4% | 14.7% | -44.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.4 | 16.8 | 283.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 21 | 6.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 74.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSBI | 74.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.1% | 35.1% |
| Sector (XLF) | 71.5% | 48.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MSBI Return | 45% | 13% | 9% | -7% | -7% | 67% | 161% |
| Peers Return | 24% | -6% | -2% | -8% | 44% | 26% | 91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MSBI Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 88% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 53% | 47% | 42% | 72% | 74% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MSBI Max Drawdown | -21% | -20% | -31% | -23% | -38% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -16% | -19% | -34% | -22% | -17% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, FCBM, HAPN, CBC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MSBI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 233 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 348 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 810 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Midland States Bancorp's stock fell -22.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | MSBI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.1% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 233 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 223 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -47.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 90.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 348 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -36.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 810 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Midland States Bancorp's stock fell -22.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Midland States Bancorp (MSBI)
Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (MSBI) functions as a financial holding company, with its primary operation being Midland States Bank. The company delivers a comprehensive suite of banking products and services, complemented by wealth management and commercial equipment leasing solutions, catering to a broad client base.
Its core banking offerings include various deposit accounts such as checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. MSBI is also an active lender, providing term loans for capital equipment, lines of credit for working capital, commercial real estate loans, construction and land development financing, residential mortgages, home equity lines of credit, and consumer installment loans for personal purchases.
Beyond traditional banking, Midland States Bancorp offers robust wealth management services, encompassing financial and estate planning, investment management, trustee and custodial services, and retirement plan consulting. The company primarily serves individuals, businesses, and municipalities across its 52 full-service banking offices, with its headquarters located in Effingham, Illinois.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Midland States Bancorp (MSBI):
- A regional version of Bank of America.
- JPMorgan Chase for local communities and businesses.
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- Deposit Accounts: Offers various checking, savings, money market, sweep accounts, and certificates of deposits.
- Commercial Loans: Provides term loans for capital equipment, lines of credit for working capital, and commercial real estate loans.
- Real Estate Loans: Offers commercial real estate, construction and land development, residential real estate, and home equity loans.
- Consumer Loans: Provides installment loans for personal purchases such as cars, boats, recreational vehicles, and home improvements.
- Commercial Equipment Leasing: Facilitates the leasing of commercial equipment for businesses.
- Wealth Management Services: Delivers financial and estate planning, investment management, trustee services, and corporate retirement plan consulting.
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Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) serves a diverse customer base, providing banking products and services to a wide range of clients rather than having a few identifiable "major" corporate customers. Given the nature of its operations as a community bank with numerous branches and a broad offering of retail banking products, the company sells primarily to individuals, alongside businesses and other entities within its service areas. The primary categories of customers it serves are:
- Individuals: This includes consumers seeking checking, savings, money market, and certificate of deposit accounts, as well as residential real estate loans, home equity lines of credit, and consumer installment loans (for cars, boats, home improvements, etc.). Individuals also utilize its wealth management services, including financial and estate planning, investment management, and retail brokerage.
- Businesses: Midland States Bancorp provides various services to commercial clients, ranging from small businesses to larger enterprises. These services include term loans, lines of credit for working capital, commercial real estate loans (owner-occupied and non-owner-occupied properties), construction and land development loans, commercial equipment leasing, and corporate retirement plan consulting and administration.
- Municipalities and Other Entities: The company serves local government entities and other organizations with deposit services and potentially other specialized banking needs, as mentioned in its description.
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Fiserv, Inc. (FI)
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Jeffrey G. Ludwig
President and Chief Executive Officer
Jeffrey G. Ludwig serves as President and Chief Executive Officer of Midland States Bancorp, Inc., and as Chief Executive Officer of Midland States Bank. He joined Midland in November 2006 as Chief Financial Officer. He was promoted to Executive Vice President in October 2010 and named President of the Company and Chief Executive Officer of the Bank in March 2018. On January 1, 2019, Mr. Ludwig was appointed as Chief Executive Officer of the Company. Prior to joining Midland, he held positions as Associate Director, Corporate Reporting, for Zimmer Holdings, Inc. (2005-2006) and Director of Corporate Accounting for Novellus Systems, Inc. (2002-2005). He also served as Senior Manager—Audit & Advisory Services for KPMG LLP (1993-2002). Mr. Ludwig is a CPA (inactive status) and is a member of the Federal Advisory Council of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Board.
Claire Stack
Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer
Claire Stack was appointed Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and interim Chief Financial Officer of Midland States Bancorp, Inc. on March 5, 2026. She joined the company in November 2025 as Corporate Controller. Ms. Stack brings more than fifteen years of accounting and finance leadership experience from various financial services and public companies.
