Maze Therapeutics (MAZE)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $25.69 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Maze Therapeutics (MAZE)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $25.69Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Genetics-based Drug Discovery, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -11% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -134 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -670% Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 130% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 101% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -608%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -611% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% Key risksMAZE key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and commercial success of its limited lead candidates, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Genetics-based Drug Discovery, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -11% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -134 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -670% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 130% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 101% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -608%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -611% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Key risksMAZE key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and commercial success of its limited lead candidates, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) stock has lost about 45% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Investor concerns regarding the competitive landscape for MZE829. Despite Maze Therapeutics announcing positive topline Phase 2 HORIZON data for its lead candidate MZE829 on March 25, 2026, the stock plummeted over 30% after the news. MZE829 demonstrated a 35.6% mean reduction in urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) in broad APOL1-mediated kidney disease (AMKD) patients, with a 61.8% reduction in the focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) subgroup. However, investors appeared to compare these results unfavorably to Vertex Pharmaceuticals' rival drug inaxaplin, which had shown a 47.6% drop in proteinuria in FSGS patients in its Phase 2a study, leading to significant selling pressure.
2. Share dilution from a $150 million registered public offering. On April 22, 2026, Maze Therapeutics priced an underwritten registered offering designed to raise $150 million. This offering included 5,540,000 common shares at $23.50 per share and pre-funded warrants for up to 850,000 shares. The increase in the number of outstanding shares resulting from this capital raise likely contributed to downward pressure on the stock price.
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Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) stock has lost about 45% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Investor concerns regarding the competitive landscape for MZE829. Despite Maze Therapeutics announcing positive topline Phase 2 HORIZON data for its lead candidate MZE829 on March 25, 2026, the stock plummeted over 30% after the news. MZE829 demonstrated a 35.6% mean reduction in urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (uACR) in broad APOL1-mediated kidney disease (AMKD) patients, with a 61.8% reduction in the focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS) subgroup. However, investors appeared to compare these results unfavorably to Vertex Pharmaceuticals' rival drug inaxaplin, which had shown a 47.6% drop in proteinuria in FSGS patients in its Phase 2a study, leading to significant selling pressure.
2. Share dilution from a $150 million registered public offering. On April 22, 2026, Maze Therapeutics priced an underwritten registered offering designed to raise $150 million. This offering included 5,540,000 common shares at $23.50 per share and pre-funded warrants for up to 850,000 shares. The increase in the number of outstanding shares resulting from this capital raise likely contributed to downward pressure on the stock price.
3. Persistent operating losses and increased expenses, despite some revenue. Maze Therapeutics reported a net loss of $24.2 million, or $0.45 per share, for the first quarter of 2026, even with $20 million in license revenue from a Shionogi milestone payment. Research and development (R&D) expenses increased to $34.1 million, and general and administrative (G&A) expenses rose to $12.4 million in Q1 2026, reflecting continued high investment in its clinical pipeline. This ongoing burn rate, typical for a clinical-stage biotechnology company, likely maintained investor caution regarding its long-term profitability despite beating Q1 EPS estimates.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -43.7% change in MAZE stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 45.59 | 25.68 | -43.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 20 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 69.2 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 54 | -15.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | -43.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 16.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | -6.4% | 7.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -32.0% change in MAZE stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.75 | 25.68 | -32.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 20 | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| P/S Multiple | ∞ | 69.2 | |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 54 | -15.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | -32.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 13.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.4% | 6.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 156.5% change in MAZE stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.01 | 25.68 | 156.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 20 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 69.2 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 35 | 54 | -35.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | 156.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 16.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.6% | 18.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | ||
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 17.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 22.9% | 17.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MAZE Return | - | - | - | - | 160% | -40% | 56% |
| Peers Return | 43% | -20% | 3% | 78% | -33% | -14% | 20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MAZE Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 46% | 50% | 46% | 58% | 75% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MAZE Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -55% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -46% | -34% | -26% | -59% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, ATYR, AVLN, CNXU, COAG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MAZE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Maze Therapeutics's stock fell -39.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 65.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | MAZE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 79 days |
In The Past
Maze Therapeutics's stock fell -39.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 65.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Maze Therapeutics (MAZE)
Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing precision medicines by leveraging human genetics. The company utilizes its proprietary "Compass platform" to identify and characterize genetic variants linked to diseases and then maps these variants to specific biological pathways. This process, known as "variant functionalization," underpins their strategy to develop novel small molecule drugs designed to mimic protective genetic effects observed in certain patient populations.
