Medical Properties Trust (MPT)
Market Price (4/1/2026): $4.63 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Real Estate | Industry: Health Care REITs
Medical Properties Trust (MPT)
Market Price (4/1/2026): $4.63Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Real EstateIndustry: Health Care REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 56% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.39, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% Key risksMPT key risks include [1] potential nonpayment from its holdings of lower-rated "Baa" or "BBB" municipal securities. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 56% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 18.39, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% |
| Key risksMPT key risks include [1] potential nonpayment from its holdings of lower-rated "Baa" or "BBB" municipal securities. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Escalating Tenant Issues with Healthcare Systems of America (HSA)
Medical Properties Trust experienced significant pressure due to worsening issues with its third-largest tenant, Healthcare Systems of America (HSA). In late February 2026, MPT issued a notice of default to HSA for millions in unpaid obligations, including rent and real estate taxes. This was compounded by a report on March 19, 2026, highlighting a discrepancy between MPT's earnings call statement of HSA operating at roughly 1x rent coverage and its February 26, 2026, 10-K filing, which disclosed HSA was paying only 50% of contractual rent during a ramp period, raising concerns about transparency and tenant health. An outstanding $85.1 million working capital note extended to HSA by MPT, which was expected to be repaid in 2025, further underscored the financial strain on this key tenant.
2. Impact of a Critical Short Seller Report
On March 19, 2026, a report by short seller "The Bear Cave" explicitly raised fresh concerns about MPT's tenant health, accounting practices, and liquidity outlook, directly contributing to a decline in the stock on that day. The report specifically scrutinized MPT's ongoing financial strain from troubled operators and questioned management's credibility due to a history of tenant-related problems. It also highlighted MPT's reliance on non-cash straight-line rent accounting, noting $881 million in straight-line rent receivables at year-end 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 3/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPT | ||
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 4.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 1.2% | 12.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 3/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPT | ||
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 4.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | -2.0% | 12.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 3/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 4.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 0.3% | 12.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 3/31/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MPT | ||
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 4.0% |
| Sector (XLRE) | 20.3% | 12.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MPT Return | - | - | - | - | - | -12% | -12% |
| Peers Return | 17% | -16% | 11% | 23% | 20% | 3% | 66% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -7% | 69% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MPT Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 38% | 58% | 65% | 58% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MPT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -28% | -15% | -13% | -8% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VTR, WELL, DOC, OHI, HR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/31/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MPT has limited trading history. Below is the Real Estate sector ETF (XLRE) in its place.
| Event | XLRE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 393 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -13.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 120 days |
Compare to VTR, WELL, DOC, OHI, HR
In The Past
Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (The)'s stock fell -37.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -37.9% loss requires a 61.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Medical Properties Trust (MPT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Medical Properties Trust (MPT):
- Medical Properties Trust is like an American Tower for hospitals, owning and leasing critical infrastructure for healthcare operators.
- Medical Properties Trust is like a Simon Property Group for hospitals, acting as a specialized landlord for healthcare facilities rather than malls.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Hospital Real Estate Leasing: MPT leases hospital facilities to healthcare operators under long-term net-lease agreements.
- Hospital Real Estate Financing: MPT provides capital solutions to hospital operators by acquiring their real estate assets and leasing them back (sale-leaseback transactions).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Medical Properties Trust (MPT) sells its services primarily to other companies, specifically hospital operating companies that lease MPT's hospital facilities. MPT's major customers are the tenants that operate the hospitals owned by MPT.
The major customer companies for Medical Properties Trust include:
- Steward Health Care System (Private company)
- Prospect Medical Holdings (Private company)
- Prime Healthcare (Private company)
- CommonSpirit Health (Private, non-profit organization)
- Priory Group (Private company, UK-based operator)
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Edward K. Aldag, Jr. Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Edward K. Aldag, Jr. launched Medical Properties Trust, Inc. in 2003 as a real estate investment trust focused exclusively on hospitals. Prior to founding MPT, he served as President and a board member of Guilford Medical Properties, Inc. He was also President of Guilford Capital Corporation from 1998 to 2001 and its Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, and a board member from 1990 to 1998.
R. Steven Hamner Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
R. Steven Hamner is a co-founder of Medical Properties Trust, Inc., established in 2003. He has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since September 2003. Before MPT, from October 2001 to March 2004, he was the Managing Director of Transaction Analysis LLC, a firm offering accounting and consulting services to commercial real estate owners. From June 1998 to September 2001, he was Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of United Investors Realty Trust, a publicly traded REIT. Earlier in his career, he worked for Ernst & Young LLP and its predecessors for ten years as a Certified Public Accountant.
