Tearsheet

Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.01 | Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $37.01
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Cardiorenal Therapeutics.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -184 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 170%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 200%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
4   Key risks
MLYS key risks include [1] its complete dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its sole drug candidate, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, and Cardiorenal Therapeutics.
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -184 Mil
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 170%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 200%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
6 Key risks
MLYS key risks include [1] its complete dependence on the clinical and regulatory success of its sole drug candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MLYS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS) stock moved by 139% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today: 1. 1. Recognition of Phase 3 Launch-HTN Trial by JAMA: Mineralys Therapeutics' Phase 3 Launch-HTN clinical trial for lorundrostat, a treatment for uncontrolled or treatment-resistant hypertension, was recognized by the Journal of the American Medical Association (JAMA) as one of the most impactful studies of 2025. This significant recognition, announced on December 12, 2025, highlighted the trial's demonstration of substantial reductions in systolic blood pressure and a favorable safety profile for lorundrostat.

2. 2. Positive Subgroup Analyses from Phase 3 Launch-HTN Trial: On September 5, 2025, the company presented new subgroup analyses from its Phase 3 Launch-HTN trial. These analyses further demonstrated the efficacy and safety of lorundrostat across difficult-to-treat and high-risk patient populations with significant unmet medical need, reinforcing the drug's broad potential.

3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MLYS Return43%193%
Peers Return58%7%22%12%110%43%593%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MLYS Win Rate30%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate55%42%50%53%37%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MLYS Max Drawdown-4%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-30%-35%-35%-23%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, IONS, CYTK, VTRS, SMMT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

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In The Past

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About Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)

Better Bets than Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MLYS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mineralys Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MLYSALNYIONSCYTKVTRSSMMTMedian
NameMineraly.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Cytokine.Viatris Summit T. 
Mkt Price37.02392.1077.0859.8211.7017.0148.42
Mkt Cap2.751.512.37.213.612.612.5
Rev LTM03,2109678714,1240527
Op Inc LTM-184265-278-57352-935-231
FCF LTM-171221-309-4531,599-270-221
FCF 3Y Avg-12157-420-4341,838-145-133
CFO LTM-171266-247-4331,983-270-209
CFO 3Y Avg-121108-380-4252,297-145-133

Growth & Margins

MLYSALNYIONSCYTKVTRSSMMTMedian
NameMineraly.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Cytokine.Viatris Summit T. 
Rev Chg LTM-53.2%20.4%2,609.3%-6.1%-36.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-51.4%7.1%818.6%-5.5%-29.2%
Rev Chg Q-149.3%17.1%318.1%0.2%-83.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-30.4%2.4%1.7%0.1%-2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-8.2%-28.8%-656.9%0.4%--14.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--7.1%-55.1%-7,766.4%3.5%--31.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-15.6%-0.5%-19.0%-0.2%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.3%-25.5%-496.4%14.0%--8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.7%-52.4%-6,222.9%15.4%--24.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.9%-32.0%-519.9%11.3%--12.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.3%-57.4%-6,258.2%12.3%--28.1%

Valuation

MLYSALNYIONSCYTKVTRSSMMTMedian
NameMineraly.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Cytokine.Viatris Summit T. 
Mkt Cap2.751.512.37.213.612.612.5
P/S-18.710.875.60.8-14.7
P/EBIT-460.0-60.0-10.1-3.4-16.7-10.1
P/E-15.61,375.9-40.8-8.8-3.1-16.7-12.2
P/CFO-15.6225.5-42.3-15.25.8-57.0-15.4
Total Yield-6.4%0.1%-2.5%-11.4%-27.1%-6.0%-6.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.0%-6.0%-9.7%14.9%-2.2%-2.2%
D/E-0.00.10.21.30.00.1
Net D/E--0.0-0.10.01.2-0.0-0.0

Returns

MLYSALNYIONSCYTKVTRSSMMTMedian
NameMineraly.Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Cytokine.Viatris Summit T. 
1M Rtn-16.4%-14.9%5.2%-10.6%11.0%0.4%-5.1%
3M Rtn-0.7%-13.2%26.0%25.8%23.0%-6.0%11.2%
6M Rtn169.6%25.5%108.3%82.8%36.5%-15.6%59.6%
12M Rtn199.8%59.0%104.6%25.2%-2.3%-8.4%42.1%
3Y Rtn-65.5%99.4%36.9%22.5%371.2%65.5%
1M Excs Rtn-17.1%-15.6%4.5%-11.4%10.3%-0.4%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-8.5%-14.6%23.5%20.0%18.7%-12.9%5.1%
6M Excs Rtn157.2%13.2%95.9%70.4%24.1%-28.0%47.2%
12M Excs Rtn200.0%48.7%99.5%11.9%-13.7%-15.7%30.3%
3Y Excs Rtn--2.2%33.0%-12.4%-47.9%434.8%-2.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Single Segment252114
Total252114


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,405,674
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520257.5%
Average Daily Volume1,451,362
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.10
Basic Shares Quantity70,594,504
Short % of Basic Shares10.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/20255.9%-0.5%-19.0%
8/12/20250.4%7.1%175.1%
5/12/20251.2%2.1%3.6%
2/12/202510.0%-3.5%39.8%
11/12/2024-10.3%-23.6%-13.2%
8/13/2024-22.8%-11.1%-2.0%
3/21/2024-2.2%-4.6%-15.7%
11/7/2023-6.7%-18.3%-21.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive533
# Negative577
Median Positive5.9%6.0%39.8%
Median Negative-6.7%-11.1%-15.7%
Max Positive10.0%7.1%175.1%
Max Negative-22.8%-23.6%-21.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
123120212102023424B4 12/31/2021