Tearsheet

McGraw Hill (MH)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $16.96 | Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

McGraw Hill (MH)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $16.96
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
 
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why McGraw Hill (symbol: MH) stock experienced significant movement in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Strong Post-IPO Performance and Raised Financial Guidance. McGraw Hill, which went public on July 24, 2025, at an IPO price of $17 per share, later raised its full-year guidance, projecting revenue between $2.031 billion and $2.061 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $702 million to $722 million. This demonstrated confidence in its growth trajectory and strong financial performance after its initial public offering. 2. Increased Market Share in Key Educational Segments. The company reported a notable increase in market share, gaining 160 basis points in higher education and 200 basis points in K-12 core curriculum. This indicates the company's competitive strength and effective strategies in its primary educational markets.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MH Return------ 
Peers Return19%-2%-14%-4%0%-9%-12%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MH Win Rate-----0% 
Peers Win Rate22%8%15%20%17%22% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MH Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-21%-15%-15%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LOPE, FCHL, GV, MH, PXED.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

MH has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About McGraw Hill (MH)

Better Bets than McGraw Hill (MH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for McGraw Hill

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MHLOPEFCHLGVPXEDMedian
NameMcGraw H.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryPhoenix . 
Mkt Price17.05155.720.341.4534.2717.05
Mkt Cap-4.3---4.3
Rev LTM1,9481,091---1,519
Op Inc LTM224297---261
FCF LTM-242---242
FCF 3Y Avg-223---223
CFO LTM-279---279
CFO 3Y Avg-262---262

Growth & Margins

MHLOPEFCHLGVPXEDMedian
NameMcGraw H.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryPhoenix . 
Rev Chg LTM13.3%7.0%---10.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.5%---6.5%
Rev Chg Q27.8%9.6%---18.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.4%2.1%---4.2%
Op Mgn LTM11.5%27.2%---19.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.2%26.6%---16.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.4%0.1%---2.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-25.6%---25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.8%---25.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-22.2%---22.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.8%---21.8%

Valuation

MHLOPEFCHLGVPXEDMedian
NameMcGraw H.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryPhoenix . 
Mkt Cap-4.3---4.3
P/S-5.6---5.6
P/EBIT-19.2---19.2
P/E-28.8---28.8
P/CFO-21.8---21.8
Total Yield-3.5%---3.5%
Dividend Yield-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.1%---5.1%
D/E-0.0---0.0
Net D/E--0.0----0.0

Returns

MHLOPEFCHLGVPXEDMedian
NameMcGraw H.Grand Ca.Fitness .VisionaryPhoenix . 
1M Rtn56.4%-15.8%-16.8%-3.3%-1.7%-3.3%
3M Rtn15.0%-24.1%-92.0%-2.0%--13.1%
6M Rtn--18.3%--29.1%--23.7%
12M Rtn--8.6%-2.1%--3.2%
3Y Rtn-44.5%--86.1%--20.8%
1M Excs Rtn55.2%-17.0%-18.0%-4.6%-2.9%-4.6%
3M Excs Rtn7.9%-29.6%-98.4%-11.0%--20.3%
6M Excs Rtn--33.7%--44.5%--39.1%
12M Excs Rtn--20.2%--18.0%--19.1%
3Y Excs Rtn--32.0%--158.8%--95.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
K-12905958791584594
Higher Education702654664649629
International200188186169203
Global Professional153148148142157
Other-0-0012
Total1,9601,9481,7901,5451,585


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
K-12291304   
Higher Education290245   
Global Professional4339   
International3124   
Other16   
Transaction and integration costs-8-7   
Advisory fees-10-10   
Adjusted EBITDA - other-17-31   
Purchase accounting-18-47   
Restructuring and cost savings implementation charges-33-21   
Impairment charge-50-312   
Depreciation, amortization and product development amortization-366-372   
Total155-180   


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,710,470
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.4%
Average Daily Volume815,936
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.32
Basic Shares Quantity191,001,519
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
33120257242025424B4 3/31/2025
33120243132025DRS/A 3/31/2024
33120239132023DRS/A 3/31/2023
930202212222022DRS/A 9/30/2022
630202211042022DRS 6/30/2022
33120223082023DRS/A 3/31/2022