Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Advertising. Themes include AI Software Platforms, and Ad-Tech Platforms.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.3%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
4   Key risks
MCHX key risks include [1] near-term revenue dilution from its strategic platform migration, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Digital Advertising. Themes include AI Software Platforms, and Ad-Tech Platforms.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -22%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.9 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.3%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -8.3%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.4%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.0%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
7 Key risks
MCHX key risks include [1] near-term revenue dilution from its strategic platform migration, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MCHX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock for Marchex (MCHX) experienced a decline between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, which can be attributed to several factors.

1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: Marchex reported Q3 2025 revenue of $11.5 million, falling short of analyst estimates of $12.1 million. This revenue decline was anticipated by management and attributed to ongoing revenue migration dilution as the company completes moving customers to its new technology platform.

2. Decline in Q3 2025 Revenue Compared to Previous Year: The third-quarter revenue of $11.5 million in 2025 was a decrease from $12.6 million reported in Q3 2024.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MCHX Return-48%27%-35%-15%29%-6%-57%
Peers Return138%-38%-72%-2%-18%-27%-75%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MCHX Win Rate42%50%42%50%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate75%38%23%52%43%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MCHX Max Drawdown-67%0%-49%-22%-10%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-41%-79%-37%-52%-52% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FIVN, TWLO, LPSN, RNG, EGHT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMCHXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven190.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven222.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven78.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven451.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI


In The Past

Marchex's stock fell -65.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/19/2021. A -65.6% loss requires a 190.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Marchex (MCHX)

Better Bets than Marchex (MCHX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MCHX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.0%-5.0%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.5%-1.5%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.3%1.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-28.9%-28.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Marchex

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MCHXFIVNTWLOLPSNRNGEGHTMedian
NameMarchex Five9 Twilio LivePers.RingCent.8x8  
Mkt Price1.6621.11139.224.4829.522.1512.79
Mkt Cap0.11.621.30.02.70.31.0
Rev LTM461,1274,8962582,486721924
Op Inc LTM-513128-31941514
FCF LTM-2127783-405163983
FCF 3Y Avg-495545-423824872
CFO LTM-1192840-2460154123
CFO 3Y Avg-3149601-1346464107

Growth & Margins

MCHXFIVNTWLOLPSNRNGEGHTMedian
NameMarchex Five9 Twilio LivePers.RingCent.8x8  
Rev Chg LTM-4.3%12.5%12.8%-23.0%5.5%0.3%2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.1%14.9%10.4%-20.6%9.2%0.4%4.8%
Rev Chg Q-8.3%8.2%14.7%-19.0%4.9%1.7%3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.2%2.0%3.5%-5.2%1.2%0.4%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-10.6%1.2%2.6%-12.1%3.8%2.1%1.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-14.3%-5.6%-4.5%-20.2%-3.1%-0.3%-5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%2.8%0.9%2.8%1.1%-0.3%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.4%17.1%17.2%-9.3%24.2%7.5%12.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-5.1%14.7%13.2%-4.4%19.7%8.8%11.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.0%11.3%16.0%-15.5%20.8%5.4%8.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.6%9.5%11.9%-12.6%16.1%6.6%8.1%

Valuation

MCHXFIVNTWLOLPSNRNGEGHTMedian
NameMarchex Five9 Twilio LivePers.RingCent.8x8  
Mkt Cap0.11.621.30.02.70.31.0
P/S1.61.73.10.11.00.41.3
P/EBIT-14.838.8119.7-0.327.517.322.4
P/E-15.160.0228.0-0.2193.0-49.029.9
P/CFO-111.49.718.2-1.34.25.44.8
Total Yield-6.6%1.7%0.4%-415.1%0.5%-2.0%-0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.7%4.0%4.4%-561.0%14.0%16.9%4.2%
D/E0.00.40.111.90.51.30.5
Net D/E-0.10.1-0.18.60.51.10.3

Returns

MCHXFIVNTWLOLPSNRNGEGHTMedian
NameMarchex Five9 Twilio LivePers.RingCent.8x8  
1M Rtn14.5%12.8%15.8%-16.6%10.2%15.0%13.6%
3M Rtn-13.5%-18.6%34.5%-56.4%-6.4%5.4%-10.0%
6M Rtn-12.6%-22.8%19.3%-59.9%8.5%16.8%-2.1%
12M Rtn-21.7%-50.6%26.8%-63.6%-24.8%-22.4%-23.6%
3Y Rtn-1.8%-70.1%190.5%-97.2%-25.1%-55.9%-40.5%
1M Excs Rtn13.7%12.0%15.1%-17.3%9.5%14.2%12.9%
3M Excs Rtn-14.0%-21.9%27.1%-57.8%-8.7%-4.1%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn-25.0%-35.2%6.9%-72.3%-3.9%4.5%-14.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.9%-61.1%12.1%-73.6%-35.5%-29.2%-33.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.7%-137.8%120.4%-166.0%-90.3%-120.7%-105.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Conversational analytics and related solutions5052535154
Total5052535154


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,982
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025109.7%
Average Daily Volume45,098
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity43,908,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/20252.6%-7.1% 
8/12/2025-11.0%-2.5%-2.5%
3/6/20257.1%0.5%-29.1%
10/31/2024-4.3%-4.9%-3.3%
8/8/2024-2.7%8.0%-5.9%
3/14/20240.0%8.5%-1.5%
11/8/20234.5%0.0%7.5%
8/3/2023-6.6%-4.2%-16.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10117
# Negative111014
Median Positive4.2%5.0%10.7%
Median Negative-4.7%-6.0%-11.6%
Max Positive12.0%13.8%31.1%
Max Negative-19.6%-24.6%-53.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021329202210-K 12/31/2021