Medicus Pharma (MDCX)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $1.18 | Market Cap: $22.0 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Medicus Pharma (MDCX)
Market Price (2/3/2026): $1.18Market Cap: $22.0 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -143% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% | ||
| Key risksMDCX key risks include [1] a substantial 'going concern' risk and critical dependence on securing additional financing, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Biopharmaceutical R&D, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -113%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -30 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -143% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% |
| Key risksMDCX key risks include [1] a substantial 'going concern' risk and critical dependence on securing additional financing, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Medicus Pharma reported a significant increase in its net loss and operating expenses for the third quarter of 2025. The net loss for Q3 2025 was $16.0 million, a substantial rise compared to $2.3 million for the same period in 2024. Operating expenses also increased to $15.4 million from $2.3 million year-ago, attributed to accelerated clinical development programs, capital raising activities, and the integration of the Antev acquisition. This financial update, released on November 14, 2025, was met with a moderate negative market reaction, with MDCX declining by 2.65% on that day.
2. The company's Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) significantly missed analyst expectations. On November 13, 2025, Medicus Pharma reported an EPS of -$1.12 for Q3 2025, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimate of -$0.38 by 194.74%. This substantial earnings miss likely contributed to a loss of investor confidence.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -51.2% change in MDCX stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.44 | 1.19 | -51.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 14 | 19 | -23.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDCX | -51.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.0% | 12.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.9% | -6.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -51.6% change in MDCX stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.46 | 1.19 | -51.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 19 | -34.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDCX | -51.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.3% | -4.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 19.9% | -6.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -54.2% change in MDCX stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -48.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2022026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.60 | 1.19 | -54.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | ∞ | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 10 | 19 | -48.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDCX | -54.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.6% | 4.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.4% | -2.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/2/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDCX | ||
| Market (SPY) | 77.5% | 7.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.2% | 2.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MDCX Return | - | - | - | -41% | -37% | -22% | -71% |
| Peers Return | -39% | -43% | 11% | 61% | 24% | 2% | -22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MDCX Win Rate | - | - | - | 33% | 50% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 28% | 38% | 52% | 47% | 47% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MDCX Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -53% | -40% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -54% | -64% | -26% | -48% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VERU, ARQT, CSTL, IOVA, DERM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MDCX has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to VERU, ARQT, CSTL, IOVA, DERM
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Medicus Pharma (MDCX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlnull
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Medicus Pharma (MDCX) is widely considered a defunct or shell company with no currently identifiable major products or services on offer. Based on its corporate name and general industry classifications for such entities, its purported business areas would have included:- Pharmaceutical Drug Development: This would involve the research, development, and eventual commercialization of prescription drugs for various medical conditions.
- Biotechnology Research: This field encompasses the application of biological processes and organisms for industrial and other purposes, including the discovery of new therapeutic agents.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Upon review, it appears that Medicus Pharma with the stock symbol MDCX is not an active, publicly traded company for which major customer information is readily available in public financial filings or databases.
Therefore, I am unable to identify its major customers or categorize its customer base as requested.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dr. Raza Bokhari, M.B.A., M.D. - Executive Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Dr. Raza Bokhari serves as the Executive Chairman and CEO of Medicus Pharma Ltd.. He spearheaded the company's listing on NASDAQ and has been instrumental in raising over $20 million for Medicus Pharma since its Toronto Stock Exchange listing. The company, a biotech life sciences firm, focuses on advancing novel and disruptive therapeutic assets, particularly a non-invasive treatment for basal cell carcinoma.
Carolyn Bonner - President & Acting Chief Financial Officer
Carolyn Bonner was appointed as the acting Chief Financial Officer of Medicus Pharma Ltd. in September 2025, taking over during James Quinlan's medical leave. She has also held the position of President of the company since September 2023.
Andrew Alasdair Smith - Chief Operating Officer
Andrew Smith was appointed as the Chief Operating Officer of Medicus Pharma Ltd. in June 2025. He brings over three decades of experience to this role, having most recently served as Chief Executive of SR Asset Management until its sale in 2024. Prior to that, Mr. Smith held various leadership positions at Aberdeen Asset Management Inc., including Co-Head of Americas and Chief Operating Officer.
