Tearsheet

MediaCo (MDIA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.879 | Market Cap: $70.1 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Broadcasting

MediaCo (MDIA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.879
Market Cap: $70.1 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Broadcasting

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 36%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 31%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 166%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -19%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 132%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 36%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 31%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 166%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Digital Content & Streaming. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -1.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
4 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.9
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -23 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -19%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 132%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MDIA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -36.5% stock movement for MediaCo (MDIA) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. MediaCo Holding Inc. reported a significant widening of its net loss in the third quarter of 2025.

2. The company swung to a net loss of $17.89 million in Q3 2025, a 132.6% deterioration from the $54.93 million net income reported in Q3 2024.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MDIA Return-105%-79%-63%165%-15%-63%
Peers Return-10%13%-8%-13%24%40%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDIA Win Rate36%50%33%25%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate52%45%30%40%53%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDIA Max Drawdown-0%-81%-64%-2%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-9%-17%-24%-14%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA, SBGI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMDIAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3996.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven214.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven291 days148 days

Compare to WBD, FOXA, NXST, TGNA, SBGI


In The Past

MediaCo's stock fell -97.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/12/2021. A -97.6% loss requires a 3996.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MediaCo (MDIA)

Better Bets than MediaCo (MDIA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MDIA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MediaCo

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDIAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameMediaCo Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
Mkt Price0.8624.5766.45190.9219.4015.1621.98
Mkt Cap0.160.929.75.83.11.14.5
Rev LTM12237,86316,4745,1483,0323,3374,242
Op Inc LTM-231,4123,2431,049737331893
FCF LTM34,1342,665983576211779
FCF 3Y Avg-104,9251,834908568168738
CFO LTM45,2303,0361,112619289866
CFO 3Y Avg-96,0712,1881,056617255837

Growth & Margins

MDIAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameMediaCo Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
Rev Chg LTM165.8%-4.3%14.9%-1.4%5.9%-1.0%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg62.1%17.2%5.6%1.2%-0.4%-8.1%3.4%
Rev Chg Q19.2%-6.0%4.9%-12.3%-5.0%-15.7%-5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.3%-1.5%1.1%-3.2%-1.2%-4.1%-1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-18.6%3.7%19.7%20.4%24.3%9.9%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-23.3%-0.5%18.4%19.8%23.8%5.2%11.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.4%1.2%-0.1%-2.4%-0.4%-3.7%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM3.2%13.8%18.4%21.6%20.4%8.7%16.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-22.8%15.2%14.2%20.5%20.3%7.7%14.7%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%10.9%16.2%19.1%19.0%6.3%13.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-25.0%12.3%11.9%17.6%18.7%5.1%12.1%

Valuation

MDIAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameMediaCo Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
Mkt Cap0.160.929.75.83.11.14.5
P/S0.71.31.71.20.90.31.0
P/EBIT1.813.19.05.53.63.14.5
P/E2.899.813.911.65.9-23.48.8
P/CFO22.09.39.35.44.43.67.3
Total Yield35.5%1.0%8.2%12.3%19.8%2.3%10.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.0%3.7%3.0%6.6%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.2%18.3%8.5%16.7%19.8%21.7%17.5%
D/E1.40.70.31.11.24.01.1
Net D/E1.30.60.11.00.93.51.0

Returns

MDIAWBDFOXANXSTTGNASBGIMedian
NameMediaCo Warner B.Fox Nexstar .Tegna Sinclair  
1M Rtn-18.4%10.2%4.4%-1.2%-1.6%12.8%1.6%
3M Rtn-36.1%106.1%10.6%-6.3%-8.4%9.5%1.6%
6M Rtn-21.4%151.0%23.6%17.3%21.9%22.5%22.2%
12M Rtn-33.1%132.9%44.5%16.8%7.5%-8.1%12.1%
3Y Rtn-23.5%112.7%112.5%16.8%5.1%-30.9%11.0%
1M Excs Rtn-18.4%10.3%4.5%-1.2%-1.6%12.8%1.7%
3M Excs Rtn-39.5%103.4%3.9%-12.1%-13.7%4.7%-4.1%
6M Excs Rtn-36.1%136.3%8.9%2.6%7.2%7.8%7.5%
12M Excs Rtn-47.2%120.9%28.8%3.1%-7.3%-23.7%-2.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-94.2%52.2%50.3%-50.2%-65.1%-103.7%-57.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Audio32    
Corporate and other0    
Video0    
Digital 53  
Events and Sponsorships 3   
Other 34  
Spot Radio Advertising 2630  
Syndication 2   
Nontraditional  5  
Outdoor Advertising   131
Radio   2640
Total3239423941


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Video0    
Audio-1    
Corporate and other-5    
All Other   -4-4
Outdoor Advertising   00
Radio   28
Total-7  -24


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Audio92    
Corporate and other4    
Video0    
Outdoor Advertising   6264
Radio   84103
Total95  146167


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity96,306
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.9%
Average Daily Volume31,890
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.02
Basic Shares Quantity79,719,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025520202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024918202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021324202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021