The company's pipeline primarily targets renal, cardiovascular, and related metabolic diseases, including obesity. Its two lead programs are orally administered small molecules: MZE829 and MZE782. MZE829 is an APOL1 inhibitor currently in a Phase 2 trial for APOL1 kidney disease (AKD), a severe form of chronic kidney disease (CKD). MZE782, a novel SLC6A19 inhibitor, is in a Phase 1 trial for a broad population of CKD patients who have an inadequate response to existing treatments and is also being investigated for its potential in phenylketonuria (PKU).
Maze Therapeutics addresses significant patient populations, particularly those suffering from chronic kidney disease, a condition affecting tens of millions in the United States. MZE829 targets the over one million patients with AKD, while MZE782 aims to benefit approximately five million CKD patients who struggle with current therapies, potentially offering standalone treatment or complementary benefits. By targeting the underlying genetic drivers of disease, Maze seeks to deliver more effective and tailored therapeutic options for these serious and progressive conditions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Maze Therapeutics is like a **Vertex Pharmaceuticals** focused on developing precision medicines for kidney and metabolic diseases, leveraging deep genetic insights.
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- MZE829: An oral, small molecule inhibitor of apolipoprotein L1 (APOL1) for the treatment of APOL1 kidney disease (AKD).
- MZE782: An oral, small molecule inhibitor of the solute transporter SLC6A19, primarily aimed at chronic kidney disease (CKD) with potential for phenylketonuria (PKU).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the research and development of novel precision medicines. As such, the company is currently engaged in clinical trials for its drug candidates (MZE829 and MZE782) and does not yet have any commercialized products on the market. Therefore, Maze Therapeutics does not have major customers at this time, as it is not currently selling products to other companies or individuals.
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Jason Coloma, Chief Executive Officer
Dr. Jason Coloma is the Chief Executive Officer of Maze Therapeutics. He was previously the company's chief operating officer and a venture partner at Third Rock Ventures, where he played a key role in the founding and launch of Maze. Prior to Maze, he served as interim Chief Business Officer at Third Rock portfolio companies insitro and Celsius. His career also includes roles as Senior Vice President and Chief Business Officer at Corvus Pharmaceuticals, and Vice President & Global Therapeutic Area Head of Oncology and Cancer Immunotherapy Partnering at Roche. He also worked as a consultant in the life sciences practice at L.E.K. Consulting. Maze Therapeutics was launched in 2019 by Third Rock Ventures and received funding from various investors, including ARCH Venture Partners and GV.
Misbah Tahir, Chief Financial Officer
Misbah Tahir was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Maze Therapeutics in September 2025. He brings over two decades of financial and strategic leadership experience in the biopharmaceutical industry. Most recently, he served as Chief Financial Officer at IGM Biosciences, Inc., where he was instrumental in guiding the company through its 2019 initial public offering and helped raise more than $1 billion through equity financings and a pharmaceutical partnership. Tahir began his career in the biopharmaceutical sector at Amgen, Inc. after working as a management consultant.
Harold Bernstein, President, Research and Development and Chief Medical Officer
Dr. Harold Bernstein joined Maze Therapeutics as President, Research and Development and Chief Medical Officer in 2022. He has over three decades of experience in scientific research, translational medicine, and clinical development in both industry and academia. Before Maze, he was Senior Vice President, Chief Medical Officer, and Head of Global Clinical Development at BioMarin Pharmaceutical. His previous roles include Head of Translational Medicine and Vice President of Global Medicines Development and Medical Affairs at Vertex Pharmaceuticals, and positions at Merck, where he was head of early development for cardiometabolic diseases. Dr. Bernstein also held academic positions as a professor of pediatrics and a senior investigator at the University of California, San Francisco (UCSF), and served as an attending physician at UCSF Benioff Children's Hospital and Mount Sinai Kravis Children's Hospital.
