Marchex (MCHX)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $1.54 | Market Cap: $67.6 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising
Marchex (MCHX)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $1.54Market Cap: $67.6 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Advertising
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Advertising. Themes include AI Software Platforms, and Ad-Tech Platforms. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.0% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% Key risksMCHX key risks include [1] near-term revenue dilution from its strategic platform migration, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Advertising. Themes include AI Software Platforms, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -24%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.6% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.0% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.1%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Key risksMCHX key risks include [1] near-term revenue dilution from its strategic platform migration, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Q4 2025 Earnings Miss and Migration-Related Revenue Dilution.
Marchex reported a Q4 2025 diluted EPS of ($0.04), missing the consensus estimate of ($0.01), and revenue of $10.85 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $10.97 million. This underperformance was attributed to revenue dilution stemming from migration activities from legacy platforms to the new Marchex Engage platform, which also impacted revenue run rates at the start of Q1 2026.
2. Strategic Focus on AI and New Platform Rollout.
The company's strategic pivot towards AI and conversational intelligence, highlighted by the broad availability of its AI-powered Marchex Engage Platform in April 2026 and new integrations like Freshpaint in March 2026, provided a forward-looking growth narrative. This focus aims to accelerate revenue growth by 10% and expand margins in 2026, counteracting the short-term negative impacts of the platform migration.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -3.0% change in MCHX stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.64 | 1.59 | -3.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 46 | 45 | -2.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 1.5 | -0.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 44 | 44 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -3.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCHX | -3.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | 15.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | -3.2% | 3.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -9.1% change in MCHX stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.75 | 1.59 | -9.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 48 | 45 | -4.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 1.5 | -4.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 44 | 44 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -9.1% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCHX | -9.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 23.7% |
| Sector (XLC) | 1.6% | 9.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.2% change in MCHX stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 16.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.47 | 1.59 | 8.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 48 | 45 | -5.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 1.5 | 16.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 44 | -1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.2% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCHX | 8.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 34.6% | 20.7% |
| Sector (XLC) | 22.9% | 12.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.0% change in MCHX stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.87 | 1.59 | -15.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 52 | 45 | -12.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43 | 44 | -2.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCHX | -15.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.4% | 18.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | 99.9% | 18.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCHX Return | 27% | -35% | -15% | 29% | -5% | -4% | -18% |
| Peers Return | -38% | -72% | -2% | -18% | -29% | 19% | -88% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCHX Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 23% | 52% | 43% | 42% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCHX Max Drawdown | 0% | -49% | -22% | -10% | -25% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -79% | -37% | -52% | -52% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FIVN, TWLO, LPSN, RNG, EGHT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCHX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 309 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 306 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -10.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.3% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -16.5% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Marchex's stock fell -34.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 52.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | MCHX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 309 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -57.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 136.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 306 days | 140 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.5% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 89 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.1% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 272.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 883 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Marchex's stock fell -34.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 52.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Marchex (MCHX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Marchex is like **Google Analytics, but for phone calls and text messages**, providing insights into customer conversations instead of website traffic.
Think of Marchex as a **specialized Salesforce for conversational intelligence**, using AI to analyze customer calls and texts to drive sales and improve engagement.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Marchex Call Analytics: An analytics platform for enterprises that depend on inbound phone calls to drive sales, appointments, and reservations.
- Marchex Call Analytics, Conversation Edition: Enables actionable insights for enterprise, mid-sized, and small businesses from their customer conversations.
- Text Analytics and Communications: An intelligent mobile messaging solution that facilitates two-way text/SMS communications between businesses and their staff, prospects, and customers.
- Call Monitoring: Provides call recording services.
- Marchex Marketing Edge: An analytics solution for marketers in businesses that rely on inbound phone calls for sales, appointments, and reservations.
- Marchex Engage: A sales engagement product that combines Marchex artificial intelligence and machine learning with call monitoring and scoring services.
- Marchex Spotlight: A product designed for corporate and regional managers to improve performance.
- Marchex Engage for Automotive: A specialized version of Marchex Engage tailored for the automotive industry.
- Marchex Platform Services: Allows businesses to integrate Marchex conversation intelligence into their existing workflows, enabling them to decode what happens in customer conversations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Marchex (MCHX) primarily sells its analytics and solutions to other companies (B2B).