Rosa H. Williams Senior Vice President of Operations
Prior to joining Medical Properties Trust, Rosa H. Williams was the Chief Financial Officer of a Birmingham hospital, which was a joint venture partnership among 52 physicians. She also spent 15 years at Encompass Health (formerly HealthSouth Corp.), holding various operational roles in their ambulatory divisions, including surgery, diagnostic imaging, and physical therapy. Her experience also includes seven years in the finance department at another Birmingham hospital, and she began her career at Arthur Andersen & Co.
J. Kevin Hanna Senior Vice President, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer
Before joining Medical Properties Trust in 2008, J. Kevin Hanna served as Controller for Fruit of the Loom, Inc., a Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary, and Russell Corp., a global consumer products company.
Larry H. Portal Senior Vice President, Senior Advisor to the CEO
Larry H. Portal joined MPT in 2019. Previously, he was a Senior Managing Director at FTI Consulting, where he advised REIT clients on mergers and acquisitions, tax structuring, and IPO advisory. He started his career in tax practice at Ernst & Young and was the head of Tax for Vornado Realty Trust from 1997 to 2002.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Medical Properties Trust (MPT) are primarily concentrated around the financial health of its major tenants, its substantial debt burden, and resulting profitability challenges.
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Tenant Concentration and Financial Health of Key Tenants
Medical Properties Trust has faced significant challenges due to its high exposure to a few major tenants, most notably Steward Health Care and Prospect Medical. Both of these large operators have experienced substantial financial difficulties, including Steward Health Care filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2024 and Prospect Medical undergoing restructuring and bankruptcy in January 2025. These issues have led to delayed or unpaid rents, asset impairments, and the necessity for MPT to transition properties to new operators, directly impacting its cash flow and overall financial performance. The company has been actively working to reduce its reliance on these tenants and diversify its tenant base.
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High Leverage, Debt Levels, and Interest Rate Sensitivity
MPT operates with a significant amount of debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.13 and long-term debt nearing $9.82 billion as of recent reports. The company's financial strength is rated as poor due to this high leverage and a low interest coverage ratio of 1.1, indicating potential solvency risks. Rising interest rates pose a substantial risk by increasing the cost of financing and potentially depressing property valuations. This sensitivity to interest rates makes refinancing existing debt and covering interest payments a critical challenge for MPT.
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Profitability Challenges and Declining Revenue
Medical Properties Trust has experienced a decline in revenue, with a 3-year revenue growth decline of 14.4%. The company also faces profitability issues, reflected in negative net margins and a reported consolidated net loss. While the gross margin remains robust, MPT has struggled to translate revenue into sustainable profit, particularly due to the operational challenges and financial instability of its key tenants, which directly affect rental income.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The accelerating shift in healthcare delivery towards outpatient procedures, ambulatory care centers, and home-based or virtual care models could fundamentally decrease the long-term demand for traditional inpatient hospital beds and large acute-care facilities. This evolving trend threatens to erode the value of Medical Properties Trust's real estate portfolio and reduce the profitability and solvency of its hospital operator tenants, thereby impacting MPT's rental income and asset valuations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Medical Properties Trust (MPT) operates within the global healthcare real estate market, specifically focusing on acquiring and developing net-leased hospital facilities. The addressable market for their main products and services is substantial and spans globally. The global healthcare real estate market was valued at approximately USD 1,542.45 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach about USD 2,923.93 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.4% from 2026 to 2033. Another estimate indicates the global healthcare real estate market size is expected to reach USD 2.27 trillion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 7.9% during the forecast period. Specifically, within the broader healthcare real estate market, hospital real estate accounted for a significant share, holding 32.80% of the market in 2025. MPT's business model, which heavily relies on a leasing model (such as net-leased agreements and sale-leaseback transactions), aligns with a market segment that held a 64.65% share within the global healthcare real estate market in 2025. MPT operates globally, owning facilities in nine countries across multiple continents, including significant presence in the United States and Europe. The growth in this market is driven by increasing demand for healthcare services, an aging global population, and the need for modern and adaptable healthcare infrastructure.AI Analysis | Feedback
Medical Properties Trust (MPT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and operational improvements:- Increased Annualized Cash Rent from New and Restructured Lease Agreements: The company anticipates achieving at least $1 billion in annualized cash rent from its current portfolio by the end of 2026. This includes the ramping up of a new lease for six California hospitals, formerly operated by Prospect Medical Holdings, which is projected to generate $45 million in annual rent by December 2026. Additionally, a restructuring transaction with Vibra Healthcare resulted in a new 20-year master lease and an $18 million one-time rent payment.
