Tearsheet

MultiSensor AI (MSAI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.6016 | Market Cap: $20.2 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

MultiSensor AI (MSAI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.6016
Market Cap: $20.2 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.6
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -53%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -305%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Edge AI, AI Software Platforms, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -33%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -353%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -397%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -99%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 159%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -16%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -53%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include Edge AI, AI Software Platforms, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -145%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -167%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.6
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -17 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -305%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -33%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -353%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -397%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -99%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 159%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MSAI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback


1. MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. conducted a registered direct offering.

2. MultiSensor AI Holdings Inc. reported mixed Q2 2025 financial results.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MSAI Return--4%-67%-45%-69%-94%
Peers Return9%6%-31%39%-9%-3%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MSAI Win Rate-0%83%67%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate12%27%20%38%33%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MSAI Max Drawdown--0%-74%-56%-73% 
Peers Max Drawdown0%-1%-34%-10%-22%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMSAIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven413.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

MultiSensor AI's stock fell -80.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/10/2023. A -80.5% loss requires a 413.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MultiSensor AI (MSAI)

Better Bets than MultiSensor AI (MSAI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MSAI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.8%0.8%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.3%3.3%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.1%5.1%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.0%4.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MultiSensor AI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MSAIGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMultiSen.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Price0.6027.1914.8616.969.8018.3315.91
Mkt Cap0.016.78.05.6--6.8
Rev LTM64,4731,497907--1,202
Op Inc LTM-171,697-46-328---32
FCF LTM-221,30031017--163
FCF 3Y Avg-111,463268-44--129
CFO LTM-201,32433541--188
CFO 3Y Avg-91,480282-22--137

Growth & Margins

MSAIGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMultiSen.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Rev Chg LTM-25.6%16.2%8.3%25.4%--12.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.5%14.6%45.6%--16.5%
Rev Chg Q-33.2%25.3%14.4%21.7%--18.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-11.2%5.8%3.1%5.0%--4.1%
Op Mgn LTM-305.3%37.9%-3.1%-36.2%---19.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-269.3%36.7%-12.6%-53.2%---32.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-10.1%-1.3%5.8%2.1%--0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-353.0%29.6%22.4%4.5%--13.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-150.8%37.1%20.7%-5.5%--7.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-397.4%29.1%20.7%1.8%--11.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-183.9%36.7%19.6%-8.7%--5.5%

Valuation

MSAIGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMultiSen.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
Mkt Cap0.016.78.05.6--6.8
P/S3.63.94.66.7--4.2
P/EBIT-1.010.9-148.1-19.8---10.4
P/E-1.130.7340.3-14.1--14.8
P/CFO-1.013.220.5148.8--16.9
Total Yield-94.4%5.0%0.3%-7.1%---3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-46.5%9.5%3.6%-1.0%--1.3%
D/E0.00.50.00.0--0.0
Net D/E-0.20.5-0.2-0.1---0.1

Returns

MSAIGENPATHSCHOWNTSKMedian
NameMultiSen.Gen Digi.UiPath Sentinel.ChowChow.Netskope  
1M Rtn-69.7%3.9%-6.4%-4.1%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Rtn-8.2%-7.9%36.6%-5.9%---6.9%
6M Rtn-26.3%-5.7%13.9%-5.6%---5.7%
12M Rtn-62.8%-10.3%3.3%-38.4%---24.4%
3Y Rtn-94.1%21.7%2.3%14.7%--8.5%
1M Excs Rtn-69.7%4.0%-6.3%-4.0%11.4%-24.4%-5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-13.1%-12.8%31.6%-11.9%---12.4%
6M Excs Rtn-41.0%-20.4%-0.9%-20.3%---20.4%
12M Excs Rtn-77.9%-23.9%-9.0%-52.9%---38.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-166.9%-47.0%-49.8%-67.2%---58.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,045,615
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-35.4%
Average Daily Volume16,511,719
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity33,551,398
Short % of Basic Shares9.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
33120237102023PRER14A 3/31/2023
1231202212212023424B3 12/31/2022