Atul Dandekar, Chief Strategy & Business Officer
Atul Dandekar serves as the Chief Strategy & Business Officer for Maze Therapeutics.
Courtney Phillips, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary
Courtney Phillips is the General Counsel & Corporate Secretary at Maze Therapeutics.
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- Clinical Trial Failure: As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Maze Therapeutics' success is fundamentally dependent on the successful outcome of its ongoing and future clinical trials for its lead product candidates, MZE829 and MZE782. Both programs are currently in early to mid-stage clinical development (Phase 1 and Phase 2 respectively), and there is a significant risk that these trials may not demonstrate sufficient safety or efficacy, or may encounter unexpected adverse events, which could lead to delays, termination, or failure to achieve regulatory approval.
- Reliance on Novel Platform and Mechanisms of Action: Maze Therapeutics' strategy hinges on its proprietary Compass platform and its approach of "variant functionalization" to develop precision medicines that phenocopy protective genetic variants. The company's lead programs, MZE829 (targeting APOL1) and MZE782 (targeting SLC6A19), represent novel mechanisms of action for chronic kidney disease. There is a risk that this innovative platform may not consistently identify viable drug candidates, or that the specific therapeutic hypotheses underlying their lead programs may not translate into robust clinical benefits, potentially undermining their entire development pipeline.
- Regulatory Approval Risk: Even if clinical trials for MZE829 and MZE782 are successful, Maze Therapeutics faces the significant challenge and inherent uncertainty of obtaining regulatory approvals from agencies like the FDA. The regulatory process is rigorous and can be unpredictable, especially for novel precision medicines utilizing new mechanisms. Delays in the approval process or a failure to obtain necessary approvals could significantly impact the company's ability to commercialize its products and generate revenue.
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For Maze Therapeutics' lead programs, the addressable markets are as follows:
- MZE829: Estimated to affect over one million patients with APOL1 kidney disease (AKD) in the United States.
- MZE782: Has the potential to address approximately five million chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients in the United States with inadequate responses to currently available therapies.
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The expected drivers of future revenue growth for Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) over the next 2-3 years are primarily centered on the advancement and potential success of its lead clinical programs and the expansion of its pipeline:
- Advancement and Positive Clinical Trial Results for MZE829 in APOL1 Kidney Disease (AKD): Maze Therapeutics anticipates dosing the first patient in its Phase 2 trial for MZE829 in AKD during the first quarter of 2025 and reporting proof-of-concept data in the first quarter of 2026. Successful progression through this clinical stage, demonstrating efficacy and safety, would significantly de-risk the program, enhance its market potential, and represent a key step towards future commercialization for a disease affecting over one million patients in the United States.
- Advancement and Initial Clinical Trial Results for MZE782 in Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD): The company initiated a Phase 1 trial for MZE782 in September 2024 and expects to report initial data in the second half of 2025. Positive results from this trial would enable progression to later clinical stages, validating MZE782 as a potential novel treatment for approximately five million CKD patients in the United States who currently have inadequate responses to available therapies.
- Expansion of MZE782 into Phenylketonuria (PKU): Following the ongoing Phase 1 trial for MZE782 in CKD, Maze Therapeutics plans to conduct a parallel Phase 2 clinical trial to explore MZE782 as a potential treatment for phenylketonuria. This strategic move into a new, genetically defined metabolic disease represents a significant market expansion opportunity for MZE782, diversifying its potential revenue streams beyond CKD.
- Pipeline Expansion through the Compass Platform: Maze Therapeutics' proprietary Compass platform is designed to identify and characterize genetic variants to develop novel precision medicines. The continued successful application of this platform to generate new lead programs and expand the company's pipeline beyond MZE829 and MZE782 will be crucial for long-term revenue growth. This platform underpins the company's ability to consistently discover and advance new drug candidates.
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Share Issuance
- Maze Therapeutics completed its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on January 31, 2025, raising approximately $140 million in gross proceeds by offering 8,750,000 shares of common stock at $16.00 per share.
