MeiraGTx (MGTX)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $7.38 | Market Cap: $597.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
MeiraGTx (MGTX)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $7.38Market Cap: $597.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -164 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -598% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -96% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -424%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -441% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.64 |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -164 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -598% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -96% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -424%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -441% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -32% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.64 |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. MeiraGTx significantly missed Q3 2025 earnings and revenue estimates, setting a negative tone for the period.
The company reported a Q3 2025 EPS of -$0.62 on November 13, 2025, missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.50 per share by $0.12. Additionally, quarterly revenue came in at a mere $0.41 million, substantially below analyst expectations of $7.71 million.
2. Analysts issued downgrades and maintained a negative outlook for MeiraGTx's future financial performance.
Zacks Research downgraded MeiraGTx from a "hold" to a "strong sell" rating on January 30, 2026. This followed Weiss Ratings reiterating a "sell (d-)" rating on January 22, 2026. The consensus revenue estimates for MeiraGTx also fell by 64% by November 19, 2025, with forecasts indicating the company is expected to remain unprofitable over the next three years.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -11.0% change in MGTX stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -11.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.30 | 7.39 | -11.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 27 | 27 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 24.5 | 21.8 | -11.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81 | 81 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -11.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGTX | -11.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 36.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | -5.0% | 29.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.2% change in MGTX stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.30 | 7.39 | 1.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 38 | 27 | -27.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 15.5 | 21.8 | 40.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 81 | 81 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.2% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGTX | 1.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 40.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 9.5% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.6% change in MGTX stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 96.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.13 | 7.39 | 3.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14 | 27 | 96.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 36.7 | 21.8 | -40.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 72 | 81 | -11.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGTX | 3.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 28.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 1.9% | 29.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -4.3% change in MGTX stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -44.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3132026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.72 | 7.39 | -4.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 42 | 27 | -35.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.2 | 21.8 | 167.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 45 | 81 | -44.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -4.3% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/13/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MGTX | -4.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 28.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.3% | 28.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MGTX Return | 57% | -73% | 8% | -13% | 31% | -2% | -48% |
| Peers Return | 7% | -2% | -5% | -25% | -3% | 0% | -27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MGTX Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 45% | 55% | 47% | 43% | 53% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MGTX Max Drawdown | -23% | -76% | -45% | -45% | -24% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -32% | -31% | -33% | -40% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RGNX, SRPT, BMRN, VRTX, NTLA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MGTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 559.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 128.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 585 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to RGNX, SRPT, BMRN, VRTX, NTLA
In The Past
MeiraGTx's stock fell -84.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -84.8% loss requires a 559.4% gain to breakeven.
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About MeiraGTx (MGTX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. A clinical-stage **Sarepta Therapeutics**, but focusing on gene therapies for inherited blindness and neurological diseases.
2. An early-stage **Vertex Pharmaceuticals**, dedicated to developing gene therapies for serious eye and brain disorders.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Gene Therapies for Achromatopsia: Treatments targeting Achromatopsia, a form of inherited blindness, currently in Phase 1/2 clinical development.
- Gene Therapies for X-Linked Retinitis Pigmentosa: Treatments for X-Linked Retinitis Pigmentosa, an inherited retinal disease, currently in Phase 1/2 clinical development.
- Gene Therapies for RPE65-deficiency: Treatments targeting RPE65-deficiency, a cause of inherited retinal degeneration, currently in Phase 1/2 clinical development.
- Gene Therapies for Radiation-Induced Xerostomia: Treatments designed to address severe dry mouth following radiation treatment for head and neck cancers, currently in Phase 1/2 clinical development.
- Gene Therapies for Parkinson's Disease: Treatments in development for Parkinson's disease, a neurodegenerative disorder.
- Gene Therapies for Xerostomia related to Sjogren's Syndrome: Treatments in the early stages of clinical program initiation for dry mouth associated with Sjogren's syndrome.
AI Analysis | Feedback
MeiraGTx (MGTX) is a clinical-stage gene therapy company. At this stage, it does not sell commercial products directly to individuals or healthcare providers. Instead, its primary financial relationships involve collaborations with larger pharmaceutical companies for research and development.
