Tearsheet

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.4 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities

Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.4
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Leisure Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 190%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 190%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LUCK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement analysis of Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK) is from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. As this entire period is in the future, it is not possible to provide an accurate analysis of past stock movements and their underlying causes for this timeframe. Financial market data and news are only available for past and current periods, not for future events.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LUCK Return--49%5%-28%-16%-6%
Peers Return     -9%-9%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUCK Win Rate-38%67%67%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate    27%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUCK Max Drawdown---20%-32%-28%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown     -25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLUCKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS


In The Past

Lucky Strike Entertainment's stock fell -46.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2023. A -46.8% loss requires a 88.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)

Better Bets than Lucky Strike Entertainment (LUCK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LUCK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lucky Strike Entertainment

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LUCKFUNNOMANTVTRONASMedian
NameLucky St.Six Flag.Nomadar NeoTV Tron Amer Spo. 
Mkt Price8.3915.397.32-2.1136.968.39
Mkt Cap1.21.6---20.51.6
Rev LTM1,2333,1381-45,6981,233
Op Inc LTM163248-2--3630163
FCF LTM-229-169-0--2--85
FCF 3Y Avg-6822---1--1
CFO LTM141333-0--2-71
CFO 3Y Avg169353---1-169

Growth & Margins

LUCKFUNNOMANTVTRONASMedian
NameLucky St.Six Flag.Nomadar NeoTV Tron Amer Spo. 
Rev Chg LTM3.9%31.1%---12.7%21.9%12.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.7%21.3%----15.0%
Rev Chg Q12.3%-2.3%---10.9%23.5%5.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%-1.0%160.4%--3.8%4.3%2.7%
Op Mgn LTM13.2%7.9%-306.9%--82.4%11.1%7.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.5%13.9%---56.8%8.5%11.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%3.5%485.7%--8.0%0.5%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM11.5%10.6%-52.6%--35.9%--12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.8%15.2%---28.3%-14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.6%-5.4%-52.6%--41.8%--30.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.3%2.0%---30.9%--5.3%

Valuation

LUCKFUNNOMANTVTRONASMedian
NameLucky St.Six Flag.Nomadar NeoTV Tron Amer Spo. 
Mkt Cap1.21.6---20.51.6
P/S1.20.7---3.81.2
P/EBIT7.0-1.7---38.47.0
P/E-30.2-1.3---96.1-1.3
P/CFO10.06.9----8.5
Total Yield-3.3%-75.1%---1.0%-3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%---0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.8%------4.8%
D/E1.92.3---0.11.9
Net D/E1.92.3---0.11.9

Returns

LUCKFUNNOMANTVTRONASMedian
NameLucky St.Six Flag.Nomadar NeoTV Tron Amer Spo. 
1M Rtn2.7%-32.2%-36.3%--12.4%17.4%-12.4%
3M Rtn-19.3%-35.0%---46.0%-2.6%-27.1%
6M Rtn-6.5%-53.7%----0.7%-6.5%
12M Rtn-27.1%-67.4%---43.6%-27.1%
3Y Rtn-35.9%------35.9%
1M Excs Rtn2.7%-32.2%-36.3%--12.4%17.5%-12.4%
3M Excs Rtn-23.8%-45.2%---45.1%-7.5%-34.4%
6M Excs Rtn-21.3%-68.4%----15.4%-21.3%
12M Excs Rtn-43.7%-80.2%---26.8%-43.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-108.4%------108.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,655,610
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-31.5%
Average Daily Volume451,868
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.88
Basic Shares Quantity138,546,333
Short % of Basic Shares1.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025828202510-K 6/29/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/29/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024905202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023911202310-K 7/2/2023
3312023517202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022215202310-Q 1/1/2023
93020221116202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022915202210-K 7/3/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/27/2022
12312021209202210-Q 12/26/2021