AEye (LIDR)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $1.89 | Market Cap: $85.5 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
AEye (LIDR)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $1.89Market Cap: $85.5 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -88% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12579% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 320x Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 170% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1690% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10566%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10674% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 197% Key risksLIDR key risks include [1] sustained losses and significant cash burn, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -88% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12579% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 320x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 170% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1690% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10566%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10674% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 197% |
| Key risksLIDR key risks include [1] sustained losses and significant cash burn, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic Partnerships and Technology Validation Drove Market Optimism.
AEye announced several key partnerships and technology integrations during the period. On March 18, 2026, AEye joined NVIDIA's Halos AI Systems Inspection Lab, which validated its Apollo and STRATOS lidar solutions, strengthening its position in the automotive and infrastructure sectors. This followed an earlier announcement on January 6, 2026, regarding the integration of its Apollo lidar with the NVIDIA AGX DRIVE Thor™ automotive computing platform for next-generation physical AI systems. Additionally, on April 28, 2026, AEye partnered with defense systems company SynTech to distribute and integrate its Apollo sensor for defense applications, with initial shipments already underway. Further expanding its reach, on May 20, 2026, AEye signed an MOU with MoveAWheeL to integrate its Apollo lidar with road-surface friction-sensing technology to enhance automotive safety. These collaborations signal growing market acceptance and diverse application opportunities for AEye's lidar technology.
2. Expanding Commercial Pipeline and Customer Base Indicated Future Growth.
AEye reported "Record Commercial Engagement" in its Q1 2026 results, announced on May 13, 2026. The company increased its revenue-generating customer count to 21, a 31% rise since Q4 2025. Both active quotes and engagements grew by nearly 40% quarter-over-quarter. CEO Matthew Fisch highlighted that the company now has "more commercial engagement than at any point in our history". This expanding pipeline included new Requests for Information (RFIs) from OEMs re-engaging with Level 3 and Level 4 autonomous driving roadmaps, ongoing programs with autonomous trucking companies, and new intelligent transportation system deployments.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.5% change in LIDR stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 48.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.64 | 1.91 | 16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 48.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 281.7 | 319.8 | 13.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 45 | -30.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | 16.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 31.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.8% | 22.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.9% change in LIDR stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -57.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.65 | 1.91 | -27.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 14.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 214.8 | 319.8 | 48.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 45 | -57.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -27.9% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -27.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 27.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.7% | 18.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 161.6% change in LIDR stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 961.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 0.73 | 1.91 | 161.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 33.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 30.1 | 319.8 | 961.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 45 | -81.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 161.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | 161.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.5% | 13.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 21.3% | 2.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -68.0% change in LIDR stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -92.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.96 | 1.91 | -68.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4 | 0 | -92.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 8.7 | 319.8 | 3581.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 5 | 45 | -88.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -68.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -68.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.6% | 14.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 64.5% | 8.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LIDR Return | -55% | -90% | -84% | -45% | 45% | -1% | -99% |
| Peers Return | -41% | -73% | -14% | 11% | 73% | 24% | -67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LIDR Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 33% | 47% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LIDR Max Drawdown | - | -92% | -92% | -79% | -83% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -72% | -77% | -78% | -66% | -62% | -44% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OUST, AEVA, MVIS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LIDR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 18 days |
In The Past
AEye's stock fell -35.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | LIDR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 18 days |
In The Past
AEye's stock fell -35.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About AEye (LIDR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe AEye (LIDR):
- AEye is like Mobileye, but specializing in lidar sensors for self-driving cars and robots.
- AEye is like the 'Intel Inside' for the perception systems of autonomous vehicles and robots.
- AEye develops the 'eyes' for self-driving cars and robots, similar to how NVIDIA provides the 'brains' (GPUs) for AI and autonomous systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- 4Sight A: A software-configurable lidar solution designed for automotive markets.
- 4Sight M: A software-configurable lidar solution developed for mobility and industrial markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AEye (LIDR) sells its lidar systems primarily to other companies (B2B model) in the automotive and industrial sectors.
