Local Bounti (LOCL)
Market Price (4/29/2026): $2.5 | Market Cap: $57.2 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services
Local Bounti (LOCL)
Market Price (4/29/2026): $2.5Market Cap: $57.2 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Agricultural Products & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -129% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 825% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -167% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% Key risksLOCL key risks include [1] an inability to achieve and sustain profitability, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -58%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -63 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -129% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 825% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -63%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -88% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -167% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 111% |
| Key risksLOCL key risks include [1] an inability to achieve and sustain profitability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Positive Outlook. Local Bounti reported a Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.38, significantly beating analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.81 by 53.09%. Revenue for Q4 2025 increased 24% year-over-year to $12.5 million. The company also demonstrated improved operational efficiency with an adjusted gross margin expanding to approximately 29% and an adjusted EBITDA loss improving to $5.8 million in Q4 2025. Management projected 2026 revenue of $93.5 million and aimed to achieve positive adjusted EBITDA by early 2026.
2. Significant Capital Injections and Debt Restructuring. Subsequent to year-end 2025, Local Bounti secured a $50 million investment from an existing strategic investor to fund strategic priorities like product diversification and channel expansion. This was followed by an additional $15 million obtained through a convertible note with an existing strategic investor in March 2026, providing further financial flexibility. Complementing these infusions, a debt restructuring in 2025 resulted in the cancellation of $197 million of principal and interest, leading to a reduction in annual interest expense by nearly $27 million.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.7% change in LOCL stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.14 | 2.54 | 18.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 46 | 48 | 5.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 1.2 | 14.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 22 | 23 | -1.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCL | 18.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.2% | 4.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 7.6% | -15.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -15.1% change in LOCL stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.99 | 2.54 | -15.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 44 | 48 | 9.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 1.2 | 33.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 23 | -42.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -15.1% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCL | -15.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 8.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 7.5% | -10.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 23.3% change in LOCL stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 158.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.06 | 2.54 | 23.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 38 | 48 | 26.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 1.2 | 158.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 9 | 23 | -62.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 23.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCL | 23.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 29.3% | -16.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.5% | -18.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -75.5% change in LOCL stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.36 | 2.54 | -75.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 19 | 48 | 148.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.7 | 1.2 | -67.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 7 | 23 | -69.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -75.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LOCL | -75.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.5% | -2.2% |
| Sector (XLP) | 20.7% | -7.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LOCL Return | -34% | -78% | -89% | 0% | 3% | 18% | -98% |
| Peers Return | 53% | -85% | -56% | -41% | 34% | -37% | -95% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 91% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LOCL Win Rate | 44% | 33% | 25% | 42% | 50% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 39% | 24% | 35% | 33% | 38% | 19% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LOCL Max Drawdown | -48% | -81% | -93% | -38% | -9% | -54% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -86% | -67% | -49% | -75% | -60% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EDBL, VFF, UGRO, HYFM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LOCL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -99.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11405.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to EDBL, VFF, UGRO, HYFM
In The Past
Local Bounti's stock fell -99.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/24/2021. A -99.1% loss requires a 11405.0% gain to breakeven.
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About Local Bounti (LOCL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Analogies for Local Bounti (LOCL):
- Like the Driscoll's of fresh greens and herbs.
- A modern agricultural company specializing in greens and herbs, similar to how Ocean Spray focuses on cranberries.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Lettuce: A fresh green leafy vegetable grown for consumption.
- Herbs: Aromatic plants cultivated for culinary use.
- Loose-leaf lettuce: A variety of lettuce characterized by its loose, non-heading leaves.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) primarily sells its products to food retailers and food service distributors. Based on their recent SEC filings, the company derives a significant portion of its revenue from a limited number of major customers. These include:
- Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI)
- The Kroger Co. (KR)
Other notable retail partners mentioned by the company include Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) and various foodservice distributors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Kathleen Valiasek, President & Chief Executive Officer
Kathleen Valiasek serves as President and Chief Executive Officer of Local Bounti since March 2025, and as a Board director since December 2025. She previously held the positions of President and Chief Financial Officer of Local Bounti, serving as CFO from April 2021 and President from June 2024. Ms. Valiasek has held leadership positions in various companies, including Amyris, Inc. and her own firm, Lenox Group.
Anthony Hughes, Interim Chief Financial Officer & Chief Accounting Officer
Anthony Hughes holds the role of Interim Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer at Local Bounti.
Craig Hurlbert, Executive Chairman
Craig Hurlbert is a co-founder of Local Bounti, established in August 2018. He has served as Executive Chairman since March 2025. Prior to this, Mr. Hurlbert was Chief Executive Officer from December 2023, Co-Chief Executive Officer from November 2021 to June 2023, and Senior Vice President of Strategy from June 2023 to December 2023. Before co-founding Local Bounti, he co-founded and was Managing Partner at BrightMark Partners, LLC from January 2014 to March 2021, where he focused on investments in venture and growth-phase companies. He and co-founder Travis Joyner shut down their private equity firm to start Local Bounti. Mr. Hurlbert also held executive leadership positions at TAS Energy, including President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman of the Board, and previously served as Chairman of the Board at Clearas Water Recovery.