The provided background description does not list specific customer company names. However, it indicates that Marchex targets and serves the following categories of businesses:
- Enterprises: Large businesses that depend on inbound phone calls to drive sales, appointments, and reservations. These businesses utilize Marchex's analytics platforms for actionable insights and conversation intelligence.
- Mid-sized businesses: Companies that leverage Marchex's solutions for intelligent mobile messaging, call monitoring, and marketing analytics to engage with prospects and customers.
- Small businesses: Businesses that utilize Marchex's conversation intelligence platforms to decode customer conversations and drive sales, appointments, and reservations.
- Automotive Businesses: The company specifically offers "Marchex Engage for Automotive," indicating a targeted focus on businesses within the automotive industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Russell Horowitz, Chairman
Mr. Horowitz is a co-founder of Marchex and currently serves as its Chairman of the Board. He previously held roles including Executive Chairman, Co-CEO, and served as CEO, Treasurer, and Chairman of the Board from the company's inception until February 2015. Prior to Marchex, Mr. Horowitz founded Go2Net, an online services provider, where he was Chairman and Chief Executive Officer from its inception in 1996 until its merger with InfoSpace in October 2000. He then served as Vice Chairman and President of the combined company. Additionally, Mr. Horowitz served as CEO and a director of Xanthus Management, LLC, and was a founder and Chief Financial Officer of Active Apparel Group (now Everlast Worldwide). He has started five companies across four industries, with three of them becoming public companies.
Troy Hartless, President and Chief Revenue Officer
Mr. Hartless joined Marchex in 2023 and currently leads Sales, Marketing, Engineering, Product Management, Solutions Consulting, and Customer Success. He was appointed President in September 2025, concurrently retaining his Chief Revenue Officer responsibilities. Prior to joining Marchex, Mr. Hartless served as a CEO at a previous company.
Brian Nagle, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Nagle was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Marchex effective September 15, 2025. Before this role, he served as the Senior Vice President and Corporate Controller at Marchex. He brings over 15 years of experience in finance, operations, and strategic leadership.
Francis J. Feeney, Chief Operating Officer and Chief Legal Officer
Mr. Feeney joined Marchex in 2018 and oversees the company's corporate, legal, and strategic affairs. He was appointed Chief Operating Officer in September 2025, in addition to his role as Chief Legal Officer. He also serves as Corporate Secretary.
Ryan Polley, Chief Product and Strategy Officer
Mr. Polley joined Marchex in March 2020, where he leads the product and engineering organizations. He has a strong background in developing and implementing product strategies for emerging technology companies. Prior to Marchex, Mr. Polley was Chief Product Officer at Kargo, a mobile technology and advertising company. He also served as Senior Vice President of Product Management & Strategy at Rubicon Project, where he held multiple roles through the company's initial public offering.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Marchex (MCHX) faces several key risks to its business:- Financial Health and Sustained Unprofitability: Marchex has demonstrated significant financial health concerns, including an Altman Z-Score of -5.82, which places the company in a distress zone and suggests a potential risk of bankruptcy within two years. The company has consistently reported negative operating and net margins, with a negative operating margin of -10.62% and a net margin of -10.38%. Furthermore, Marchex is projected to remain unprofitable over the next three years, with a three-year revenue growth rate of -3% and declining GAAP revenue. The inability to generate adequate revenue growth and effectively manage expenses poses a significant risk to achieving and maintaining profitability.
- Customer Concentration: A substantial portion of Marchex's revenue is concentrated among a small number of customers. The company derived approximately 33% of its revenue from its five largest customers in 2024. A loss of one or more of these key customers could materially and adversely affect Marchex's results of operations and financial condition. This risk is further amplified by the significant portion of revenue contributed by customers in the automotive and related services sectors.
- Platform Migration and Strategic Transition Risks: Marchex is undergoing a strategic pivot to a Software as a Service (SaaS) model, which is currently resulting in short-term revenue dilution and integration challenges. This platform migration is anticipated to continue impacting revenue, particularly in the near term, and is influenced by seasonality and broader macroeconomic headwinds. The success of this transition, including proposed acquisitions like Archenia to shift towards performance-based customer qualification, is crucial for the company's future revenue profile and growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat for Marchex is the rapid advancement and increasing accessibility of **generative artificial intelligence (AI) and large language models (LLMs)**. Marchex's core business involves leveraging its proprietary AI and machine learning to provide conversation intelligence, call analytics, and insights from spoken and text-based customer interactions (e.g., identifying sentiment, summarizing conversations, scoring calls, extracting actionable insights). As powerful, general-purpose LLMs become more sophisticated, widely available (often through APIs or open-source models), and easier to integrate, businesses may increasingly use these foundational AI technologies to build their own conversation intelligence solutions in-house or utilize more generalized AI platforms. This development could commoditize many of the specialized AI-driven services Marchex offers, potentially disintermediating Marchex as a specialized vendor and placing significant competitive pressure on its product offerings and pricing power.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Marchex (MCHX) operates in several addressable markets related to conversation intelligence, call analytics, text analytics, and sales engagement platforms.
