Maze Therapeutics (MAZE)
Market Price (12/30/2025): $40.49 | Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Maze Therapeutics (MAZE)
Market Price (12/30/2025): $40.49Market Cap: $1.9 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Genetics-based Drug Discovery, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -135 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 230%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 154% | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 103% | ||
| Key risksMAZE key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and commercial success of its limited lead candidates, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Genetics-based Drug Discovery, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -135 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 230%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 154% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 103% |
| Key risksMAZE key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the clinical and commercial success of its limited lead candidates, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
2. Oversubscribed $150 Million Private Placement. Following the positive MZE782 Phase 1 results, Maze Therapeutics announced on September 11, 2025, an oversubscribed private placement that raised approximately $150.0 million. This significant capital infusion, secured at a premium to the last closing price, indicated strong investor confidence and provided substantial funds to advance their clinical programs.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 60.9% change in MAZE stock from 9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 9292025 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.20 | 40.55 | 60.91% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2.50 | 0.00 | -100.00% |
| P/S Multiple | 441.48 | ∞ | ∞% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 43.80 | 45.78 | -4.53% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
9/29/2025 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | 60.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 41.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 14.7% | 17.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 230.5% change in MAZE stock from 6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 6302025 | 12292025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.27 | 40.55 | 230.48% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 0.00 | � |
| P/S Multiple | � | ∞ | � |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 34.97 | 45.78 | -30.91% |
| Cumulative Contribution | � |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | 230.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 11.6% | 21.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 16.1% | 26.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/29/2024 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | ||
| Market (SPY) | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 13.6% | 21.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
12/30/2023 to 12/29/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MAZE | ||
| Market (SPY) | 47.9% | 18.9% |
| Sector (XLV) | 17.6% | 21.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MAZE Return | - | - | - | - | - | 164% | 164% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 151% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MAZE Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MAZE Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -53% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/29/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
MAZE has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.
| Event | XLV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 599 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -40.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,100 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
1. An early-stage Vertex Pharmaceuticals, but using a genetic platform to discover precision small molecule drugs for a broader range of genetic diseases.
2. Like Moderna, but applying a genetic insights platform to discover small molecule drugs for a wide range of genetic diseases, rather than mRNA therapeutics.
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- MZE001: An investigational oral therapy in clinical development for the treatment of Pompe disease, a rare genetic disorder.
- Early-Stage Precision Medicine Candidates: Preclinical drug candidates being developed through their human genetics platform for various other rare genetic diseases.
AI Analysis | Feedback
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) is primarily engaged in the research and development of precision medicines for common diseases with a genetic basis. The company does not currently have any commercial products on the market.
Based on its latest financial reports, including the Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2024, Maze Therapeutics reported no revenue from product sales or collaborations. This indicates that the company does not currently have any commercial products on the market generating sales.
Therefore, Maze Therapeutics does not currently have major customers in the traditional sense of selling products or services to other companies or individuals. Its operations are funded through equity financing and other investments to advance its drug pipeline through clinical trials.
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Jason Coloma, Chief Executive Officer, President, Director
Dr. Jason Coloma was appointed CEO of Maze Therapeutics in July 2019. He was instrumental in founding and launching the company, having served as a venture partner at Third Rock Ventures, a venture capital firm, prior to his CEO appointment. While at Third Rock, he focused on new company creation and held interim Chief Business Officer roles at insitro and Celsius Therapeutics. Dr. Coloma also served as interim Chief Operating Officer of Maze Therapeutics. His previous experience includes serving as Senior Vice President and Chief Business Officer at Corvus Pharmaceuticals and various leadership roles at Roche, including Vice President & Global Therapeutic Area Head of Oncology and Cancer Immunotherapy Partnering. He also worked in finance at Amgen and in research at the University of California, San Francisco and Cytokinetics, and was a consultant at L.E.K. Consulting.