- Strategic Acquisitions of New Facilities: MPT has recently engaged in selective portfolio acquisitions, including one post-acute facility in the U.S. for approximately $32 million and another in Europe for approximately €23 million. These acquisitions are noted for being historically strong performers with attractive coverage metrics.
- Improved Performance and Recovery of the Existing Diversified Portfolio: The company has observed an accelerated portfolio operating recovery, with general acute care operators reporting significant year-over-year increases in EBITDARM. Post-acute care and behavioral health portfolios have also demonstrated improved EBITDARM coverage. MPT's strong international portfolio, especially in Germany, continues to contribute positively to its performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Medical Properties Trust (MPT) Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2026)
Share Repurchases
- Medical Properties Trust's Board of Directors authorized a new $150 million share repurchase program in October 2025.
- Under this program, approximately 4.5 million shares were repurchased for $23.4 million during the fourth quarter of 2025.
- Previously, in October 2022, the Board authorized the repurchase of up to $500 million of common stock, under which 1.6 million shares were repurchased in 2022 for $17.9 million.
Share Issuance
- In January 2021, Medical Properties Trust completed an underwritten public offering of 36.8 million shares, generating net proceeds of approximately $711 million.
- Throughout 2021, the company also sold 16.3 million shares under its at-the-market equity offering program, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $340 million.
Inbound Investments
- In September 2021, Medical Properties Trust partnered with Macquarie Infrastructure Partners V (MIP V), which acquired a 50% interest in a portfolio of eight Massachusetts hospitals. This transaction generated approximately $1.3 billion in proceeds for MPT, used to repay debt and fund new investments.
- In February 2025, MPT privately placed $2.5 billion of secured notes at a 7.9% interest rate to address debt maturities and bolster liquidity.
Outbound Investments
- Medical Properties Trust acquired one post-acute facility in the U.S. for approximately $32 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and another post-acute facility in Europe for approximately €23 million in February 2026.
- In 2021, the company announced the planned acquisition of 18 behavioral health hospital facilities (Springstone) for $950 million, expected to close in the second half of that year.
- The company's strategy consistently involves acquiring and developing net-leased hospital facilities globally to support healthcare operators.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Medical Properties Trust in 2025 were approximately $74 million, representing a halving from the previous year.
- The primary focus of MPT's capital expenditure, as part of its business model, is to enable hospital operators to fund facility improvements, technology upgrades, and other investments in operations by unlocking the value of their real estate assets.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MPT.
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| 02272026 | KRC | Kilroy Realty | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | AAT | American Assets Trust | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.2% | -0.2% | -1.5% |
| 12122025 | LINE | Lineage | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.7% | 11.7% | -7.3% |
| 11302025 | OHI | Omega Healthcare Investors | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 6.7% | 6.7% | -6.0% |
| 10312025 | ADC | Agree Realty | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 11.8% | 11.8% | -2.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.0 |
| Rev LTM | 2,006 |
| Op Inc LTM | 542 |
| FCF LTM | 940 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 742 |
| CFO LTM | 1,065 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 921 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 37.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 25.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 13.0 |
| P/S | 6.6 |
| P/EBIT | 19.4 |
| P/E | 145.6 |
| P/CFO | 14.8 |
| Total Yield | 2.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 6.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 54.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -4.4% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/19/2026 | 12.1% | 7.3% | -10.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Median Positive | 12.1% | 7.3% | |
| Median Negative | -10.7% | ||
| Max Positive | 12.1% | 7.3% | |
| Max Negative | -10.7% | ||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Pro forma annualized cash rent | 1.00 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.00 Bil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/30/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Cash Collections | 22.00 Mil | 29.4% | Higher New | Actual: 17.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |||
| 2026 Stabilized Annual Cash Rent | 45.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Pro Rata Annualized Cash Rent | 1.00 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.00 Bil for Q4 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hooper, Rosa Handley | SVP of Operations | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 5.00 | 2,000 | 10,000 | 1,975,910 | Form |
| 2 | Stewart, Michael G | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 5.02 | 59,000 | 296,180 | 788,642 | Form | |
| 3 | Stewart, Michael G | Direct | Sell | 5052025 | 5.20 | 29,000 | 150,800 | 1,123,720 | Form | |
| 4 | Hanna, James Kevin | Senior VP, Controller & CAO | Direct | Buy | 3062025 | 5.75 | 7,411 | 42,613 | 2,140,944 | Form |
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