Tearsheet

MDB Capital (MDBH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.64 | Market Cap: $36.2 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

MDB Capital (MDBH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.64
Market Cap: $36.2 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Diversified Capital Markets

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -804%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include IP-Backed Finance.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 135%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include IP-Backed Finance.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -804%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 15x
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
9 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -195%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MDBH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the 4.6% stock movement for MDB Capital (MDBH) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Initial Positive Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings Announcement. While MDB Capital Holdings reported challenging third-quarter 2025 earnings with a negative EPS of -0.46 USD and revenue of 1.25 million USD, the announcement initially led to a brief increase in stock value, despite a subsequent decline in aftermarket trading, indicating mixed investor reactions.

2. Strategic Focus on the Metabolic Health Market. The company continued to emphasize its strategic shift towards more profitable ventures, particularly its focus on the lucrative metabolic health sector. This repositioning likely contributed to investor optimism regarding future growth prospects despite current financial challenges.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MDBH Return-----45%-44%-69%
Peers Return-1%0%0%0%0%-19%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDBH Win Rate---33%25%30% 
Peers Win Rate2%0%0%0%0%22% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDBH Max Drawdown-----48%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-1%0%0%0%0%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABTC, FIGR, GEMI, MIAX, STKE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

MDBH has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven525 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-43.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven76.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven295 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven338 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven515.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4470 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MDB Capital (MDBH)

Better Bets than MDB Capital (MDBH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MDBH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for MDB Capital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDBHABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameMDB Capi.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Mkt Price3.642.3935.3810.7644.732.657.20
Mkt Cap0.0-----0.0
Rev LTM3---1,2552121
Op Inc LTM-25---5811
FCF LTM-6---7-85-6
FCF 3Y Avg-8---15-29-8
CFO LTM-6---49-9-6
CFO 3Y Avg-8---48-3-3

Growth & Margins

MDBHABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameMDB Capi.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Rev Chg LTM134.6%---19.6%1,558.9%134.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg----16.7%332.7%174.7%
Rev Chg Q-100.0%---22.9%311.8%22.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-29.9%---5.1%21.4%5.1%
Op Mgn LTM-803.9%---4.7%6.2%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-878.4%---1.3%--438.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-221.4%---2.9%-34.5%-34.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-195.4%---3.9%-41.1%-41.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-368.3%---4.1%--182.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-195.4%---0.5%-404.8%-195.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-383.5%---1.1%--191.2%

Valuation

MDBHABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameMDB Capi.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
Mkt Cap0.0-----0.0
P/S14.6-----14.6
P/EBIT2.8-----2.8
P/E5.3-----5.3
P/CFO-7.5------7.5
Total Yield18.7%-----18.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%-----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E0.0-----0.0
Net D/E-0.4------0.4

Returns

MDBHABTCFIGRGEMIMIAXSTKEMedian
NameMDB Capi.American.Figure T.Gemini S.Miami In.Sol Stra. 
1M Rtn-1.6%-51.4%-15.4%-39.5%-1.8%-14.8%-15.1%
3M Rtn4.0%-70.3%-93.3%-26.4%--33.1%
6M Rtn-7.4%--93.3%----50.4%
12M Rtn-47.6%--93.3%----70.5%
3Y Rtn---93.3%----93.3%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%-51.4%-15.4%-39.5%-1.7%-14.8%-15.1%
3M Excs Rtn-0.8%-68.1%-98.7%-20.7%--34.4%
6M Excs Rtn-22.1%--108.0%----65.1%
12M Excs Rtn-63.3%--106.9%----85.1%
3Y Excs Rtn---166.1%----166.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,053
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-57.0%
Average Daily Volume12,614
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity9,950,632
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024513202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023329202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
63020238302023424B3 6/30/2023
123120228022023424B4 12/31/2022
93020222022023S-1/A 9/30/2022
1231202111102022S-1 12/31/2021