Mike Schaal, Chief Operating Officer
Mike Schaal serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Local Bounti.
Dane Almassy, Chief Commercial Officer
Dane Almassy is the Chief Commercial Officer at Local Bounti.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Local Bounti (LOCL) are primarily financial instability, challenges in achieving profitability within a capital-intensive industry, and intense competition.
- Financial Health and NYSE Compliance: Local Bounti faces significant financial challenges, including high debt levels, negative equity, and persistent losses. The company has been notified by the NYSE of non-compliance with continued listing requirements due to its market capitalization and stockholders' equity falling below the $50 million threshold. Local Bounti is required to submit a strategic plan to regain compliance within 45 days. This notice highlights a critical, immediate risk to the company's public listing and access to capital markets.
- Profitability Challenges and High Operating Costs: Despite reporting revenue growth, Local Bounti is experiencing substantial profitability issues, indicated by a significantly negative net margin and ongoing net losses. The controlled environment agriculture (CEA) sector, in which Local Bounti operates, is inherently capital-intensive, requiring considerable investment in specialized technology, energy, and labor, which contributes to high operational costs. The company has repeatedly pushed back its anticipated timeline for achieving positive adjusted EBITDA.
- Competition and Capital Intensity of the Industry: Local Bounti operates in a highly competitive CEA industry that demands significant upfront capital investment for facilities and technology. Compared to some private competitors, Local Bounti is considered undercapitalized, and its ability to secure additional funding is contingent on market sentiment and demonstrated progress toward profitability. The need for substantial capital to scale operations and innovate within a competitive landscape poses a continuous risk.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Rapid advancements by better-capitalized competitors in Controlled Environment Agriculture (CEA) technology and automation, leading to significantly lower production costs and higher scalability, which could render Local Bounti's current operational model less competitive.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) operates in the addressable markets of fresh greens and herbs, primarily utilizing Controlled Environment Agriculture (CEA) methods in the United States. The company's main products include lettuce, herbs, loose-leaf lettuce, arugula, spinach, and basil.
The estimated addressable markets for Local Bounti's products and services are as follows:
- Fresh Herbs Market: The North America fresh herbs market was estimated at USD 33.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 173.32 billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.2% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2035. A more conservative estimate for the U.S. fresh herbs market reported revenue of USD 951.9 million in 2024, with an expectation to reach USD 1,541.9 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 8.4% from 2025 to 2030.
- Lettuce Market (U.S.): In 2025, the total crop value for head lettuce in the U.S. was US$1.68 billion, leaf lettuce was US$1.38 billion, and romaine lettuce was US$2.78 billion. Combined, these segments represent a U.S. lettuce market of approximately US$5.84 billion in 2025. The U.S. lettuce and chicory market is forecasted to reach US$5.09 billion in 2026. In 2022, U.S. growers received $1.54 billion from romaine lettuce, $1.33 billion from iceberg lettuce, and $1.25 billion from leaf lettuce sales.
- Leafy Greens Market (North America): The leafy greens market in North America was valued at approximately USD 83.95 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach around USD 140.74 billion by 2034, growing at a rate of 5.3% per year.
- Controlled Environment Agriculture (CEA) Market: The U.S. CEA market is currently valued at approximately $7 billion (2025 data). Looking ahead, the U.S. CEA market is expected to exceed USD 95 billion by 2032. Globally, the CEA market reached USD 87.19 billion in 2024 and is projected to expand to USD 271.01 billion by 2032. Leafy greens alone accounted for approximately 38% of the global CEA market value in 2024, representing USD 33.1 billion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Local Bounti (LOCL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Increased Production and Facility Optimization: The company anticipates revenue growth from the continued ramping up of production at its existing facilities, particularly in Washington and Texas. The Texas facility, in particular, is expected to further increase output following the optimization of its product mix and the full operational status of its automated harvesting system, which has doubled productive output and boosted labor productivity. Increased production at the Georgia facility, following the implementation of its STACK technology, has also significantly contributed to higher output.
- New Product Launches and Expanded Assortment: Local Bounti is focused on broadening its product portfolio with new offerings. A notable example is the launch of the Romano Caesar Family-Size Salad Kit at Walmart stores in the Pacific Northwest, with plans to extend this product to customers serviced from its Texas facility, thereby expanding its geographic reach. The company continues to introduce new products, including family-sized salad kits, to meet evolving consumer demand.
- Expansion of Retail Partnerships and Distribution: Deepening relationships with major retailers and expanding its distribution network are crucial for revenue growth. This includes the rollout of new products to a greater number of Walmart stores, the establishment of new private label partnerships, and securing agreements to supply products like living butter lettuce to various distribution centers. There are also plans under review for further expansion into new markets, such as the Midwest.
- Operational Efficiencies and Yield Improvements: Enhancements in operational efficiency, such as improved yields from facility upgrades and the implementation of advanced technologies like automated harvesting systems, are expected to indirectly drive revenue. These improvements lead to increased output and better unit economics, allowing Local Bounti to produce more efficiently and thus support higher sales volumes.