Dr. Edward J. Brennan Jr., F.A.C.S., M.D. - Chief Scientific Officer & Head of Research & Development Program
Dr. Edward J. Brennan Jr. was promoted to Chief Scientific Officer and Head of Research & Development Program in November 2024.
Dr. Faisal Mehmud, M.D. - Chief Medical Officer
Dr. Faisal Mehmud was appointed as the Chief Medical Officer of Medicus Pharma Ltd. in November 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Medicus Pharma (MDCX)
- Financial Health and Reliance on Future Financing: Medicus Pharma is a pre-revenue, clinical-stage company with significant financial challenges. It currently reports zero revenue and ongoing losses, evidenced by negative earnings per share and substantial cash burn. The company has negative shareholder equity, liquidity constraints, and explicitly states substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern within one year without securing additional financing. This continuous need for capital to fund operations and clinical trials exposes the company to significant financial risk.
- Clinical Trial Outcomes and Regulatory Hurdles: As a clinical-stage biotech company, Medicus Pharma's success hinges on the outcomes of its clinical trials and the ability to navigate complex regulatory approval processes. The primary product, SkinJect, is still undergoing Phase 2 trials for which topline results are expected in Q1 2026, and FDA approval, along with significant revenue generation, is not anticipated before 2027-2028. There is no guarantee that clinical trials will be successful or that regulatory approvals will be obtained, posing a significant risk to the business model.
- Share Dilution: To address its ongoing need for capital, Medicus Pharma has a history of frequently resorting to equity offerings, leading to significant share dilution for existing shareholders. This trend of raising funds through multiple stock offerings is a major concern as it can continuously dilute the value of existing shares and impact investor confidence.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Medicus Pharma (NASDAQ: MDCX) has two main product candidates with identified addressable markets:
- Skinject™: This is a dissolvable microneedle patch designed to treat Basal Cell Carcinoma (BCC). Medicus Pharma estimates the global market potential for Skinject™ to be approximately $2 billion. Basal Cell Carcinoma affects nearly 5 million patients in the U.S. and about 30 million patients worldwide.
- Teverelix TFA: Acquired through Antev Limited, Teverelix TFA is a next-generation GnRH antagonist being developed for prostate conditions, including preventing relapse in Acute Urinary Retention and treating Advanced Prostate Cancer in high-risk patients. The combined global market opportunity for these indications is estimated at $6 billion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Medicus Pharma (MDCX) has several anticipated drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
- Advancement and Potential Commercialization of SkinJect for Basal Cell Carcinoma (BCC): The company's lead asset, SkinJect (Doxorubicin-containing Microneedle Array or D-MNA), is a dissolvable microneedle patch for the non-invasive treatment of basal cell carcinoma, a market estimated at approximately $2 billion. Medicus Pharma is progressing through Phase 2 clinical trials in both the U.S. (SKNJCT-003) and the UAE (SKNJCT-004) and is pursuing a 505(b)(2) regulatory pathway with the FDA, which is expected to shorten development timelines and reduce costs. Medicus anticipates completing enrollment for SKNJCT-003 before the end of 2025 and holding an End-of-Phase 2 meeting with the FDA in early 2026, potentially positioning the product for commercial readiness in 2027.
- Integration and Development of Teverelix for Acute Urinary Retention and Prostate Cancer: Following the acquisition of Antev Limited in August 2025, Medicus Pharma gained Teverelix, a next-generation GnRH antagonist. This asset is currently undergoing Phase 2b trials for the prevention of relapse in Acute Urinary Retention (AURr) and the treatment of advanced prostate cancer in high-risk patients. These indications collectively represent a potential market opportunity of $6 billion.