A major publicly identified customer and strategic partner is:
- Continental AG (Symbol: CON.DE on XTRA) - A leading global automotive Tier 1 supplier and industrial company. AEye has a strategic partnership with Continental to industrialize and integrate AEye's lidar technology into Continental's advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) for mass production in the automotive market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Matthew Fisch, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Matthew Fisch was appointed CEO of AEye in February 2023, bringing 30 years of experience in delivering breakout products and scaling software organizations at multi-billion-dollar global companies. Prior to joining AEye, he served as Senior Vice President & Chief Technology Officer at Gentherm Incorporated. He also held roles as Executive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer of Hospitality Services at North American Bancard, Executive Vice President of Global R&D at Verifone Systems, Inc., and Vice President of R&D for Harman International Industries, Inc.'s lifestyle division, where he led global R&D for their car audio business. Earlier in his career, Mr. Fisch spent 22 years in various engineering positions at Intel Corporation.
Conor Tierney, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Conor Tierney was appointed CFO and Treasurer in May 2023, having initially joined AEye as Chief Accounting Officer in January 2022. He possesses 20 years of financial leadership and management experience with prominent technology companies. Before AEye, Mr. Tierney was Head of Finance and Corporate Controller at Alphabet's Wing Aviation division and served as Corporate Controller at Glu Mobile in the mobile gaming sector. His background also includes working in public accounting at "Big Four" firms, including Deloitte and PricewaterhouseCoopers. Mr. Tierney is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
Luis Dussan, Founder and Director
Luis Dussan is a co-founder of AEye, which was founded in 2013. He is a veteran with over 20 years of experience in the aerospace and defense industry. During his tenure at Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman, Mr. Dussan focused his research and development efforts on smart sensor solutions for applications such as Information, Surveillance, Reconnaissance (ISR), Targeting, Fire Control, LADAR/LIDAR, and Autonomy.
Andrew Hughes, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Andrew Hughes brings decades of leadership experience in negotiating technology-related transactions for high-growth companies. He has served at several Fortune 1000 companies, where he was responsible for negotiating domestic and international transactions, mitigating risk, and ensuring public company compliance. Most recently, he held the position of Vice President and General Counsel (US) at Renesas Electronics Corp. Mr. Hughes also served as General Counsel at Intersil Corp., Ikanos Communications, Bell Microproducts, Inc., and LSI Logic Corporation.
Bernd Reichert, Senior Vice President of ADAS
Bernd Reichert was appointed Senior Vice President of ADAS in July 2021. He has 25 years of experience in key positions within the automotive electronics business at global Tier 1 suppliers. Prior to AEye, he spent nearly seven years as VP of sales and business development for Global Driving Assistance at Valeo, where he was responsible for multi-billion dollar global OEM sales of driving assistance products, including sensors, ECUs, and systems for active safety and autonomous driving, as well as the sale of Valeo Lidar solutions. Before Valeo, Mr. Reichert was Vice President and General Manager German OEM Customer Group at Visteon and VP and GM German OEMs at Johnson Controls Electronics Division.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to AEye (LIDR) are as follows:- Financial Sustainability and Path to Profitability: AEye faces significant financial challenges, including persistent negative free cash flow and negligible revenue, leading to ongoing losses. The company has a history of high cash burn, with a projected burn rate of $30 million to $35 million for the full year 2026. This necessitates continuous capital raises, which pose a high risk of further equity dilution for shareholders. The company's financial health is characterized by a "Distress" score, and its high valuation is based on anticipated future growth that is not yet visible in current fundamentals.
- Market Adoption Challenges and Intense Competition: The lidar industry is characterized by long sales cycles, particularly in the automotive and infrastructure markets, making the recognition of substantial revenue a protracted process. AEye operates in a highly competitive market with numerous deep-pocketed rivals and ongoing industry consolidation. Furthermore, there is a risk that alternative sensing technologies, such as camera-plus-AI systems, or new lidar approaches could undercut AEye's market potential, slowing widespread adoption of its products.
