Marketwise (MKTW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.99 | Market Cap: $39.8 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Financial Exchanges & Data
Marketwise (MKTW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $15.99Market Cap: $39.8 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Financial Exchanges & Data
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Financial Content & Education. | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128% | |
| Key risksMKTW key risks include [1] a rapidly declining subscriber base and the associated decrease in revenue, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 24%, Dividend Yield is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Wealth Management Technology, and Financial Content & Education. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 128% |
| Key risksMKTW key risks include [1] a rapidly declining subscriber base and the associated decrease in revenue, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MKTW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points that could explain a -8.8% movement in Marketwise (MKTW) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Declining Paid Subscriber Base
MarketWise's Q3 2025 financial results, reported on November 6, 2025, indicated a declining paid subscriber base. This was attributed to a shift in pricing strategy and elevated customer churn, which could raise concerns about the company's long-term growth and customer retention capabilities despite an increase in billings and net income.
2. Decrease in Cash and Cash Equivalents
As of September 30, 2025, MarketWise's cash and cash equivalents decreased to $50.5 million from $97.9 million at the end of 2024. This reduction was primarily due to dividend payments and tax distributions. While dividends can be positive, a notable decrease in cash reserves might signal reduced liquidity or limited funds for future investments to some investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MKTW Return | � | -27% | -78% | 76% | -78% | 61% | � |
| Peers Return | 27% | 36% | -18% | 22% | 13% | -0% | 96% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MKTW Win Rate | 67% | 58% | 17% | 42% | 8% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 57% | 43% | 55% | 53% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MKTW Max Drawdown | � | -43% | -79% | -23% | -82% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -9% | -29% | -9% | -13% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CME, ICE, MSCI, VALU, SPGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MKTW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -91.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1067.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -3.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 148 days |
Compare to CME, ICE, MSCI, VALU, SPGI
In The Past
Marketwise's stock fell -91.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/2/2021. A -91.4% loss requires a 1067.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MKTW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.4% | -2.4% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -9.0% | -9.0% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Marketwise
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 217.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 67.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,726 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,906 |
| FCF LTM | 2,733 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,400 |
| CFO LTM | 2,840 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,568 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 39.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 37.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 44.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 43.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 40.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 39.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 67.5 |
| P/S | 10.3 |
| P/EBIT | 22.0 |
| P/E | 29.0 |
| P/CFO | 21.6 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 38.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -34.7% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | -6.1% | 0.4% | -6.7% |
| 2/28/2025 | 24.0% | 19.5% | -17.5% |
| 11/7/2024 | 0.5% | -19.2% | -11.4% |
| 8/14/2024 | -3.3% | 6.9% | -1.0% |
| 3/7/2024 | 7.6% | 8.7% | -10.4% |
| 11/9/2023 | 2.6% | 21.8% | 19.7% |
| 8/10/2023 | -20.5% | -13.5% | -24.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 7 | 3 |
| # Negative | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.1% | -6.7% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 24.0% | 27.7% | 19.7% |
| Max Negative | -20.5% | -19.2% | -24.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3062025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3072024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3312023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |