Marex (MRX)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $42.98 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
Marex (MRX)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $42.98Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Key risksMRX key risks include [1] significant legal and regulatory scrutiny stemming from allegations of a multi-year accounting fraud, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Capital Markets Modernization. Themes include Algorithmic Trading & Market Making, Global Commodity & Energy Market Access, and Financial Market Infrastructure Platforms. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.5% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Capital Markets Modernization. Themes include Algorithmic Trading & Market Making, Global Commodity & Energy Market Access, and Financial Market Infrastructure Platforms. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 142% |
| Key risksMRX key risks include [1] significant legal and regulatory scrutiny stemming from allegations of a multi-year accounting fraud, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Marex achieved exceptional financial performance with record Q4 and full-year 2025 results.
For the full year 2025, revenue increased 27% to $2.02 billion, and Adjusted Profit Before Tax (PBT) grew 30% to $418.1 million. The fourth quarter of 2025 also marked a record, with revenue up 38% to $572.1 million and Adjusted PBT rising 41% to $114.9 million. This performance extended Marex's 11-year track record of sequential profit growth.
2. Strategic acquisitions and organic expansion significantly bolstered Marex's market position.
Marex completed the acquisition of UK equity market maker Winterflood in December 2025, which is expected to contribute approximately $75 million in annual revenue. The company also agreed to acquire equity derivatives market maker Webb Traders in February 2026 and European fixed income market maker Valcourt SA in October 2025. These acquisitions, alongside organic initiatives, contributed to broad-based growth across all operating segments and an expanded global footprint.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.0% change in MRX stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.64 | 42.96 | 24.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,566 | 4,028 | 13.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.8% | 7.6% | -2.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.4 | 8.6 | -8.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 75 | 62 | 22.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MRX | 24.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 34.4% |
| Sector (XLF) | -10.0% | 37.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.6% change in MRX stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.05 | 42.96 | 22.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,473 | 4,028 | 16.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.6% | 7.6% | 0.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.5 | 8.6 | -9.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 62 | 16.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.6% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MRX | 22.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 32.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | -10.8% | 37.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 19.7% change in MRX stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 35.90 | 42.96 | 19.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 4,028 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | 8.6 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 71 | 62 | 15.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MRX | 19.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 47.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | -7.1% | 47.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MRX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 40.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 40.5% | 39.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MRX Return | - | - | - | 66% | 25% | 6% | 120% |
| Peers Return | 36% | 0% | 13% | 84% | -10% | -11% | 128% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MRX Win Rate | - | - | - | 78% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 61% | 36% | 50% | 61% | 46% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MRX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -1% | -8% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -19% | -30% | -25% | -31% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BTGO, CD, TW, LPLA, CRCL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MRX has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to BTGO, CD, TW, LPLA, CRCL
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Marex (MRX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Marex (MRX):
- Marex is like a specialized, global prime broker for commodities and derivatives.
- Marex is an institutional version of Interactive Brokers or a B2B Fidelity, specializing in energy and commodities trading and clearing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Marex (MRX) provides the following major services:
- Clearing: Connects clients to global exchanges and central clearing houses, acting as principal and earning commissions per trade.
- Agency and Execution: Facilitates price discovery by matching buyers and sellers on an agency basis across various commodity and financial markets, generating commissions.
- Market Making: Provides direct market pricing to professional counterparties as principal in commodity and securities markets, earning revenue through spreads.
- Hedging and Investment Solutions: Offers bespoke hedging solutions for commodity and exchange rate exposure, along with structured financial products for investor market access.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Marex (MRX) primarily serves other companies rather than individuals. The provided background information does not list specific names of its customer companies or their public symbols. However, the company description clearly identifies the following categories of major customers:- Traditional consumers of commodities
- Traditional producers of commodities
- Financial clients, such as banks and asset managers
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Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX)
CME Group Inc. (CME)
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
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Ian Lowitt, Group Chief Executive Officer
Ian Lowitt was appointed Chief Executive Officer in January 2016 and a Director in November 2012. Prior to Marex, he served as COO of Barclays Wealth America, managing the integration of Lehman Brothers' businesses and support functions after Barclays' acquisition. He spent 14 years at Lehman Brothers, holding roles such as Chief Financial Officer and Co-Chief Administrative Officer, and was the firm's last CFO before its 2008 collapse. Lowitt also served as Head of Strategy, Global Treasurer, Head of Tax, and European Chief Administrative Officer at Lehman Brothers. Marex's ownership was significantly shaped by the acquisition of a 74% stake by the hedge fund JRJ Group in 2010, which appointed former Lehman Brothers bankers to its board.