- Execution Risk in Scaling Production and Securing Commercial Wins: While AEye has formed partnerships and demonstrated technological capabilities, a significant risk remains in its ability to translate these into high-volume production and large-scale, revenue-generating commercial contracts. The long qualification cycles in the automotive industry and the need to scale production rapidly to achieve economies of scale present substantial execution hurdles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
AEye (NASDAQ: LIDR) operates in substantial addressable markets for its lidar systems across automotive, mobility, and industrial applications. The company's main products, 4Sight A (for automotive markets) and 4Sight M (for mobility and industrial markets), cater to these growing sectors. The global addressable market for lidar, encompassing automotive, industrial, and mobility industries, is projected to increase significantly. This market was forecasted to grow from $3 billion in 2020 to $42 billion by 2030, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30%. Specifically, for AEye's main product areas, the forecasted global market opportunities by 2030 are: * **Automotive:** $18 billion. * **Industrial:** $17 billion. * **Mobility:** $7 billion. These market sizes are global in scope.AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for AEye (LIDR) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth in Automotive OEM Programs and Customer Base: AEye is poised for revenue growth through increasing customer engagements and design wins within the automotive sector. The company has secured a major program with a global transportation OEM, representing a $30 million revenue opportunity, which is currently in its initial deployment phase with broader rollout anticipated in the second half of 2026. Additionally, AEye has expanded its active customer count to 16, demonstrating increasing traction for its Apollo sensor across various applications.
- Expansion into Diversified Non-Automotive Markets: A significant driver for AEye's future revenue is its strategic expansion into various non-automotive markets. Management expects these sectors, including defense, high-speed rail, smart infrastructure, intelligent transportation systems, and aviation, to become meaningful contributors to near-term revenue. This diversification broadens the company's addressable market and reduces reliance on a single industry.
- Commercialization of Advanced Lidar and AI Solutions: The launch and commercialization of new, advanced products are expected to fuel revenue growth. This includes the Stratos, a third-generation ultra-long-range LiDAR sensor capable of detecting objects up to 1.5 kilometers with more than twice the resolution of the Apollo sensor, and the Optus physical AI solution. Stratos's superior performance and compact form factor can open new applications and command higher value, while Optus is beginning to drive initial software revenues.
- Leveraging Strategic Partnerships and Scalable Manufacturing: AEye's capital-light business model, underpinned by strategic partnerships, is crucial for scaling revenue. Collaborations with partners like NVIDIA, where Apollo LiDAR is integrated with the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX Thor platform, enhance the company's automotive market penetration and product readiness. Furthermore, partnerships with global Tier 1 manufacturers, such as LiteOn, provide the manufacturing capacity for high-volume production of Apollo units (60,000 units annually), enabling AEye to meet anticipated demand efficiently while minimizing capital expenditure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In July 2025, AEye, Inc. increased the maximum aggregate amount of common stock that may be issued and sold under its at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program to $75 million.
- In July 2024, AEye entered into a common stock purchase agreement with New Circle Principal Investments LLC, providing the right to sell up to $50 million of common stock over a 36-month term through an Equity Reserve Facility.
- The company has consistently raised growth capital, including an additional $12.7 million in early 2025, which contributed to an approximately $80 million total potential liquidity by Q4 2024, and further capital raises extending cash runway into 2027 by Q2 2025.
Inbound Investments
- AEye secured a common stock purchase agreement with New Circle Principal Investments LLC in July 2024, representing a potential inbound investment of up to $50 million over three years.
- The company has expanded its manufacturing capacity for its Apollo lidar system to 60,000 units annually through a partnership with LITEON, reflecting a strategic investment in production capabilities without direct capital outlay by AEye.
- Strategic partnerships in China with Accelight Technologies, Inc. and LighTekton Co., Ltd. were established to deliver AEye's 4Sight™ lidar solutions to the Chinese market.
Capital Expenditures
- AEye anticipates its full-year cash burn for 2025 to be in the range of $27 million to $29 million, driven primarily by investments needed to ramp up Apollo to high-volume production.
