Tearsheet

Medicus Pharma (MDCX)


Market Price (2/3/2026): $1.18 | Market Cap: $22.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Medicus Pharma (MDCX)


Market Price (2/3/2026): $1.18
Market Cap: $22.0 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -143%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
4   Key risks
MDCX key risks include [1] a substantial 'going concern' risk and critical dependence on securing additional financing, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
2 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -143%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
6 Key risks
MDCX key risks include [1] a substantial 'going concern' risk and critical dependence on securing additional financing, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Medicus Pharma (MDCX) stock has lost about 50% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Medicus Pharma reported a significant increase in its net loss and operating expenses for the third quarter of 2025. The net loss for Q3 2025 was $16.0 million, a substantial rise compared to $2.3 million for the same period in 2024. Operating expenses also increased to $15.4 million from $2.3 million year-ago, attributed to accelerated clinical development programs, capital raising activities, and the integration of the Antev acquisition. This financial update, released on November 14, 2025, was met with a moderate negative market reaction, with MDCX declining by 2.65% on that day.

2. The company's Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) significantly missed analyst expectations. On November 13, 2025, Medicus Pharma reported an EPS of -$1.12 for Q3 2025, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.38 by 194.74%. This substantial earnings miss likely contributed to a loss of investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -51.2% change in MDCX stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)103120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)2.441.19-51.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1419-23.3%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDCX-51.2% 
Market (SPY)2.0%12.3%
Sector (XLV)7.9%-6.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -51.6% change in MDCX stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)2.461.19-51.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1219-34.3%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDCX-51.6% 
Market (SPY)10.3%-4.7%
Sector (XLV)19.9%-6.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -54.2% change in MDCX stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -48.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120252022026Change
Stock Price ($)2.601.19-54.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)000.0%
P/S Multiple0.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1019-48.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDCX-54.2% 
Market (SPY)16.6%4.7%
Sector (XLV)7.4%-2.3%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDCX  
Market (SPY)77.5%7.1%
Sector (XLV)22.2%2.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MDCX Return----41%-37%-22%-71%
Peers Return-39%-43%11%61%24%2%-22%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%1%85%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDCX Win Rate---33%50%0% 
Peers Win Rate28%38%52%47%47%30% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDCX Max Drawdown----53%-40%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-54%-64%-26%-48%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VERU, ARQT, CSTL, IOVA, DERM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

MDCX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,100 days1,480 days

Compare to VERU, ARQT, CSTL, IOVA, DERM

In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Medicus Pharma (MDCX)

Medicus Pharma Ltd. is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for unmet medical needs, with an initial focus on dermatological conditions. They are developing a novel microneedle patch technology for targeted drug delivery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Medicus Pharma (MDCX) is widely considered a defunct or shell company with no currently identifiable major products or services on offer. Based on its corporate name and general industry classifications for such entities, its purported business areas would have included:
  • Pharmaceutical Drug Development: This would involve the research, development, and eventual commercialization of prescription drugs for various medical conditions.
  • Biotechnology Research: This field encompasses the application of biological processes and organisms for industrial and other purposes, including the discovery of new therapeutic agents.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Upon review, it appears that Medicus Pharma with the stock symbol MDCX is not an active, publicly traded company for which major customer information is readily available in public financial filings or databases.

Therefore, I am unable to identify its major customers or categorize its customer base as requested.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Dr. Raza Bokhari, M.B.A., M.D. - Executive Chairman & Chief Executive Officer

Dr. Raza Bokhari serves as the Executive Chairman and CEO of Medicus Pharma Ltd.. He spearheaded the company's listing on NASDAQ and has been instrumental in raising over $20 million for Medicus Pharma since its Toronto Stock Exchange listing. The company, a biotech life sciences firm, focuses on advancing novel and disruptive therapeutic assets, particularly a non-invasive treatment for basal cell carcinoma.

