Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 75%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 20x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -54%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Industrial Commodities, and Sustainable Infrastructure Materials. Themes include Iron Ore Supply, and Steel Production Inputs.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 75%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 102%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Industrial Commodities, and Sustainable Infrastructure Materials. Themes include Iron Ore Supply, and Steel Production Inputs.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 20x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -54%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MSB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Mesabi Trust declared a significantly increased quarterly dividend. The company increased its quarterly dividend from $0.12 to $0.34 per share, which was paid on November 20, 2025. This substantial increase in payout could have attracted income-seeking investors, contributing to positive stock movement.

2. The stock generated bullish technical signals. In early December 2025, Mesabi Trust's stock price moved above its 200-day moving average of $29.90, trading as high as $35.56. This is often seen as a positive technical indicator, suggesting upward momentum to investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MSB Return30%4%-23%16%47%58%179%
Peers Return29%20%-6%6%-12%65%124%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MSB Win Rate58%50%33%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate39%58%42%44%47%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MSB Max Drawdown-57%-15%-27%-4%-19%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-12%-27%-15%-25%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CLF, RGLD, FNV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMSBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven211 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven576 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven481.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven550 days1480 days

Compare to HCC, NWPX, FRD, NUE, STLD


In The Past

Mesabi Trust's stock fell -56.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/20/2021. A -56.3% loss requires a 128.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mesabi Trust (MSB)

Better Bets than Mesabi Trust (MSB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MSB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.6%40.6%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
40.6%40.6%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
17.4%17.4%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mesabi Trust

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSBCLFRGLDFNVMedian
NameMesabi T.Clevelan.Royal Go.Franco-N. 
Mkt Price34.6312.71218.75215.15124.89
Mkt Cap0.46.314.441.510.3
Rev LTM1918,6228581,5461,202
Op Inc LTM14-1,5395741,069294
FCF LTM19-1,547-607-856-732
FCF 3Y Avg3914112-1626
CFO LTM19-9216041,310312
CFO 3Y Avg398045031,056654

Growth & Margins

MSBCLFRGLDFNVMedian
NameMesabi T.Clevelan.Royal Go.Franco-N. 
Rev Chg LTM-25.8%-6.8%28.1%41.1%10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.1%-7.2%12.3%7.7%5.4%
Rev Chg Q-53.9%3.6%30.0%76.9%16.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-17.2%0.9%7.3%15.9%4.1%
Op Mgn LTM74.6%-8.3%66.9%69.1%68.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg81.2%-1.9%57.3%64.1%60.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.4%0.3%2.2%0.8%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM102.0%-4.9%70.4%84.7%77.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg171.7%3.6%70.3%81.3%75.8%
FCF/Rev LTM102.0%-8.3%-70.8%-55.4%-31.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg171.7%0.3%9.3%4.6%7.0%

Valuation

MSBCLFRGLDFNVMedian
NameMesabi T.Clevelan.Royal Go.Franco-N. 
Mkt Cap0.46.314.441.510.3
P/S20.20.315.427.817.8
P/EBIT--3.923.036.723.0
P/E22.3-3.627.546.724.9
P/CFO19.8-6.621.832.820.8
Total Yield4.5%-27.7%4.5%2.4%3.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.9%0.3%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.5%1.0%0.4%0.5%
D/E-1.30.10.00.1
Net D/E-1.30.0-0.00.0

Returns

MSBCLFRGLDFNVMedian
NameMesabi T.Clevelan.Royal Go.Franco-N. 
1M Rtn-0.7%18.5%17.7%9.4%13.6%
3M Rtn11.2%8.8%15.8%7.6%10.0%
6M Rtn36.6%77.3%20.6%25.7%31.2%
12M Rtn70.9%24.5%50.5%81.7%60.7%
3Y Rtn161.1%-15.4%112.1%61.1%86.6%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%15.6%13.4%8.2%10.8%
3M Excs Rtn8.4%3.7%9.0%2.5%6.0%
6M Excs Rtn22.4%63.0%6.3%11.5%16.9%
12M Excs Rtn47.7%-9.1%36.1%64.9%41.9%
3Y Excs Rtn82.5%-93.3%29.7%-18.1%5.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity87,863
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.9%
Average Daily Volume44,861
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.96
Basic Shares Quantity13,120,010
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/10/20252.4%2.0%14.4%
7/11/2025-1.0%3.7%21.6%
4/15/20252.3%7.3%-0.4%
1/14/20251.0%15.2%14.1%
10/17/2024-1.4%-3.3%0.8%
7/12/20240.9%-0.5%-0.7%
4/16/2024-0.1%0.9%1.6%
1/12/2024-0.0%-0.7%-11.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101113
# Negative141311
Median Positive2.3%4.5%6.2%
Median Negative-1.7%-3.3%-11.1%
Max Positive4.5%15.2%21.6%
Max Negative-9.4%-11.3%-28.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251212202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025915202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025612202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025424202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241213202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024905202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024613202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024424202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231214202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023913202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023613202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023424202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221213202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022913202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022613202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022427202210-K 1/31/2022