Jeffrey S. Mefford
Executive Vice President, President of the Bank
Jeffrey S. Mefford is an Executive Vice President of Midland States Bancorp, Inc. and President of Midland States Bank. He joined Midland in 2003 and was appointed President of the Bank in March 2018. He oversees all sales activities for commercial, retail, mortgage, wealth management, equipment finance, and treasury management. Mr. Mefford is scheduled to retire effective June 30, 2026.
Daniel E. Casey
Senior Vice President and Chief Risk Officer of the Bank
Daniel E. Casey serves as Senior Vice President and Chief Risk Officer of Midland States Bank.
Jeremy Andrew Jameson
Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer of Bank
Jeremy Andrew Jameson holds the position of Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer of Midland States Bank.
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The clear emerging threat to Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) is the continued and accelerating rise of digital-first financial institutions, including challenger banks, fintech lenders, and robo-advisors. These entities leverage technology to offer banking, lending, and wealth management services with significantly lower overhead costs, often providing superior digital user experiences, greater convenience, and potentially more competitive pricing than traditional banks with extensive physical branch networks. This trend poses a direct threat to MSBI's deposit base, loan origination, and wealth management segments by attracting customers who prioritize digital convenience and cost-effectiveness over traditional in-person banking services.
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Midland States Bancorp, Inc. operates in several key financial markets, primarily within Illinois and extending to the broader U.S. market for some services. Here are the addressable market sizes for its main products and services:
Banking Products (Loans and Deposits)
Commercial Real Estate Loans:
- In Illinois, the commercial real estate market generated approximately $42 billion in annual transaction volume. For 2025, the total commercial real estate transaction volume in Illinois was $2.6 billion.
- The broader U.S. commercial real estate (CRE) mortgage market, including income-producing properties and construction loans, was roughly $4.5 trillion as of March 2023. Total commercial real estate mortgage borrowing and lending in the U.S. was estimated at $498 billion in 2024.
Residential Real Estate Loans:
- The market size for Real Estate Loans & Collateralized Debt in Illinois is estimated at $21.3 billion in 2026, which likely includes residential properties.
- The U.S. home loan market size is estimated at $2.42 trillion in 2026. As of December 2025, total mortgage balances on consumer credit reports in the U.S. amounted to $13.17 trillion.
Consumer Installment Loans:
- Prior to a state law capping interest rates in March 2021, Illinois borrowers were taking out approximately $1 billion per year in small loans, including payday, installment payday, auto title, and car loans. In 2019, Illinois consumers paid $607.4 million in interest and fees on over 1 million such loans. As of 2022, the average balance on auto loans in Illinois was $21,433.
- The consumer lending market in the U.S. has a market size of $27 trillion and is growing. The global personal loans market, with North America holding a 40.10% share in 2025, was valued at $429.78 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $481.18 billion in 2026. Auto loan balances in the U.S. totaled $1.66 trillion as of December 2025.
Deposits:
- As of June 30, 2023, total deposits in Illinois banks and thrifts were $667.06 billion. The Commercial Banking industry in Illinois, which includes accepting deposits, has a market size of $70.8 billion in 2026.
- Total deposits across all commercial banks in the United States were reported at $18,665.081 billion in January 2026 and $18,816 billion in March 2026.
Wealth Management Services
- The Portfolio Management & Investment Advice industry in Illinois is estimated to have a market size of $28.7 billion in 2026. Chicago's largest wealth management firms collectively oversee $763.8 billion in local assets.
- The global wealth management industry represents $62 trillion in assets under management (AUM) and is projected to grow to $85 trillion by 2028. North America held the largest share in the global wealth management market in 2020. The wealth management platform market in North America was valued at $1.26 billion in 2025 and $1.4 billion in 2026.
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Midland States Bancorp (MSBI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Continued Growth in Wealth Management Services: The company has demonstrated consistent strength in its wealth management business, reporting record revenue in this segment in Q4 2025. Assets under management also saw a significant increase of almost 8% in 2025, and management anticipates this positive momentum to continue into 2026.
- Increased Commercial Loan Opportunities within Community Banking Regions: Midland States Bancorp is strategically focusing on expanding its commercial loan portfolio within its community banking markets. This focus comes after actions in late 2024 and early 2025 to reduce its non-core consumer loan portfolios, allowing for a greater emphasis on attractive lending opportunities in its core regions. The Community Bank segment showed approximately 6.5% annualized loan growth in Q4 2025, with expectations for continued solid momentum in 2026.