Carolyn Bonner - President & Acting Chief Financial Officer

Carolyn Bonner was appointed as the acting Chief Financial Officer of Medicus Pharma Ltd. in September 2025, taking over during James Quinlan's medical leave. She has also held the position of President of the company since September 2023.

Andrew Alasdair Smith - Chief Operating Officer

Andrew Smith was appointed as the Chief Operating Officer of Medicus Pharma Ltd. in June 2025. He brings over three decades of experience to this role, having most recently served as Chief Executive of SR Asset Management until its sale in 2024. Prior to that, Mr. Smith held various leadership positions at Aberdeen Asset Management Inc., including Co-Head of Americas and Chief Operating Officer.

Dr. Edward J. Brennan Jr., F.A.C.S., M.D. - Chief Scientific Officer & Head of Research & Development Program

Dr. Edward J. Brennan Jr. was promoted to Chief Scientific Officer and Head of Research & Development Program in November 2024.

Dr. Faisal Mehmud, M.D. - Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Faisal Mehmud was appointed as the Chief Medical Officer of Medicus Pharma Ltd. in November 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Medicus Pharma (MDCX)

  1. Financial Health and Reliance on Future Financing: Medicus Pharma is a pre-revenue, clinical-stage company with significant financial challenges. It currently reports zero revenue and ongoing losses, evidenced by negative earnings per share and substantial cash burn. The company has negative shareholder equity, liquidity constraints, and explicitly states substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern within one year without securing additional financing. This continuous need for capital to fund operations and clinical trials exposes the company to significant financial risk.
  2. Clinical Trial Outcomes and Regulatory Hurdles: As a clinical-stage biotech company, Medicus Pharma's success hinges on the outcomes of its clinical trials and the ability to navigate complex regulatory approval processes. The primary product, SkinJect, is still undergoing Phase 2 trials for which topline results are expected in Q1 2026, and FDA approval, along with significant revenue generation, is not anticipated before 2027-2028. There is no guarantee that clinical trials will be successful or that regulatory approvals will be obtained, posing a significant risk to the business model.
  3. Share Dilution: To address its ongoing need for capital, Medicus Pharma has a history of frequently resorting to equity offerings, leading to significant share dilution for existing shareholders. This trend of raising funds through multiple stock offerings is a major concern as it can continuously dilute the value of existing shares and impact investor confidence.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Medicus Pharma (NASDAQ: MDCX) has two main product candidates with identified addressable markets:

  • Skinject™: This is a dissolvable microneedle patch designed to treat Basal Cell Carcinoma (BCC). Medicus Pharma estimates the global market potential for Skinject™ to be approximately $2 billion. Basal Cell Carcinoma affects nearly 5 million patients in the U.S. and about 30 million patients worldwide.
  • Teverelix TFA: Acquired through Antev Limited, Teverelix TFA is a next-generation GnRH antagonist being developed for prostate conditions, including preventing relapse in Acute Urinary Retention and treating Advanced Prostate Cancer in high-risk patients. The combined global market opportunity for these indications is estimated at $6 billion.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Medicus Pharma (MDCX) has several anticipated drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Advancement and Potential Commercialization of SkinJect for Basal Cell Carcinoma (BCC): The company's lead asset, SkinJect (Doxorubicin-containing Microneedle Array or D-MNA), is a dissolvable microneedle patch for the non-invasive treatment of basal cell carcinoma, a market estimated at approximately $2 billion. Medicus Pharma is progressing through Phase 2 clinical trials in both the U.S. (SKNJCT-003) and the UAE (SKNJCT-004) and is pursuing a 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway with the FDA, which is expected to shorten development timelines and reduce costs. Medicus anticipates completing enrollment for SKNJCT-003 before the end of 2025 and holding an End-of-Phase 2 meeting with the FDA in early 2026, potentially positioning the product for commercial readiness in 2027.
  2. Integration and Development of Teverelix for Acute Urinary Retention and Prostate Cancer: Following the acquisition of Antev Limited in August 2025, Medicus Pharma gained Teverelix, a next-generation GnRH antagonist. This asset is currently undergoing Phase 2b trials for the prevention of relapse in Acute Urinary Retention (AURr) and the treatment of advanced prostate cancer in high-risk patients. These indications collectively represent a potential market opportunity of $6 billion.
  3. Expansion into Veterinary Oncology with D-MNA for Squamous Cell Carcinoma (SCC) in Horses: Medicus Pharma is also developing its D-MNA technology for the treatment of Squamous Cell Carcinoma (SCC) in horses. This program has received a Minor Use in Major Species Designation (MUMS) from the FDA, which is comparable to an orphan drug designation, suggesting a potentially faster and less complex regulatory and commercialization pathway compared to human therapeutics.
  4. Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships to Expand Pipeline: Medicus Pharma has a stated strategy of opportunistically exploring and executing qualified and accretive acquisitions and partnerships to expand its drug development pipeline. The acquisition of Antev Limited is a recent example of this strategy, which aims to identify, acquire, and advance relatively de-risked clinical-stage assets through development and commercialization. This ongoing approach is expected to add new high-value therapeutic candidates that can drive future revenue growth.