Misbah Tahir, Chief Financial Officer
Misbah Tahir was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Maze Therapeutics in September 2025, bringing over two decades of financial and strategic leadership experience in the biopharmaceutical industry. Before joining Maze, he served as CFO at IGM Biosciences, Inc., where he played a key role in guiding the company through its 2019 initial public offering and helped raise over $1 billion through various equity financings and a pharmaceutical partnership. Mr. Tahir held senior finance positions at Dermira, Inc. (acquired by Eli Lilly and Company), Onyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (acquired by Amgen Inc.), and Human Genome Sciences Inc. (acquired by GSK plc), where he contributed significantly to capital formation, strategic partnerships, and product launches. He began his career in the biopharmaceutical sector at Amgen, Inc. after working as a management consultant with Oliver Wyman.
Atul Dandekar, Chief Strategy Officer
Atul Dandekar serves as the Chief Strategy Officer at Maze Therapeutics.
David Morgans, Executive Vice President, Drug Discovery
David Morgans is the Executive Vice President of Drug Discovery at Maze Therapeutics.
Matthew Krause, Senior Vice President, Human Resources
Matthew Krause holds the position of Senior Vice President, Human Resources at Maze Therapeutics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) business are primarily associated with the high-risk nature of a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel precision medicines.
- Dependence on Lead Programs and Clinical Trial Success: Maze Therapeutics' future success is highly contingent on the successful clinical development, regulatory approval, and commercialization of its limited number of lead therapeutic candidates, specifically MZE829, MZE782, and MZE001. Any setbacks in clinical trials, such as safety concerns, efficacy issues, or delays, could significantly impact the company's prospects and amplify its risk profile.
- Lack of Profitability and Significant Cash Burn: As a clinical-stage company, Maze Therapeutics currently operates without product revenue and incurs substantial operating losses. The company reports negative earnings per share, negative return on equity, and negative free cash flow due to heavy investment in research and development. While recent funding has provided a cash runway of approximately 3.6 years as of September 2025, sustained profitability is contingent upon the successful development and market acceptance of its therapeutic candidates, making its financial health a significant long-term risk.
- Regulatory Hurdles and Market Access Challenges: Bringing new therapeutic candidates to market requires navigating complex and stringent regulatory pathways. Maze Therapeutics faces the significant challenge of obtaining regulatory approvals for its drug candidates. Failure to secure these approvals or difficulties in achieving favorable market access and reimbursement could severely hinder the company's ability to commercialize its products and generate revenue.
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Clear emerging threats to Maze Therapeutics (MAZE) include:
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Competition in APOL1-mediated kidney disease: Vertex Pharmaceuticals has a drug candidate, VX-1473, which is in Phase 3 clinical trials for APOL1-mediated kidney disease. This is significantly ahead of Maze's preclinical MAZE-800 program targeting the same indication. The potential approval and market entry of VX-1473 could capture a substantial portion of the patient population before Maze's candidate even enters clinical development, severely limiting its future market opportunity.
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Competition in TREM2-mediated neurodegenerative diseases (e.g., ALS/FTD): Vigil Neuroscience is developing VGL101, a TREM2-activating antibody, which is in Phase 2 clinical trials for adult-onset leukoencephalopathy with axonal spheroids and pigmented glia (ALSP) and has completed Phase 1 for Alzheimer's disease. This program is significantly ahead of Maze's preclinical TREM2 program for ALS/FTD. Successful development and potential approval of VGL101 could establish Vigil Neuroscience as a leader in TREM2 modulation, potentially diminishing the market opportunity for Maze's later-stage candidate.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Maze Therapeutics' main products are as follows:
- MZE829 (APOL1-mediated kidney disease - AMKD): The addressable market for AMKD is estimated to affect over one million people in the United States alone.
- MZE782 (Chronic Kidney Disease - CKD): For chronic kidney disease, MZE782 has the potential to treat approximately five million U.S. patients who inadequately respond to currently available therapies.
- MZE782 (Phenylketonuria - PKU): While MZE782 is also being developed for Phenylketonuria (PKU), a specific addressable market size for PKU was not provided in the search results.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Maze Therapeutics (NASDAQ: MAZE) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, and its revenue generation over the next two to three years will primarily stem from its pipeline development and strategic collaborations rather than product sales. The company's future revenue growth is expected to be driven by the following factors:
- Advancement of Lead Clinical Programs: A significant driver will be the successful progression of its lead clinical candidates, MZE829 and MZE782, through clinical trials. Maze Therapeutics anticipates reporting topline proof-of-concept data for MZE829 in APOL1-mediated kidney disease (AMKD) by the end of the first quarter of 2026. For MZE782, following positive Phase 1 results, the company plans to initiate two Phase 2 proof-of-concept trials in phenylketonuria (PKU) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in 2026. Positive data and advancement through these trials could trigger significant milestone payments from existing or new collaborators.
