Tearsheet

Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $38.0 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $38.0
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Cardiorenal Therapeutics.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -203 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 139%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 191%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Cardiorenal Therapeutics.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -203 Mil
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 139%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 191%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -26%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MLYS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS) stock moved by 149% approximately between August 31, 2025, and December 8, 2025:

1. Positive Clinical Trial Data for Lorundrostat: Mineralys Therapeutics reported positive topline data from its Phase 2 Explore-CKD trial for lorundrostat on August 12, 2025, demonstrating significant reductions in systolic blood pressure. This positive news was reinforced by presentations of data for lorundrostat in chronic kidney disease and hypertension at the American Society of Nephrology (ASN) Kidney Week 2025 in November. These results, building on the June 30, 2025, publication of pivotal Phase 3 Launch-HTN trial results in the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA), underscored the drug's efficacy and market potential.

2. Advancement Towards Regulatory Submission: The company announced on August 12, 2025, that it had scheduled a pre-NDA (New Drug Application) meeting with the FDA for lorundrostat in the fourth quarter of 2025. This signifies a critical step towards gaining regulatory approval and commercializing its lead product candidate.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MLYS Return----43%216%352%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%3%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MLYS Win Rate---30%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MLYS Max Drawdown-----4%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

null

null


In The Past

null

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)

Better Bets than Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MLYS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.8%9.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.8%-8.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.5%2.5%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.5%12.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.1%10.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.8%9.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-8.8%-8.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.5%2.5%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.5%12.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.1%10.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mineralys Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MLYSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameMineraly.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price38.50455.482.501.2113.6921.9017.79
Mkt Cap2.5116.4--0.6-2.5
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-203-92-7--124-70-92
FCF LTM-1933,337-7--87-64-64
FCF 3Y Avg-1132,064-8----8
CFO LTM-1933,718-7--87-64-64
CFO 3Y Avg-1132,419-8----8

Growth & Margins

MLYSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameMineraly.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

MLYSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameMineraly.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap2.5116.4--0.6-2.5
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-4.422.4---4.8--4.4
P/E-4.627.2---5.2--4.6
P/CFO-4.626.9---6.9--4.6
Total Yield-21.5%3.7%---19.3%--19.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%--0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-15.3%2.3%-----6.5%
D/E0.00.0--0.0-0.0
Net D/E-0.4-0.0---0.8--0.4

Returns

MLYSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameMineraly.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn1.3%11.2%-65.7%12.7%19.0%12.7%
3M Rtn10.6%15.0%--38.3%-15.0%
6M Rtn138.8%1.1%----70.0%
12M Rtn191.4%-1.4%----95.0%
3Y Rtn-41.8%----41.8%
1M Excs Rtn-4.0%8.1%-36.8%9.3%-8.7%
3M Excs Rtn1.4%9.5%--18.6%-9.5%
6M Excs Rtn124.3%-13.4%----55.5%
12M Excs Rtn185.6%-13.9%----85.8%
3Y Excs Rtn--24.4%-----24.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,889,251
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.6%
Average Daily Volume2,245,872
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.07
Basic Shares Quantity65,451,297
Short % of Basic Shares10.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20255.9%-0.5% 
8/12/20250.4%7.1%175.1%
5/12/20251.2%2.1%3.6%
2/12/202510.0%-3.5%39.8%
11/12/2024-10.3%-23.6%-13.2%
8/13/2024-22.8%-11.1%-2.0%
3/21/2024-2.2%-4.6%-15.7%
11/7/2023-6.7%-18.3%-21.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive533
# Negative577
Median Positive5.9%6.0%39.8%
Median Negative-6.7%-11.1%-14.4%
Max Positive10.0%7.1%175.1%
Max Negative-22.8%-23.6%-21.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
123120212102023424B4 12/31/2021