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Share Issuance

  • In June 2025, Medicus Pharma completed a public offering, raising $7 million through the sale of 2,260,000 units, each consisting of one common share and one warrant.
  • In March 2025, the company closed a Tier II Regulation A offering, generating $4.2 million from the sale of 1,490,000 units, each including one common share and one warrant.
  • In November 2024, Medicus Pharma completed its initial public offering in the United States, raising $4.0 million by offering 970,000 units.

Inbound Investments

  • On September 29, 2023, Medicus Pharma completed a reverse takeover with SkinJect, Inc., which included a concurrent financing of $5,109,950.
  • RBx Capital, LP, an investment entity owned and managed by the company's Executive Chairman and CEO, served as a lead investor in financings prior to the Business Combination.

Outbound Investments

  • Medicus Pharma announced a letter of intent and later a definitive agreement in June 2025 to acquire UK-based Antev Ltd., a deal valued at approximately $75 million, aiming to add a late-preclinical/early-clinical asset targeting prostate cancer.

Capital Expenditures

  • Research and development expenses significantly increased to $3,527,786 in 2024 from $193,578 in 2023.
  • Proceeds from recent share issuances are primarily allocated to fund the Phase 2 clinical trial for a basal cell carcinoma treatment using a novel skin patch technology.
  • Additional funds may be used to expand the exploratory Phase 2 clinical trial to a pivotal trial or to cover other non-melanoma skin diseases.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to MDCX.

Unique Key

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDCXVERUARQTCSTLIOVADERMMedian
NameMedicus .Veru Arcutis .Castle B.Iovance .Journey . 
Mkt Price1.192.5725.5739.472.618.595.60
Mkt Cap0.00.03.31.11.00.20.6
Rev LTM0031834425059155
Op Inc LTM-30-36-38-35-411-10-35
FCF LTM-19-30-4825-352-4-25
FCF 3Y Avg-10-47-1596-368-6-29
CFO LTM-19-30-3362-323-4-25
CFO 3Y Avg-10-47-15430-347-5-28

Growth & Margins

MDCXVERUARQTCSTLIOVADERMMedian
NameMedicus .Veru Arcutis .Castle B.Iovance .Journey . 
Rev Chg LTM--129.2%10.1%175.6%2.8%69.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--2,325.4%42.6%--6.2%42.6%
Rev Chg Q--121.7%-3.2%15.2%20.5%17.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--20.7%-0.8%3.7%5.3%4.5%
Op Mgn LTM---12.0%-10.2%-164.3%-16.9%-14.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg---216.5%-18.3%-21,256.3%-18.9%-117.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--20.6%-3.5%5.8%3.3%4.5%
CFO/Rev LTM---10.2%18.0%-129.0%-6.6%-8.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---221.7%7.1%-16,938.4%-10.8%-116.3%
FCF/Rev LTM---15.2%7.4%-140.5%-6.6%-10.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---223.7%-1.1%-17,973.0%-12.9%-118.3%