Rob Irvin, Group Chief Financial Officer
Rob Irvin became Chief Financial Officer in April 2023 and was appointed as a Director in May 2023. He joined Marex after a decade at HSBC, where his roles included Global CFO for HSBC's Private Bank and, previously, CFO of HSBC's Investment Bank. Irvin is a chartered accountant and previously worked in Deloitte's transaction services division, focusing on financial and operational due diligence for major capital markets transactions.
Paolo Tonucci, Chief Strategist and CEO, Capital Markets
Paolo Tonucci joined Marex in 2018 as COO, becoming CFO in 2020, and then transitioning to his current role as Chief Strategist and CEO of Capital Markets in April 2023. Prior to Marex, he was Group Treasurer at Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Head of Funding and Liquidity at Barclays Bank in London. He also spent 12 years as Global Treasurer for Lehman Brothers. M&A has played a significant role in Marex's growth under his leadership in Capital Markets and strategy.
Simon van den Born, President
Simon van den Born serves as the President of Marex.
Arthur Fan, CEO, APAC
Arthur Fan is the CEO of Marex's APAC region.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Regulatory, Compliance, and Technological Risks: Marex operates in a highly regulated and technologically complex financial services market, facing significant infrastructure requirements and ongoing regulatory scrutiny across multiple jurisdictions. The company explicitly states the need to "ensure regulatory compliance through our enterprise risk management framework." Failure to comply with evolving regulations, maintain robust technological infrastructure, or protect against cyber threats could lead to significant penalties, operational disruptions, and reputational damage.
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Financial Market and Credit Risks: As a diversified global financial services platform, Marex is inherently exposed to financial market fluctuations and client credit risk. In its Clearing business, it holds collateral to manage "client credit risk," and insufficient collateral or client defaults could pose a risk. In Market Making, while risks are managed conservatively, adverse market movements could still impact profitability. Furthermore, the Hedging and Investment Solutions segment involves holding principal balances of issued notes on its balance sheet, which introduces balance sheet risk related to market movements or underlying asset performance.
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Competition: Despite a reported decline in competitive intensity in some segments (e.g., the number of Futures Commission Merchants has decreased), Marex operates in competitive markets across its segments. It competes against other independent non-bank FCMs and large global investment banks in Clearing, against various brokerage firms in Agency and Execution, against other financial institutions in Market Making, and against financial firms and commodity producers in Hedging and Investment Solutions. Intense competition could pressure margins, limit growth opportunities, or lead to a loss of market share.