- The company conducted an oversubscribed private placement in September 2025, which raised approximately $150.0 million through the issuance of 4,000,002 shares of common stock at a price of $16.25 per share.
Inbound Investments
- Prior to its IPO, Maze Therapeutics raised almost $500 million in private funding, which included a $190 million funding round in 2022 and a $115 million Series D financing in December 2024.
- In the first half of 2024, Maze Therapeutics recognized $165.0 million in license revenue, with $150.0 million from an exclusive license agreement with Shionogi & Co., Ltd. for MZE001 and an additional $15.0 million from Trace Neuroscience, Inc.
Capital Expenditures
- Proceeds from financing rounds, including the September 2025 private placement, are intended to advance the development of lead programs MZE829 and MZE782 in clinical trials, further develop its Compass platform, and cover general corporate purposes.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Maze Therapeutics Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| null | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 27.46 |
| Mkt Cap | 58.1 |
| Rev LTM | 20 |
| Op Inc LTM | -5 |
| FCF LTM | -4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,977 |
| CFO LTM | -4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,401 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -39.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 423.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 364.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -316.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -286.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -290.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business of harnessing its understanding of human genetics and variant functionalization to develop | 0 | 168 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 0 | 168 | 0 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Business of harnessing its understanding of human genetics and variant functionalization to develop | -143 | 58 | -99 |
| Total | -143 | 58 | -99 |
| $ Mil | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Business of harnessing its understanding of human genetics and variant functionalization to develop | -131 |
| Total | -131 |
| $ Mil | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Business of harnessing its understanding of human genetics and variant functionalization to develop | 72 | 150 |
| Total | 72 | 150 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $25.68 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/31/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -50.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $25.78 | $21.33 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -0.4% | 20.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 82.2% | 89.1% |
| Downside Capture | 246.82 | 54.88 |
| Upside Capture | -77.17 | 137.17 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 15.9% | 15.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.72 | 1.68 | 0.98 | 0.73 | 1.27 | 0.08 |
| Up Beta | -0.62 | 0.29 | 1.26 | 1.03 | 1.47 | 0.86 |
| Down Beta | 0.76 | 0.50 | 0.72 | 0.02 | 0.47 | 0.00 |
| Up Capture | 157% | 95% | -42% | 19% | 265% | 37% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 18 | 27 | 56 | 126 | 167 |
| Down Capture | 430% | 589% | 213% | 132% | 94% | 84% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 35 | 67 | 122 | 161 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MAZE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAZE | 103.4% | 89.3% | 1.17 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 14.0% | 15.0% | 0.66 | 18.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 15.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 4.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -3.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 8.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.4% | -1.08 | 9.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MAZE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAZE | 9.5% | 94.0% | 0.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.4% | 14.7% | 0.19 | 17.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 17.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 3.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 14.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 13.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MAZE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAZE | 4.7% | 94.0% | 0.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.4% | 16.6% | 0.46 | 17.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 17.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 1.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 3.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 14.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 13.1% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/15/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | 4.6% | -5.1% | -6.6% |
| 3/25/2026 | -35.2% | -39.1% | -46.9% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.5% | 7.5% | 37.6% |
| 8/12/2025 | -1.0% | -2.1% | 80.5% |
| 5/14/2025 | 2.1% | 16.1% | 47.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 11.8% | 47.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.5% | -5.1% | -26.7% |