- Expansion of Net Interest Margin: The company has observed positive trends in its net interest margin, which expanded in Q4 2024 and was highlighted as strong in Q4 2025. An improved net interest margin is crucial for enhancing the profitability and revenue generated from Midland States Bancorp's interest-earning assets.
- Strategic Investments in Talent, Technology, and Marketing: Management has explicitly stated its commitment to making ongoing investments in talent, technology, and marketing. These investments are intended to strengthen the company's capabilities and further enhance its ability to generate profitable growth across its various business segments in the coming years.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for Midland States Bancorp (MSBI)
Share Repurchases
- Midland States Bancorp authorized a new $25 million common stock repurchase program, effective November 3, 2025, and expiring November 2, 2026. This program succeeded a previous one that concluded on December 31, 2024.
- The company repurchased $9.6 million of its common stock during the fourth quarter of 2025, acquiring 457,222 shares at a weighted average price of $20.96.
- Following the repurchases in Q4 2025, approximately $15 million remained available under the authorized repurchase program.
Inbound Investments
- Patriot Financial Partners, a private equity firm, acquired a position in Midland States Bancorp, leading to the appointment of one of its partners to MSBI's Board of Directors in early 2026.
Outbound Investments
- Midland States Bancorp completed the sale of substantially all of its equipment finance portfolio to an affiliate of North Mill Equipment Finance LLC for $502 million in cash on November 28, 2025.
- As of October 31, 2025, the equipment finance portfolio amounted to approximately $599 million in loans and leases outstanding ($565 million net of allowance) plus $21 million of operating leases.
- The company sold its LendingPoint portfolio, valued at $87.1 million, during the fourth quarter of 2024.
- In the second quarter of 2025, Midland States Bancorp sold participation interests totaling $317.5 million from its GreenSky consumer loan portfolio, while retaining the remaining $53.6 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Midland States Bancorp Stock If It Fell 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 292 |
| Op Inc LTM | - |
| FCF LTM | 22 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -165 |
| CFO LTM | 23 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -164 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | - |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -51.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 31.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -53.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 307 | 356 | 347 | 391 | 261 |
| Wealth Management | 31 | 29 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| Corporate | -13 | -9 | -9 | -10 | |
| Other | -10 | ||||
| Total | 325 | 375 | 364 | 407 | 278 |
| $ Mil | 2015 |
|---|---|
| Banking | 36 |
| Commercial FHA Origination and Servicing | 6 |
| Other | -6 |
| Total | 35 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealth Management | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| Corporate | -10 | -2 | -4 | -4 | |
| Banking | -119 | 37 | 62 | 99 | 81 |
| Other | -7 | ||||
| Total | -124 | 38 | 61 | 100 | 81 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Banking | 6,526 | 7,486 | 7,768 | 7,780 | 7,460 |
| Wealth Management | 37 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 29 |
| Corporate | -49 | -12 | -10 | -16 | |
| Other | -45 | ||||
| Total | 6,513 | 7,507 | 7,790 | 7,793 | 7,444 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $34.24 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/24/2016 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -0.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $30.49 | $23.48 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 12.3% | 45.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 26.1% | 33.6% |
| Downside Capture | 27.42 | 58.42 |
| Upside Capture | 115.93 | 133.06 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.5% | 29.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.59 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 0.63 | 0.79 | 0.78 |
| Up Beta | -2.03 | -1.60 | -0.67 | -0.05 | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| Down Beta | -0.51 | -0.54 | -0.52 | 0.04 | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| Up Capture | 240% | 152% | 153% | 159% | 159% | 84% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 39 | 75 | 139 | 377 |
| Down Capture | 109% | 17% | 33% | 70% | 70% | 98% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 15 | 24 | 51 | 112 | 368 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MSBI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSBI | 118.8% | 33.6% | 2.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.1% | 14.6% | 0.62 | 45.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.1% | 12.9% | 1.34 | 29.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.4% | 28.3% | 0.79 | -0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.5% | 19.8% | 1.19 | -20.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 13.7% | 0.74 | 30.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.6% | 42.9% | -1.25 | 14.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MSBI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSBI | 12.6% | 32.4% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 11.6% | 18.4% | 0.49 | 52.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.2% | 0.60 | 38.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.2% | 18.6% | 0.79 | -1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 3.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 37.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.9% | 53.0% | 0.37 | 15.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MSBI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSBI | 9.4% | 34.6% | 0.35 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 13.7% | 22.1% | 0.57 | 63.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 46.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.2% | 0.60 | -5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 18.0% | 0.31 | 15.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 44.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 13.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/4/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/23/2026 | 4.1% | 7.5% | |
