Tearsheet

Lesaka Technologies (LSAK)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $4.34 | Market Cap: $343.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Lesaka Technologies (LSAK)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $4.34
Market Cap: $343.3 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 89x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
3   Key risks
LSAK key risks include [1] a financial restatement and a resulting securities fraud investigation, Show more.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -8.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 89x
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
6 Key risks
LSAK key risks include [1] a financial restatement and a resulting securities fraud investigation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LSAK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, Lesaka Technologies (LSAK) experienced a stock movement of -5.9% due to several key factors:

1. Q4 FY2025 Net Loss Despite Revenue Growth: Lesaka Technologies reported strong net revenue and adjusted EBITDA for the full fiscal year 2025 (ending June 2025) during its Q4 FY2025 earnings call on September 11, 2025. However, the company recorded a net loss due to significant non-cash charges, including transaction costs, accelerated amortization, and goodwill impairments.

2. Q1 FY2026 Earnings Miss and Profitability Concerns: For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Lesaka Technologies reported earnings per share (EPS) of ($0.05), missing the consensus estimate of $0.04 by ($0.09). This indicated ongoing financial performance challenges, including negative return on equity and net margin, raising concerns about the company's profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LSAK Return32%8%-14%-29%68%-20%17%
Peers Return123%-51%-49%73%-32%52%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LSAK Win Rate58%58%58%42%83%42% 
Peers Win Rate69%44%44%56%31%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LSAK Max Drawdown-24%-21%-42%-29%0%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-59%-61%-11%-40%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STNE, PAGS, MELI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLSAKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven54.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven263 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-79.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven378.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-74.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven298.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, CHOW, NTSK


In The Past

Lesaka Technologies's stock fell -52.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -52.6% loss requires a 110.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Lesaka Technologies (LSAK)

Better Bets than Lesaka Technologies (LSAK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LSAK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
15.3%15.3%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.2%10.2%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.6%14.6%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.6%9.6%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
8.4%8.4%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lesaka Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LSAKSTNEPAGSMELIMedian
NameLesaka T.StoneCo PagSegur.MercadoL. 
Mkt Price4.4314.309.561,997.6111.93
Mkt Cap0.43.82.8101.33.3
Rev LTM67814,53319,52126,19317,027
Op Inc LTM66,9797,0653,1325,056
FCF LTM-18-1,5372,8038,6101,393
FCF 3Y Avg-17-1,7276006,370291
CFO LTM4-3345,0349,8312,519
CFO 3Y Avg1-5552,7267,1691,364

Growth & Margins

LSAKSTNEPAGSMELIMedian
NameLesaka T.StoneCo PagSegur.MercadoL. 
Rev Chg LTM16.5%23.5%10.9%36.9%20.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg32.2%21.3%10.6%39.5%26.8%
Rev Chg Q11.6%16.0%4.5%39.5%13.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.7%3.3%1.1%8.7%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM1.0%48.0%36.2%12.0%24.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.5%48.3%34.5%13.1%23.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.4%1.6%-0.3%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM0.6%-2.3%25.8%37.5%13.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.1%-4.0%15.6%35.9%7.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.7%-10.6%14.4%32.9%5.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.0%-13.5%3.4%32.1%0.2%

Valuation

LSAKSTNEPAGSMELIMedian
NameLesaka T.StoneCo PagSegur.MercadoL. 
Mkt Cap0.43.82.8101.33.3
P/S0.50.30.13.90.4
P/EBIT-4.13.60.434.02.0
P/E-4.0-3.41.348.8-1.1
P/CFO89.0-11.30.610.35.4
Total Yield-24.9%-29.0%86.4%2.1%-11.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%7.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.9%-46.6%19.4%6.7%-0.1%
D/E0.74.315.00.12.5
Net D/E0.52.314.30.11.4

Returns

LSAKSTNEPAGSMELIMedian
NameLesaka T.StoneCo PagSegur.MercadoL. 
1M Rtn15.7%-9.6%-3.5%-3.8%-3.7%
3M Rtn8.3%-26.3%-8.2%-18.5%-13.4%
6M Rtn4.5%-1.5%9.1%-16.9%1.5%
12M Rtn-12.3%78.8%59.4%19.9%39.7%
3Y Rtn20.1%54.4%26.5%128.1%40.5%
1M Excs Rtn12.8%-12.4%-6.4%-6.7%-6.6%
3M Excs Rtn5.9%-27.5%-7.3%-20.9%-14.1%
6M Excs Rtn-5.1%-17.8%-4.8%-32.0%-11.5%
12M Excs Rtn-26.3%51.2%34.5%-2.5%16.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-53.9%-20.9%-51.0%59.3%-35.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Merchant46046415761 
Consumer69636666 
Enterprise47    
Unallocated01   
Inter-segment-120   
Other 0 3 
Financial services    43
Processing    84
Technology    17
Total564528223131144


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Merchant2126 5 
Consumer122 -26 
Enterprise3    
Unrealized Loss Fair Value (FV) for currency adjustments0-0   
Once-off cost-2-2   
Operating loss: Group costs-8-9   
Stock-based compensation charge adjustments-8-7   
Group costs-14-15   
Impairment loss -7   
Lease adjustments -3 -4 
Corporate/Eliminations   -13-10
Depreciation and amortization   -4 
Other   -10 
Financial services    -4
Processing    -34
Technology    3
Total4-15 -54-44


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity117,484
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202510.9%
Average Daily Volume46,860
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.51
Basic Shares Quantity79,094,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/10/2025-10.1%-13.1%-13.5%
2/5/20253.3%0.2%-3.1%
9/11/2024-5.2%-9.0%-0.2%
5/8/20243.0%6.0%-1.3%
2/6/20244.5%0.8%-1.1%
9/12/20231.0%-0.5%8.7%
5/9/2023-3.2%11.2%15.3%
2/7/20230.2%0.7%9.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive876
# Negative101112
Median Positive3.4%0.8%9.0%
Median Negative-9.2%-9.0%-9.3%
Max Positive6.4%24.2%15.3%
Max Negative-13.5%-32.3%-21.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025929202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024911202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023206202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023912202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022909202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021209202210-Q 12/31/2021