| Max Positive | 4.6% | 16.1% | 80.5% |
| Max Negative | -35.2% | -39.1% | -46.9% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | 4.6% | -5.1% | -6.6% |
| 3/25/2026 | -35.2% | -39.1% | -46.9% |
| 11/6/2025 | -3.5% | 7.5% | 37.6% |
| 8/12/2025 | -1.0% | -2.1% | 80.5% |
| 5/14/2025 | 2.1% | 16.1% | 47.9% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| # Negative | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 3.3% | 11.8% | 47.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.5% | -5.1% | -26.7% |
| Max Positive | 4.6% | 16.1% | 80.5% |
| Max Negative | -35.2% | -39.1% | -46.9% |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 6/1/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2029 Cash Runway | 2,029 | 0.0% | Raised | Guidance: 2,028 for 2028 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 6/10/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | Coloma Family Trust | Sell | 6032026 | 26.20 | 6,090 | 159,537 | 9,035,094 | Form |
| 2 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | The Coloma 2021 Irrevocable Trust | Sell | 6032026 | 26.24 | 553 | 14,511 | 733,966 | Form |
| 3 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 25.66 | 14,853 | Form | ||
| 4 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 26.34 | 7,500 | 197,554 | 653,455 | Form |
| 5 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | Coloma Family Trust | Sell | 5272026 | 26.02 | 25,582 | 665,516 | 9,130,927 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | Coloma Family Trust | Sell | 6032026 | 26.20 | 6,090 | 159,537 | 9,035,094 | Form |
| 2 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | The Coloma 2021 Irrevocable Trust | Sell | 6032026 | 26.24 | 553 | 14,511 | 733,966 | Form |
| 3 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 25.66 | 14,853 | Form | ||
| 4 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 6022026 | 26.34 | 7,500 | 197,554 | 653,455 | Form |
| 5 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | Coloma Family Trust | Sell | 5272026 | 26.02 | 25,582 | 665,516 | 9,130,927 | Form |
| 6 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | Coloma Family Trust | Sell | 5272026 | 26.00 | 4,504 | 117,104 | 9,790,832 | Form |
| 7 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | The Coloma 2021 Irrevocable Trust | Sell | 5272026 | 26.00 | 2,478 | 64,428 | 741,598 | Form |
| 8 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | Coloma Family Trust | Sell | 5182026 | 26.00 | 1,822 | 47,372 | 9,907,898 | Form |
| 9 | Coloma, Jason V | Chief Executive Officer | The Coloma 2021 Irrevocable Trust | Sell | 5182026 | 26.00 | 116 | 3,016 | 806,026 | Form |
| 10 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 5182026 | 26.22 | 15,000 | Form | ||
| 11 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 5012026 | 25.37 | 7,500 | 190,299 | 266,495 | Form |
| 12 | Bachrodt, Amy | SVP, Finance | Direct | Sell | 4022026 | 29.44 | 2,500 | 73,611 | 381,746 | Form |
| 13 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 4022026 | 29.46 | 15,000 | Form | ||
| 14 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 29.34 | 7,500 | 220,019 | 308,114 | Form |
| 15 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 3202026 | 49.10 | 15,000 | Form | ||
| 16 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 3122026 | 50.45 | 30,000 | Form | ||
| 17 | Bachrodt, Amy | SVP, Finance | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 45.20 | 5,000 | 226,011 | 586,045 | Form |
| 18 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 3032026 | 45.43 | 7,500 | 340,723 | 477,149 | Form |
| 19 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 46.02 | 15,000 | Form | ||
| 20 | Bachrodt, Amy | SVP, Finance | Direct | Sell | 2042026 | 46.04 | 5,000 | 230,219 | 596,959 | Form |
| 21 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 2022026 | 44.27 | 7,500 | 331,990 | 464,919 | Form |
| 22 | Bachrodt, Amy | SVP, Finance | Direct | Sell | 1262026 | 45.52 | 5,000 | 227,612 | 590,198 | Form |
| 23 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 1092026 | 40.20 | 25,156 | Form | ||
| 24 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 40.00 | 412 | Form | ||
| 25 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 40.43 | 4,432 | Form | ||
| 26 | Bachrodt, Amy | SVP, Finance | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 39.15 | 5,000 | 195,754 | 507,589 | Form |
| 27 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 40.36 | 100 | 4,036 | 423,901 | Form |
| 28 | Bachrodt, Amy | SVP, Finance | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 40.08 | 5,000 | 200,407 | 519,655 | Form |
| 29 | Dandekar, Atul | CSBO | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 40.56 | 72,400 | 2,936,763 | 426,034 | Form |
| 30 | Bernstein, Harold | President, R&D & CMO | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 40.56 | 45,000 | Form | ||
| 31 | Bachrodt, Amy | SVP, Finance | Direct | Sell | 12312025 | 40.58 | 10,000 | 405,766 | 526,076 | Form |
| 32 | Scheller, Richard H | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 22.37 | 20,744 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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