Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Capital Markets Modernization. Themes include Algorithmic Trading & Market Making, Global Commodity & Energy Market Access, and Financial Market Infrastructure Platforms.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Capital Markets Modernization. Themes include Algorithmic Trading & Market Making, Global Commodity & Energy Market Access, and Financial Market Infrastructure Platforms.
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 57%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MRX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Class Action Lawsuit Filed. A class action lawsuit was filed against Marex Group plc on December 4, 2025, alleging securities law violations and questioning the reliability of financial statements for a class period that included May 16, 2024, to August 5, 2025. This legal development could have exerted downward pressure on the stock.

2. Strong 2024 Financial Performance. Marex announced record fourth quarter and full-year 2024 results on March 6, 2025. The company reported a 40% increase in Adjusted Profit Before Tax and a 28% rise in revenue year-over-year, alongside a strong start to 2025, which could have positively impacted investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MRX Return-----15%15%
Peers Return-1%0%0%0%0%-19%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MRX Win Rate----75%30% 
Peers Win Rate2%0%0%0%0%22% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MRX Max Drawdown------8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%0%0%0%0%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, DMNT, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

MRX has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Marex (MRX)

Better Bets than Marex (MRX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Marex

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MRXABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameMarex American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Mkt Price37.002.39-35.3810.7644.7335.38
Mkt Cap2.8-----2.8
Rev LTM3,566-0--1,2551,255
Op Inc LTM1,055--5--5858
FCF LTM-----77
FCF 3Y Avg-----1515
CFO LTM-----4949
CFO 3Y Avg-----4848

Growth & Margins

MRXABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameMarex American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Rev Chg LTM22.1%--6.0%--19.6%19.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----16.7%16.7%
Rev Chg Q23.9%--37.1%--22.9%22.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%--7.1%--5.1%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM29.6%--1,065.4%--4.7%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-----1.3%1.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-124.4%--2.9%2.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-----3.9%3.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-----4.1%4.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-----0.5%0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-----1.1%1.1%

Valuation

MRXABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameMarex American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
Mkt Cap2.8-----2.8
P/S0.7-----0.7
P/EBIT2.4-----2.4
P/E9.5-----9.5
P/CFO-------
Total Yield10.5%-----10.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%-----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E3.5-----3.5
Net D/E0.6-----0.6

Returns

MRXABTCDMNTFIGRGEMIMIAXMedian
NameMarex American.Dmint Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In. 
1M Rtn19.9%-51.4%--15.4%-39.5%-1.8%-15.4%
3M Rtn3.6%-70.3%--93.3%-26.4%-33.3%
6M Rtn-10.9%---93.3%---52.1%
12M Rtn26.3%---93.3%---33.5%
3Y Rtn----93.3%---93.3%
1M Excs Rtn19.9%-51.4%--15.4%-39.5%-1.7%-15.4%
3M Excs Rtn-0.8%-68.1%--98.7%-20.7%-34.4%
6M Excs Rtn-25.6%---108.0%---66.8%
12M Excs Rtn14.9%---106.9%---46.0%
3Y Excs Rtn----166.1%---166.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,875,545
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.5%
Average Daily Volume651,306
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.42
Basic Shares Quantity75,463,918
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110620256-K 9/30/2025
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202551520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024321202520-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202481420246-K 6/30/2024
331202451620246-K 3/31/2024
123120234262024424B4 12/31/2023