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Share Issuance
- On March 13, 2026, Local Bounti secured a $15.0 million convertible note and a warrant for 5.5 million shares from U.S. Bounti, LLC, which introduces potential equity dilution through conversion.
- Local Bounti announced up to $145 million in additional financing to support growth on March 29, 2023.
- The number of Local Bounti's shares outstanding increased by 59.62% in one year.
Inbound Investments
- On March 13, 2026, Local Bounti received a $15.0 million convertible note and a warrant for 5.5 million shares from U.S. Bounti, LLC.
- Local Bounti secured up to $145 million of new financing, announced on March 29, 2023.
- On March 13, 2026, the company amended its senior credit agreement with Cargill Financial Services International, Inc., easing minimum liquidity covenants and deferring minimum EBITDA testing, thereby enhancing financial flexibility.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the last 12 months (approximately 2025) were -$21.90 million.
- Proceeds from the $15.0 million convertible note (March 13, 2026) are earmarked for specific capital expenditures.
- Local Bounti's capital expenditures are primarily focused on developing and maintaining its advanced indoor growing facilities and proprietary Stack & Flow Technology for producing fresh greens and herbs.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Local Bounti Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Local Bounti Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LOCL.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| Rev LTM | 48 |
| Op Inc LTM | -18 |
| FCF LTM | -12 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -5 |
| CFO LTM | -12 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -7.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -6.2% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -89.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -57.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 5.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -11.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.0 |
| P/S | 0.2 |
| P/Op Inc | -0.1 |
| P/EBIT | -0.0 |
| P/E | -0.0 |
| P/CFO | -0.0 |
| Total Yield | -574.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -535.6% |
| D/E | 8.3 |
| Net D/E | 6.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -24.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -36.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -85.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -67.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -158.1% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.54 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/19/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -30.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.50 | $2.29 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 69.3% | 10.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 168.8% | 111.4% |
| Downside Capture | 0.02 | 0.37 |
| Upside Capture | 50.77 | 55.20 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 4.6% | 10.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.07 | -0.10 | 0.16 | 0.74 | -1.34 | -0.20 |
| Up Beta | 1.85 | -3.43 | -3.13 | -0.48 | -0.42 | -0.37 |
| Down Beta | -0.75 | 0.23 | -0.13 | 0.78 | -4.32 | -2.04 |
| Up Capture | -199% | -186% | -74% | -25% | -8% | 11% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 14 | 25 | 53 | 110 | 318 |
| Down Capture | 173% | 215% | 214% | 174% | 63% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 24 | 34 | 68 | 132 | 400 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LOCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCL | -1.9% | 111.4% | 0.44 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 5.6% | 12.5% | 0.16 | -5.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.5% | 12.5% | 1.92 | 10.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 38.6% | 27.2% | 1.18 | 0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.9% | 18.0% | 1.95 | 0.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 13.4% | 0.75 | -5.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 42.1% | -0.39 | -0.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LOCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCL | -55.0% | 126.4% | -0.13 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.2% | 13.2% | 0.25 | 0.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 5.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.2% | 17.8% | 0.92 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.8% | 19.1% | 0.63 | -0.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 5.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.3% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 9.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LOCL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCL | -32.7% | 126.3% | -0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 0.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 5.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 17.7% | 0.46 | -0.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 5.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/25/2026 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 126.9% |
| 11/12/2025 | 0.4% | -9.2% | -1.9% |
| 8/13/2025 | 0.8% | 2.4% | -12.8% |
| 3/31/2025 | -6.3% | 68.9% | 17.0% |
| 11/14/2024 | -0.3% | -26.8% | -45.3% |
| 8/13/2024 | 8.5% | 0.4% | -14.8% |
| 3/27/2024 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 4.5% |
| 10/30/2023 | 34.1% | 158.6% | 215.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| # Negative | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 6.5% | 7.4% | 52.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.0% | -17.4% | -16.7% |
| Max Positive | 34.1% | 158.6% | 215.2% |
| Max Negative | -22.2% | -49.8% | -45.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/10/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/12/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Yield Enhancement | 0.2 | 100.0% | 10.0% | Raised | Guidance: 0.1 for Q4 2025 | ||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/12/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Yield Increase | 0.1 | ||||||
| 2025 Cost Reduction Initiatives | 1.50 Mil | 1.75 Mil | 2.00 Mil | -36.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.75 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nordby, Matthew | Direct | Sell | 1092026 | 2.22 | 1,000 | 2,223 | 223,837 | Form | |
| 2 | Nordby, Matthew | Direct | Sell | 1022026 | 2.14 | 1,000 | 2,137 | 217,364 | Form | |
| 3 | Nordby, Matthew | Direct | Sell | 12292025 | 2.19 | 1,000 | 2,186 | 224,503 | Form | |
| 4 | Nordby, Matthew | Direct | Sell | 12192025 | 2.42 | 1,000 | 2,418 | 250,811 | Form | |
| 5 | Nordby, Matthew | Direct | Sell | 12122025 | 2.55 | 1,000 | 2,550 | 267,019 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Agricultural Products & Services Resources |
| AgFunder Network Partners |
| The Packer |
| CropLife |
| Agri-Pulse |
| USDA Data |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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