| 4/23/2026 | 6.9% | 11.2% | 19.5% |
| 1/22/2026 | -4.6% | -5.4% | -5.5% |
| 10/30/2025 | -8.6% | -0.3% | 11.8% |
| 7/24/2025 | -0.2% | -5.8% | 4.5% |
| 4/30/2025 | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| 1/23/2025 | -20.0% | -20.8% | -23.1% |
| 10/24/2024 | 2.9% | 8.0% | 20.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.6% | -5.5% |
| Max Positive | 8.2% | 11.2% | 39.7% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -20.8% | -23.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/23/2026 | 4.1% | 7.5% | |
| 4/23/2026 | 6.9% | 11.2% | 19.5% |
| 1/22/2026 | -4.6% | -5.4% | -5.5% |
| 10/30/2025 | -8.6% | -0.3% | 11.8% |
| 7/24/2025 | -0.2% | -5.8% | 4.5% |
| 4/30/2025 | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| 1/23/2025 | -20.0% | -20.8% | -23.1% |
| 10/24/2024 | 2.9% | 8.0% | 20.6% |
| 7/25/2024 | -7.6% | -12.9% | -10.0% |
| 4/25/2024 | -7.0% | -1.0% | -3.8% |
| 1/25/2024 | -1.2% | -5.5% | -9.8% |
| 10/26/2023 | -1.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% |
| 7/27/2023 | 2.2% | 1.6% | -5.2% |
| 4/27/2023 | 2.8% | -4.1% | 4.9% |
| 1/26/2023 | -10.1% | -3.6% | -1.7% |
| 10/20/2022 | 3.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| 7/28/2022 | -1.7% | -0.7% | 0.5% |
| 4/28/2022 | -2.6% | -2.3% | -1.6% |
| 1/27/2022 | 3.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% |
| 10/28/2021 | -0.9% | -2.5% | -6.6% |
| 7/22/2021 | -2.8% | 0.8% | 3.6% |
| 4/22/2021 | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| 1/28/2021 | -0.5% | 8.1% | 39.7% |
| 10/22/2020 | 1.6% | -0.2% | 23.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 14 |
| # Negative | 14 | 13 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -3.6% | -5.5% |
| Max Positive | 8.2% | 11.2% | 39.7% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -20.8% | -23.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 09/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 07/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 07/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/02/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 09/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 07/01/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/25/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/26/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/28/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/07/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/27/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Effective Tax Rate | 23.0% | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 22.5% for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Effective Tax Rate | 22.0% | 22.5% | 23.0% | ||||
| 2026 Share Repurchase Authority | 7.60 Mil | -49.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 15.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/22/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Share Repurchase Authority | 15.00 Mil | ||||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Common Equity Tier 1 Capital Ratio | 0.1 | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.1 for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin, Travis | Direct | Buy | 5062026 | 26.49 | 9,400 | 248,988 | 248,988 | Form | |
| 2 | Mooney, Kyle Owen | SVP - Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 1282026 | 22.67 | 2,808 | 63,657 | 322,073 | Form |
| 3 | Jameson, Jeremy Andrew | EVP - Chief Credit Officer | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 17.69 | 5,598 | 99,029 | 1,121,758 | Form |
| 4 | Smith, Jeffrey C | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 17.69 | 500 | 8,845 | 603,388 | Form | |
| 5 | Bingham, Richard Dean | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 17.56 | 5,000 | 87,800 | 486,412 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin, Travis | Direct | Buy | 5062026 | 26.49 | 9,400 | 248,988 | 248,988 | Form | |
| 2 | Mooney, Kyle Owen | SVP - Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 1282026 | 22.67 | 2,808 | 63,657 | 322,073 | Form |
| 3 | Jameson, Jeremy Andrew | EVP - Chief Credit Officer | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 17.69 | 5,598 | 99,029 | 1,121,758 | Form |
| 4 | Smith, Jeffrey C | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 17.69 | 500 | 8,845 | 603,388 | Form | |
| 5 | Bingham, Richard Dean | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 17.56 | 5,000 | 87,800 | 486,412 | Form | |
| 6 | Casey, Daniel Edward | CROF | Direct | Buy | 12042025 | 17.89 | 5,000 | 89,443 | 505,423 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Aug 6, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
Industry Resources
| Financials Resources |
| Federal Reserve Economic Data |
| Federal Reserve |
| FDIC Data |
| American Banker |
| The Banker |
| Banking Technology |
| Regional Banks Resources |
| Bank Director |
| Independent Banker |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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