Cytokinetics (CYTK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.29 | Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Cytokinetics (CYTK)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.29Market Cap: $7.7 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2609% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -573 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -657% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -69% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 76x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -496%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -520% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 2609% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -69% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -12% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -573 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -657% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 76x |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -496%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -520% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CYTK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Cytokinetics (CYTK) experienced significant stock appreciation from late August 2025 to early December 2025 due to several key developments:
1. Successful Clinical Trial Results for Aficamten. On September 3, 2025, Cytokinetics' shares surged by 40.5% following the announcement of successful clinical trial results for its heart disease drug, aficamten. The company's Third Quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025, further reinforced this, highlighting positive data from the MAPLE-HCM trial, which demonstrated aficamten's superiority over metoprolol in patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (OHCM), showing improved exercise capacity and symptom relief.
2. Significant Progress Towards FDA Approval and Commercialization of Aficamten. Cytokinetics reported on November 5, 2025, that it was actively engaged with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA), progressing towards a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) date of December 26, 2025, for aficamten. Preparations for a U.S. commercial launch were also well underway. The company had a Late Cycle Meeting with the FDA on September 15, 2025, to discuss the New Drug Application (NDA) for aficamten, including its proposed Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS) program.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CYTK Return | 96% | 119% | 1% | 82% | -44% | 35% | 499% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 8% | -9% | 4% | -11% | 9% | -0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CYTK Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 50% | 55% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CYTK Max Drawdown | -18% | -11% | -35% | -41% | -44% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -10% | -23% | -19% | -26% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See CYTK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CYTK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 102.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -47.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 284 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -65.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 187.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 504 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 493.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4904 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX
In The Past
Cytokinetics's stock fell -50.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/9/2022. A -50.7% loss requires a 102.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Cytokinetics Earnings Notes | |||
| Is Cytokinetics Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | ||
| CYTK Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Cytokinetics (CYTK) worth $5.3 Tril (up $487 Bil), more valuable than Alphabet | Notification | ||
| Cytokinetics (CYTK) worth $4.8 Tril (up $469 Bil), more valuable than Alphabet | Notification | ||
| Cytokinetics (CYTK) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cytokinetics (CYTK) worth $4.8 Tril (up $469 Bil), more valuable than Alphabet | Notification | ||
| Cytokinetics (CYTK) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Cytokinetics (CYTK) worth $4.8 Tril (up $469 Bil), more valuable than Alphabet | Notification | ||
| Cytokinetics (CYTK) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 9th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: CYTK, IONS, UTHR | Losers: UP, SOC, DNA | September 2nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CYTK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cytokinetics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 34.07 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,287 |
| Op Inc LTM | 194 |
| FCF LTM | 231 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 192 |
| CFO LTM | 313 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 252 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 2.7 |
| P/EBIT | 9.0 |
| P/E | -0.1 |
| P/CFO | 8.1 |
| Total Yield | 0.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -46.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | PARSHALL B LYNNE | 11192025 | Sell | 64.73 | 5,000 | 323,650 | 1,484,453 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |