MeiraGTx (MGTX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.09 | Market Cap: $654.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
MeiraGTx (MGTX)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $8.09Market Cap: $654.9 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -36% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -164 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -598% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -96% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -424%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -441% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% | ||
| Key risksMGTX key risks include [1] a high risk of bankruptcy within the next two years and [2] the potential failure to obtain valuable priority review vouchers before a critical 2026 statutory deadline. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 97% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -164 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -598% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -96% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -424%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -441% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 56% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% |
| Key risksMGTX key risks include [1] a high risk of bankruptcy within the next two years and [2] the potential failure to obtain valuable priority review vouchers before a critical 2026 statutory deadline. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MGTX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock movement of MeiraGTx (MGTX) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, was influenced by several key developments:
1. MeiraGTx entered a significant strategic collaboration with Eli Lilly and Company. This partnership, announced around November 10, 2025, focuses on developing and commercializing genetic medicines in ophthalmology. This collaboration included a $75 million upfront payment to MeiraGTx and granted Lilly exclusive rights to the AAV-AIPL1 program for treating Leber congenital amaurosis 4.
2. Positive financial and operational updates were reported for Q3 2025. MeiraGTx released its Q3 2025 earnings on November 13, 2025. Despite reporting a net loss of $50.5 million and missing analyst EPS and revenue estimates, the company highlighted progress in its clinical programs, including a pivotal Phase 2 study for AAV-hAQP1 and plans to initiate a Phase 3 study for AAV-GAD in Parkinson's disease. The collaboration with Eli Lilly and anticipated funding from another partnership with Hologen AI are expected to support operations into the second half of 2027.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MGTX Return | -24% | 57% | -73% | 8% | -13% | 41% | -57% |
| Peers Return | 65% | 7% | -2% | -5% | -25% | -6% | 17% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MGTX Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 45% | 55% | 47% | 43% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MGTX Max Drawdown | -53% | -23% | -76% | -45% | -45% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -31% | -32% | -31% | -33% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RGNX, SRPT, BMRN, VRTX, NTLA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MGTX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -84.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 559.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 128.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 585 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
MeiraGTx's stock fell -84.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -84.8% loss requires a 559.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MGTX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MeiraGTx
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.16 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| Rev LTM | 1,288 |
| Op Inc LTM | -123 |
| FCF LTM | -114 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -146 |
| CFO LTM | -110 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -137 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 40.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -49.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -113.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -37.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -96.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -41.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -103.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.5 |
| P/S | 6.0 |
| P/EBIT | -3.8 |
| P/E | -3.3 |
| P/CFO | -4.7 |
| Total Yield | -18.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -13.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 13.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -13.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -47.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -23.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -115.1% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | -4.6% | -12.5% | 2.8% |
| 8/14/2025 | -0.1% | -9.4% | -8.8% |
| 3/13/2025 | 28.7% | 21.2% | -20.9% |
| 11/13/2024 | 5.7% | -10.2% | -9.8% |
| 8/12/2024 | -8.5% | -3.2% | -6.9% |
| 3/14/2024 | -7.1% | 2.2% | -12.4% |
| 11/14/2023 | 2.3% | 19.7% | 0.8% |
| 8/10/2023 | 4.3% | 1.4% | -3.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 3 |
| # Negative | 9 | 11 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 8.4% | 2.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -9.4% | -8.8% |
| Max Positive | 28.7% | 21.2% | 2.8% |
| Max Negative | -14.0% | -33.0% | -20.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5132025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Giroux Richard | CFO & COO | 10212025 | Sell | 8.87 | 24,000 | 212,880 | 7,357,612 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |