MDB Capital (MDBH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.64 | Market Cap: $36.2 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets
MDB Capital (MDBH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.64Market Cap: $36.2 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Diversified Capital Markets
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -804% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x | |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include IP-Backed Finance. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include IP-Backed Finance. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -116% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -804% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MDBH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the 4.6% stock movement for MDB Capital (MDBH) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Initial Positive Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings Announcement. While MDB Capital Holdings reported challenging third-quarter 2025 earnings with a negative EPS of -0.46 USD and revenue of 1.25 million USD, the announcement initially led to a brief increase in stock value, despite a subsequent decline in aftermarket trading, indicating mixed investor reactions.
2. Strategic Focus on the Metabolic Health Market. The company continued to emphasize its strategic shift towards more profitable ventures, particularly its focus on the lucrative metabolic health sector. This repositioning likely contributed to investor optimism regarding future growth prospects despite current financial challenges.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MDBH Return | - | - | - | - | -45% | -44% | -69% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -19% | -19% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MDBH Win Rate | - | - | - | 33% | 25% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MDBH Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -48% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MDBH has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4470 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| MDB Capital Stock Drop Looks Sharp, But How Deep Can It Go? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MDBH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.1% | 0.1% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.1% | -0.1% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.7% | -7.7% | -11.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MDB Capital
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 7.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| Rev LTM | 21 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1 |
| FCF LTM | -6 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -8 |
| CFO LTM | -6 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -3 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 134.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 174.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 22.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -438.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -34.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -41.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -182.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -195.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -191.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| P/S | 14.6 |
| P/EBIT | 2.8 |
| P/E | 5.3 |
| P/CFO | -7.5 |
| Total Yield | 18.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | - |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -33.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -50.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -70.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -93.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -34.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -65.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -85.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -166.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8132024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5132024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8302023 | 424B3 6/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 8022023 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 2022023 | S-1/A 9/30/2022 |
| 12312021 | 11102022 | S-1 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |