Tearsheet

McGraw Hill (MH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.63 | Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

McGraw Hill (MH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.63
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.8%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
3  Key risks
MH key risks include [1] disruption to its digital strategy from evolving educational technology and artificial intelligence and [2] dependence on educational institution budgets and enrollment trends.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.2%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.8%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
6 Key risks
MH key risks include [1] disruption to its digital strategy from evolving educational technology and artificial intelligence and [2] dependence on educational institution budgets and enrollment trends.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why McGraw Hill (symbol: MH) stock moved by 14.8% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Post-Initial Public Offering (IPO) Volatility: As a company that went public in July 2025, McGraw Hill's stock experienced significant volatility as the market worked to establish its valuation. This often leads to considerable price swings, with the stock reaching an all-time low of $10.70 on November 5, 2025, and an all-time high of $18.00 on November 25, 2025, reflecting periods of both substantial gains and declines.

2. Strong Earnings Performance: The company reported robust earnings in the quarter leading up to August 21, 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $1.40 against an estimation of $0.39, representing a 261.49% surprise. This strong performance likely generated positive investor sentiment that influenced the stock price at the beginning of the specified period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MH Return
Peers Return-19%24%-27%-11%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MH Win Rate20% 
Peers Win Rate52%48%60%44%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MH Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-26%-52%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LRN, COUR, SCHL, CHGG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

MH has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-40.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven680 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven105 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven779 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -40.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -40.3% loss requires a 67.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About McGraw Hill (MH)

Better Bets than McGraw Hill (MH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1McGraw Hill Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for McGraw Hill

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MHLRNCOURSCHLCHGGMedian
NameMcGraw H.Stride Coursera Scholast.Chegg  
Mkt Price16.6766.147.8428.650.8916.67
Mkt Cap3.12.91.30.70.11.3
Rev LTM2,0952,4757401,6144481,614
Op Inc LTM305441-7016-10816
FCF LTM222312103428103
FCF 3Y Avg-22357788984
CFO LTM4023791228443122
CFO 3Y Avg-28774135157146

Growth & Margins

MHLRNCOURSCHLCHGGMedian
NameMcGraw H.Stride Coursera Scholast.Chegg  
Rev Chg LTM3.2%17.3%8.1%1.0%-32.4%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%13.1%14.4%-0.6%-15.6%4.3%
Rev Chg Q-2.8%12.7%10.3%-4.9%-43.1%-2.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.9%2.9%2.5%-0.7%-11.6%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM14.5%17.8%-9.4%1.0%-24.1%1.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.1%14.1%-17.7%2.4%-12.2%2.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%0.4%1.1%-0.2%-0.9%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM19.2%15.3%16.5%5.2%9.5%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.1%10.5%8.3%23.5%11.8%
FCF/Rev LTM10.6%12.6%13.9%2.6%1.7%10.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.1%7.9%4.8%12.8%9.0%

Valuation

MHLRNCOURSCHLCHGGMedian
NameMcGraw H.Stride Coursera Scholast.Chegg  
Mkt Cap3.12.91.30.70.11.3
P/S1.52.62.60.30.21.5
P/EBIT10.115.3-27.737.8-1.410.1
P/E-29.720.5-42.1-50.4-1.3-29.7
P/CFO7.717.015.86.32.37.7
Total Yield-3.4%4.9%-2.4%2.2%-79.5%-2.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%4.2%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.1%3.6%8.4%24.4%7.2%
D/E0.90.10.00.80.90.8
Net D/E0.8-0.0-0.40.7-0.1-0.0

Returns

MHLRNCOURSCHLCHGGMedian
NameMcGraw H.Stride Coursera Scholast.Chegg  
1M Rtn9.2%5.4%-3.4%2.5%-12.5%2.5%
3M Rtn18.9%-52.3%-30.7%6.0%-36.7%-30.7%
6M Rtn--54.3%-5.1%51.2%-38.0%-21.5%
12M Rtn--38.5%-11.4%17.5%-59.2%-25.0%
3Y Rtn-102.6%-38.3%-16.0%-96.8%-27.1%
1M Excs Rtn8.4%4.7%-4.2%1.7%-13.2%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn19.5%-54.4%-33.7%3.4%-48.2%-33.7%
6M Excs Rtn--66.7%-17.5%38.8%-50.4%-33.9%
12M Excs Rtn--48.8%-16.2%5.0%-70.3%-32.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-34.7%-107.2%-86.9%-165.2%-97.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
K-12905958791584594
Higher Education702654664649629
International200188186169203
Global Professional153148148142157
Other-0-0012
Total1,9601,9481,7901,5451,585


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
K-12291304   
Higher Education290245   
Global Professional4339   
International3124   
Other16   
Transaction and integration costs-8-7   
Advisory fees-10    
Adjusted EBITDA - other-17    
Purchase accounting-18-47   
Restructuring and cost savings implementation charges-33-21   
Impairment charge-50-312   
Depreciation, amortization and product development amortization-366-372   
Integration costs -31   
Sponsor fees -10   
Total155-180   


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,924,608
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-29.0%
Average Daily Volume660,384
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.91
Basic Shares Quantity185,169,128
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/202523.9%42.8%50.8%
8/14/2025-5.8%7.6%5.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive122
# Negative100
Median Positive23.9%25.2%27.9%
Median Negative-5.8%  
Max Positive23.9%42.8%50.8%
Max Negative-5.8%  

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
33120257242025424B4 3/31/2025
33120243132025DRS/A 3/31/2024
33120239132023DRS/A 3/31/2023
930202212222022DRS/A 9/30/2022
630202211042022DRS 6/30/2022
33120223082023DRS/A 3/31/2022