Addressable Markets for Marchex's Main Products and Services:
- Call Analytics: The global call analytics market was valued at USD 1.92 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 5.73 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.2% from 2025 to 2033. In North America, the market size for call analytics was USD 820 million in 2024.
- Conversation Intelligence Software/Platform: The global conversation intelligence software market size was USD 22.89 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 49.52 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 10.18% from 2025-2032. Another estimate indicates the global conversation intelligence platform market size at USD 4.54 billion in 2026, projected to reach USD 41.78 billion by 2035, at a CAGR of 28% during this forecast period. North America was the largest region in the conversation intelligence software market in 2025.
- Text Analytics: The global text analytics market size was recorded at USD 9.55 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 41.2 billion in 2032, growing at a CAGR of 17.65% over the forecast period of 2024-2032. North America dominated the text analytics market, holding a revenue share of over 40% in 2023. In 2026, North America is expected to account for over 36% of the text analytics market share, reaching approximately US$ 4.4 billion.
- Sales Engagement Platform: The global sales engagement platform market was estimated at USD 8.99 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach US$ 9.2 billion in 2026 and US$ 26.6 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 16.4% between 2026 and 2033. North America remains the largest market for Sales Engagement Platforms, holding approximately 60% of the global market share. Specifically, the United States market size was USD 4,000 million in 2024.
- Mobile Messaging Services (for business/enterprise messaging): The global Mobile Messaging Service market size was USD 102.58 billion in 2024. It is expected to grow to USD 293.44 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 16.20% from 2024 to 2031. North America held over 40% of the global mobile messaging services market revenue in 2024, with a market size of USD 41.03 billion. Another source states the mobile messaging market size (global) was USD 139.42 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 161.65 billion in 2026.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Marchex (MCHX) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, stemming from strategic product development, market expansion, and operational enhancements:
- Launch and Adoption of AI-Powered Conversational Intelligence Solutions: Marchex expects continued revenue growth from the ongoing launch and adoption of its new AI-driven products and features, particularly the Marchex Engage platform. These solutions are designed to provide actionable insights for businesses to optimize customer acquisition and experiences. The company anticipates increased sales bookings as these new products gain traction.
- Acquisition of Archenia: The proposed acquisition of Archenia, a performance-based customer qualification and acquisition company, is a significant driver. This acquisition is expected to broaden Marchex's addressable market by offering AI-driven bundled solutions across insights, actions, and outcomes, making a $100 million revenue opportunity more achievable. The combined entity is projected to achieve higher annualized revenue run rates and growth in 2026.
- Expansion of Customer Footprint and Upsells in Key Verticals: Marchex aims to drive revenue growth by expanding its customer base through new sales and by increasing upsells to existing customers. The company is particularly focused on high-value verticals such as automotive and healthcare, where it has been expanding relationships with large original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Growth in channel partnerships and marketplace presence, including the Microsoft Azure Marketplace, is also contributing to this expansion.
- Improved Operational Efficiency and Leverage from Platform Migration: The completion of the primary platform migration to the Marchex Engage platform by the end of 2025 is expected to contribute to revenue growth and improved gross profit margins. This operational efficiency, achieved through a lower overall cost structure, is anticipated to enable meaningful future operating and financial leverage for the business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here is a summary of Marchex's capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:Share Repurchases
- On May 13, 2025, Marchex's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program, superseding prior programs, to repurchase up to 3,000,000 shares of its Class B common stock.
- Marchex reported spending $0 on share buybacks in the third quarter of 2024.
Share Issuance
- On December 17, 2025, an insider (chairman) was granted options to purchase 50,000 shares of Class B common stock at an exercise price of $1.64 per share, with vesting scheduled for 2026 and 2027.
- Marchex's capital structure relies significantly on equity, maintaining minimal debt to fund its growth.