- The company has historically made substantial investments in research and development (R&D) efforts, and plans to continue focusing these investments on strategic product development goals, including the Apollo lidar sensor and OPTIS™ platform.
- Despite a capital-light business model, the company’s cash burn in Q4 2024 was $4.8 million, with Q2 2025 cash burn at approximately $6 million, which included a lease settlement payout.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| AEye Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can AEye Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| AEye Stock Up 3x Last Week, More To Come? | 07/28/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LIDR.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | MGM | MGM Resorts International | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 04242026 | WEN | Wendy's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -2.5% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
| 04102026 | WHR | Whirlpool | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.8% | -0.8% | -4.8% |
| 04022026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | -1.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 11 |
| Op Inc LTM | -74 |
| FCF LTM | -66 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -66 |
| CFO LTM | -52 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -61 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 65.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 58.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2,855.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2,120.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 369.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -2,227.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,679.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2,265.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,723.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| P/S | 91.8 |
| P/Op Inc | -6.4 |
| P/EBIT | -6.4 |
| P/E | -5.9 |
| P/CFO | -7.6 |
| Total Yield | -25.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -29.1% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 19.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 38.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 110.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 113.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 35.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 9.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 75.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 45.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.91 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/11/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -56.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.90 | $2.24 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | up |
| Distance from DMA | 0.5% | -14.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 128.2% | 198.2% |
| Downside Capture | 292.42 | 295.76 |
| Upside Capture | 237.13 | 327.87 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.9% | 13.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.55 | 2.06 | 2.63 | 2.05 | 2.07 | 1.67 |
| Up Beta | 1.40 | 0.26 | 1.60 | 1.89 | -1.08 | 0.34 |
| Down Beta | 2.78 | 5.56 | 4.91 | 2.00 | 3.49 | 1.55 |
| Up Capture | 269% | 301% | 329% | 210% | 801% | 1498% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 18 | 29 | 58 | 121 | 333 |
| Down Capture | 867% | 144% | 202% | 196% | 167% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 33 | 63 | 126 | 393 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDR | 146.3% | 198.2% | 1.08 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 10.8% | 18.3% | 0.42 | 1.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.8% | 12.1% | 1.67 | 13.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 26.8% | 1.16 | 0.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.5% | 18.6% | 1.80 | 0.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 13.4% | 0.59 | -0.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.2% | 41.8% | -0.65 | 8.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -64.0% | 154.3% | -0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.7% | 23.7% | 0.28 | 14.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 16.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 3.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.4% | 0.44 | 2.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 11.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.3% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 9.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -40.4% | 150.0% | -0.06 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.8% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 14.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 16.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.2% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 11.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.3% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 9.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/16/2026 | 18.1% | 40.0% | 13.5% |
| 11/6/2025 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 15.1% |
| 7/31/2025 | -20.2% | -21.3% | -21.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | 8.0% | 23.2% | 41.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | -8.5% | -27.8% | -17.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -6.6% | -21.4% | -5.0% |
| 8/5/2024 | -7.4% | -18.5% | -16.3% |
| 3/26/2024 | -19.1% | -16.6% | -36.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.9% | 16.9% | 13.5% |
| Median Negative | -7.9% | -21.4% | -27.1% |
| Max Positive | 18.1% | 40.0% | 41.5% |
| Max Negative | -20.2% | -37.1% | -46.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Cash Burn | 30.00 Mil | 32.50 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 32.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/16/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Cash Burn | 30.00 Mil | 32.50 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 16.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 28.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 12122025 | 2.40 | 32,000 | 76,845 | 322,105 | Form | |
| 2 | Husby, Jonathon B | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 2.40 | 10,350 | 24,849 | 227,144 | Form | |
| 3 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 9122025 | 2.68 | 33,616 | 90,047 | 445,018 | Form | |
| 4 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 9102025 | 3.00 | 184 | 552 | 599,244 | Form | |
| 5 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 8252025 | 2.66 | 38,900 | 103,400 | 531,439 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.