Valuation

MDCXVERUARQTCSTLIOVADERMMedian
NameMedicus .Veru Arcutis .Castle B.Iovance .Journey . 
Mkt Cap0.00.03.31.11.00.20.6
P/S--10.33.33.83.63.7
P/EBIT-0.8-1.1-113.8-61.2-2.3-43.3-22.8
P/E-0.7-1.7-73.6-93.8-2.4-24.7-13.6
P/CFO-1.1-1.3-100.218.6-2.9-54.5-2.1
Total Yield-138.9%-60.4%-1.4%-1.1%-41.9%-4.0%-22.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--563.2%-47.5%-0.1%-23.6%-8.2%-23.6%
D/E0.30.10.00.00.10.10.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.4-0.0-0.2-0.30.0-0.1

Returns

MDCXVERUARQTCSTLIOVADERMMedian
NameMedicus .Veru Arcutis .Castle B.Iovance .Journey . 
1M Rtn-25.6%13.2%-11.8%2.4%3.6%15.3%3.0%
3M Rtn-49.1%-1.2%3.3%51.9%33.8%0.8%2.0%
6M Rtn-50.0%435.0%76.1%157.6%-7.8%20.3%48.2%
12M Rtn-54.2%-53.8%93.1%39.6%-55.4%88.8%-7.1%
3Y Rtn-71.0%-95.5%53.4%39.5%-67.3%250.6%-13.9%
1M Excs Rtn-24.1%18.2%-13.9%-0.4%-6.3%9.5%-3.4%
3M Excs Rtn-54.1%-16.9%0.3%60.8%31.6%1.1%0.7%
6M Excs Rtn-65.5%-59.8%67.1%157.6%-14.4%11.1%-1.7%
12M Excs Rtn-71.2%-70.6%72.1%25.0%-72.9%100.9%-22.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-142.8%-167.5%-13.0%-17.9%-137.9%247.2%-77.9%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date01/26/2024 
Distance from 52W High-84.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.69$3.28
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-29.5%-63.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility75.4%117.4%
Downside Capture299.39194.90
Upside Capture-117.3584.69
Correlation (SPY)11.8%4.8%
MDCX Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.80-0.410.81-0.260.290.29
Up Beta-2.32-5.36-2.54-2.62-0.340.70
Down Beta0.531.992.381.29-0.16-0.83
Up Capture-355%-299%-118%-88%70%10%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days4122047115151
Down Capture120%181%259%89%141%100%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days12253670126159

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDCX
MDCX-58.7%117.1%-0.19-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.1%17.2%0.24-1.9%
Equity (SPY)16.0%19.2%0.645.0%
Gold (GLD)66.9%23.7%2.115.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.0%16.3%0.236.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%16.5%-0.002.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.7%39.9%-0.462.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDCX
MDCX-25.7%124.1%-0.37-
Sector ETF (XLV)7.3%14.5%0.331.5%
Equity (SPY)14.1%17.1%0.669.2%
Gold (GLD)19.9%16.6%0.974.5%
Commodities (DBC)11.4%18.9%0.494.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%18.8%0.154.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)20.9%57.6%0.568.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDCX
MDCX-13.8%124.1%-0.37-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.6%16.6%0.531.5%
Equity (SPY)15.9%17.9%0.769.2%
Gold (GLD)15.0%15.3%0.814.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.394.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.8%20.8%0.254.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.1%66.4%1.108.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 1231202510.6%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity18.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/25/20246-K

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Velocity, Fund Partners, Lp See FootnoteSell52120257.7275,000578,94025,077,682Form