Based on the provided information, MeiraGTx's major customer/partner is:
- Janssen Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (a subsidiary of Johnson & Johnson, symbol: JNJ)
This relationship is described as a research collaboration agreement to develop regulatable gene therapy treatment.
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nullLatest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| MeiraGTx Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can MeiraGTx Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| MeiraGTx (MGTX) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| MeiraGTx (MGTX) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| MeiraGTx (MGTX) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| MeiraGTx (MGTX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| MeiraGTx (MGTX) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| MeiraGTx (MGTX) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| MeiraGTx (MGTX) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Why MeiraGTx Stock Moved: MGTX Stock Has Lost 67% Since 2021 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Revenues | 08/08/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MGTX.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02282026 | QDEL | QuidelOrtho | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | CHE | Chemed | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02272026 | LLY | Eli Lilly | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | HAE | Haemonetics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | IQV | IQVIA | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.1% | 7.1% | -3.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.58 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| Rev LTM | 1,184 |
| Op Inc LTM | -163 |
| FCF LTM | -124 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -148 |
| CFO LTM | -120 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -139 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -62.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -118.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -41.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -97.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -44.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -103.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.6 |
| P/S | 6.7 |
| P/EBIT | -2.8 |
| P/E | -2.3 |
| P/CFO | -3.7 |
| Total Yield | -28.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -16.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -47.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -16.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -120.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.39 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 06/08/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -20.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.59 | $7.74 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -2.6% | -4.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 49.1% | 60.9% |
| Downside Capture | 245.42 | 211.27 |
| Upside Capture | 171.19 | 159.14 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 36.0% | 26.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.79 | 1.46 | 1.60 | 1.86 | 0.97 | 1.30 |
| Up Beta | 0.89 | 2.17 | 0.92 | 1.22 | 0.43 | 0.87 |
| Down Beta | 1.19 | 0.17 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 1.02 | 1.12 |
| Up Capture | 236% | 183% | 244% | 194% | 183% | 384% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 20 | 29 | 61 | 122 | 356 |
| Down Capture | 211% | 190% | 252% | 169% | 131% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 62 | 125 | 380 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGTX | 3.1% | 66.3% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.0% | 17.5% | 0.12 | 31.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 28.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 4.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 18.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 22.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGTX | -14.6% | 65.4% | 0.02 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.5% | 14.5% | 0.33 | 28.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 31.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 3.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 28.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 17.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MGTX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGTX | -7.9% | 66.6% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.1% | 16.5% | 0.50 | 33.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 36.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 3.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 10.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 33.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 17.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -4.6% | -12.5% | 2.8% |
| 8/14/2025 | -0.1% | -9.4% | -8.8% |
| 3/13/2025 | 28.7% | 21.2% | -20.9% |
| 11/13/2024 | 5.7% | -10.2% | -9.8% |
| 8/12/2024 | -8.5% | -3.2% | -6.9% |
| 3/14/2024 | -7.1% | 2.2% | -12.4% |
| 11/14/2023 | 2.3% | 19.7% | 0.8% |
| 8/10/2023 | 4.3% | 1.4% | -3.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 3 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -9.4% | -8.8% |
| Max Positive | 28.7% | 21.2% | 2.8% |
| Max Negative | -14.0% | -33.0% | -20.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/13/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/10/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giroux, Richard | CFO & COO | Direct | Sell | 10212025 | 8.87 | 24,000 | 212,880 | 7,357,612 | Form |
| 2 | Forbes, Alexandria | PRESIDENT & CEO | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 8.39 | 47,500 | 398,525 | 11,024,317 | Form |
| 3 | Giroux, Richard | CFO & COO | Direct | Sell | 7222025 | 8.52 | 24,000 | 204,480 | 7,271,769 | Form |
| 4 | Forbes, Alexandria | PRESIDENT & CEO | Direct | Sell | 7082025 | 7.97 | 47,500 | 378,575 | 10,851,020 | Form |
| 5 | Giroux, Richard | CFO & COO | Direct | Sell | 4222025 | 6.00 | 24,000 | 144,000 | 5,294,964 | Form |
Industry Resources
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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