Tearsheet

Marketwise (MKTW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.53 | Market Cap: $39.0 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Marketwise (MKTW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.53
Market Cap: $39.0 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 41%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -145%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 138%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Financial Content & Education.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 21%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 16%, FCF Yield is 41%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -145%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Financial Content & Education.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -24%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 138%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MKTW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -5.7% stock movement for MarketWise (MKTW) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Significant Decline in Paid Subscribers: MarketWise reported a substantial decrease in its paid subscriber count in the third quarter of 2025, falling 36.1% year-over-year to 379,000 from 592,000. This decline was primarily attributed to increased churn rates.

2. Decrease in Net Renewal Billings: The company experienced a 10.2% decline in net renewal billings during Q3 2025. This was largely a result of the decrease in average paid subscribers and heightened subscription prices.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MKTW Return--27%-78%76%-78%64%-90%
Peers Return27%36%-18%22%13%-2%92%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MKTW Win Rate67%58%17%42%8%60% 
Peers Win Rate58%57%43%55%53%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MKTW Max Drawdown--43%-79%-23%-82%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-9%-29%-9%-13%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CME, ICE, MSCI, VALU, SPGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMKTWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1067.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days148 days

Compare to CME, ICE, MSCI, VALU, SPGI


In The Past

Marketwise's stock fell -91.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/2/2021. A -91.4% loss requires a 1067.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Marketwise (MKTW)

Better Bets than Marketwise (MKTW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Marketwise Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MKTW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Marketwise

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MKTWCMEICEMSCIVALUSPGIMedian
NameMarketwi.CME Intercon.MSCI Value Li.S&P Glob. 
Mkt Price16.54274.34156.85545.5638.60499.88215.59
Mkt Cap0.098.789.941.70.4152.165.8
Rev LTM3586,39712,5543,0553515,0124,726
Op Inc LTM834,1574,7931,65566,0312,906
FCF LTM194,0844,0781,388215,4612,733
FCF 3Y Avg263,6743,5261,273194,6572,400
CFO LTM204,1614,8761,518215,6432,840
CFO 3Y Avg273,7564,1511,380194,8052,568

Growth & Margins

MKTWCMEICEMSCIVALUSPGIMedian
NameMarketwi.CME Intercon.MSCI Value Li.S&P Glob. 
Rev Chg LTM-17.2%5.8%16.3%9.0%-5.0%9.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-13.4%8.9%10.0%11.2%-4.8%13.3%9.5%
Rev Chg Q-23.9%-3.0%12.6%9.5%-3.1%8.8%2.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-6.5%-0.7%3.0%2.3%-0.8%2.1%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM23.0%65.0%38.2%54.2%16.2%40.2%39.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.1%63.1%38.8%54.1%22.7%36.3%37.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.3%0.7%0.3%-0.9%1.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.5%65.0%38.8%49.7%60.4%37.6%44.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.1%63.3%37.8%50.0%51.3%34.8%43.9%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%63.8%32.5%45.4%59.8%36.4%40.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%61.9%32.1%46.1%50.9%33.7%39.9%

Valuation

MKTWCMEICEMSCIVALUSPGIMedian
NameMarketwi.CME Intercon.MSCI Value Li.S&P Glob. 
Mkt Cap0.098.789.941.70.4152.165.8
P/S0.115.27.714.210.69.910.2
P/EBIT0.619.419.926.165.424.122.0
P/E7.725.832.135.517.335.129.0
P/CFO2.423.419.828.617.526.221.6
Total Yield20.5%6.5%4.2%4.1%8.9%3.6%5.4%
Dividend Yield7.6%2.6%1.1%1.3%3.1%0.8%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg46.6%4.5%4.3%2.9%4.7%3.3%4.4%
D/E0.00.00.20.10.00.10.1
Net D/E-1.40.00.20.1-0.20.10.0

Returns

MKTWCMEICEMSCIVALUSPGIMedian
NameMarketwi.CME Intercon.MSCI Value Li.S&P Glob. 
1M Rtn2.1%3.9%7.7%-5.8%3.0%0.8%2.5%
3M Rtn-3.9%1.9%-10.2%-0.8%3.2%-7.1%-2.3%
6M Rtn-0.1%-0.3%-12.0%-3.2%1.1%-2.4%-1.4%
12M Rtn93.4%19.0%1.5%-9.1%-22.9%-2.8%-0.7%
3Y Rtn-44.7%78.5%49.4%8.9%-23.3%42.4%25.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.1%3.9%7.8%-5.8%3.0%0.8%2.6%
3M Excs Rtn-11.7%-2.8%-15.2%-7.1%-1.2%-12.6%-9.4%
6M Excs Rtn-14.8%-15.1%-26.7%-17.9%-13.6%-17.1%-16.1%
12M Excs Rtn67.2%6.9%-15.0%-22.9%-37.0%-17.2%-16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-122.7%9.3%-17.5%-58.9%-94.1%-26.8%-42.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment448512   
Membership subscriptions  19213599
Non-subscription revenue  5812
Term subscriptions  352222162
Total448512549364272


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity36,498
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202531.7%
Average Daily Volume8,522
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.28
Basic Shares Quantity2,357,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021