Inbound Investments
- Institutional investors hold 73.46% of Marchex's stock.
- Over the last 24 months, institutional investors collectively purchased 1,571,539 shares, representing approximately $2.85 million in transactions.
- Notable institutional purchases in the last 24 months include Kanen Wealth Management LLC ($1.25 million) and AMH Equity Ltd ($311.16 thousand).
Outbound Investments
- On November 13, 2025, Marchex entered an agreement in principle to acquire Archenia, a performance-based customer qualification and acquisition company.
- The acquisition involves a $10 million convertible promissory note and a potential earn-out of up to 4 million shares of Class B common stock.
Capital Expenditures
- In 2025, Marchex incurred capital expenditures of $429 thousand, which significantly consumed its operating cash flow.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures has been on investing in cloud infrastructure and platform integration, as well as expanding AI, data science, and machine learning capabilities.
- Product development costs, which include investments in AI for conversational intelligence, were approximately $3.2 million in both the first and second quarters of 2024.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Marchex Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is Marchex Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MCHX.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04242026 | CMCSA | Comcast | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -2.9% |
| 04022026 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.0% | 7.0% | -8.9% |
| 03272026 | META | Meta Platforms | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.4% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| 03062026 | CARG | CarGurus | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.3% | 8.3% | -8.3% |
| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 31.6% | 31.6% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.71 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 951 |
| Op Inc LTM | 34 |
| FCF LTM | 104 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 84 |
| CFO LTM | 145 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 121 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 408.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 173.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 1.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 21.8 |
| P/EBIT | 20.3 |
| P/E | 13.8 |
| P/CFO | 6.1 |
| Total Yield | -0.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 34.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -14.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 18.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -91.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.59 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/31/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -27.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.56 | $1.71 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.9% | -7.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 45.1% | 48.2% |
| Downside Capture | 77.46 | 51.28 |
| Upside Capture | 47.42 | 45.38 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 12.1% | 19.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.41 | 0.54 | 0.63 | 0.77 | 0.89 | 0.68 |
| Up Beta | 0.58 | 0.25 | 0.50 | 0.98 | 1.30 | 0.65 |
| Down Beta | -1.31 | -0.08 | -0.17 | 0.59 | 0.88 | 0.87 |
| Up Capture | 62% | 123% | 92% | 65% | 58% | 23% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 20 | 25 | 52 | 104 | 319 |
| Down Capture | -172% | 39% | 85% | 85% | 79% | 87% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 30 | 56 | 117 | 367 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCHX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHX | 19.0% | 48.4% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 20.8% | 13.3% | 1.17 | 11.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 32.5% | 12.4% | 1.98 | 18.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.3% | 26.9% | 1.26 | 4.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.3% | 18.5% | 2.06 | -10.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 13.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.0% | 41.7% | -0.46 | 4.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCHX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHX | -9.9% | 55.9% | 0.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.7% | 20.7% | 0.38 | 26.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.7% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 27.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 19.4% | 0.47 | 7.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 18.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 55.9% | 0.34 | 11.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCHX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHX | -7.4% | 53.8% | 0.07 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.6% | 22.3% | 0.50 | 29.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 31.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 4.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.9% | 0.39 | 9.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 25.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.2% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 8.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/25/2026 | -4.7% | 4.7% | 16.8% |
| 11/13/2025 | 2.6% | -7.1% | 6.5% |
| 8/12/2025 | -11.0% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
| 3/6/2025 | 7.1% | 0.5% | -29.1% |
| 10/31/2024 | -4.3% | -4.9% | -3.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | -2.7% | 8.0% | -5.9% |
| 3/14/2024 | 0.0% | 8.5% | -1.5% |
| 11/8/2023 | 4.5% | 0.0% | 7.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| # Negative | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 4.2% | 4.8% | 10.7% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -4.9% | -8.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.0% | 13.8% | 31.1% |
| Max Negative | -19.6% | -23.8% | -29.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 10.85 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Actual: 10.85 Mil for Q4 2025 | |||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 0.50 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 1.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 10.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 10.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 10.0% for 2026 | ||
| 2026 Combined Company Revenue Growth | 17.5% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 17.5% for 2026 | ||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/13/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Combined Revenue Run Rate | 15.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 10.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin | 10.0% | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Combined Annualized Revenue | 60.00 Mil | Higher New | |||||
| 2026 Combined Revenue Growth | 15.0% | 17.5% | 20.0% | Higher New | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.