- New Licensing and Partnership Agreements: As a clinical-stage company, Maze Therapeutics generates revenue through strategic partnerships and licensing agreements. In 2024, the company recognized substantial license revenue from an upfront payment for MZE001, an investigational therapy for Pompe disease, which was exclusively licensed to Shionogi & Co., Ltd. Future revenue growth is expected from additional upfront payments, research funding, and milestone payments associated with similar new or existing collaborations for its other pipeline assets, leveraging its proprietary Maze Compassâ„¢ platform.
- Milestone Payments from Existing Collaborations: The license agreement for MZE001 with Shionogi & Co., Ltd. is likely structured with various development and regulatory milestone payments. While the initial upfront payment has been recognized, future payments contingent on the successful progression of MZE001 through clinical development and regulatory approvals would serve as a source of revenue growth within the forecast period.
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Share Issuance
- Maze Therapeutics priced its initial public offering (IPO) in January 2025, offering 8,750,000 shares of common stock at $16.00 per share, which aimed to raise approximately $140 million in gross proceeds.
- The company granted underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,312,500 shares of common stock at the IPO price.
- In September 2025, Maze Therapeutics completed an oversubscribed private placement, raising approximately $150.0 million in gross proceeds through the issuance of 4,000,002 shares of common stock at $16.25 per share and 5,231,090 pre-funded warrants.
Inbound Investments
- Maze Therapeutics completed a Series D financing round in December 2024, raising $115 million, co-led by Deep Track Capital and Frazier Life Sciences.
- In January 2022, the company secured $190 million in Series C financing, led by Matrix Capital Management.
- An oversubscribed private placement in September 2025 brought in approximately $150.0 million from new and existing investors, including Frazier Life Sciences and Deep Track Capital.
Outbound Investments
- Maze Therapeutics entered into a Joint Venture with Broadwing Bio on December 7, 2020.
Capital Expenditures
- Proceeds from the December 2024 Series D funding and the January 2025 IPO are intended to support the clinical development of lead candidates MZE829 and MZE782 for kidney disease programs.
- Funds from the September 2025 private placement are allocated to advance MZE829 in APOL1-mediated kidney disease, initiate Phase 2 clinical trials for MZE782 in phenylketonuria and chronic kidney disease, and further develop its Compass platform.
- The January 2022 Series C financing was aimed at advancing its MZE001 program into the clinic, expanding its precision medicine pipeline, and developing the Maze Compass drug discovery platform.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MAZE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
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| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 21.4% | 21.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.4% | -7.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 18.0% | 18.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.9% | 3.9% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
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Peer Comparisons for Maze Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 159.0 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11,753 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 13,498 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Business of harnessing its understanding of human genetics and variant functionalization to develop | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Business of harnessing its understanding of human genetics and variant functionalization to develop | -99 | |
| Total | -99 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|
| Business of harnessing its understanding of human genetics and variant functionalization to develop | 150 | |
| Total | 150 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $40.55 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/31/2025 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $28.25 | $28.25 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 43.5% | 43.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 52.3% | 103.0% |
| Downside Capture | 69.08 | 130.51 |
| Upside Capture | 290.33 | 212.81 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 38.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.39 | 1.53 | 2.09 | 1.93 | -0.25 | 0.13 |
| Up Beta | 2.51 | 2.70 | 5.41 | 2.76 | 0.52 | -1.21 |
| Down Beta | 2.38 | 1.58 | 1.42 | 0.88 | 0.30 | 0.09 |
| Up Capture | 204% | 289% | 524% | 608% | 274% | 31% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 26 | 38 | 70 | 111 | 111 |
| Down Capture | 35% | 18% | -105% | 36% | 101% | 66% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 25 | 55 | 94 | 94 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
nullBased On 5-Year Data
nullBased On 10-Year Data
nullSEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/12/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 01/31/2025 | 424B4 (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 09/13/2024 | DRS/A (06/30/2024) |
Industry Resources
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