Tearsheet

Local Bounti (LOCL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.53 | Market Cap: $56.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Local Bounti (LOCL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $2.53
Market Cap: $56.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Agricultural Products & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -66 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -144%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 891%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 233%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -231%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 140%
6   Key risks
LOCL key risks include [1] an inability to achieve and sustain profitability, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Sustainable Resource Management, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -160%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -66 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -144%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 891%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -56%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -104%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 233%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -231%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 140%
9 Key risks
LOCL key risks include [1] an inability to achieve and sustain profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LOCL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Local Bounti's (LOCL) stock movement of approximately -0.8% around November 18, 2025: 1. Revenue Miss and Wider-than-Expected Loss for Q3 2025. Local Bounti's Q3 2025 financial results, released on November 12, 2025, showed revenues of $12.2 million, falling short of the estimated $12.5 million. The company also reported a loss of -$1.18 per share, which was significantly wider than the analyst estimate of -$0.65 per share, indicating an 81.54% negative surprise. This miss on both revenue and earnings estimates likely contributed to negative investor sentiment in the days following the report.

2. Continued Adjusted EBITDA Loss. Despite an improvement from the prior year, Local Bounti still reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $7.2 million for Q3 2025. While the loss narrowed, the persistent unprofitability can be a concern for investors seeking a clear path to positive earnings, leading to selling pressure.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOCL Return-78%-89%0%25%
Peers Return-56%-41%58%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOCL Win Rate38%33%25%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate24%35%33%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOCL Max Drawdown-81%-93%-38%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-49%-76% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EDBL, VFF, UGRO, HYFM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOCLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven11405.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to BG, DAR, LMNR, AFRI, AGRZ


In The Past

Local Bounti's stock fell -99.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/24/2021. A -99.1% loss requires a 11405.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Local Bounti (LOCL)

Better Bets than Local Bounti (LOCL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Local Bounti Earnings Notes 
2null 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LOCL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Local Bounti

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LOCLEDBLVFFUGROHYFMMedian
NameLocal Bo.Edible G.Village .Urban-groHydrofarm 
Mkt Price2.391.274.180.302.212.21
Mkt Cap0.10.00.40.00.00.0
Rev LTM46133896014660
Op Inc LTM-66-132-13-52-13
FCF LTM-48-1243-6-8-8
FCF 3Y Avg-132-1010-9-2-9
CFO LTM-26-1154-5-7-7
CFO 3Y Avg-33-919-91-9

Growth & Margins

LOCLEDBLVFFUGROHYFMMedian
NameLocal Bo.Edible G.Village .Urban-groHydrofarm 
Rev Chg LTM31.6%-10.8%49.3%-16.8%-26.8%-10.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg55.8%4.3%12.2%6.4%-27.5%6.4%
Rev Chg Q19.1%9.0%21.5%-49.5%-33.3%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.4%1.9%3.1%-13.9%-9.1%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM-143.9%-102.1%0.4%-21.0%-35.8%-35.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-205.4%-80.3%-4.3%-19.3%-27.1%-27.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM6.0%-14.9%4.6%-2.9%-5.7%-2.9%
CFO/Rev LTM-56.5%-86.8%13.9%-8.8%-5.1%-8.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-98.9%-70.6%4.8%-13.0%-0.4%-13.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-104.1%-92.1%10.9%-9.2%-5.7%-9.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-420.0%-76.0%2.1%-13.7%-1.8%-13.7%

Valuation

LOCLEDBLVFFUGROHYFMMedian
NameLocal Bo.Edible G.Village .Urban-groHydrofarm 
Mkt Cap0.10.00.40.00.00.0
P/S1.20.30.90.10.10.3
P/EBIT-0.7-0.3--0.3-0.2-0.3
P/E-0.4-0.316.5-0.3-0.2-0.3
P/CFO-2.1-0.36.5-0.7-1.4-0.7
Total Yield-226.9%-388.9%6.0%-351.0%-632.1%-351.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-594.7%-11,917.7%--103.0%-35.8%-348.9%
D/E9.00.9-1.715.75.4
Net D/E8.90.7-1.414.75.2

Returns

LOCLEDBLVFFUGROHYFMMedian
NameLocal Bo.Edible G.Village .Urban-groHydrofarm 
1M Rtn-2.8%5.0%9.4%33.6%31.9%9.4%
3M Rtn-20.3%-28.2%62.6%-50.3%-29.4%-28.2%
6M Rtn13.8%-52.4%287.0%-15.2%-38.9%-15.2%
12M Rtn7.2%-65.3%424.9%-71.5%-64.4%-64.4%
3Y Rtn-90.5%-100.0%169.7%-91.5%-88.0%-90.5%
1M Excs Rtn-3.6%4.2%8.7%32.8%31.2%8.7%
3M Excs Rtn-20.1%-29.6%52.9%-48.0%-33.1%-29.6%
6M Excs Rtn1.4%-64.8%274.7%-27.6%-51.3%-27.6%
12M Excs Rtn75.7%-78.8%411.4%-86.0%-79.5%-78.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-159.8%-168.4%78.9%-161.4%-157.9%-159.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment2819  
Revenue from sale of intellectual property  0 
Revenue from sale of produce  10
Total281910


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment-124   
Total-124   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity50,718
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.7%
Average Daily Volume13,391
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.79
Basic Shares Quantity22,481,564
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/20250.4%-9.2%-1.9%
8/13/20250.8%2.4%-12.8%
3/31/2025-6.3%68.9%17.0%
11/14/2024-0.3%-26.8%-45.3%
8/13/20248.5%0.4%-14.8%
3/27/20241.7%0.7%4.5%
10/30/202334.1%158.6%215.2%
8/9/20234.1%-25.7%-34.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive864
# Negative468
Median Positive6.3%10.8%34.6%
Median Negative-6.0%-17.4%-16.7%
Max Positive34.1%158.6%215.2%
Max Negative-22.2%-49.8%-45.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251114202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023328202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Nordby Matthew 11282025Sell2.381,0002,382254,139Form