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## Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Marex (MRX) Marex (MRX) is poised for continued revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and favorable market conditions. Here are 3-5 expected drivers of Marex's future revenue growth: * Growth in Client Base, Especially Larger Clients, and Deepening Client Relationships: Marex has a strong track record of expanding its active client base and is focused on deepening relationships with existing clients. In 2025, the company saw a 36% increase in its largest clients (those generating over $5 million in annual revenue), with revenue from this segment growing over 80%. This indicates a successful strategy in attracting and retaining high-value clients, which is expected to continue contributing significantly to revenue growth. Marex aims to strengthen client relationships and enhance its offerings in the Americas. * Geographic Expansion and Broadening Market Access: Marex is actively expanding its global footprint, particularly in regions like the Middle East and APAC. A key initiative in its expansion strategy is the recent launch of its structured products business in the United States, targeting registered investment advisors, broker-dealers, and private banks. This move aims to diversify product offerings and leverage existing operating infrastructure in a market predominantly dominated by bank issuers, thereby tapping into new revenue streams across the Americas. Marex is also prioritizing growth in North America's energy and fixed income clearing markets. * Strategic Acquisitions to Enhance Capabilities and Market Reach: Marex has a consistent strategy of supplementing organic growth with strategic acquisitions. Acquisitions are a core component of Marex's growth strategy, with M&A contributing around 40% of growth in any given year. Recent examples include the acquisition of TD Cowen's prime services business in December 2023, Aarna Capital in March 2025, and the completed acquisition of UK equity market maker Winterflood Securities. These acquisitions are aimed at adding specific capabilities, expanding client bases, and enhancing service offerings, thereby bolstering overall revenue. Marex is continuing to build a robust acquisition pipeline. * Expansion and Innovation of Product and Service Offerings: Marex is continuously expanding its product and service offerings, driven by technological advancements and market demand. The launch of its structured products business in the U.S. is a prime example of broadening product capabilities. The company's focus on developing Prime Services, including its securities-based swaps offering, has been a notable contributor to net trading income growth. Marex's modern technology enables it to design products more nimbly and offer bespoke hedging and investment solutions, which helps meet evolving client needs and differentiates it from competitors.AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions
Outbound Investments
- Marex's strong cash flow supports opportunistic acquisition activity.
- A significant portion of the uplift in return on equity in 2022 was driven by the acquisition of ED&F Man Capital Markets.
- The company has a track record of organic growth supplemented by complementary acquisitions that are carefully and efficiently integrated into its infrastructure.
Capital Expenditures
- Marex invests in its well-invested and industry-leading technology and support infrastructure to underpin growth and provide centralized back-office functions.
- The company continues to invest in control and support functions, including technology, to reflect the scale of its global operations and ensure sustainable growth.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Marex (MRX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Marex (MRX) Net Income Comparison | 02/16/2025 | |
| Marex (MRX) Operating Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Marex (MRX) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MRX.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02282026 | NDAQ | Nasdaq | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | JEF | Jefferies Financial | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | ALAB | Astera Labs | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | PAYO | Payoneer Global | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | FOUR | Shift4 Payments | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.2 |
| Rev LTM | 3,387 |
| Op Inc LTM | 429 |
| FCF LTM | 253 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 235 |
| CFO LTM | 302 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 272 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 40.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 13.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.2 |
| P/S | 8.1 |
| P/EBIT | 2.0 |
| P/E | 8.6 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -19.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 50.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $42.96 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.2 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -9.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $39.32 | $36.34 |
| DMA Trend | down | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 9.3% | 18.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.2% | 40.9% |
| Downside Capture | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| Upside Capture | 174.54 | 94.71 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 34.2% | 43.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 0.06 |
| Up Beta | -0.28 | 0.97 | 0.84 | 1.35 | 0.94 | -0.37 |
| Down Beta | 0.65 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 0.92 | 1.25 | -0.12 |
| Up Capture | 207% | 138% | 178% | 123% | 93% | 51% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 22 | 35 | 65 | 123 | 236 |
| Down Capture | 12% | 44% | 27% | 78% | 95% | 81% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 19 | 26 | 58 | 127 | 221 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MRX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRX | 26.6% | 40.7% | 0.68 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | -4.0% | 19.2% | -0.33 | 44.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 18.9% | 0.59 | 43.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.2% | 27.7% | 1.46 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 17.8% | 17.6% | 0.85 | 20.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.4% | 16.4% | -0.15 | 30.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -23.7% | 44.2% | -0.49 | 8.6% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MRX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRX | 18.5% | 41.2% | 1.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 9.1% | 18.7% | 0.37 | 39.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.8% | 17.0% | 0.54 | 40.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.7% | 17.7% | 0.96 | 6.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.50 | 16.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.0% | 18.8% | 0.07 | 24.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.6% | 0.29 | 14.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MRX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRX | 8.8% | 41.2% | 1.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.0% | 22.1% | 0.50 | 39.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 40.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.3% | 15.8% | 0.70 | 6.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 16.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.7% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 24.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.4% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 14.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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