- Expansion into Veterinary Oncology with D-MNA for Squamous Cell Carcinoma (SCC) in Horses: Medicus Pharma is also developing its D-MNA technology for the treatment of Squamous Cell Carcinoma (SCC) in horses. This program has received a Minor Use in Major Species Designation (MUMS) from the FDA, which is comparable to an orphan drug designation, suggesting a potentially faster and less complex regulatory and commercialization pathway compared to human therapeutics.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships to Expand Pipeline: Medicus Pharma has a stated strategy of opportunistically exploring and executing qualified and accretive acquisitions and partnerships to expand its drug development pipeline. The acquisition of Antev Limited is a recent example of this strategy, which aims to identify, acquire, and advance relatively de-risked clinical-stage assets through development and commercialization. This ongoing approach is expected to add new high-value therapeutic candidates that can drive future revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, Medicus Pharma completed a public offering, raising $7 million through the sale of 2,260,000 units, each consisting of one common share and one warrant.
- In March 2025, the company closed a Tier II Regulation A offering, generating $4.2 million from the sale of 1,490,000 units, each including one common share and one warrant.
- In November 2024, Medicus Pharma completed its initial public offering in the United States, raising $4.0 million by offering 970,000 units.
Inbound Investments
- On September 29, 2023, Medicus Pharma completed a reverse takeover with SkinJect, Inc., which included a concurrent financing of $5,109,950.
- RBx Capital, LP, an investment entity owned and managed by the company's Executive Chairman and CEO, served as a lead investor in financings prior to the Business Combination.
Outbound Investments
- Medicus Pharma announced a letter of intent and later a definitive agreement in June 2025 to acquire UK-based Antev Ltd., a deal valued at approximately $75 million, aiming to add a late-preclinical/early-clinical asset targeting prostate cancer.
Capital Expenditures
- Research and development expenses significantly increased to $3,527,786 in 2024 from $193,578 in 2023.
- Proceeds from recent share issuances are primarily allocated to fund the Phase 2 clinical trial for a basal cell carcinoma treatment using a novel skin patch technology.
- Additional funds may be used to expand the exploratory Phase 2 clinical trial to a pivotal trial or to cover other non-melanoma skin diseases.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.60 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 155 |
| Op Inc LTM | -35 |
| FCF LTM | -25 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -29 |
| CFO LTM | -25 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -28 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 69.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 42.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -14.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -117.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 4.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -8.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -116.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -10.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -118.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 3.7 |
| P/EBIT | -22.8 |
| P/E | -13.6 |
| P/CFO | -2.1 |
| Total Yield | -22.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -23.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 48.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -13.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -77.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.19 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/26/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -84.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.69 | $3.28 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -29.5% | -63.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 75.4% | 117.4% |
| Downside Capture | 299.39 | 194.90 |
| Upside Capture | -117.35 | 84.69 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.80 | -0.41 | 0.81 | -0.26 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Up Beta | -2.32 | -5.36 | -2.54 | -2.62 | -0.34 | 0.70 |
| Down Beta | 0.53 | 1.99 | 2.38 | 1.29 | -0.16 | -0.83 |
| Up Capture | -355% | -299% | -118% | -88% | 70% | 10% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 4 | 12 | 20 | 47 | 115 | 151 |
| Down Capture | 120% | 181% | 259% | 89% | 141% | 100% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 25 | 36 | 70 | 126 | 159 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MDCX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDCX | -58.7% | 117.1% | -0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.1% | 17.2% | 0.24 | -1.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.0% | 19.2% | 0.64 | 5.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 66.9% | 23.7% | 2.11 | 5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.0% | 16.3% | 0.23 | 6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 16.5% | -0.00 | 2.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.7% | 39.9% | -0.46 | 2.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MDCX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDCX | -25.7% | 124.1% | -0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.3% | 14.5% | 0.33 | 1.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.1% | 17.1% | 0.66 | 9.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.9% | 16.6% | 0.97 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 4.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.5% | 18.8% | 0.15 | 4.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 20.9% | 57.6% | 0.56 | 8.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MDCX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDCX | -13.8% | 124.1% | -0.37 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.6% | 16.6% | 0.53 | 1.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 9.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.3% | 0.81 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 4.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 4.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 71.1% | 66.4% | 1.10 | 8.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velocity, Fund Partners, Lp | See Footnote | Sell | 5212025 | 7.72 | 75,000 | 578,940 | 25,077,682 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.