Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 64x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 62x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 100x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
Key risks
LOAR key risks include [1] a severe blow to credibility and potential compliance issues stemming from an SEC registration revocation and [2] significant insider selling that signals a lack of internal confidence.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Drone Technology, Show more.
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 13x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 64x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 62x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 100x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
7 Key risks
LOAR key risks include [1] a severe blow to credibility and potential compliance issues stemming from an SEC registration revocation and [2] significant insider selling that signals a lack of internal confidence.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LOAR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -3.9% movement in Loar's (LOAR) stock during the period from late August 2025 to mid-December 2025: 1. Negative Reaction to Q2 2025 Earnings: Despite Loar Holdings reporting record second-quarter 2025 results with increased guidance for the full year, the stock experienced a decline of 2.6% on August 13, 2025, the day following its earnings announcement. The stock closed at $71.33 on this date.

2. Bearish Technical Signals and Market Sentiment: Throughout the latter part of 2025, leading up to mid-December, the overall market sentiment for Loar Holdings leaned bearish. Technical analysis indicators showed a preponderance of sell signals over buy signals, and the stock received sell signals from both its short-term and long-term Moving Averages, indicating underlying technical weakness.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOAR Return-7%
Peers Return10%8%2%44%38%42%240%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOAR Win Rate75%25% 
Peers Win Rate55%50%47%62%70%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOAR Max Drawdown-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-13%-18%-3%-3%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PH, TDG, HEI, WWD, CW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

LOAR has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,463 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Loar (LOAR)

Better Bets than Loar (LOAR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LOAR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Loar

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LOARPHTDGHEIWWDCWMedian
NameLoar Parker H.TransDigmHeico Woodward Curtiss-. 
Mkt Price67.91863.191,261.64306.89287.85533.58420.24
Mkt Cap6.4109.276.742.715.120.031.3
Rev LTM47520,0308,8304,2893,5673,3763,928
Op Inc LTM1114,1374,188959479618788
FCF LTM933,3851,816782340517650
FCF 3Y Avg-3,0811,644581305469581
CFO LTM1033,8142,038845471592718
CFO 3Y Avg-3,4881,819635406525635

Growth & Margins

LOARPHTDGHEIWWDCWMedian
NameLoar Parker H.TransDigmHeico Woodward Curtiss-. 
Rev Chg LTM25.4%0.2%11.2%13.5%7.3%9.5%10.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.4%17.7%27.3%14.6%11.1%14.6%
Rev Chg Q22.4%3.7%11.5%15.7%16.5%8.8%13.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.1%0.9%2.9%3.8%4.1%2.1%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM23.3%20.7%47.4%22.3%13.4%18.3%21.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-19.1%45.6%21.8%11.9%17.6%19.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.2%1.1%0.3%1.1%0.2%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM21.6%19.0%23.1%19.7%13.2%17.5%19.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-17.5%23.2%17.6%12.3%16.9%17.5%
FCF/Rev LTM19.5%16.9%20.6%18.2%9.5%15.3%17.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-15.5%21.0%16.1%9.3%15.2%15.5%

Valuation

LOARPHTDGHEIWWDCWMedian
NameLoar Parker H.TransDigmHeico Woodward Curtiss-. 
Mkt Cap6.4109.276.742.715.120.031.3
P/S13.44.88.710.64.26.07.4
P/EBIT64.320.5-47.4-31.839.6
P/E100.426.337.071.134.343.740.3
P/CFO62.025.137.654.032.134.336.0
Total Yield1.0%4.7%15.3%1.5%3.3%2.4%2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%12.6%0.1%0.4%0.1%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.3%-1.7%-4.0%4.0%
D/E0.00.1-0.1-0.10.1
Net D/E0.00.1-0.0-0.00.0

Returns

LOARPHTDGHEIWWDCWMedian
NameLoar Parker H.TransDigmHeico Woodward Curtiss-. 
1M Rtn6.4%5.1%-5.5%-1.3%10.8%-1.8%1.9%
3M Rtn-13.7%17.1%-1.1%-3.2%21.3%7.3%3.1%
6M Rtn-17.6%32.9%-4.7%-1.3%20.7%15.4%7.0%
12M Rtn-11.0%30.9%5.8%18.2%67.6%46.7%24.5%
3Y Rtn-213.2%143.7%102.7%220.5%225.6%213.2%
1M Excs Rtn5.6%4.4%-6.3%-2.0%10.0%-2.6%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-17.8%13.1%-3.3%-6.0%18.7%2.8%-0.2%
6M Excs Rtn-29.9%20.6%-17.1%-13.7%8.3%3.0%-5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-25.3%18.7%-4.0%8.5%54.1%34.6%13.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-134.1%70.4%27.4%138.6%148.8%134.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023
Single Segment317239
Total317239


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,406,791
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202516.1%
Average Daily Volume864,783
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.10
Basic Shares Quantity93,622,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-2.6%-10.8%-4.5%
5/13/2025-6.4%-14.6%-15.6%
2/21/2025-1.2%5.9%-2.3%
11/13/2024-8.1%-0.4%-10.0%
8/13/202418.9%19.5%22.5%
5/14/20240.5%9.9%36.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive232
# Negative434
Median Positive9.7%9.9%29.6%
Median Negative-4.5%-10.8%-7.2%
Max Positive18.9%19.5%36.7%
Max Negative-8.1%-14.6%-15.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024331202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024813202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120234262024424B4 12/31/2023

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Blackstone Holdings IV L.P. 6112025Sell82.612,656,060219,417,117561,956,755Form
1GSO Capital Opportunities Fund III LP 6112025Sell82.612,656,060219,417,117561,956,755Form
2Blackstone Alternative Credit Advisors LP 6112025Sell82.612,656,060219,417,117561,956,755Form
3Bobbili Raja 5202025Sell80.91690,25855,847,1872,543,610,254Form
4Carpenito Anthony 5202025Sell80.91690,25855,847,1872,543,610,254Form